Assessment of Primary Colorectal Cancer CT Radiomics to Predict Metachronous Liver Metastasis

Diagnostic accuracy of artificial intelligence based on imaging data for predicting distant metastasis of colorectal cancer: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Background

Colorectal cancer is the third most common malignant tumor with the third highest incidence rate. Distant metastasis is the main cause of death in colorectal cancer patients. Early detection and prognostic prediction of colorectal cancer has improved with the widespread use of artificial intelligence technologies.

Purpose

The aim of this study was to comprehensively evaluate the accuracy and validity of AI-based imaging data for predicting distant metastasis in colorectal cancer patients.

Methods

A systematic literature search was conducted to find relevant studies published up to January, 2024, in different databases. The quality of articles was assessed using the Quality Assessment of Diagnostic Accuracy Studies 2 tool. The predictive value of AI-based imaging data for distant metastasis in colorectal cancer patients was assessed using pooled sensitivity, specificity. To explore the reasons for heterogeneity, subgroup analyses were performed using different covariates.

Results

Seventeen studies were included in the systematic evaluation. The pooled sensitivity, specificity, and AUC of AI-based imaging data for predicting distant metastasis in colorectal cancer patients were 0.86, 0.82, and 0.91. Based on QUADAS-2, risk of bias was detected in patient selection, diagnostic tests to be evaluated, and gold standard. Based on the results of subgroup analyses, found that the duration of follow-up, site of metastasis, etc. had a significant impact on the heterogeneity.

Conclusion

Imaging data images based on artificial intelligence algorithms have good diagnostic accuracy for predicting distant metastasis in colorectal cancer patients and have potential for clinical application.

Systematic review registration

https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/PROSPERO/, identifier PROSPERO (CRD42024516063).

5-hydroxymethylcytosine features of portal venous blood predict metachronous liver metastases of colorectal cancer and reveal phosphodiesterase 4 as a therapeutic target

Metachronous liver metastases (MLM) are characterised by high incidence and high mortality in clinical colorectal cancer treatment. Currently traditional clinical methods cannot effectively predict and prevent the occurrence of metachronous liver metastasis in colorectal cancer. Based on 5hmC-Seal analysis of blood and tissue samples, this study found that portal venous blood was more relevant to tumour gDNA than peripheral blood. We performed a novel epigenetic liquid biopsy strategy using the 10 5hmC epigenetic alterations, to accurately distinguish MLM patients from patients without metastases. Among these epigenetic alterations, phosphodiesterase 4 (PDE4D) was highly increased in MLM patients and correlated with poor survival. Moreover, our studies demonstrated that PDE4D was a key metastasis-driven target for drug development. Interfering with the function of PDE4D significantly repressed liver metastases. Similarly, roflumilast, a PDE4 inhibitor for chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) therapy, also inhibits liver metastases. Further studies indicate that blocking the function of PDE4D can affect CRC invasion through the HIF-1α-CCN2 pathway. To develop a more efficient PDE4 inhibitor and reduce the occurrence of adverse events, we also designed several new compounds based on 2-arylbenzofurans and discovered lead L11 with potent affinity for PDE4D and significant suppression of liver metastases. In this work, our study provides a promising strategy for predicting metachronous liver metastasis and discovers L11 as a potential repurposed drug for inhibiting liver metastasis, which have the potential to benefit patients with CRC in the future. KEY POINTS: 5hmC epigenetic markers derived from portal venous blood could accurately predict metachronous metastasis of colorectal cancer. PDE4D was a key metastasis-driven target that promoted metachronous metastasis via the HIF-1α-CCN2 pathway. The newly synthesised compound L11 could specifically inhibit PDE4D and abolish metachronous metastasis of colorectal cancer without obvious toxic side effects.

Complete blood counts as potential risk factors of early dissemination to liver and lungs in resected colorectal cancer: a retrospective cohort study

PURPOSE

Liver and lung metastases demonstrate distinct biological, particularly immunological, characteristics. We investigated whether preoperative complete blood count (CBC) parameters, which may reflect the immune system condition, predict early dissemination to the liver and lungs in colorectal cancer (CRC).

