1
|
Shekari P, Jajarmi A, Torkzadeh L, Nouri K. Fractional-order modeling of human behavior in infections: analysis using real data from Liberia. Comput Methods Biomech Biomed Engin 2025:1-15. [PMID: 39760543 DOI: 10.1080/10255842.2024.2448559] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/06/2024] [Revised: 12/09/2024] [Accepted: 12/18/2024] [Indexed: 01/07/2025]
Abstract
This paper presents a fractional-order model using the Caputo differential operator to study Ebola Virus Disease (EVD) dynamics, calibrated with Liberian data. The model demonstrates improved accuracy over integer-order counterparts, particularly in capturing behavioral changes during outbreaks. Stability analysis, Lyapunov functions, and a validated numerical method strengthen its mathematical foundation. Simulations highlight its utility in accurately describing EVD evolution and guiding outbreak management. The study underscores the role of behavioral interventions in epidemic control, offering valuable insights for public health and policymaking. This research advances infectious disease models and enhances strategies for mitigating EVD outbreaks.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Parisa Shekari
- Department of Mathematics, Faculty of Mathematics, Statistics and Computer Sciences, Semnan University, Semnan, Iran
| | - Amin Jajarmi
- Department of Electrical Engineering, University of Bojnord, Bojnord, Iran
| | - Leila Torkzadeh
- Department of Mathematics, Faculty of Mathematics, Statistics and Computer Sciences, Semnan University, Semnan, Iran
| | - Kazem Nouri
- Department of Mathematics, Faculty of Mathematics, Statistics and Computer Sciences, Semnan University, Semnan, Iran
| |
Collapse
|
2
|
Farman M, Akgül A, Sultan M, Riaz S, Asif H, Agarwal P, Hassani MK. Numerical study and dynamics analysis of diabetes mellitus with co-infection of COVID-19 virus by using fractal fractional operator. Sci Rep 2024; 14:16489. [PMID: 39019935 PMCID: PMC11254938 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-024-60168-6] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/09/2024] [Accepted: 04/19/2024] [Indexed: 07/19/2024] Open
Abstract
COVID-19 is linked to diabetes, increasing the likelihood and severity of outcomes due to hyperglycemia, immune system impairment, vascular problems, and comorbidities like hypertension, obesity, and cardiovascular disease, which can lead to catastrophic outcomes. The study presents a novel COVID-19 management approach for diabetic patients using a fractal fractional operator and Mittag-Leffler kernel. It uses the Lipschitz criterion and linear growth to identify the solution singularity and analyzes the global derivative impact, confirming unique solutions and demonstrating the bounded nature of the proposed system. The study examines the impact of COVID-19 on individuals with diabetes, using global stability analysis and quantitative examination of equilibrium states. Sensitivity analysis is conducted using reproductive numbers to determine the disease's status in society and the impact of control strategies, highlighting the importance of understanding epidemic problems and their properties. This study uses two-step Lagrange polynomial to analyze the impact of the fractional operator on a proposed model. Numerical simulations using MATLAB validate the effects of COVID-19 on diabetic patients and allow predictions based on the established theoretical framework, supporting the theoretical findings. This study will help to observe and understand how COVID-19 affects people with diabetes. This will help with control plans in the future to lessen the effects of COVID-19.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Muhammad Farman
- Mathematics Research Center, Department of Mathematics, Near East University, Near East Boulevard, 99138, Nicosia, Mersin 10, Turkey
- Department of Computer Science and Mathematics, Lebanese American University, Beirut, Lebanon
| | - Ali Akgül
- Department of Computer Science and Mathematics, Lebanese American University, Beirut, Lebanon.
