COVID-19 Prediction Applying Supervised Machine Learning Algorithms with Comparative Analysis Using WEKA

Human factors engineering simulated analysis in administrative, operational and maintenance loops of nuclear reactor control unit using artificial intelligence and machine learning techniques

The nuclear reactor control unit employs human factor engineering to ensure efficient operations and prevent any catastrophic incidents. This sector is of utmost importance for public safety. This study focuses on simulated analysis of specific areas of nuclear reactor control, specifically administration, operation, and maintenance, using artificial intelligence software. The investigation yields effective artificial intelligence algorithms that capture the essential and non-essential components of numerous parameters to be monitored in nuclear reactor control. The investigation further examines the interdependencies between various parameters and validates the statistical outputs of the model through attribution analysis. Furthermore, a Multivariant ANOVA analysis is conducted to identify the interactive plots and mean plots of crucial parameters interactions. The artificial intelligence algorithms demonstrate the correlation between the number of vacant staff jobs and both the frequency of license event reports each year and the ratio of contract employees to regular employees in the administrative domain. An AI method uncovers the relationships between the operator failing rate (OFR), operator processed errors (OEE), and operations at limited time frames (OLC). The AI algorithm reveals the interdependence between equipment in the out of service (EOS), progressive maintenance schedule (PRMR), and preventive maintenance schedules (PMRC). Effective machine learning neural network models are derived from generative adversarial network (GAN) algorithms and proposed for administrative, operational and maintenance loops of nuclear reactor control unit.

Predicting anxiety, depression, and insomnia among Bangladeshi university students using tree-based machine learning models

Background and Aims

Mental health problem is a rising public health concern. People of all ages, specially Bangladeshi university students, are more affected by this burden. Thus, the objective of the study was to use tree-based machine learning (ML) models to identify major risk factors and predict anxiety, depression, and insomnia in university students.

Methods

A social media-based cross-sectional survey was employed for data collection. We used Generalized Anxiety Disorder (GAD-7), Patient Health Questionnaire (PHQ-9) and Insomnia Severity Index (ISI-7) scale for measuring students' anxiety, depression and insomnia problems. The tree-based supervised decision tree (DT), random forest (RF) and robust eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) ML algorithms were used to build the prediction models and their predictive performance was evaluated using confusion matrix and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves.

Results

Of the 1250 students surveyed, 64.7% were male and 35.3% were female. The students' ages ranged from 18 to 26 years old, with an average age of 22.24 years (SD = 1.30). Majority of the students (72.6%) were from rural areas and social media addicted (56.6%). Almost 83.3% of the students had moderate to severe anxiety, 84.7% had moderate to severe depression and 76.5% had moderate to severe insomnia problems. Students' social media addiction, age, academic performance, smoking status, monthly family income and morningness-eveningness are the main risk factors of anxiety, depression and insomnia. The highest predictive performance was observed from the XGBoost model for anxiety, depression and insomnia.

Conclusion

The study findings offer valuable insights for stakeholders, families and policymakers enabling a more profound comprehension of the pressing mental health disorders. This understanding can guide the formulation of improved policy strategies, initiatives for mental health promotion, and the development of effective counseling services within university campus. Additionally, our proposed model might play a critical role in diagnosing and predicting mental health problems among Bangladeshi university students and similar settings.

Graph data science and machine learning for the detection of COVID-19 infection from symptoms

Background

COVID-19 is an infectious disease caused by SARS-CoV-2. The symptoms of COVID-19 vary from mild-to-moderate respiratory illnesses, and it sometimes requires urgent medication. Therefore, it is crucial to detect COVID-19 at an early stage through specific clinical tests, testing kits, and medical devices. However, these tests are not always available during the time of the pandemic. Therefore, this study developed an automatic, intelligent, rapid, and real-time diagnostic model for the early detection of COVID-19 based on its symptoms.

Methods

The COVID-19 knowledge graph (KG) constructed based on literature from heterogeneous data is imported to understand the COVID-19 different relations. We added human disease ontology to the COVID-19 KG and applied a node-embedding graph algorithm called fast random projection to extract an extra feature from the COVID-19 dataset. Subsequently, experiments were conducted using two machine learning (ML) pipelines to predict COVID-19 infection from its symptoms. Additionally, automatic tuning of the model hyperparameters was adopted.