METHODS

In this retrospective single-centre study, we included 268 resected CRC cases with complete 2-year follow-up and analysed preoperative CBC for association with early liver or lung metastasis development. Next, selected CBC and clinicopathological parameters were analysed with uni- and multivariable Cox regression. Independent factors affecting liver or lung metastasis-free survival were incorporated into composite scores, which were further evaluated with receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves and dichotomised using a modified, specificity-focused, Youden approach to identify particularly high-risk patients.

RESULTS

Compared to metastasis-free patients, early liver metastases were related to decreases in red blood cells, haematocrit, lymphocytes and elevated monocyte-to-lymphocyte ratio, while lung metastases to lower eosinophil counts. A composite score of independent factors (erythrocytopenia, lower lymphocyte count and pN) yielded HR of 8.01 (95% CI 3.45-18.57, p < 0.001) for liver-specific metastasis-free survival (MFS). For lung-specific MFS, the combination of eosinopenia, pN and primary tumour location showed HR of 13.69 (95% CI 4.34-43.20, p < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

Early CRC metastases to the liver and lungs are associated with partially divergent clinicopathological and peripheral blood features. We propose simple, clinically implementable scores, based on routinely assessed parameters, to identify patients with an increased risk of early dissemination to the liver or lungs. After validation in independent cohorts, these scores may provide easily available prognostic information.

The role of artificial intelligence and image processing in the diagnosis, treatment, and prognosis of liver cancer: a narrative-review

Artificial intelligence (AI) and image processing are revolutionising the diagnosis and management of liver cancer. Recent advancements showcase AI's ability to analyse medical imaging data, like computed tomography scans and magnetic resonance imaging, accurately detecting and classifying liver cancer lesions for early intervention. Predictive models aid prognosis estimation and recurrence pattern identification, facilitating personalised treatment planning. Image processing techniques enhance data analysis by precise segmentation of liver structures, fusion of information from multiple modalities, and feature extraction for informed decision-making. Despite progress, challenges persist, including the need for standardised datasets and regulatory considerations.

Mono+ algorithm assessment of the diagnostic value of dual-energy CT for high-risk factors for colorectal cancer: a preliminary study

Background

Risk factors for colorectal cancer (CRC) affect the way patients are subsequently treated and their prognosis. Dual-energy computerized tomography (DECT) is an advanced imaging technique that enables the quantitative evaluation of lesions. This study aimed to evaluate the quality of DECT images based on the Mono+ algorithm in CRC, and based on this, to assess the value of DECT in the diagnosis of CRC risk factors.

Methods

This prospective study was performed from 2021 to 2023. A dual-phase DECT protocol was established for consecutive patients with primary CRC. The signal-to-noise ratio (SNR), contrast-to-noise ratio (CNR), overall image quality, lesion delineation, and image noise of the dual-phase DECT images were assessed. Next, the optimal energy-level image was selected to analyze the iodine concentration (IC), normalized iodine concentration (NIC), effective atomic number, electron density, dual-energy index (DEI), and slope of the energy spectrum curve within the tumor for the high- and low-risk CRC groups. A multifactor binary logistic regression analysis was used to construct a differential diagnostic regression model for high- and low-risk CRC, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were plotted, and the area under the curve (AUC) was calculated to assess the diagnostic value of the model.

Results

A total of 74 patients were enrolled in this study, of whom 41 had high-risk factors and 33 had low-risk factors. The SNR and CNR were best at 40 keV virtual monoenergetic imaging (VMI) based on the Mono+ algorithm (VMI+) (SNR 8.79±1.27, P<0.001; CNR 14.89±1.77, P=0.027). The overall image quality and lesion contours were best at 60 keV VMI+ and 40 keV VMI+, respectively (P=0.001). Among all the DECT parameters, the arterial phase (AP)-IC, NIC, DEI, energy spectrum curve, and venous phase-NIC differed significantly between the two groups. The AP-IC was the optimal DECT parameter for predicting high- and low-risk CRC with AUC, sensitivity, specificity, and cut-off values of 0.96, 97.06%, 87.80%, and 2.94, respectively, and the 95% confidence interval (CI) of the AUC was 0.88-0.99. Integrating the clinical factors and DECT parameters, the AUC, sensitivity, specificity, and predictive accuracy of the model were 0.99, 100.00%, 92.68%, and 94.67%, respectively, and the 95% CI of the AUC was 0.93-1.00.

