Using Domain Knowledge and Data-Driven Insights for Patient Similarity Analytics

Health Conditions Associated with Alzheimer's Disease and Vascular Dementia

OBJECTIVE

We examined medical records to determine health conditions associated with dementia at varied intervals prior to dementia diagnosis in participants from the Baltimore Longitudinal Study of Aging (BLSA).

METHODS

Data were available for 347 Alzheimer's disease (AD), 76 vascular dementia (VaD), and 811 control participants without dementia. Logistic regressions were performed associating International Classification of Diseases, 9th Revision (ICD-9) health codes with dementia status across all time points, at 5 and 1 year(s) prior to dementia diagnosis, and at the year of diagnosis, controlling for age, sex, and follow-up length of the medical record.

RESULTS

In AD, the earliest and most consistent associations across all time points included depression, erectile dysfunction, gait abnormalities, hearing loss, and nervous and musculoskeletal symptoms. Cardiomegaly, urinary incontinence, non-epithelial skin cancer, and pneumonia were not significant until 1 year before dementia diagnosis. In VaD, the earliest and most consistent associations across all time points included abnormal electrocardiogram (EKG), cardiac dysrhythmias, cerebrovascular disease, non-epithelial skin cancer, depression, and hearing loss. Atrial fibrillation, occlusion of cerebral arteries, essential tremor, and abnormal reflexes were not significant until 1 year before dementia diagnosis.

INTERPRETATION

These findings suggest that some health conditions are associated with future dementia beginning at least 5 years before dementia diagnosis and are consistently seen over time, while others only reach significance closer to the date of diagnosis. These results also show that there are both shared and distinctive health conditions associated with AD and VaD. These results reinforce the need for medical intervention and treatment to lessen the impact of health comorbidities in the aging population. ANN NEUROL 2023;93:805-818.

Diabetes medication recommendation system using patient similarity analytics

Type-2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) is a medical condition in which oral medications avail to patients to curb their hyperglycaemia after failed dietary therapy. However, individual responses to the prescribed pharmacotherapy may differ due to their clinical profiles, comorbidities, lifestyles and medical adherence. One approach is to identify similar patients within the same community to predict their likely response to the prescribed diabetes medications. This study aims to present an evidence-based diabetes medication recommendation system (DMRS) underpinned by patient similarity analytics. The DMRS was developed using 10-year electronic health records of 54,933 adult patients with T2DM from six primary care clinics in Singapore. Multiple clinical variables including patient demographics, comorbidities, laboratory test results, existing medications, and trajectory patterns of haemoglobin A_1c (HbA_1c) were used to identify similar patients. The DMRS was evaluated on four groups of patients with comorbidities such as hyperlipidaemia (HLD) and hypertension (HTN). Recommendations were assessed using hit ratio which represents the percentage of patients with at least one recommended sets of medication matches exactly the diabetes prescriptions in both the type and dosage. Recall, precision, and mean reciprocal ranking of the recommendation against the diabetes prescriptions in the EHR records were also computed. Evaluation against the EHR prescriptions revealed that the DMRS recommendations can achieve hit ratio of 81% for diabetes patients with no comorbidity, 84% for those with HLD, 78% for those with HTN, and 75% for those with both HLD and HTN. By considering patients' clinical profiles and their trajectory patterns of HbA_1c, the DMRS can provide an individualized recommendation that resembles the actual prescribed medication and dosage. Such a system is useful as a shared decision-making tool to assist clinicians in selecting the appropriate medications for patients with T2DM.

Using similar patients to predict complication in patients with diabetes, hypertension, and lipid disorder: a domain knowledge-infused convolutional neural network approach

OBJECTIVE

This study aims to develop a convolutional neural network-based learning framework called domain knowledge-infused convolutional neural network (DK-CNN) for retrieving clinically similar patient and to personalize the prediction of macrovascular complication using the retrieved patients.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We use the electronic health records of 169 434 patients with diabetes, hypertension, and/or lipid disorder. Patients are partitioned into 7 subcohorts based on their comorbidities. DK-CNN integrates both domain knowledge and disease trajectory of patients over multiple visits to retrieve similar patients. We use normalized discounted cumulative gain (nDCG) and macrovascular complication prediction performance to evaluate the effectiveness of DK-CNN compared to state-of-the-art models. Ablation studies are conducted to compare DK-CNN with reduced models that do not use domain knowledge as well as models that do not consider short-term, medium-term, and long-term trajectory over multiple visits.

RESULTS

Key findings from this study are: (1) DK-CNN is able to retrieve clinically similar patients and achieves the highest nDCG values in all 7 subcohorts; (2) DK-CNN outperforms other state-of-the-art approaches in terms of complication prediction performance in all 7 subcohorts; and (3) the ablation studies show that the full model achieves the highest nDCG compared with other 2 reduced models.

DISCUSSION AND CONCLUSIONS

DK-CNN is a deep learning-based approach which incorporates domain knowledge and patient trajectory data to retrieve clinically similar patients. It can be used to assist physicians who may refer to the outcomes and past treatments of similar patients as a guide for choosing an effective treatment for patients.

A novel analytical framework for risk stratification of real-world data using machine learning: A small cell lung cancer study

In recent studies, small cell lung cancer (SCLC) treatment guidelines based on Veterans' Administration Lung Study Group limited/extensive disease staging and resulted in broad and inseparable prognostic subgroups. Evidence suggests that the eight versions of tumor, node, and metastasis (TNM) staging can play an important role to address this issue. The aim of the present study was to improve the detection of prognostic subgroups from a real-word data (RWD) cohort of patients and analyze their patterns using a development pipeline with thoracic oncologists and machine learning methods. The method detected subgroups of patients informing unsupervised learning (partition around medoids) including the impact of covariates on prognosis (Cox regression and random survival forest). An analysis was carried out using patients with SCLC (n = 636) with stage IIIA-IVB according to TNM classification. The analysis yielded k = 7 compacted and well-separated clusters of patients. Performance status (Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group-Performance Status), lactate dehydrogenase, spreading of metastasis, cancer stage, and CRP were the baselines that characterized the subgroups. The selected clustering method outperformed standard clustering techniques, which were not capable of detecting meaningful subgroups. From the analysis of cluster treatment decisions, we showed the potential of future RWD applications to understand disease, develop individualized therapies, and improve healthcare decision making.