Predictive digital twin for optimizing patient-specific radiotherapy regimens under uncertainty in high-grade gliomas

Digital technologies to unlock safe and sustainable opportunities for medical device and healthcare sectors with a focus on the combined use of digital twin and extended reality applications: A review

Medical devices have increased in complexity where there is a pressing need to consider design thinking and specialist training for manufacturers, healthcare and sterilization providers, and regulators. Appropriately addressing this consideration will positively inform end-to-end supply chain and logistics, production, processing, sterilization, safety, regulation, education, sustainability and circularity. There are significant opportunities to innovate and to develop appropriate digital tools to help unlock efficiencies in these important areas. This constitutes the first paper to create an awareness of and to define different digital technologies for informing and enabling medical device production from a holistic end-to-end life cycle perspective. It describes the added-value of using digital innovations to meet emerging opportunities for many disposable and reusable medical devices. It addresses the value of accessing and using integrated multi-actor HUBs that combine academia, industry, healthcare, regulators and society to help meet these opportunities. Such as cost-effective access to specialist pilot facilities and expertise that converges digital innovation, material science, biocompatibility, sterility assurance, business model and sustainability. It highlights the marked gap in academic R&D activities (PRISMA review of best publications conducted between January 2010 and January 2024) and the actual list of U.S. FDA's approved and marketed artificial intelligence/machine learning (AI/ML), and augmented reality/virtual reality (AR/VR) enabled-medical devices for different healthcare applications. Bespoke examples of benefits underlying future use of digital tools includes potential implementation of machine learning for supporting and enabling parametric release of sterilized products through efficient monitoring of critical process data (complying with ISO 11135:2014) that would benefit stakeholders. This paper also focuses on the transformative potential of combining digital twin with extended reality innovations to inform efficiencies in medical device design thinking, supply chain and training to inform patient safety, circularity and sustainability.

A Pilot Study on Patient-specific Computational Forecasting of Prostate Cancer Growth during Active Surveillance Using an Imaging-informed Biomechanistic Model

Active surveillance (AS) is a suitable management option for newly diagnosed prostate cancer, which usually presents low to intermediate clinical risk. Patients enrolled in AS have their tumor monitored via longitudinal multiparametric MRI (mpMRI), PSA tests, and biopsies. Hence, treatment is prescribed when these tests identify progression to higher-risk prostate cancer. However, current AS protocols rely on detecting tumor progression through direct observation according to population-based monitoring strategies. This approach limits the design of patient-specific AS plans and may delay the detection of tumor progression. Here, we present a pilot study to address these issues by leveraging personalized computational predictions of prostate cancer growth. Our forecasts are obtained with a spatiotemporal biomechanistic model informed by patient-specific longitudinal mpMRI data (T2-weighted MRI and apparent diffusion coefficient maps from diffusion-weighted MRI). Our results show that our technology can represent and forecast the global tumor burden for individual patients, achieving concordance correlation coefficients from 0.93 to 0.99 across our cohort (n = 7). In addition, we identify a model-based biomarker of higher-risk prostate cancer: the mean proliferation activity of the tumor (P = 0.041). Using logistic regression, we construct a prostate cancer risk classifier based on this biomarker that achieves an area under the ROC curve of 0.83. We further show that coupling our tumor forecasts with this prostate cancer risk classifier enables the early identification of prostate cancer progression to higher-risk disease by more than 1 year. Thus, we posit that our predictive technology constitutes a promising clinical decision-making tool to design personalized AS plans for patients with prostate cancer.

SIGNIFICANCE

Personalization of a biomechanistic model of prostate cancer with mpMRI data enables the prediction of tumor progression, thereby showing promise to guide clinical decision-making during AS for each individual patient.

Fractal calculus in tumor growth simulations: The proof is in the pudding

Mathematical modeling in oncology has a long history. Recently, mathematical models and their predictions have made inroads into prospective clinical trials with encouraging results. The goal of many such modeling efforts is to make predictions, either to clinician's choice therapy or into "optimal" therapy - often for individual patients. The mathematical oncology community rightfully puts great hope into predictive modeling and mechanistic digital twins - but with this great opportunity comes great responsibility. Mathematical models need to be rigorously calibrated and validated, and their predictive performance ascertained, before conclusions about predictions into the unknown can be drawn. The recent article "Modeling tumor growth using fractal calculus: Insights into tumor dynamics" (Golmankhaneh et al., 2023), applied fractal calculus to tumor growth data. In this short commentary, I raise concerns about the study design and interpretation. In its current form, this study is poised to put cancer patients at risk if interpreted as concluded by the authors.

Designing clinical trials for patients who are not average

The heterogeneity inherent in cancer means that even a successful clinical trial merely results in a therapeutic regimen that achieves, on average, a positive result only in a subset of patients. The only way to optimize an intervention for an individual patient is to reframe their treatment as their own, personalized trial. Toward this goal, we formulate a computational framework for performing personalized trials that rely on four mathematical techniques. First, mathematical models that can be calibrated with patient-specific data to make accurate predictions of response. Second, digital twins built on these models capable of simulating the effects of interventions. Third, optimal control theory applied to the digital twins to optimize outcomes. Fourth, data assimilation to continually update and refine predictions in response to therapeutic interventions. In this perspective, we describe each of these techniques, quantify their "state of readiness", and identify use cases for personalized clinical trials.

Diagnostic and Therapeutic Issues in Glioma Using Imaging Data: The Challenge of Numerical Twinning

Glial tumors represent the leading etiology of primary brain tumors. Their particularities lie in (i) their location in a highly functional organ that is difficult to access surgically, including for biopsy, and (ii) their rapid, anisotropic mode of extension, notably via the fiber bundles of the white matter, which further limits the possibilities of resection. The use of mathematical tools enables the development of numerical models representative of the oncotype, genotype, evolution, and therapeutic response of lesions. The significant development of digital technologies linked to high-resolution NMR exploration, coupled with the possibilities offered by AI, means that we can envisage the creation of digital twins of tumors and their host organs, thus reducing the use of physical sampling.