Conclusions

The DECT parameters based on 40 keV noise-optimized VMI+ reconstruction images depicted the CRC tumors best, and the clinical DECT model may have significant implications for the preoperative prediction of high-risk factors in CRC patients.

A nomogram prediction model based on clinicopathological combined radiological features for metachronous liver metastasis of colorectal cancer

Objective: To establish a nomogram prediction model (based on clinicopathological and radiological features) for the development of metachronous liver metastasis (MLM) in patients with colorectal cancer (CRC). Methods: This retrospective study included patients with CRC who underwent surgery at Changshu No.1 People's Hospital and the Second Affiliated Hospital of Soochow University between January 2016 and December 2018. The clinical, pathological, and radiological features of each patient were investigated. Risk factors for MLM were identified by univariable and multivariable analyses. The predictive nomogram for MLM development was constructed. The predictive performance of the nomogram was estimated by the receiver operating characteristics curve, calibration curve, and decision curve analysis. Results: This study included 161 patients with CRC [median age: 66 (range, 33-87) years]. Fifty-nine developed MLM after a median of 12 (range, 2-52) months after surgery. The multivariable logistic regression analysis showed that age >66 years (OR=3.471, 95% CI: 1.272-9.473, P=0.015), N2 stage (OR=6.534, 95% CI: 1.456-29.317, P=0.014), positive vascular invasion (OR=2.995, 95% CI: 1.132-7.926, P=0.027), positive tumor deposit (OR=4.451, 95% CI: 1.153-17.179, P=0.030), and linear (OR=6.774, 95% CI: 1.306-35.135, P=0.023) and nodal pericolic fat infiltration patterns (OR=8.762, 95% CI: 1.521-50.457, P=0.015) were independently associated with MLM. These five factors were used to create a nomogram. The area under the receiver operating characteristics curve of the nomogram was 0.866 (95% CI: 0.803-0.914), indicating favorable prediction performance. The calibration curve of the nomogram showed a satisfactory agreement between the predicted and actual probabilities. Conclusions: A nomogram prediction model based on five clinicopathological and radiological features might have favorable prediction performance for MLM in patients who underwent surgery for CRC. Hence, the present study proposes a nomogram that can easily be used to predict MLM after CRC surgery based on readily available features.

A nomogram was developed using clinicopathological features to predict postoperative liver metastasis in patients with colorectal cancer

PURPOSE

The objective of this study is to examine the risk factors that contribute to the development of liver metastasis (LM) in patients who have suffered radical resection for colorectal cancer (CRC), and to establish a nomogram model that can be used to predict the occurrence of the LM.

METHODS

The present study enrolled 1377 patients diagnosed with CRC between January 2010 and July 2021. The datasets were allocated to training (n = 965) and validation (n = 412) sets in a randomly stratified manner. The study utilized univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses to establish a nomogram for predicting LM in patients with CRC.

RESULTS

Multivariate analysis revealed that T stage, N stage, number of harvested lymph nodes (LNH), mismatch repair (MMR) status, neutrophil count, monocyte count, postoperative carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) levels, postoperative cancer antigen 125 (CA125) levels, and postoperative carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA19-9) levels were independent predictive factors for LM after radical resection. These factors were then utilized to construct a comprehensive nomogram for predicting LM. The nomogram demonstrated great discrimination, with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.782 for the training set and 0.768 for the validation set. Additionally, the nomogram exhibited excellent calibration and significant clinical benefit as confirmed by the calibration curves and the decision curve analysis, respectively.

CONCLUSION

This nomogram has the potential to support clinicians in identifying high-risk patients who may develop LM post-surgery. Clinicians can devise personalized treatment and follow-up plans, ultimately leading to an improved prognosis for patients.

Artificial Intelligence to Early Predict Liver Metastases in Patients with Colorectal Cancer: Current Status and Future Prospectives

BACKGROUND

Artificial Intelligence (AI)-based analysis represents an evolving medical field. In the last few decades, several studies have reported the diagnostic efficiency of AI applied to Computed Tomography (CT) and Magnetic Resonance Imaging (MRI) to early detect liver metastases (LM), mainly from colorectal cancer. Despite the increase in information and the development of different procedures in several radiological fields, an accurate method of predicting LM has not yet been found. This review aims to compare the diagnostic efficiency of different AI methods in the literature according to accuracy, sensibility, precision, and recall to identify early LM.

