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Ramón A, Bas A, Herrero S, Blasco P, Suárez M, Mateo J. Personalized Assessment of Mortality Risk and Hospital Stay Duration in Hospitalized Patients with COVID-19 Treated with Remdesivir: A Machine Learning Approach. J Clin Med 2024; 13:1837. [PMID: 38610602 PMCID: PMC11013017 DOI: 10.3390/jcm13071837] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/21/2024] [Revised: 03/15/2024] [Accepted: 03/20/2024] [Indexed: 04/14/2024] Open
Abstract
Background: Despite advancements in vaccination, early treatments, and understanding of SARS-CoV-2, its impact remains significant worldwide. Many patients require intensive care due to severe COVID-19. Remdesivir, a key treatment option among viral RNA polymerase inhibitors, lacks comprehensive studies on factors associated with its effectiveness. Methods: We conducted a retrospective study in 2022, analyzing data from 252 hospitalized COVID-19 patients treated with remdesivir. Six machine learning algorithms were compared to predict factors influencing remdesivir's clinical benefits regarding mortality and hospital stay. Results: The extreme gradient boost (XGB) method showed the highest accuracy for both mortality (95.45%) and hospital stay (94.24%). Factors associated with worse outcomes in terms of mortality included limitations in life support, ventilatory support needs, lymphopenia, low albumin and hemoglobin levels, flu and/or coinfection, and cough. For hospital stay, factors included vaccine doses, lung density, pulmonary radiological status, comorbidities, oxygen therapy, troponin, lactate dehydrogenase levels, and asthenia. Conclusions: These findings underscore XGB's effectiveness in accurately categorizing COVID-19 patients undergoing remdesivir treatment.
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Affiliation(s)
- Antonio Ramón
- Department of Pharmacy, University General Hospital, 46014 Valencia, Spain; (A.R.); (A.B.); (S.H.); (P.B.)
- Medical Analysis Expert Group, Institute of Technology, University of Castilla-La Mancha, 16002 Cuenca, Spain
| | - Andrés Bas
- Department of Pharmacy, University General Hospital, 46014 Valencia, Spain; (A.R.); (A.B.); (S.H.); (P.B.)
| | - Santiago Herrero
- Department of Pharmacy, University General Hospital, 46014 Valencia, Spain; (A.R.); (A.B.); (S.H.); (P.B.)
| | - Pilar Blasco
- Department of Pharmacy, University General Hospital, 46014 Valencia, Spain; (A.R.); (A.B.); (S.H.); (P.B.)
- Medical Analysis Expert Group, Institute of Technology, University of Castilla-La Mancha, 16002 Cuenca, Spain
| | - Miguel Suárez
- Medical Analysis Expert Group, Institute of Technology, University of Castilla-La Mancha, 16002 Cuenca, Spain
- Department of Gastroenterology, Virgen de la Luz Hospital, 16002 Cuenca, Spain
| | - Jorge Mateo
- Medical Analysis Expert Group, Institute of Technology, University of Castilla-La Mancha, 16002 Cuenca, Spain
- Medical Analysis Expert Group, Instituto de Investigación Sanitaria de Castilla-La Mancha (IDISCAM), 45071 Toledo, Spain
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2
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Georgakopoulou VE, Gkoufa A, Makrodimitri S, Basoulis D, Tsakanikas A, Karamanakos G, Mastrogianni E, Voutsinas PM, Spandidos DA, Papageorgiou CV, Gamaletsou MN, Sipsas NV. Early 3‑day course of remdesivir for the prevention of the progression to severe COVID‑19 in the elderly: A single‑centre, real‑life cohort study. Exp Ther Med 2023; 26:462. [PMID: 37664680 PMCID: PMC10469144 DOI: 10.3892/etm.2023.12161] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/21/2023] [Accepted: 07/31/2023] [Indexed: 09/05/2023] Open
Abstract
Remdesivir, a viral RNA polymerase inhibitor, has constituted a key component of therapeutic regimens against the pandemic caused by severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus-2 (SARS-CoV-2). Originally approved for administration in hospitalized patients, remdesivir leads to improved outcomes in patients with moderate to severe coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). After proving to be effective in hospitalized patients, its use gained approval in early-stage disease for symptomatic outpatients who are at a high risk of progression to severe disease. The present study is a real-life prospective cohort study involving 143 elderly non-hospitalized patients with SARS-CoV-2 (≥65 years of age) who attended the emergency department of the authors' hospital seeking care for COVID-19 symptoms appearing within the prior 7 days. Eligible patients received intravenous remdesivir at a dose of 200 mg on the first day and 100 mg on days 2 and 3. The efficacy endpoints were set as the need for COVID-19-related hospitalization and all-cause mortality in the following 28 days. A total of 143 patients participated in the study. Of these patients, 118 (82.5%) patients were vaccinated with at least two doses. All patients enrolled completed the 3-day course, with a total of 6 out of 143 patients (4.2%) having a COVID-19-related hospitalization by day 28, and 5 patients (3.5%) succumbing to the disease within the study period. In the univariate Cox regression analysis, the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio and haematological malignancy were identified as predictors of progression to severe disease, and albumin levels, the C-reactive protein-to-albumin ratio (CAR) and haematological malignancy were identified as predictors of 28-day mortality. On the whole, the findings of the present study demonstrated that among the elderly outpatients, a 3-day course of intravenous remdesivir was associated with favourable outcomes.
