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Ramirez-Diaz J, Manunza A, de Oliveira TA, Bobbo T, Nutini F, Boschetti M, De Iorio MG, Pagnacco G, Polli M, Stella A, Minozzi G. Combining Environmental Variables and Machine Learning Methods to Determine the Most Significant Factors Influencing Honey Production. INSECTS 2025; 16:278. [PMID: 40266781 PMCID: PMC11943014 DOI: 10.3390/insects16030278] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/14/2025] [Revised: 02/23/2025] [Accepted: 02/28/2025] [Indexed: 04/25/2025]
Abstract
Bees are crucial for food production and biodiversity. However, extreme weather variation and harsh winters are the leading causes of colony losses and low honey yields. This study aimed to identify the most important features and predict Total Honey Harvest (THH) by combining machine learning (ML) methods with climatic conditions and environmental factors recorded from the winter before and during the harvest season. The initial dataset included 598 THH records collected from five apiaries in Lombardy (Italy) during spring and summer from 2015 to 2019. Colonies were classified into medium-low or high production using the 75th percentile as a threshold. A total of 38 features related to temperature, humidity, precipitation, pressure, wind, and enhanced vegetation index-EVI were used. Three ML models were trained: Decision Tree, Random Forest, and Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost). Model performance was evaluated using accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, precision, and area under the ROC curve (AUC). All models reached a prediction accuracy greater than 0.75 both in the training and in the testing sets. Results indicate that winter climatic conditions are important predictors of THH. Understanding the impact of climate can help beekeepers in developing strategies to prevent colony decline and low production.
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Affiliation(s)
- Johanna Ramirez-Diaz
- Institute of Agricultural Biology and Biotechnology, Italian National Research Council (CNR), 20133 Milan, Italy; (J.R.-D.); (A.M.); (T.B.); (G.P.); (A.S.)
| | - Arianna Manunza
- Institute of Agricultural Biology and Biotechnology, Italian National Research Council (CNR), 20133 Milan, Italy; (J.R.-D.); (A.M.); (T.B.); (G.P.); (A.S.)
| | | | - Tania Bobbo
- Institute of Agricultural Biology and Biotechnology, Italian National Research Council (CNR), 20133 Milan, Italy; (J.R.-D.); (A.M.); (T.B.); (G.P.); (A.S.)
| | - Francesco Nutini
- Institute for Electromagnetic Sensing of the Environment, Italian National Research Council (CNR), 20133 Milan, Italy; (F.N.); (M.B.)
| | - Mirco Boschetti
- Institute for Electromagnetic Sensing of the Environment, Italian National Research Council (CNR), 20133 Milan, Italy; (F.N.); (M.B.)
| | - Maria Grazia De Iorio
- Department of Veterinary Medicine and Animal Sciences (DIVAS), University of Milan, 26900 Lodi, Italy; (M.P.); (G.M.)
| | - Giulio Pagnacco
- Institute of Agricultural Biology and Biotechnology, Italian National Research Council (CNR), 20133 Milan, Italy; (J.R.-D.); (A.M.); (T.B.); (G.P.); (A.S.)
| | - Michele Polli
- Department of Veterinary Medicine and Animal Sciences (DIVAS), University of Milan, 26900 Lodi, Italy; (M.P.); (G.M.)
| | - Alessandra Stella
- Institute of Agricultural Biology and Biotechnology, Italian National Research Council (CNR), 20133 Milan, Italy; (J.R.-D.); (A.M.); (T.B.); (G.P.); (A.S.)
| | - Giulietta Minozzi
- Department of Veterinary Medicine and Animal Sciences (DIVAS), University of Milan, 26900 Lodi, Italy; (M.P.); (G.M.)
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Caredda M, Ciulu M, Tilocca F, Langasco I, Núñez O, Sentellas S, Saurina J, Pilo MI, Spano N, Sanna G, Mara A. Portable NIR Spectroscopy to Simultaneously Trace Honey Botanical and Geographical Origins and Detect Syrup Adulteration. Foods 2024; 13:3062. [PMID: 39410097 PMCID: PMC11476024 DOI: 10.3390/foods13193062] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/04/2024] [Revised: 09/24/2024] [Accepted: 09/25/2024] [Indexed: 10/20/2024] Open
Abstract
Fraudulent practices concerning honey are growing fast and involve misrepresentation of origin and adulteration. Simple and feasible methods for honey authentication are needed to ascertain honey compliance and quality. Working on a robust dataset and simultaneously investigating honey traceability and adulterant detection, this study proposed a portable FTNIR fingerprinting approach combined with chemometrics. Multifloral and unifloral honey samples (n = 244) from Spain and Sardinia (Italy) were discriminated by botanical and geographical origin. Qualitative and quantitative methods were developed using linear discriminant analysis (LDA) and partial least squares (PLS) regression to detect adulterated honey with two syrups, consisting of glucose, fructose, and maltose. Botanical and geographical origins were predicted with 90% and 95% accuracy, respectively. LDA models discriminated pure and adulterated honey samples with an accuracy of over 92%, whereas PLS allows for the accurate quantification of over 10% of adulterants in unifloral and 20% in multifloral honey.