METHODS

A narrative review of the literature was conducted on PubMed. A total of 336 studies were screened.

RESULTS

We selected 17 studies from 2012 to 2022. In total, 14,475 patients were included, and more than 95% were affected by colorectal cancer. The most frequently used imaging tool to early detect LM was found to be CT (58%), while MRI was used in three cases. Four different AI analyses were used: deep learning, radiomics, machine learning, and fuzzy systems in seven (41.18%), five (29.41%), four (23.53%), and one (5.88%) cases, respectively. Four studies achieved an accuracy of more than 90% after MRI and CT scan acquisition, while just two reported a recall rate ≥90% (one method using MRI and CT and one CT).

CONCLUSIONS

Routinely acquired radiological images could be used for AI-based analysis to early detect LM. Simultaneous use of radiomics and machine learning analysis applied to MRI or CT images should be an effective method considering the better results achieved in the clinical scenario.

Radiomics in colorectal cancer patients

The main therapeutic options for colorectal cancer are surgical resection and adjuvant chemotherapy in non-metastatic disease. However, the evaluation of the overall adjuvant chemotherapy benefit in patients with a high risk of recurrence is challenging. Radiological images can represent a source of data that can be analyzed by using automated computer-based techniques, working on numerical information coded within Digital Imaging and Communications in Medicine files: This image numerical analysis has been named "radiomics". Radiomics allows the extraction of quantitative features from radiological images, mainly invisible to the naked eye, that can be further analyzed by artificial intelligence algorithms. Radiomics is expanding in oncology to either understand tumor biology or for the development of imaging biomarkers for diagnosis, staging, and prognosis, prediction of treatment response and diseases monitoring and surveillance. Several efforts have been made to develop radiomics signatures for colorectal cancer patient using computed tomography (CT) images with different aims: The preoperative prediction of lymph node metastasis, detecting BRAF and RAS gene mutations. Moreover, the use of delta-radiomics allows the analysis of variations of the radiomics parameters extracted from CT scans performed at different timepoints. Most published studies concerning radiomics and magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) mainly focused on the response of advanced tumors that underwent neoadjuvant therapy. Nodes status is the main determinant of adjuvant chemotherapy. Therefore, several radiomics model based on MRI, especially on T2-weighted images and ADC maps, for the preoperative prediction of nodes metastasis in rectal cancer has been developed. Current studies mostly focused on the applications of radiomics in positron emission tomography/CT for the prediction of survival after curative surgical resection and assessment of response following neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy. Since colorectal liver metastases develop in about 25% of patients with colorectal carcinoma, the main diagnostic tasks of radiomics should be the detection of synchronous and metachronous lesions. Radiomics could be an additional tool in clinical setting, especially in identifying patients with high-risk disease. Nevertheless, radiomics has numerous shortcomings that make daily use extremely difficult. Further studies are needed to assess performance of radiomics in stratifying patients with high-risk disease.

Colorectal liver metastases patients prognostic assessment: prospects and limits of radiomics and radiogenomics

In this narrative review, we reported un up-to-date on the role of radiomics to assess prognostic features, which can impact on the liver metastases patient treatment choice. In the liver metastases patients, the possibility to assess mutational status (RAS or MSI), the tumor growth pattern and the histological subtype (NOS or mucinous) allows a better treatment selection to avoid unnecessary therapies. However, today, the detection of these features require an invasive approach. Recently, radiomics analysis application has improved rapidly, with a consequent growing interest in the oncological field. Radiomics analysis allows the textural characteristics assessment, which are correlated to biological data. This approach is captivating since it should allow to extract biological data from the radiological images, without invasive approach, so that to reduce costs and time, avoiding any risk for the patients. Several studies showed the ability of Radiomics to identify mutational status, tumor growth pattern and histological type in colorectal liver metastases. Although, radiomics analysis in a non-invasive and repeatable way, however features as the poor standardization and generalization of clinical studies results limit the translation of this analysis into clinical practice. Clear limits are data-quality control, reproducibility, repeatability, generalizability of results, and issues related to model overfitting.

Radiomics based on preoperative rectal cancer MRI to predict the metachronous liver metastasis

PURPOSE

At present, there are few effective method to predict metachronous liver metastasis (MLM) from rectal cancer. We aim to investigate the efficacy of radiomics based on multiparametric MRI of first diagnosed rectal cancer in predicting MLM from rectal cancer.

