An Improved Total Uncertainty Measure in the Evidence Theory and Its Application in Decision Making

Multisensor Data Fusion in IoT Environments in Dempster-Shafer Theory Setting: An Improved Evidence Distance-Based Approach

In IoT environments, voluminous amounts of data are produced every single second. Due to multiple factors, these data are prone to various imperfections, they could be uncertain, conflicting, or even incorrect leading to wrong decisions. Multisensor data fusion has proved to be powerful for managing data coming from heterogeneous sources and moving towards effective decision-making. Dempster-Shafer (D-S) theory is a robust and flexible mathematical tool for modeling and merging uncertain, imprecise, and incomplete data, and is widely used in multisensor data fusion applications such as decision-making, fault diagnosis, pattern recognition, etc. However, the combination of contradictory data has always been challenging in D-S theory, unreasonable results may arise when dealing with highly conflicting sources. In this paper, an improved evidence combination approach is proposed to represent and manage both conflict and uncertainty in IoT environments in order to improve decision-making accuracy. It mainly relies on an improved evidence distance based on Hellinger distance and Deng entropy. To demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed method, a benchmark example for target recognition and two real application cases in fault diagnosis and IoT decision-making have been provided. Fusion results were compared with several similar methods, and simulation analyses have shown the superiority of the proposed method in terms of conflict management, convergence speed, fusion results reliability, and decision accuracy. In fact, our approach achieved remarkable accuracy rates of 99.32% in target recognition example, 96.14% in fault diagnosis problem, and 99.54% in IoT decision-making application.

Evidential Estimation of an Uncertain Mixed Exponential Distribution under Progressive Censoring

In this paper, the evidential estimation method for the parameters of the mixed exponential distribution is considered when a sample is obtained from Type-II progressively censored data. Different from the traditional statistical inference methods for censored data from mixture models, here we consider a very general form where there is some uncertain information about the sub-class labels of units. The partially specified label information, as well as the censored data are represented in a united frame by mass functions within the theory of belief functions. Following that, the evidential likelihood function is derived based on the completely observed failures and the uncertain information included in the data. Then, the optimization method using the evidential expectation maximization algorithm (E2M) is introduced. A general form of the maximal likelihood estimates (MLEs) in the sense of the evidential likelihood, named maximal evidential likelihood estimates (MELEs), can be obtained. Finally, some Monte Carlo simulations are conducted. The results show that the proposed estimation method can incorporate more information than traditional EM algorithms, and this confirms the interest in using uncertain labels for the censored data from finite mixture models.

Incomplete Information Management Using an Improved Belief Entropy in Dempster-Shafer Evidence Theory

Quantifying uncertainty is a hot topic for uncertain information processing in the framework of evidence theory, but there is limited research on belief entropy in the open world assumption. In this paper, an uncertainty measurement method that is based on Deng entropy, named Open Deng entropy (ODE), is proposed. In the open world assumption, the frame of discernment (FOD) may be incomplete, and ODE can reasonably and effectively quantify uncertain incomplete information. On the basis of Deng entropy, the ODE adopts the mass value of the empty set, the cardinality of FOD, and the natural constant e to construct a new uncertainty factor for modeling the uncertainty in the FOD. Numerical example shows that, in the closed world assumption, ODE can be degenerated to Deng entropy. An ODE-based information fusion method for sensor data fusion is proposed in uncertain environments. By applying it to the sensor data fusion experiment, the rationality and effectiveness of ODE and its application in uncertain information fusion are verified.

Improved Base Belief Function-Based Conflict Data Fusion Approach Considering Belief Entropy in the Evidence Theory

Due to the nature of the Dempster combination rule, it may produce results contrary to intuition. Therefore, an improved method for conflict evidence fusion is proposed. In this paper, the belief entropy in D–S theory is used to measure the uncertainty in each evidence. First, the initial belief degree is constructed by using an improved base belief function. Then, the information volume of each evidence group is obtained through calculating the belief entropy which can modify the belief degree to get the final evidence that is more reasonable. Using the Dempster combination rule can get the final result after evidence modification, which is helpful to solve the conflict data fusion problems. The rationality and validity of the proposed method are verified by numerical examples and applications of the proposed method in a classification data set.