Machine Learning Using Real-World and Translational Data to Improve Treatment Selection for NSCLC Patients Treated with Immunotherapy

Predictive Modeling of Drug-Related Adverse Events with Real-World Data: A Case Study of Linezolid Hematologic Outcomes

Electronic health records (EHRs) provide meaningful knowledge of drug-related adverse events (AEs) that are not captured in standard drug development and postmarketing surveillance. Using variables obtained from EHR data in the University of California San Francisco de-identified Clinical Data Warehouse, we aimed to evaluate the potential of machine learning to predict two hematological AEs, thrombocytopenia and anemia, in a cohort of patients treated with linezolid for 3 or more days. Features for model input were extracted at linezolid initiation (index), and outcomes were characterized from index to 14 days post-treatment. Random forest classification (RFC) was used for AE prediction, and reduced feature models were evaluated using cumulative importance (cImp) for feature selection. Grade 3+ thrombocytopenia and anemia occurred in 31% of 2,171 and 56% of 2,170 evaluable patients, respectively. Of the total 53 features, as few as 7 contributed at least 50% cImp, resulting in prediction accuracies of 70% or higher and area under the receiver operating characteristic curves of 0.886 for grade 3+ thrombocytopenia and 0.759 for grade 3+ anemia. Sensitivity analyses in strictly defined patient subgroups revealed similarly high predictive performance in full and reduced feature models. A logistic regression model with the same 50% cImp features showed similar predictive performance as RFC and good concordance with RFC probability predictions after isotonic calibration, adding interpretability. Collectively, this work demonstrates potential for machine learning prediction of AE risk in real-world patients using few variables regularly available in EHRs, which may aid in clinical decision making and/or monitoring.

Artificial intelligence for predictive biomarker discovery in immuno-oncology: a systematic review

BACKGROUND

The widespread use of immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) has revolutionised treatment of multiple cancer types. However, selecting patients who may benefit from ICI remains challenging. Artificial intelligence (AI) approaches allow exploitation of high-dimension oncological data in research and development of precision immuno-oncology.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We conducted a systematic literature review of peer-reviewed original articles studying the ICI efficacy prediction in cancer patients across five data modalities: genomics (including genomics, transcriptomics, and epigenomics), radiomics, digital pathology (pathomics), and real-world and multimodality data.

RESULTS

A total of 90 studies were included in this systematic review, with 80% published in 2021-2022. Among them, 37 studies included genomic, 20 radiomic, 8 pathomic, 20 real-world, and 5 multimodal data. Standard machine learning (ML) methods were used in 72% of studies, deep learning (DL) methods in 22%, and both in 6%. The most frequently studied cancer type was non-small-cell lung cancer (36%), followed by melanoma (16%), while 25% included pan-cancer studies. No prospective study design incorporated AI-based methodologies from the outset; rather, all implemented AI as a post hoc analysis. Novel biomarkers for ICI in radiomics and pathomics were identified using AI approaches, and molecular biomarkers have expanded past genomics into transcriptomics and epigenomics. Finally, complex algorithms and new types of AI-based markers, such as meta-biomarkers, are emerging by integrating multimodal/multi-omics data.

CONCLUSION

AI-based methods have expanded the horizon for biomarker discovery, demonstrating the power of integrating multimodal data from existing datasets to discover new meta-biomarkers. While most of the included studies showed promise for AI-based prediction of benefit from immunotherapy, none provided high-level evidence for immediate practice change. A priori planned prospective trial designs are needed to cover all lifecycle steps of these software biomarkers, from development and validation to integration into clinical practice.

Circulomic variables predict pathologic staging preoperatively in treatment-naïve non-small cell lung cancer

Background

Therapeutic decisions in non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) are stage-dependent, and, consequently, changes in an individual's stage carry potential for substantial alterations in management. Malignancy-related disturbances of the circulomic inflammatory environment may affect platelets quantitatively, ultimately leading to changes in tumor characteristics. Our objective was to identify circulomic characteristics associated with upstaging among chemotherapy-naïve patients with resected NSCLC and to assess the consequent impact on overall survival (OS).