METHODS

From 301 consecutive histopathologically confirmed rectal cancer patients, 130 patients who have no distant metastasis detected at the time of diagnosis were enrolled and divided into MLM group (n = 49) and non-MLM group (n = 81) according to whether liver metastasis be detected later than 6 month after the first diagnosis of rectal cancer within 3 years' follow-up. The 130 patients were divided into a training set (n = 91) and a testing set (n = 39) at a ratio of 7:3 by stratified sampling using SPSS 24.0 software. The DWI model, HD T₂WI model, and DWI + HD T₂WI model were constructed respectively. The best performing model was selected and combined with the screened clinical features (including non-radiomics MRI features) to construct a fusion model. The testing set was used to evaluate the performance of the models, and the area under the curve (AUC) of receiver operating characteristics (ROC) was calculated for both the training set and the testing set.

RESULTS

The AUC of the DWI + HD T₂WI model in the testing set was higher than that of the DWI or the HD T₂ model alone with statistically significance (P < 0.05). The screened clinical features were extramural vascular invasion (EMVI), T and N stages in MRI (_mrT, _mrN), and the distance from the lower edge of the tumor to the anal verge. The AUC of the fusion model in the testing set was 0.911. Decision curves and nomogram also showed that the fusion model had excellent clinical performance.

CONCLUSION

The fusion model of primary rectal cancer MRI based radiomics combing clinical features can effectively predict MLM from rectal cancer, which may assist clinicians in formulating individualized monitoring and treatment plans.

Role of radiomics in the diagnosis and treatment of gastrointestinal cancer

Gastrointestinal cancer (GIC) has high morbidity and mortality as one of the main causes of cancer death. Preoperative risk stratification is critical to guide patient management, but traditional imaging studies have difficulty predicting its biological behavior. The emerging field of radiomics allows the conversion of potential pathophysiological information in existing medical images that cannot be visually recognized into high-dimensional quantitative image features. Tumor lesion characterization, therapeutic response evaluation, and survival prediction can be achieved by analyzing the relationships between these features and clinical and genetic data. In recent years, the clinical application of radiomics to GIC has increased dramatically. In this editorial, we describe the latest progress in the application of radiomics to GIC and discuss the value of its potential clinical applications, as well as its limitations and future directions.

Whole-liver enhanced CT radiomics analysis to predict metachronous liver metastases after rectal cancer surgery

Background

To develop a radiomics model based on pretreatment whole-liver portal venous phase (PVP) contrast-enhanced CT (CE-CT) images for predicting metachronous liver metastases (MLM) within 24 months after rectal cancer (RC) surgery.

Methods

This study retrospectively analyzed 112 RC patients without preoperative liver metastases who underwent rectal surgery between January 2015 and December 2017 at our institution. Volume of interest (VOI) segmentation of the whole-liver was performed on the PVP CE-CT images. All 1316 radiomics features were extracted automatically. The maximum-relevance and minimum-redundancy and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator methods were used for features selection and radiomics signature constructing. Three models based on radiomics features (radiomics model), clinical features (clinical model), and radiomics combined with clinical features (combined model) were built by multivariable logistic regression analysis. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were used to assess the diagnostic performance of models, and calibration curve and the decision curve analysis were performed to evaluate the clinical application value.

Results

In total, 52 patients in the MLM group and 60 patients in the non-MLM group were enrolled in this study. The radscore was built using 16 selected features and the corresponding coefficients. Both the radiomics model and the combined model showed higher diagnostic performance than clinical model (AUCs of training set: radiomics model 0.84 (95% CI, 0.76–0.93), clinical model 0.65 (95% CI, 0.55–0.75), combined model 0.85 (95% CI, 0.77–0.94); AUCs of validation set: radiomics model 0.84 (95% CI, 0.70–0.98), clinical model 0.58 (95% CI, 0.40–0.76), combined model 0.85 (95% CI, 0.71–0.99)). The calibration curves showed great consistency between the predicted value and actual event probability. The DCA showed that both the radiomics and combined models could add a net benefit on a large scale.

Conclusions

The radiomics model based on preoperative whole-liver PVP CE-CT could predict MLM within 24 months after RC surgery. Clinical features could not significantly improve the prediction efficiency of the radiomics model.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s40644-022-00485-z.