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Affiliation(s)
- Marco Caredda
- Department of Animal Science, AGRIS Sardegna, Loc. Bonassai, 07100 Sassari, Italy;
| | - Marco Ciulu
- Department of Biotechnology, University of Verona, Strada le Grazie 15, 37134 Verona, Italy;
| | - Francesca Tilocca
- Department of Chemical, Physical, Mathematical, and Natural Sciences, University of Sassari, Via Vienna 2, 07100 Sassari, Italy; (F.T.); (I.L.); (M.I.P.); (N.S.); (G.S.)
| | - Ilaria Langasco
- Department of Chemical, Physical, Mathematical, and Natural Sciences, University of Sassari, Via Vienna 2, 07100 Sassari, Italy; (F.T.); (I.L.); (M.I.P.); (N.S.); (G.S.)
| | - Oscar Núñez
- Department of Chemical Engineering and Analytical Chemistry, University of Barcelona, Martí i Franquès 1-11, 08028 Barcelona, Spain; (O.N.); (S.S.); (J.S.)
- Research Institute in Food Nutrition and Food Safety, University of Barcelona, Recinte Torribera, Av. Prat de la Riba 171, Edifici de Recerca (Gaudí), Santa Coloma de Gramenet, 08921 Barcelona, Spain
- Departament de Recerca I Universitats, Generalitat de Catalunya, Via Laietana 2, 08003 Barcelona, Spain
| | - Sònia Sentellas
- Department of Chemical Engineering and Analytical Chemistry, University of Barcelona, Martí i Franquès 1-11, 08028 Barcelona, Spain; (O.N.); (S.S.); (J.S.)
- Research Institute in Food Nutrition and Food Safety, University of Barcelona, Recinte Torribera, Av. Prat de la Riba 171, Edifici de Recerca (Gaudí), Santa Coloma de Gramenet, 08921 Barcelona, Spain
- Departament de Recerca I Universitats, Generalitat de Catalunya, Via Laietana 2, 08003 Barcelona, Spain
| | - Javier Saurina
- Department of Chemical Engineering and Analytical Chemistry, University of Barcelona, Martí i Franquès 1-11, 08028 Barcelona, Spain; (O.N.); (S.S.); (J.S.)
- Research Institute in Food Nutrition and Food Safety, University of Barcelona, Recinte Torribera, Av. Prat de la Riba 171, Edifici de Recerca (Gaudí), Santa Coloma de Gramenet, 08921 Barcelona, Spain
- Departament de Recerca I Universitats, Generalitat de Catalunya, Via Laietana 2, 08003 Barcelona, Spain
| | - Maria Itria Pilo
- Department of Chemical, Physical, Mathematical, and Natural Sciences, University of Sassari, Via Vienna 2, 07100 Sassari, Italy; (F.T.); (I.L.); (M.I.P.); (N.S.); (G.S.)
| | - Nadia Spano
- Department of Chemical, Physical, Mathematical, and Natural Sciences, University of Sassari, Via Vienna 2, 07100 Sassari, Italy; (F.T.); (I.L.); (M.I.P.); (N.S.); (G.S.)
| | - Gavino Sanna
- Department of Chemical, Physical, Mathematical, and Natural Sciences, University of Sassari, Via Vienna 2, 07100 Sassari, Italy; (F.T.); (I.L.); (M.I.P.); (N.S.); (G.S.)
| | - Andrea Mara
- Department of Chemical, Physical, Mathematical, and Natural Sciences, University of Sassari, Via Vienna 2, 07100 Sassari, Italy; (F.T.); (I.L.); (M.I.P.); (N.S.); (G.S.)