Methods

A retrospective review of a prospectively maintained thoracic surgery database was performed, identifying chemotherapy-naïve patients who underwent resection of clinical stage I-III NSCLC between 1998 and 2021. Clinicopathologic characteristics were gathered; circulomic variables comprised of platelet and lymphocyte count from the last blood draw prior to resection. Platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) was calculated. A multivariate model evaluated variables that might affect upstaging. Kaplan-Meier analysis was performed to assess OS.

Results

A total of 4,141 patients met inclusion criteria (median age: 67.0 years) among whom the sex distribution was fairly equal (2,189 female, 52.9%), and 1,016 (24.5%) individuals were upstaged. Patients with elevated PLR were found to have reduced risk of upstaging [odds ratio (OR): 0.757, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.650-0.882]. Analyses revealed that median OS for patients who were upstaged was 80.0 months compared to 130.7 months among those who weren't upstaged (P<0.0001).

Conclusions

PLR appears to predict upstaging in treatment-naïve patients with resected NSCLC. In addition to clinicopathologic characteristics, circulomic variables may provide insight relating to pathologic staging prior to resection. These findings may guide patient counseling regarding survival probability, as well as referral patterns for adjuvant therapy.

Enhancing head and neck tumor management with artificial intelligence: Integration and perspectives

Head and neck tumors (HNTs) constitute a multifaceted ensemble of pathologies that primarily involve regions such as the oral cavity, pharynx, and nasal cavity. The intricate anatomical structure of these regions poses considerable challenges to efficacious treatment strategies. Despite the availability of myriad treatment modalities, the overall therapeutic efficacy for HNTs continues to remain subdued. In recent years, the deployment of artificial intelligence (AI) in healthcare practices has garnered noteworthy attention. AI modalities, inclusive of machine learning (ML), neural networks (NNs), and deep learning (DL), when amalgamated into the holistic management of HNTs, promise to augment the precision, safety, and efficacy of treatment regimens. The integration of AI within HNT management is intricately intertwined with domains such as medical imaging, bioinformatics, and medical robotics. This article intends to scrutinize the cutting-edge advancements and prospective applications of AI in the realm of HNTs, elucidating AI's indispensable role in prevention, diagnosis, treatment, prognostication, research, and inter-sectoral integration. The overarching objective is to stimulate scholarly discourse and invigorate insights among medical practitioners and researchers to propel further exploration, thereby facilitating superior therapeutic alternatives for patients.

The artificial intelligence and machine learning in lung cancer immunotherapy

Since the past decades, more lung cancer patients have been experiencing lasting benefits from immunotherapy. It is imperative to accurately and intelligently select appropriate patients for immunotherapy or predict the immunotherapy efficacy. In recent years, machine learning (ML)-based artificial intelligence (AI) was developed in the area of medical-industrial convergence. AI can help model and predict medical information. A growing number of studies have combined radiology, pathology, genomics, proteomics data in order to predict the expression levels of programmed death-ligand 1 (PD-L1), tumor mutation burden (TMB) and tumor microenvironment (TME) in cancer patients or predict the likelihood of immunotherapy benefits and side effects. Finally, with the advancement of AI and ML, it is believed that "digital biopsy" can replace the traditional single assessment method to benefit more cancer patients and help clinical decision-making in the future. In this review, the applications of AI in PD-L1/TMB prediction, TME prediction and lung cancer immunotherapy are discussed.

Advances in efficacy prediction and monitoring of neoadjuvant immunotherapy for non-small cell lung cancer

The use of immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) has become mainstream in the treatment of non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). The idea of harnessing the immune system to fight cancer is fast developing. Neoadjuvant treatment in NSCLC is undergoing unprecedented change. Chemo-immunotherapy combinations not only seem to achieve population-wide treating coverage irrespective of PD-L1 expression but also enable achieving a pathological complete response (pCR). Despite these recent advancements in neoadjuvant chemo-immunotherapy, not all patients respond favorably to treatment with ICIs plus chemo and may even suffer from severe immune-related adverse effects (irAEs). Similar to selection for target therapy, identifying patients most likely to benefit from chemo-immunotherapy may be valuable. Recently, several prognostic and predictive factors associated with the efficacy of neoadjuvant immunotherapy in NSCLC, such as tumor-intrinsic biomarkers, tumor microenvironment biomarkers, liquid biopsies, microbiota, metabolic profiles, and clinical characteristics, have been described. However, a specific and sensitive biomarker remains to be identified. Recently, the construction of prediction models for ICI therapy using novel tools, such as multi-omics factors, proteomic tests, host immune classifiers, and machine learning algorithms, has gained attention. In this review, we provide a comprehensive overview of the different positive prognostic and predictive factors in treating preoperative patients with ICIs, highlight the recent advances made in the efficacy prediction of neoadjuvant immunotherapy, and provide an outlook for joint predictors.