Results

We compared two graph-based ML models, logistic regression (LR) and random forest (RF) models. The proposed graph-based RF model achieved a small error rate = 0.0064 and the best scores on all performance metrics, including specificity = 98.71%, accuracy = 99.36%, precision = 99.65%, recall = 99.53%, and F1-score = 99.59%. Furthermore, the Matthews correlation coefficient achieved by the RF model was higher than that of the LR model. Comparative analysis with other ML algorithms and with studies from the literature showed that the proposed RF model exhibited the best detection accuracy.

Conclusion

The graph-based RF model registered high performance in classifying the symptoms of COVID-19 infection, thereby indicating that the graph data science, in conjunction with ML techniques, helps improve performance and accelerate innovations.

Investigating the performance of machine learning algorithms in predicting the survival of COVID-19 patients: A cross section study of Iran

Background and Aims

Like early diagnosis, predicting the survival of patients with Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) is of great importance. Survival prediction models help doctors be more cautious to treat the patients who are at high risk of dying because of medical conditions. This study aims to predict the survival of hospitalized patients with COVID-19 by comparing the accuracy of machine learning (ML) models.

Methods

It is a cross-sectional study which was performed in 2022 in Fasa city in Iran country. The research data set was extracted from the period February 18, 2020 to February 10, 2021, and contains 2442 hospitalized patients' records with 84 features. A comparison was made between the efficiency of five ML algorithms to predict survival, includes Naive Bayes (NB), K-nearest neighbors (KNN), random forest (RF), decision tree (DT), and multilayer perceptron (MLP). Modeling steps were done with Python language in the Anaconda Navigator 3 environment.

Results

Our findings show that NB algorithm had better performance than others with accuracy, precision, recall, F-score, and area under receiver operating characteristic curve of 97%, 96%, 96%, 96%, and 97%, respectively. Based on the analysis of factors affecting survival, heart disease, pulmonary diseases and blood related disease were the most important disease related to death.

Conclusion

The development of software systems based on NB will be effective to predict the survival of COVID-19 patients.

A Semi-Supervised Machine Learning Approach in Predicting High-Risk Pregnancies in the Philippines

Early risk tagging is crucial in maternal health, especially because it threatens both the mother and the long-term development of the baby. By tagging high-risk pregnancies, mothers would be given extra care before, during, and after pregnancies, thus reducing the risk of complications. In the Philippines, where the fertility rate is high, especially among the youth, awareness of risks can significantly contribute to the overall outcome of the pregnancy and, to an extent, the Maternal mortality rate. Although supervised machine learning models have ubiquity as predictors, there is a gap when data are weak or scarce. Using limited collected data from the municipality of Daraga in Albay, the study first compared multiple supervised machine learning algorithms to analyze and accurately predict high-risk pregnancies. Through hyperparameter tuning, supervised learning algorithms such as Decision Tree, Random Forest, Support Vector Machine, K-Nearest Neighbors, Naïve Bayes, and Multilayer Perceptron were evaluated by using 10-fold cross validation to obtain the best parameters with the best scores. The results show that Decision Tree bested other algorithms and attained a test score of 93.70%. To address the gap, a semi-supervised approach using a Self-Training model was applied to the modified Decision Tree, which was then used as the base estimator with a 30% unlabeled dataset and achieved a 97.01% accuracy rate which outweighs similar studies.

Predicting wetland area and water depth in Barind plain of India

The present study attempts to delineate wetlands in the lower Tangon river basin in the Barind flood plain region using spectral water body extraction indices. The main objectives of this present study are simulating and predicting wetland areas using the advanced artificial neural network-based cellular automata (ANN-CA) model and water depth using statistical (adaptive exponential smoothing) as well as advanced machine learning algorithms such as Bagging, Random Subspace, Random Forest, Support vector machine, etc. The result shows that RmNDWI and NDWI are the representative wetland delineating indices. NDWI map was used for water depth prediction. Regarding the prediction of wetland areas, a remarkable decline is likely to be identified in the upcoming two decades. The small wetland patches away from the master stream are expected to dry out during the predicted period, where the major wetland patches nearer to the master stream with greater water depth are rather sustainable, but their depth of water is predicted to be reduced in the next decades. All models show satisfactory performance for wetland depth mapping, but the random subspace model was identified as the best-suited water depth predicting method with an acceptable prediction accuracy (root mean square error <0.34 in all the years) and the machine learning models explored better result than adaptive exponential smoothing. This recent study will be very helpful for the policymakers for managing wetland landscape as well as the natural environment.

