Dhiman P, Ma J, Kirtley S, Mouka E, Waldron CM, Whittle R, Collins GS. Prediction model protocols indicate better adherence to recommended guidelines for study conduct and reporting.
J Clin Epidemiol 2024;
169:111287. [PMID:
38387617 DOI:
10.1016/j.jclinepi.2024.111287]
[Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/16/2023] [Revised: 02/07/2024] [Accepted: 02/15/2024] [Indexed: 02/24/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE
Protocols are invaluable documents for any research study, especially for prediction model studies. However, the mere existence of a protocol is insufficient if key details are omitted. We reviewed the reporting content and details of the proposed design and methods reported in published protocols for prediction model research.
METHODS
We searched MEDLINE, Embase, and the Web of Science Core Collection for protocols for studies developing or validating a diagnostic or prognostic model using any modeling approach in any clinical area. We screened protocols published between Jan 1, 2022 and June 30, 2022. We used the abstract, introduction, methods, and discussion sections of The Transparent Reporting of a multivariable prediction model of Individual Prognosis Or Diagnosis (TRIPOD) statement to inform data extraction.
RESULTS
We identified 30 protocols, of which 28 were describing plans for model development and six for model validation. All protocols were open access, including a preprint. 15 protocols reported prospectively collecting data. 21 protocols planned to use clustered data, of which one-third planned methods to account for it. A planned sample size was reported for 93% development and 67% validation analyses. 16 protocols reported details of study registration, but all protocols reported a statement on ethics approval. Plans for data sharing were reported in 13 protocols.
CONCLUSION
Protocols for prediction model studies are uncommon, and few are made publicly available. Those that are available were reasonably well-reported and often described their methods following current prediction model research recommendations, likely leading to better reporting and methods in the actual study.
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