Artificial Intelligence in Clinical Oncology: From Data to Digital Pathology and Treatment

Recently, a wide spectrum of artificial intelligence (AI)-based applications in the broader categories of digital pathology, biomarker development, and treatment have been explored. In the domain of digital pathology, these have included novel analytical strategies for realizing new information derived from standard histology to guide treatment selection and biomarker development to predict treatment selection and response. In therapeutics, these have included AI-driven drug target discovery, drug design and repurposing, combination regimen optimization, modulated dosing, and beyond. Given the continued advances that are emerging, it is important to develop workflows that seamlessly combine the various segments of AI innovation to comprehensively augment the diagnostic and interventional arsenal of the clinical oncology community. To overcome challenges that remain with regard to the ideation, validation, and deployment of AI in clinical oncology, recommendations toward bringing this workflow to fruition are also provided from clinical, engineering, implementation, and health care economics considerations. Ultimately, this work proposes frameworks that can potentially integrate these domains toward the sustainable adoption of practice-changing AI by the clinical oncology community to drive improved patient outcomes.

Real-world data to build explainable trustworthy artificial intelligence models for prediction of immunotherapy efficacy in NSCLC patients

Introduction

Artificial Intelligence (AI) methods are being increasingly investigated as a means to generate predictive models applicable in the clinical practice. In this study, we developed a model to predict the efficacy of immunotherapy (IO) in patients with advanced non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) using eXplainable AI (XAI) Machine Learning (ML) methods.

Methods

We prospectively collected real-world data from patients with an advanced NSCLC condition receiving immune-checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) either as a single agent or in combination with chemotherapy. With regards to six different outcomes - Disease Control Rate (DCR), Objective Response Rate (ORR), 6 and 24-month Overall Survival (OS6 and OS24), 3-months Progression-Free Survival (PFS3) and Time to Treatment Failure (TTF3) - we evaluated five different classification ML models: CatBoost (CB), Logistic Regression (LR), Neural Network (NN), Random Forest (RF) and Support Vector Machine (SVM). We used the Shapley Additive Explanation (SHAP) values to explain model predictions.

Results

Of 480 patients included in the study 407 received immunotherapy and 73 chemo- and immunotherapy. From all the ML models, CB performed the best for OS6 and TTF3, (accuracy 0.83 and 0.81, respectively). CB and LR reached accuracy of 0.75 and 0.73 for the outcome DCR. SHAP for CB demonstrated that the feature that strongly influences models' prediction for all three outcomes was Neutrophil to Lymphocyte Ratio (NLR). Performance Status (ECOG-PS) was an important feature for the outcomes OS6 and TTF3, while PD-L1, Line of IO and chemo-immunotherapy appeared to be more important in predicting DCR.

Conclusions

In this study we developed a ML algorithm based on real-world data, explained by SHAP techniques, and able to accurately predict the efficacy of immunotherapy in sets of NSCLC patients.

Application of several machine learning algorithms for the prediction of afatinib treatment outcome in advanced-stage EGFR-mutated non-small-cell lung cancer

BACKGROUND

The present study aimed to evaluate the performance of several machine learning (ML) algorithms in predicting 1-year afatinib continuation and 2-year survival after afatinib initiation and to identify the differences in survival outcomes between ML-classified strata.

METHODS

Data that were also used in the RESET study were retrospectively collected from 16 hospitals in South Korea. A stratified random sampling method was applied to split the data into training and test sets (70:30 split ratio). Clinical information, such as age, sex, tumor stage, smoking, performance status, metastasis, type of metastasis, dose adjustment, and pathologic information on EGFR mutations were inputted. Training was performed using eight ML algorithms: logistic regression, decision tree, deep neural network, random forest, support vector machine, boosting, bagging, and the naïve Bayes classifier. The model performance was assessed based on sensitivity, specificity, and accuracy. Area under the receiver operator characteristic curve (AUC) was calculated and compared between the ML models using DeLong's test. A Kaplan-Meier (KM) curve was used to visualize the identified strata obtained from the ML models.