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Affiliation(s)
- Vasiliki Epameinondas Georgakopoulou
- Department of Infectious Diseases and COVID-19 Unit, Laiko General Hospital, Medical School, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, 11527 Athens, Greece
- Department of Pathophysiology, Laiko General Hospital, Medical School, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, 11527 Athens, Greece
| | - Aikaterini Gkoufa
- Department of Infectious Diseases and COVID-19 Unit, Laiko General Hospital, Medical School, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, 11527 Athens, Greece
| | - Sotiria Makrodimitri
- Department of Infectious Diseases and COVID-19 Unit, Laiko General Hospital, Medical School, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, 11527 Athens, Greece
| | - Dimitrios Basoulis
- Department of Infectious Diseases and COVID-19 Unit, Laiko General Hospital, Medical School, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, 11527 Athens, Greece
- Department of Pathophysiology, Laiko General Hospital, Medical School, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, 11527 Athens, Greece
| | - Aristeidis Tsakanikas
- Department of Infectious Diseases and COVID-19 Unit, Laiko General Hospital, Medical School, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, 11527 Athens, Greece
| | - Georgios Karamanakos
- Department of Infectious Diseases and COVID-19 Unit, Laiko General Hospital, Medical School, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, 11527 Athens, Greece
| | - Elpida Mastrogianni
- Emergency Department, Laiko General Hospital, Medical School, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, 11527 Athens, Greece
| | - Pantazis M Voutsinas
- Department of Pathophysiology, Laiko General Hospital, Medical School, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, 11527 Athens, Greece
| | - Demetrios A Spandidos
- Laboratory of Clinical Virology, School of Medicine, University of Crete, 71003 Heraklion, Greece
| | - Chrysovalantis V Papageorgiou
- Emergency Department, Laiko General Hospital, Medical School, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, 11527 Athens, Greece
| | - Maria N Gamaletsou
- Department of Pathophysiology, Laiko General Hospital, Medical School, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, 11527 Athens, Greece
- Emergency Department, Laiko General Hospital, Medical School, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, 11527 Athens, Greece
| | - Nikolaos V Sipsas
- Department of Infectious Diseases and COVID-19 Unit, Laiko General Hospital, Medical School, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, 11527 Athens, Greece
- Department of Pathophysiology, Laiko General Hospital, Medical School, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, 11527 Athens, Greece
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Abstract
Remdesivir (Veklury®), a nucleotide analogue prodrug with broad-spectrum antiviral activity, is approved for the treatment of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), the illness caused by severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 infection. Unlike some antivirals, remdesivir has a low potential for drug-drug interactions. In the pivotal ACTT-1 trial in hospitalized patients with COVID-19, daily intravenous infusions of remdesivir significantly reduced time to recovery relative to placebo. Subsequent trials provided additional support for the efficacy of remdesivir in hospitalized patients with moderate or severe COVID-19, with a greater benefit seen in patients with minimal oxygen requirements at baseline. Clinical trials also demonstrated the efficacy of remdesivir in other patient populations, including outpatients at high risk for progression to severe COVID-19, as well as hospitalized paediatric patients. In terms of mortality, results were equivocal. However, remdesivir appeared to have a small mortality benefit in hospitalized patients who were not already being ventilated at baseline. Remdesivir was generally well tolerated in clinical trials, but pharmacovigilance data found an increased risk of hepatic, renal and cardiovascular adverse drug reactions in the real-world setting. In conclusion, remdesivir represents a useful treatment option for patients with COVID-19, particularly those who require supplemental oxygen.
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Affiliation(s)
- Hannah A Blair
- Springer Nature, Private Bag 65901, Mairangi Bay, Auckland, 0754, New Zealand.