- Department of Mathematics, Art and Science Faculty, Siirt University, 56100, Siirt, Turkey.
| | - Muhammad Sultan
- Data Analytics, Department of Design and Visual Arts, Computer Studies, Georgian College, Barrie, Canada
| | - Sidra Riaz
- Mathematics Research Center, Department of Mathematics, Near East University, Near East Boulevard, 99138, Nicosia, Mersin 10, Turkey
| | - Hira Asif
- Mathematics Research Center, Department of Mathematics, Near East University, Near East Boulevard, 99138, Nicosia, Mersin 10, Turkey
| | - Praveen Agarwal
- Department of Mathematics, Anand International College of Engineering, Jaipur, India
| | | |
Collapse
|
3
|
Farman M, Gokbulut N, Hurdoganoglu U, Hincal E, Suer K. Fractional order model of MRSA bacterial infection with real data fitting: Computational Analysis and Modeling. Comput Biol Med 2024; 173:108367. [PMID: 38555706 DOI: 10.1016/j.compbiomed.2024.108367] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/23/2024] [Revised: 03/12/2024] [Accepted: 03/22/2024] [Indexed: 04/02/2024]
Abstract
Bacterial infections in the health-care sector and social environments have been linked to the Methicillin-Resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA) infection, a type of bacteria that has remained an international health risk since the 1960s. From mild colonization to a deadly invasive disease with an elevated mortality rate, the illness can present in many different forms. A fractional-order dynamic model of MRSA infection developed using real data for computational and modeling analysis on the north side of Cyprus is presented in this paper. Initially, we tested that the suggested model had a positively invariant region, bounded solutions, and uniqueness for the biological feasibility of the model. We study the equilibria of the model and assess the expression for the most significant threshold parameter, called the basic reproduction number (ℛ0). The reproductive number's parameters are also subjected to sensitivity analysis through mathematical methods and simulations. Additionally, utilizing the power law kernel and the fixed-point approach, the existence, uniqueness, and generalized Ulam-Hyers-Rassias stability are presented. Chaos Control was used to regulate the linear responses approach to bring the system to stabilize according to its points of equilibrium, taking into account a fractional-order system with a managed design where solutions are bound in the feasible domain. Finally, numerical simulations demonstrating the effects of different parameters on MRSA infection are used to investigate the impact of the fractional operator on the generalized form of the power law kernel through a two-step Newton polynomial method. The impact of fractional orders is emphasized in the study so that the numerical solutions support the importance of these orders on MRSA infection. With the application of fractional order, the significance of cognizant antibiotic usage for MRSA infection is verified.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Muhammad Farman
- Faculty of Arts and Sciences, Department of Mathematics, Near East University, Nicosia, North Cyprus, 99138, Turkey; Department of Computer Science and Mathematics, Lebanese American University, Beirut, Lebanon.
| | - Nezihal Gokbulut
- Faculty of Arts and Sciences, Department of Mathematics, Near East University, Nicosia, North Cyprus, 99138, Turkey; Mathematics Research Center, Near East University, Nicosia, North Cyprus, 99138, Turkey
| | - Ulas Hurdoganoglu
- Vocational School of Health Services, Near East University, Nicosia, North Cyprus, 99138, Turkey
| | - Evren Hincal
- Faculty of Arts and Sciences, Department of Mathematics, Near East University, Nicosia, North Cyprus, 99138, Turkey; Mathematics Research Center, Near East University, Nicosia, North Cyprus, 99138, Turkey
| | - Kaya Suer
- Department of Medical Microbiology and Clinical Microbiology, Near East University, Nicosia, North Cyprus, 99138, Turkey
| |
Collapse
|
4
|
Karaagac B, Owolabi KM. A numerical investigation of marriage divorce model: Fractal fractional perspective. SCIENTIFIC AFRICAN 2023; 21:e01874. [DOI: 10.1016/j.sciaf.2023.e01874] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 04/01/2025] Open
|
5
|
On Non-Symmetric Fractal-Fractional Modeling for Ice Smoking: Mathematical Analysis of Solutions. Symmetry (Basel) 2022. [DOI: 10.3390/sym15010087] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/30/2022] Open
Abstract
Drugs have always been one of the most important concerns of families and government officials at all times, and they have caused irreparable damage to the health of young people. Given the importance of this great challenge, this article discusses a non-symmetric fractal-fractional order ice-smoking mathematical model for the existence results, numerical results, and stability analysis. For the existence of the solution of the given ice-smoking model, successive iterative sequences are defined. The uniqueness of the solution Hyers–Ulam (HU) stability is established with the help of the existing definitions and theorems in functional analysis. By the utilization of two-step Lagrange polynomials, we provide numerical solutions and provide a comparative numerical analysis for different values of the fractional order and fractal order. The numerical simulations show the applicability of the scheme and future prediction and the effects of fractal-fractional orders simultaneously.
Collapse
|