Functional Gene Expression Signatures from On-Treatment Tumor Specimens Predict Anti-PD1 Blockade Response in Metastatic Melanoma

Inflammatory response signature score model for predicting immunotherapy response and pan-cancer prognosis

Background

Inflammatory responses influence the outcome of immunotherapy and tumorigenesis by modulating host immunity. However, systematic inflammatory response assessment models for predicting cancer immunotherapy (CIT) responses and survival across human cancers remain unexplored. Here, we investigated an inflammatory response score model to predict CIT responses and patient survival in a pan-cancer analysis.

Methods

We retrieved 12 CIT response gene expression datasets from the Gene Expression Omnibus database (GSE78220, GSE19423, GSE100797, GSE126044, GSE35640, GSE67501, GSE115821 and GSE168204), Tumor Immune Dysfunction and Exclusion database (PRJEB23709, PRJEB25780 and phs000452.v2.p1), European Genome-phenome Archive database (EGAD00001005738), and IMvigor210 cohort. The tumor samples from six cancers types: metastatic urothelial cancer, metastatic melanoma, gastric cancer, primary bladder cancer, renal cell carcinoma, and non-small cell lung cancer.We further established a binary classification model to predict CIT responses using the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) computational algorithm.

Findings

The model had high predictive accuracy in both the training and validation cohorts. During sub-group analysis, area under the curve (AUC) values of 0.82, 0.80, 0.71, 0.7, 0.67, and 0.64 were obtained for the non-small cell lung cancer, gastric cancer, metastatic urothelial cancer, primary bladder cancer, metastatic melanoma, and renal cell carcinoma cohorts, respectively. CIT response rates were higher in the high-scoring training cohort subjects (51%) than the low-scoring subjects (27%). The five-year survival rates in the high- and low score groups of the training cohorts were 62% and 21%, respectively, while those of the validation cohorts were 54% and 22%, respectively (P < 0·001 in all cases). Inflammatory response signature score derived from on-treatment tumor specimens are highly predictive of response to CIT in patients with metastatic melanoma. A significant correlation was observed between the inflammatory response scores and tumor purity. Regardless of the tumor purity, patients in the low score group had a significantly poorer prognosis than those in the high score group. Immune cell infiltration analysis indicated that in the high score cohort, tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes were significantly enriched, particularly effector and natural killer cells. Inflammatory response scores were positively correlated with immune checkpoint genes, suggesting that immune checkpoint inhibitors may have benefited patients with high scores. Analysis of signature scores across different cancer types from The Cancer Genome Atlas revealed that the prognostic performance of inflammatory response scores for survival in patients who have not undergone immunotherapy can be affected by tumor purity. Interleukin 21 (IL21) had the highest weight in the inflammatory response model, suggesting its vital role in the prediction mode. Since the number of metastatic melanoma patients (n = 429) was relatively large among CIT cohorts, we further performed a co-culture experiment using a melanoma cell line and CD8 + T cell populations generated from peripheral blood monocytes. The results showed that IL21 therapy combined with anti-PD1 (programmed cell death 1) antibodies (trepril monoclonal antibodies) significantly enhanced the cytotoxic activity of CD8 + T cells against the melanoma cell line.

Conclusion

In this study, we developed an inflammatory response gene signature model that predicts patient survival and immunotherapy response in multiple malignancies. We further found that the predictive performance in the non-small cell lung cancer and gastric cancer group had the highest value among the six different malignancy subgroups. When compared with existing signatures, the inflammatory response gene signature scores for on-treatment samples were more robust predictors of the response to CIT in metastatic melanoma.

Emerging prognostic biomarkers in advanced cutaneous melanoma: a literature update

INTRODUCTION

Over the past two years, the scientific community has witnessed an exponential growth in research focused on identifying prognostic biomarkers for melanoma, both in pre-clinical and clinical settings. This surge in studies reflects the need of developing effective prognostic indicators in the field of melanoma.

AREAS COVERED

The aim of this work is to review the scientific literature on the most recent findings on the development or validation of prognostic biomarkers in melanoma, in the attempt of providing both clinicians and researchers with an updated broad synopsis of prognostic biomarkers in cutaneous melanoma.

EXPERT OPINION

While the field of prognostic biomarkers in melanoma appears promising, there are several complexities and limitations to address. The interdependence of clinical, histological, and molecular features requires accurate classification of different biomarker families. Correlation does not imply causation, and adjustments for confounding factors are often overlooked. In this scenario, large-scale studies based on high-quality clinical trial data can provide more reliable evidence. It is essential to avoid oversimplification by focusing on a single biomarker, as the interactions among multiple factors contribute to define the disease course and patient's outcome. Furthermore, implementing well-supported evidence in real-life settings can help advance prognostic biomarker research in melanoma.

A tumor-associated endothelial signature score model in immunotherapy and prognosis across pan-cancers

Background: The tumor-associated endothelial cell (TAE) component plays a vital role in tumor immunity. However, systematic tumor-associated endothelial-related gene assessment models for predicting cancer immunotherapy (CIT) responses and survival across human cancers have not been explored. Herein, we investigated a TAE gene risk model to predict CIT responses and patient survival in a pan-cancer analysis. Methods: We analyzed publicly available datasets of tumor samples with gene expression and clinical information, including gastric cancer, metastatic urothelial cancer, metastatic melanoma, non-small cell lung cancer, primary bladder cancer, and renal cell carcinoma. We further established a binary classification model to predict CIT responses using the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) computational algorithm. Results: The model demonstrated a high predictive accuracy in both training and validation cohorts. The response rate of the high score group to immunotherapy in the training cohort was significantly higher than that of the low score group, with CIT response rates of 51% and 27%, respectively. The survival analysis showed that the prognosis of the high score group was significantly better than that of the low score group (all p < 0·001). Tumor-associated endothelial gene signature scores positively correlated with immune checkpoint genes, suggesting that immune checkpoint inhibitors may benefit patients in the high score group. The analysis of TAE scores across 33 human cancers revealed that the TAE model could reflect immune cell infiltration and predict the survival of cancer patients. Conclusion: The TAE signature model could represent a CIT response prediction model with a prognostic value in multiple cancer types.

Comprehensive analysis of glycoprotein VI-mediated platelet activation signaling pathway for predicting pan-cancer survival and response to anti-PD-1 immunotherapy

Platelets play a vital role in cancer and immunity. However, few comprehensive studies have been conducted on the role of platelet-related signaling pathways in various cancers and their responses to immune checkpoint blockade (ICB) therapy. In the present study, we focused on the glycoprotein VI-mediated platelet activation (GMPA) signaling pathway and comprehensively evaluated its roles in 19 types of cancers listed in The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) and the Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO). Cox regression and meta-analyses showed that for all 19 types of cancers, patients with high GMPA scores tended to have a good prognosis. Furthermore, the GMPA signature score could serve as an independent prognostic factor for patients with skin cutaneous melanoma (SKCM). The GMPA signature was linked to tumor immunity in all 19 types of cancers, and was correlated with SKCM tumor histology. Compared to other signature scores, the GMPA signature scores for on-treatment samples were more robust predictors of the response to anti-PD-1 blockade in metastatic melanoma. Moreover, the GMPA signature scores were significantly negatively correlated with EMMPRIN (CD147) and positively correlated with CD40LG expression at the transcriptomic level in most cancer patient samples from the TCGA cohort and on-treatment samples from anti-PD1 therapy cohorts. The results of this study provide an important theoretical basis for the use of GMPA signatures, as well as GPVI-EMMPRIN and GPVI-CD40LG pathways, to predict the responses of cancer patients to various types of ICB therapy.