RESULTS

No significant differences in the input variables were observed between the training and test datasets. The best-performing models were support vector machine in predicting 1-year afatinib continuation (AUC 0.626) and decision tree in 2-year survival after afatinib start (AUC 0.644), although the performances of the ML models were comparable and did not display any predictive roles. KM analysis and log-rank test revealed significant differences between the strata identified from the ML model (p < 0.001) in terms of both time-on-treatment (TOT) and overall survival (OS).

CONCLUSION

The performances of ML models in our study found no discernible roles in predicting afatinib-related outcomes, although the identified strata revealed different TOT and OS in the KM analysis. This implies the strength of ML in predicting the survival outcome, as well as the limitation of electronic medical record-based variables in ML algorithms. Careful consideration of variable inclusion is likely to improve the general model performance.

Machine learning based survival prediction in Glioma using large-scale registry data

Gliomas are the most common central nervous system tumors exhibiting poor clinical outcomes. The ability to estimate prognosis is crucial for both patients and providers in order to select the most appropriate treatment. Machine learning (ML) allows for sophisticated approaches to survival prediction using real world clinical parameters needed to achieve superior predictive accuracy. We employed Cox Proportional hazards (CPH) model, Support Vector Machine (SVM) model, Random Forest (RF) model in a large glioma dataset (3462 patients, diagnosed 2000-2018) to explore the most optimal approach to survival prediction. Features employed were age, sex, surgical resection status, tumor histology and tumor site, administration of radiation therapy (RT) and chemotherapy status. Concordance index (c-index) was employed to assess the accuracy of survival time prediction. All three models performed well with prediction accuracy (CI 0.767, 0.771, 0.57 for CPH, SVM, RF models respectively) with the best performance achieved when incorporating RT and chemotherapy administration status which emerged as key predictive features. Within the subset of glioblastoma patients, similar prediction accuracy was achieved. These findings should prompt stricter clinician oversight over registry data accuracy through quality assurance as we move towards meaningful predictive ability using ML approaches in glioma.

Hyperprogression, a challenge of PD-1/PD-L1 inhibitors treatments: potential mechanisms and coping strategies

Immunotherapy is now a mainstay in cancer treatments. Programmed cell death 1 (PD-1)/programmed cell death ligand 1 (PD-L1) immune checkpoint inhibitor (ICI) therapies have opened up a new venue of advanced cancer immunotherapy. However, hyperprogressive disease (HPD) induced by PD-1/PD-L1 inhibitors caused a significant decrease in the overall survival (OS) of the patients, which compromise the efficacy of PD-1/PD-L1 inhibitors. Therefore, HPD has become an urgent issue to be addressed in the clinical uses of PD-1/PD-L1 inhibitors. The mechanisms of HPD remain unclear, and possible predictive factors of HPD are not well understood. In this review, we summarized the potential mechanisms of HPD and coping strategies that can effectively reduce the occurrence and development of HPD.

Multi-Omics Approaches for the Prediction of Clinical Endpoints after Immunotherapy in Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer: A Comprehensive Review

Immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICI) have revolutionized the management of locally advanced and advanced non-small lung cancer (NSCLC). With an improvement in the overall survival (OS) as both first- and second-line treatments, ICIs, and especially programmed-death 1 (PD-1) and programmed-death ligands 1 (PD-L1), changed the landscape of thoracic oncology. The PD-L1 level of expression is commonly accepted as the most used biomarker, with both prognostic and predictive values. However, even in a low expression level of PD-L1, response rates remain significant while a significant number of patients will experience hyperprogression or adverse events. The dentification of such subtypes is thus of paramount importance. While several studies focused mainly on the prediction of the PD-L1 expression status, others aimed directly at the development of prediction/prognostic models. The response to ICIs depends on a complex physiopathological cascade, intricating multiple mechanisms from the molecular to the macroscopic level. With the high-throughput extraction of features, omics approaches aim for the most comprehensive assessment of each patient. In this article, we will review the place of the different biomarkers (clinical, biological, genomics, transcriptomics, proteomics and radiomics), their clinical implementation and discuss the most recent trends projecting on the future steps in prediction modeling in NSCLC patients treated with ICI.