A Fault Isolation Method via Classification and Regression Tree-Based Variable Ranking for Drum-Type Steam Boiler in Thermal Power Plant

A fault isolation strategy for industrial processes using outlier-degree-based variable contributions

In industrial process monitoring, it is always a challenging and practical problem to analyze the causes of the system fault by isolating true fault variables from vast amounts of process data. However, the phenomenon of smearing effect occurs by using the traditional contribution analysis-based isolation methods since the defined isolation indices of different variables affect each other. In this paper, a new fault isolation method is proposed based on local outlier factor and improved k-nearest neighbor rule aiming to improve the isolation accuracy. Firstly, the nearest neighbors of each sample are obtained along the direction of a specific variable. Based on the nearest neighbors, the outlier-degree value of the variable is calculated and regarded as the contribution of the variable. Then, the contribution of the variable in all samples are obtained in the same way, among which the maximum one is selected as the isolation threshold value of this variable. During the online monitoring, the contribution of the variable in the newly collected sample is calculated in real time. Once the contribution is greater than the threshold, the variable is judged to be the dominant factor causing the system fault. Two cases on numerical example and Tennessee Eastman process are conducted to evaluate the effectiveness of the proposed method.

Degradation Trend Prediction of Pumped Storage Unit Based on MIC-LGBM and VMD-GRU Combined Model

The harsh operating environment aggravates the degradation of pumped storage units (PSUs). Degradation trend prediction (DTP) provides important support for the condition-based maintenance of PSUs. However, the complexity of the performance degradation index (PDI) sequence poses a severe challenge of the reliability of DTP. Additionally, the accuracy of healthy model is often ignored, resulting in an unconvincing PDI. To solve these problems, a combined DTP model that integrates the maximal information coefficient (MIC), light gradient boosting machine (LGBM), variational mode decomposition (VMD) and gated recurrent unit (GRU) is proposed. Firstly, MIC-LGBM is utilized to generate a high-precision healthy model. MIC is applied to select the working parameters with the most relevance, then the LGBM is utilized to construct the healthy model. Afterwards, a performance degradation index (PDI) is generated based on the LGBM healthy model and monitoring data. Finally, the VMD-GRU prediction model is designed to achieve precise DTP under the complex PDI sequence. The proposed model is verified by applying it to a PSU located in Zhejiang province, China. The results reveal that the proposed model achieves the highest precision healthy model and the best prediction performance compared with other comparative models. The absolute average (|AVG|) and standard deviation (STD) of fitting errors are reduced to 0.0275 and 0.9245, and the RMSE, MAE, and R2 are 0.00395, 0.0032, and 0.9226 respectively, on average for two operating conditions.