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Weber A, Hoplight B, Ogilvie R, Muro C, Khandasammy SR, Pérez-Almodóvar L, Sears S, Lednev IK. Innovative Vibrational Spectroscopy Research for Forensic Application. Anal Chem 2023; 95:167-205. [PMID: 36625116 DOI: 10.1021/acs.analchem.2c05094] [Citation(s) in RCA: 14] [Impact Index Per Article: 7.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/11/2023]
Affiliation(s)
- Alexis Weber
- Department of Chemistry, University at Albany, SUNY, 1400 Washington Avenue, Albany, New York 12222, United States.,SupreMEtric LLC, 7 University Pl. B210, Rensselaer, New York 12144, United States
| | - Bailey Hoplight
- Department of Chemistry, University at Albany, SUNY, 1400 Washington Avenue, Albany, New York 12222, United States
| | - Rhilynn Ogilvie
- Department of Chemistry, University at Albany, SUNY, 1400 Washington Avenue, Albany, New York 12222, United States
| | - Claire Muro
- New York State Police Forensic Investigation Center, Building #30, Campus Access Rd., Albany, New York 12203, United States
| | - Shelby R Khandasammy
- Department of Chemistry, University at Albany, SUNY, 1400 Washington Avenue, Albany, New York 12222, United States
| | - Luis Pérez-Almodóvar
- Department of Chemistry, University at Albany, SUNY, 1400 Washington Avenue, Albany, New York 12222, United States
| | - Samuel Sears
- Department of Chemistry, University at Albany, SUNY, 1400 Washington Avenue, Albany, New York 12222, United States
| | - Igor K Lednev
- Department of Chemistry, University at Albany, SUNY, 1400 Washington Avenue, Albany, New York 12222, United States.,SupreMEtric LLC, 7 University Pl. B210, Rensselaer, New York 12144, United States
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Delahaut P, Marega R. Novel Analytical Methods in Food Analysis. Foods 2022; 11:foods11101512. [PMID: 35627082 PMCID: PMC9141378 DOI: 10.3390/foods11101512] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/20/2022] [Revised: 05/09/2022] [Accepted: 05/10/2022] [Indexed: 12/07/2022] Open
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Modi B, Timilsina H, Bhandari S, Achhami A, Pakka S, Shrestha P, Kandel D, GC DB, Khatri S, Chhetri PM, Parajuli N. Current Trends of Food Analysis, Safety, and Packaging. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF FOOD SCIENCE 2021; 2021:9924667. [PMID: 34485507 PMCID: PMC8410450 DOI: 10.1155/2021/9924667] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/27/2021] [Accepted: 08/07/2021] [Indexed: 12/22/2022]
Abstract
Food is a basic necessity for life, growth, survival, and maintaining a proper body function. Rising food demand leads both producers and consumers to search for alternative food sources with high nutritional value. However, food products may never be completely safe. The oxidation reaction may alter both the physicochemical and immunological properties of food products. Maillard and caramelization nonenzymatic browning reactions can play a pivotal role in food acceptance through the ways they influence quality factors such as flavor, color, texture, nutritional value, protein functionality, and digestibility. There is a multitude of adulterated foods that portray adverse risks to the human condition. To maintain food safety, the packaging material is used to preserve the quality and freshness of food products. Food safety is jeopardized by plenty of pathogens by the consumption of adulterated food resulting in multiple foodborne illnesses. Though different analytical tools are used in the analysis of food products, yet, adulterated food has repercussions for the community and is a growing issue that adversely impairs human health and well-being. Thus, pathogenic agents' rapid and effective identification is vital for food safety and security to avoid foodborne illness. This review highlights the various analytical techniques used in the analysis of food products, food structure, and quality of food along with chemical reactions in food processing. Moreover, we have also discussed the effect on health due to the consumption of adulterated food and focused on the importance of food safety, including the biodegradable packaging material.
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Affiliation(s)
- Bindu Modi
- Biological Chemistry Lab, Central Department of Chemistry, Tribhuvan University, Kirtipur, Kathmandu 44618, Nepal
| | - Hari Timilsina
- Biological Chemistry Lab, Central Department of Chemistry, Tribhuvan University, Kirtipur, Kathmandu 44618, Nepal
| | - Sobika Bhandari
- Biological Chemistry Lab, Central Department of Chemistry, Tribhuvan University, Kirtipur, Kathmandu 44618, Nepal
| | - Ashma Achhami
- Biological Chemistry Lab, Central Department of Chemistry, Tribhuvan University, Kirtipur, Kathmandu 44618, Nepal
| | - Sangita Pakka
- Biological Chemistry Lab, Central Department of Chemistry, Tribhuvan University, Kirtipur, Kathmandu 44618, Nepal
| | - Prakash Shrestha
- Biological Chemistry Lab, Central Department of Chemistry, Tribhuvan University, Kirtipur, Kathmandu 44618, Nepal
| | - Devilal Kandel
- Biological Chemistry Lab, Central Department of Chemistry, Tribhuvan University, Kirtipur, Kathmandu 44618, Nepal
| | - Dhan Bahadur GC
- Biological Chemistry Lab, Central Department of Chemistry, Tribhuvan University, Kirtipur, Kathmandu 44618, Nepal
| | - Sabina Khatri
- Biological Chemistry Lab, Central Department of Chemistry, Tribhuvan University, Kirtipur, Kathmandu 44618, Nepal
| | - Pradhumna Mahat Chhetri
- Department of Chemistry, Amrit Campus, Tribhuvan University, Leknath Marg, Kathmandu 44600, Nepal
| | - Niranjan Parajuli
- Biological Chemistry Lab, Central Department of Chemistry, Tribhuvan University, Kirtipur, Kathmandu 44618, Nepal
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