Comparison of Measurements of Bone Mineral Density in Young and Middle-Aged Adult Women in Relation to Dietary, Anthropometric and Reproductive Variables

Machine Learning Identifies Stool pH as a Predictor of Bone Mineral Density in Healthy Multiethnic US Adults

BACKGROUND

A variety of modifiable and nonmodifiable factors such as ethnicity, age, and diet have been shown to influence bone health. Previous studies are usually limited to analyses focused on the association of a few a priori variables or on a specific subset of the population.

OBJECTIVE

Dietary, physiological, and lifestyle data were used to identify directly modifiable and nonmodifiable variables predictive of bone mineral content (BMC) and bone mineral density (BMD) in healthy US men and women using machine-learning models.

METHODS

Ridge, lasso, elastic net, and random forest models were used to predict whole-body, femoral neck, and spine BMC and BMD in healthy US men and women ages 18-66 y, with a BMI (kg/m2) of 18-44 (n = 313), using nonmodifiable anthropometric, physiological, and demographic variables; directly modifiable lifestyle (physical activity, tobacco use) and dietary (via FFQ) variables; and variables approximating directly modifiable behavior (circulating 25-hydroxycholecalciferol and stool pH).

RESULTS

Machine-learning models using nonmodifiable variables explained more variation in BMC and BMD (highest R2 = 0.75) compared with when using only directly modifiable variables (highest R2 = 0.11). Machine-learning models had better performance compared with multivariate linear regression, which had lower predictive value (highest R2 = 0.06) when using directly modifiable variables only. BMI, body fat percentage, height, and menstruation history were predictors of BMC and BMD. For directly modifiable features, betaine, cholesterol, hydroxyproline, menaquinone-4, dihydrophylloquinone, eggs, cheese, cured meat, refined grains, fruit juice, and alcohol consumption were predictors of BMC and BMD. Low stool pH, a proxy for fermentable fiber intake, was also predictive of higher BMC and BMD.

CONCLUSIONS

Modifiable factors, such as diet, explained less variation in the data compared with nonmodifiable factors, such as age, sex, and ethnicity, in healthy US men and women. Low stool pH predicted higher BMC and BMD. This trial was registered at www.clinicaltrials.gov as NCT02367287.

Estimates of the effects of physical activity on osteoporosis using multivariable Mendelian randomization analysis

This study estimates causality of physical activity (PA) on bone mineral density (BMD) by conducting multivariable Mendelian randomization (MR). The findings suggest that habitual vigorous PA increases lumbar spine BMD, and higher overall acceleration average would improve forearm BMD. The results could promote PA intervention targeting individuals with optimized type.

INTRODUCTION

Evidence from epidemiologic studies showed type, frequency, and duration of PA influenced BMD. However, these observational studies may be confounded by many factors, resulting in spurious associations. We aimed to conduct multivariable MR to estimate the causal effect of self-reported and device-measured PA on osteoporosis.

METHODS

Three self-reported and two device-measured PA-related traits were selected as exposures. Outcomes were BMD at different skeletal sites: femoral neck BMD (FN BMD), lumbar spine BMD (LS BMD), and forearm BMD (FA BMD). Exposure datasets were obtained from UK Biobank with total 377,234 subjects. Outcome datasets were obtained from GEFOS consortium with 53,236 subjects. Standard MR analysis and multivariable MR were conducted to assess the total and direct causal effect of PA on BMD.

RESULTS

For self-reported PA, inverse-normalized moderate-to-vigorous had a direct causal effect on FN BMD independently (β = - 1.116 (95% confidence interval, 95%CI: - 2.210, - 0.023), P = 0.045); vigorous PA showed a direct effect (β = 3.592 (95%CI: 0.310, 6.874), P = 0.032) on LS BMD independently. While overall acceleration average and fraction of accelerations both had a direct causal effect on FA BMD independently.

CONCLUSIONS

Habitual vigorous PA could increase LS BMD. Individuals with higher overall acceleration average would have a higher FA BMD.