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Pantazis N, Pechlivanidou E, Antoniadou A, Akinosoglou K, Kalomenidis I, Poulakou G, Milionis H, Panagopoulos P, Marangos M, Katsarolis I, Kazakou P, Dimakopoulou V, Chaliasou AL, Rapti V, Christaki E, Liontos A, Petrakis V, Schinas G, Biros D, Rimpa MC, Touloumi G. Remdesivir: Effectiveness and Safety in Hospitalized Patients with COVID-19 (ReEs-COVID-19)-Analysis of Data from Daily Practice. Microorganisms 2023; 11:1998. [PMID: 37630558 PMCID: PMC10459397 DOI: 10.3390/microorganisms11081998] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/04/2023] [Revised: 07/26/2023] [Accepted: 07/31/2023] [Indexed: 08/27/2023] Open
Abstract
Remdesivir was the first antiviral approved for treating COVID-19. We investigated its patterns of use, effectiveness and safety in clinical practice in Greece. This is a retrospective observational study of hospitalized adults who received remdesivir for COVID-19 in September 2020-February 2021. The main endpoints were the time to recovery (hospital discharge within 30 days from admission) and safety. The "early" (remdesivir initiation within 24 h since hospitalization) and "deferred" (remdesivir initiation later on) groups were compared. One thousand and four patients (60.6% male, mean age 61 years, 74.3% with severe disease, 70.9% with ≥1 comorbidities) were included, and 75.9% of them were on a 5-day regimen, and 86.8% were in the early group. Among those with a baseline mild/moderate disease, the median (95% CI) time to recovery was 8 (7-9) and 12 (11-14) days for the early and deferred groups, respectively (p < 0.001). The corresponding estimates for those with a severe disease were 10 (9-10) and 13 (11-15) days, respectively (p = 0.028). After remdesivir initiation, increased serum transaminases and an acute kidney injury were observed in 6.9% and 2.1%, respectively. Nine (0.9%) patients discontinued the treatment due to adverse events. The effectiveness of remdesivir was increased when it was taken within 24 h since admission regardless of the disease severity. Remdesivir's safety profile is similar to that described in clinical trials and other real-world cohorts.
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Affiliation(s)
- Nikos Pantazis
- Department of Hygiene, Epidemiology and Medical Statistics, Medical School, National & Kapodistrian University of Athens, 11527 Athens, Greece
| | - Evmorfia Pechlivanidou
- Department of Hygiene, Epidemiology and Medical Statistics, Medical School, National & Kapodistrian University of Athens, 11527 Athens, Greece
| | - Anastasia Antoniadou
- 4th Department of Internal Medicine, Attikon University General Hospital, Medical School, National & Kapodistrian University of Athens, 12461 Athens, Greece
| | - Karolina Akinosoglou
- Department of Internal Medicine, University General Hospital of Patras, Department of Medicine, University of Patras, 26504 Rio, Greece
| | - Ioannis Kalomenidis
- 1st Department of Critical Care & Pulmonary Service, Evangelismos General Hospital, Medical School, National & Kapodistrian University of Athens, 10676 Athens, Greece
- COVID-19 Unit, Evangelismos General Hospital, 10676 Athens, Greece
| | - Garyfallia Poulakou
- 3rd Department of Internal Medicine, Athens Hospital for Diseases of the Chest “Sotiria”, Medical School, National & Kapodistrian University of Athens, 11527 Athens, Greece
| | - Haralampos Milionis
- Department of Internal Medicine, University General Hospital of Ioannina, Faculty of Medicine, School of Health Sciences, University of Ioannina, 45500 Ioannina, Greece (D.B.)
| | - Periklis Panagopoulos
- Department of Internal Medicine, University General Hospital of Alexandroupolis, Department of Medicine, Democritus University of Thrace, 68100 Alexandroupolis, Greece
| | - Markos Marangos
- Department of Internal Medicine, University General Hospital of Patras, Department of Medicine, University of Patras, 26504 Rio, Greece
| | - Ioannis Katsarolis
- Medical Affairs, Gilead Sciences Hellas and Cyprus, 17564 Paleo Faliro, Greece
| | - Pinelopi Kazakou
- 4th Department of Internal Medicine, Attikon University General Hospital, Medical School, National & Kapodistrian University of Athens, 12461 Athens, Greece
| | - Vasiliki Dimakopoulou
- Department of Internal Medicine, University General Hospital of Patras, Department of Medicine, University of Patras, 26504 Rio, Greece
| | | | - Vasiliki Rapti
- 3rd Department of Internal Medicine, Athens Hospital for Diseases of the Chest “Sotiria”, Medical School, National & Kapodistrian University of Athens, 11527 Athens, Greece
| | - Eirini Christaki
- Department of Internal Medicine, University General Hospital of Ioannina, Faculty of Medicine, School of Health Sciences, University of Ioannina, 45500 Ioannina, Greece (D.B.)
