Opinionated Views on Genome-Assisted Inference and Prediction During a Pandemic

Genomic prediction of tocochromanols in exotic-derived maize

Tocochromanols (vitamin E) are an essential part of the human diet. Plant products, including maize (Zea mays L.) grain, are the major dietary source of tocochromanols; therefore, breeding maize with higher vitamin content (biofortification) could improve human nutrition. Incorporating exotic germplasm in maize breeding for trait improvement including biofortification is a promising approach and an important research topic. However, information about genomic prediction of exotic-derived lines using available training data from adapted germplasm is limited. In this study, genomic prediction was systematically investigated for nine tocochromanol traits within both an adapted (Ames Diversity Panel [AP]) and an exotic-derived (Backcrossed Germplasm Enhancement of Maize [BGEM]) maize population. Although prediction accuracies up to 0.79 were achieved using genomic best linear unbiased prediction (gBLUP) when predicting within each population, genomic prediction of BGEM based on an AP training set resulted in low prediction accuracies. Optimal training population (OTP) design methods fast and unique representative subset selection (FURS), maximization of connectedness and diversity (MaxCD), and partitioning around medoids (PAM) were adapted for inbreds and, along with the methods mean coefficient of determination (CDmean) and mean prediction error variance (PEVmean), often improved prediction accuracies compared with random training sets of the same size. When applied to the combined population, OTP designs enabled successful prediction of the rest of the exotic-derived population. Our findings highlight the importance of leveraging genotype data in training set design to efficiently incorporate new exotic germplasm into a plant breeding program.

(Quasi) multitask support vector regression with heuristic hyperparameter optimization for whole-genome prediction of complex traits: a case study with carcass traits in broilers

This study investigates nonlinear kernels for multitrait (MT) genomic prediction using support vector regression (SVR) models. We assessed the predictive ability delivered by single-trait (ST) and MT models for 2 carcass traits (CT1 and CT2) measured in purebred broiler chickens. The MT models also included information on indicator traits measured in vivo [Growth and feed efficiency trait (FE)]. We proposed an approach termed (quasi) multitask SVR (QMTSVR), with hyperparameter optimization performed via genetic algorithm. ST and MT Bayesian shrinkage and variable selection models [genomic best linear unbiased predictor (GBLUP), BayesC (BC), and reproducing kernel Hilbert space (RKHS) regression] were employed as benchmarks. MT models were trained using 2 validation designs (CV1 and CV2), which differ if the information on secondary traits is available in the testing set. Models' predictive ability was assessed with prediction accuracy (ACC; i.e. the correlation between predicted and observed values, divided by the square root of phenotype accuracy), standardized root-mean-squared error (RMSE*), and inflation factor (b). To account for potential bias in CV2-style predictions, we also computed a parametric estimate of accuracy (ACCpar). Predictive ability metrics varied according to trait, model, and validation design (CV1 or CV2), ranging from 0.71 to 0.84 for ACC, 0.78 to 0.92 for RMSE*, and between 0.82 and 1.34 for b. The highest ACC and smallest RMSE* were achieved with QMTSVR-CV2 in both traits. We observed that for CT1, model/validation design selection was sensitive to the choice of accuracy metric (ACC or ACCpar). Nonetheless, the higher predictive accuracy of QMTSVR over MTGBLUP and MTBC was replicated across accuracy metrics, besides the similar performance between the proposed method and the MTRKHS model. Results showed that the proposed approach is competitive with conventional MT Bayesian regression models using either Gaussian or spike-slab multivariate priors.

Weighted kernels improve multi-environment genomic prediction

Crucial to variety improvement programs is the reliable and accurate prediction of genotype's performance across environments. However, due to the impactful presence of genotype by environment (G×E) interaction that dictates how changes in expression and function of genes influence target traits in different environments, prediction performance of genomic selection (GS) using single-environment models often falls short. Furthermore, despite the successes of genome-wide association studies (GWAS), the genetic insights derived from genome-to-phenome mapping have not yet been incorporated in predictive analytics, making GS models that use Gaussian kernel primarily an estimator of genomic similarity, instead of the underlying genetics characteristics of the populations. Here, we developed a GS framework that, in addition to capturing the overall genomic relationship, can capitalize on the signal of genetic associations of the phenotypic variation as well as the genetic characteristics of the populations. The capacity of predicting the performance of populations across environments was demonstrated by an overall gain in predictability up to 31% for the winter wheat DH population. Compared to Gaussian kernels, we showed that our multi-environment weighted kernels could better leverage the significance of genetic associations and yielded a marked improvement of 4-33% in prediction accuracy for half-sib families. Furthermore, the flexibility incorporated in our Bayesian implementation provides the generalizable capacity required for predicting multiple highly genetic heterogeneous populations across environments, allowing reliable GS for genetic improvement programs that have no access to genetically uniform material.

eQTLs are key players in the integration of genomic and transcriptomic data for phenotype prediction

Background

Multi-omics represent a promising link between phenotypes and genome variation. Few studies yet address their integration to understand genetic architecture and improve predictability.

Results

Our study used 241 poplar genotypes, phenotyped in two common gardens, with xylem and cambium RNA sequenced at one site, yielding large phenotypic, genomic (SNP), and transcriptomic datasets. Prediction models for each trait were built separately for SNPs and transcripts, and compared to a third model integrated by concatenation of both omics. The advantage of integration varied across traits and, to understand such differences, an eQTL analysis was performed to characterize the interplay between the genome and transcriptome and classify the predicting features into cis or trans relationships. A strong, significant negative correlation was found between the change in predictability and the change in predictor ranking for trans eQTLs for traits evaluated in the site of transcriptomic sampling.

Conclusions

Consequently, beneficial integration happens when the redundancy of predictors is decreased, likely leaving the stage to other less prominent but complementary predictors. An additional gene ontology (GO) enrichment analysis appeared to corroborate such statistical output. To our knowledge, this is a novel finding delineating a promising method to explore data integration.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12864-022-08690-7.