Recall Network: A Simple Brain-Inspired Algorithm for Classification

The latest development of neuroscience has deepened the understanding of the information-processing mechanisms in the human brain and inspired a couple of sophisticated computational methods, such as deep learning, memory networks, and hierarchical temporal memory. However, it remains a challenge to explore simpler models due to the high computational cost of the above-mentioned methods. This paper proposes recall network (RN), an intuitive and simple model, that initializes itself by constructing the network path derived from the correlation of features in the training dataset and then makes classification decisions by recalling the paths that are relevant to the features in the test set. The algorithm has been applied to 263 datasets available from UCI Machine Learning Repository, and the classification results of repeated 10-fold cross-validation experiments on Weka demonstrate its competitive performance with prestigious classification algorithms, such as ANN, J48, and KNN.

Development of a Machine Learning Based Web Application for Early Diagnosis of COVID-19 Based on Symptoms

Detecting the presence of a disease requires laboratory tests, testing kits, and devices; however, these were not always available on hand. This study proposes a new approach in disease detection using machine learning algorithms by analyzing symptoms experienced by a person without requiring laboratory tests. Six supervised machine learning algorithms such as J48 decision tree, random forest, support vector machine, k-nearest neighbors, naïve Bayes algorithms, and artificial neural networks were applied in the “COVID-19 Symptoms and Presence Dataset” from Kaggle. Through hyperparameter optimization and 10-fold cross validation, we attained the highest possible performance of each algorithm. A comparative analysis was performed according to accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, and area under the ROC curve. Results show that random forest, support vector machine, k-nearest neighbors, and artificial neural networks outweighed other algorithms by attaining 98.84% accuracy, 100% sensitivity, 98.79% specificity, and 98.84% area under the ROC curve. Finally, we developed a web application that will allow users to select symptoms currently being experienced, and use it to predict the presence of COVID-19 through the developed prediction model. Based on this mechanism, the proposed method can effectively predict the presence or absence of COVID-19 in a person immediately without using laboratory tests, kits, and devices in a real-time manner.

Future Prediction of COVID-19 Vaccine Trends Using a Voting Classifier

Machine learning (ML)-based prediction is considered an important technique for improving decision making during the planning process. Modern ML models are used for prediction, prioritization, and decision making. Multiple ML algorithms are used to improve decision-making at different aspects after forecasting. This study focuses on the future prediction of the effectiveness of the COVID-19 vaccine effectiveness which has been presented as a light in the dark. People bear several reservations, including concerns about the efficacy of the COVID-19 vaccine. Under these presumptions, the COVID-19 vaccine would either lower the risk of developing the malady after injection, or the vaccine would impose side effects, affecting their existing health condition. In this regard, people have publicly expressed their concerns regarding the vaccine. This study intends to estimate what perception the masses will establish about the role of the COVID-19 vaccine in the future. Specifically, this study exhibits people’s predilection toward the COVID-19 vaccine and its results based on the reviews. Five models, e.g., random forest (RF), a support vector machine (SVM), decision tree (DT), K-nearest neighbor (KNN), and an artificial neural network (ANN), were used for forecasting the overall predilection toward the COVID-19 vaccine. A voting classifier was used at the end of this study to determine the accuracy of all the classifiers. The results prove that the SVM produces the best forecasting results and that artificial neural networks (ANNs) produce the worst prediction toward the individual aptitude to be vaccinated by the COVID-19 vaccine. When using the voting classifier, the proposed system provided an overall accuracy of 89.9% for the random dataset and 45.7% for the date-wise dataset. Thus, the results show that the studied prediction technique is a promising and encouraging procedure for studying the future trends of the COVID-19 vaccine.