| | - Angelos Liontos
- Department of Internal Medicine, University General Hospital of Ioannina, Faculty of Medicine, School of Health Sciences, University of Ioannina, 45500 Ioannina, Greece (D.B.)
| | - Vasileios Petrakis
- Department of Internal Medicine, University General Hospital of Alexandroupolis, Department of Medicine, Democritus University of Thrace, 68100 Alexandroupolis, Greece
| | - Georgios Schinas
- Department of Internal Medicine, University General Hospital of Patras, Department of Medicine, University of Patras, 26504 Rio, Greece
| | - Dimitrios Biros
- Department of Internal Medicine, University General Hospital of Ioannina, Faculty of Medicine, School of Health Sciences, University of Ioannina, 45500 Ioannina, Greece (D.B.)
| | - Maria-Christina Rimpa
- Department of Internal Medicine, University General Hospital of Alexandroupolis, Department of Medicine, Democritus University of Thrace, 68100 Alexandroupolis, Greece
| | - Giota Touloumi
- Department of Hygiene, Epidemiology and Medical Statistics, Medical School, National & Kapodistrian University of Athens, 11527 Athens, Greece
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Singh DD, Han I, Choi EH, Yadav DK. A Clinical Update on SARS-CoV-2: Pathology and Development of Potential Inhibitors. Curr Issues Mol Biol 2023; 45:400-433. [PMID: 36661514 PMCID: PMC9857284 DOI: 10.3390/cimb45010028] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/02/2022] [Revised: 12/29/2022] [Accepted: 01/01/2023] [Indexed: 01/06/2023] Open
Abstract
SARS-CoV-2 (severe acute respiratory syndrome) is highly infectious and causes severe acute respiratory distress syndrome (SARD), immune suppression, and multi-organ failure. For SARS-CoV-2, only supportive treatment options are available, such as oxygen supportive therapy, ventilator support, antibiotics for secondary infections, mineral and fluid treatment, and a significant subset of repurposed effective drugs. Viral targeted inhibitors are the most suitable molecules, such as ACE2 (angiotensin-converting enzyme-2) and RBD (receptor-binding domain) protein-based inhibitors, inhibitors of host proteases, inhibitors of viral proteases 3CLpro (3C-like proteinase) and PLpro (papain-like protease), inhibitors of replicative enzymes, inhibitors of viral attachment of SARS-CoV-2 to the ACE2 receptor and TMPRSS2 (transmembrane serine proteinase 2), inhibitors of HR1 (Heptad Repeat 1)-HR2 (Heptad Repeat 2) interaction at the S2 protein of the coronavirus, etc. Targeting the cathepsin L proteinase, peptide analogues, monoclonal antibodies, and protein chimaeras as RBD inhibitors interferes with the spike protein's ability to fuse to the membrane. Targeting the cathepsin L proteinase, peptide analogues, monoclonal antibodies, and protein chimaeras as RBD inhibitors interferes with the spike protein's ability to fuse to the membrane. Even with the tremendous progress made, creating effective drugs remains difficult. To develop COVID-19 treatment alternatives, clinical studies are examining a variety of therapy categories, including antibodies, antivirals, cell-based therapy, repurposed diagnostic medicines, and more. In this article, we discuss recent clinical updates on SARS-CoV-2 infection, clinical characteristics, diagnosis, immunopathology, the new emergence of variant, SARS-CoV-2, various approaches to drug development and treatment options. The development of therapies has been complicated by the global occurrence of many SARS-CoV-2 mutations. Discussion of this manuscript will provide new insight into drug pathophysiology and drug development.
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Affiliation(s)
- Desh Deepak Singh
- Amity Institute of Biotechnology, Amity University Rajasthan, Jaipur 303002, India
| | - Ihn Han
- Plasma Bioscience Research Center, Applied Plasma Medicine Center, Department of Electrical & Biological Physics, Kwangwoon University, Seoul 01897, Republic of Korea
- Correspondence: (I.H.); (D.K.Y.); Tel.: +82-2-597-0365 (I.H. & D.K.Y.)
| | - Eun-Ha Choi
- Plasma Bioscience Research Center, Applied Plasma Medicine Center, Department of Electrical & Biological Physics, Kwangwoon University, Seoul 01897, Republic of Korea
| | - Dharmendra Kumar Yadav
- Department of R&D Center, Arontier Co., Seoul 06735, Republic of Korea
- Correspondence: (I.H.); (D.K.Y.); Tel.: +82-2-597-0365 (I.H. & D.K.Y.)
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