Accuracy of ultrasonographic changes during neoadjuvant chemotherapy to predict axillary lymph node response in clinical node-positive breast cancer patients

Ultrasonographic accuracy in evaluating response of clipped lymph nodes in targeted axillary dissection in breast cancer

This study aimed to evaluate the diagnostic accuracy of ultrasonography in assessing the response of clipped axillary lymph nodes to neoadjuvant chemotherapy. Between February 2022 and September 2023, 43 patients who underwent axillary lymph node marking for targeted axillary dissection were retrospectively analyzed. Ultrasonography parameters such as the number, size, shape, cortical thickness, hilum status, and treatment response of the clipped lymph node were assessed. Post-surgery pathology results served as the gold standard. Ultrasonography revealed 70% complete and 30% partial response, while pathology results showed 51% complete response, 9% micro-metastases, and 40% macro-metastases. The diagnostic accuracy of ultrasonography was 81.4%, with 61.9% sensitivity and 100% specificity. A significant correlation was found between clipped node response in ultrasound and pathology. Additionally, a notable association was observed between clipped node response on ultrasonography, molecular subtype of the breast mass, and the mass's response to NAC. Assessing the treatment response of clipped lymph nodes with preoperative ultrasound, followed by surgical excision using needle wire localization, can be a viable alternative to axillary dissection, offering low false-negative rates.

Correlation between Baseline Conventional Ultrasounds, Shear-Wave Elastography Indicators, and Neoadjuvant Therapy Efficacy in Triple-Negative Breast Cancer

In patients with triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC)-the subtype with the poorest prognosis among breast cancers-it is crucial to assess the response to the currently widely employed neoadjuvant treatment (NAT) approaches. This study investigates the correlation between baseline conventional ultrasound (US) and shear-wave elastography (SWE) indicators and the pathological response of TNBC following NAT, with a specific focus on assessing predictive capability in the baseline state. This retrospective analysis was conducted by extracting baseline US features and SWE parameters, categorizing patients based on postoperative pathological grading. A univariate analysis was employed to determine the relationship between ultrasound indicators and pathological reactions. Additionally, we employed a receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis and multivariate logistic regression methods to evaluate the predictive potential of the baseline US indicators. This study comprised 106 TNBC patients, with 30 (28.30%) in a nonmajor histological response (NMHR) group and 76 (71.70%) in a major histological response (MHR) group. Following the univariate analysis, we found that T staging, dmax values, volumes, margin changes, skin alterations (i.e., thickening and invasion), retromammary space invasions, and supraclavicular lymph node abnormalities were significantly associated with pathological efficacy (p < 0.05). Combining clinical information with either US or SWE independently yielded baseline predictive abilities, with AUCs of 0.816 and 0.734, respectively. Notably, the combined model demonstrated an improved AUC of 0.827, with an accuracy of 76.41%, a sensitivity of 90.47%, a specificity of 55.81%, and statistical significance (p < 0.01). The baseline US and SWE indicators for TNBC exhibited a strong relationship with NAT response, offering predictive insights before treatment initiation, to a considerable extent.

Prediction of axillary lymph node pathological complete response to neoadjuvant therapy using nomogram and machine learning methods

Purpose

To determine the feasibility of predicting the rate of an axillary lymph node pathological complete response (apCR) using nomogram and machine learning methods.

Methods

A total of 247 patients with early breast cancer (eBC), who underwent neoadjuvant therapy (NAT) were included retrospectively. We compared pre- and post-NAT ultrasound information and calculated the maximum diameter change of the primary lesion (MDCPL): [(pre-NAT maximum diameter of primary lesion – post-NAT maximum diameter of preoperative primary lesion)/pre-NAT maximum diameter of primary lesion] and described the lymph node score (LNS) (1): unclear border (2), irregular morphology (3), absence of hilum (4), visible vascularity (5), cortical thickness, and (6) aspect ratio <2. Each description counted as 1 point. Logistic regression analyses were used to assess apCR independent predictors to create nomogram. The area under the curve (AUC) of the receiver operating characteristic curve as well as calibration curves were employed to assess the nomogram’s performance. In machine learning, data were trained and validated by random forest (RF) following Pycharm software and five-fold cross-validation analysis.

Results

The mean age of enrolled patients was 50.4 ± 10.2 years. MDCPL (odds ratio [OR], 1.013; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.002–1.024; p=0.018), LNS changes (pre-NAT LNS – post-NAT LNS; OR, 2.790; 95% CI, 1.190–6.544; p=0.018), N stage (OR, 0.496; 95% CI, 0.269–0.915; p=0.025), and HER2 status (OR, 2.244; 95% CI, 1.147–4.392; p=0.018) were independent predictors of apCR. The AUCs of the nomogram were 0.74 (95% CI, 0.68–0.81) and 0.76 (95% CI, 0.63–0.90) for training and validation sets, respectively. In RF model, the maximum diameter of the primary lesion, axillary lymph node, and LNS in each cycle, estrogen receptor status, progesterone receptor status, HER2, Ki67, and T and N stages were included in the training set. The final validation set had an AUC value of 0.85 (95% CI, 0.74–0.87).

Conclusion

Both nomogram and machine learning methods can predict apCR well. Nomogram is simple and practical, and shows high operability. Machine learning makes better use of a patient’s clinicopathological information. These prediction models can assist surgeons in deciding on a reasonable strategy for axillary surgery.