1
|
Guo J, Zhang Z, Guo G, Xiao H, Zhao Q, Zhang C, Lv H, Zhu Z, Wang C. Optimized Random Forest Method for 3D Evaluation of Coalbed Methane Content Using Geophysical Logging Data. ACS OMEGA 2024; 9:35769-35788. [PMID: 39184457 PMCID: PMC11339842 DOI: 10.1021/acsomega.4c04305] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/06/2024] [Revised: 07/28/2024] [Accepted: 07/31/2024] [Indexed: 08/27/2024]
Abstract
Accurate evaluation of coalbed methane (CBM) content is crucial for effective exploration and development. Traditional gas content measurement methods based on laboratory analysis of drill core samples are costly, whereas geophysical logging methods offer a cost-effective alternative by providing continuous high-resolution profiles of rock layer physical properties. However, the relationship between CBM content and geophysical logging data is complex and nonlinear, necessitating an advanced prediction method. This study focuses on the No. 3 coal seam in the Shizhuang South Block of the Qinshui Basin, utilizing geophysical logging data and 148 sets of laboratory core samples. We employed the Random Forest (RF) method optimized with a simulated annealing-genetic algorithm (SA-GA) to develop the SA-GA-RF model for evaluating CBM content. The model's performance was validated using test data and new CBM well data, and it was applied to calculate the vertical gas content profiles of No. 3 coal seam across 128 wells. The SA-GA-RF model demonstrated an average relative error of 13.13% in the test data set, outperforming Backpropagation Neural Network (BPNN), Least Squares Support Vector Machine (LSSVM), Extreme Learning Machine (ELM), and multivariate regression (MR) methods. The model also exhibited strong generalizability in new wells and improved model-building efficiency compared to traditional cross-validation grid search methods. The construction of a three-dimensional CBM content model, incorporating well coordinates and elevation data, allowed for detailed identification of high gas content areas and layers. This three-dimensional model offers a more precise characterization than traditional two-dimensional isopleth maps, providing valuable insights for CBM exploration, reserve evaluation, and production optimization.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Jianhong Guo
- Key
Laboratory of Exploration Technologies for Oil and Gas Resources,
Ministry of Education, Yangtze University, Wuhan 430100, China
- College
of Geophysics and Petroleum Resources, Yangtze
University, Wuhan 430100, China
| | - Zhansong Zhang
- Key
Laboratory of Exploration Technologies for Oil and Gas Resources,
Ministry of Education, Yangtze University, Wuhan 430100, China
- College
of Geophysics and Petroleum Resources, Yangtze
University, Wuhan 430100, China
| | | | - Hang Xiao
- Research
Institute of Exploration & Development, Sinopec Jianghan Oilfield
Company, Wuhan 430223, China
| | - Qing Zhao
- Key
Laboratory of Exploration Technologies for Oil and Gas Resources,
Ministry of Education, Yangtze University, Wuhan 430100, China
- College
of Geophysics and Petroleum Resources, Yangtze
University, Wuhan 430100, China
| | - Chaomo Zhang
- Key
Laboratory of Exploration Technologies for Oil and Gas Resources,
Ministry of Education, Yangtze University, Wuhan 430100, China
- College
of Geophysics and Petroleum Resources, Yangtze
University, Wuhan 430100, China
| | - Hengyang Lv
- Key
Laboratory of Exploration Technologies for Oil and Gas Resources,
Ministry of Education, Yangtze University, Wuhan 430100, China
- College
of Geophysics and Petroleum Resources, Yangtze
University, Wuhan 430100, China
| | - Zuomin Zhu
- Key
Laboratory of Exploration Technologies for Oil and Gas Resources,
Ministry of Education, Yangtze University, Wuhan 430100, China
- College
of Geophysics and Petroleum Resources, Yangtze
University, Wuhan 430100, China
| | - Can Wang
- Hubei
Geol Bur, Hydrogeol & Engn Geol Inst, Jingzhou 434007, China
| |
Collapse
|
2
|
Well-Logging-Based Lithology Classification Using Machine Learning Methods for High-Quality Reservoir Identification: A Case Study of Baikouquan Formation in Mahu Area of Junggar Basin, NW China. ENERGIES 2022. [DOI: 10.3390/en15103675] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 02/06/2023]
Abstract
The identification of underground formation lithology is fundamental in reservoir characterization during petroleum exploration. With the increasing availability and diversity of well-logging data, automated interpretation of well-logging data is in great demand for more efficient and reliable decision making for geologists and geophysicists. This study benchmarked the performances of an array of machine learning models, from linear and nonlinear individual classifiers to ensemble methods, on the task of lithology identification. Cross-validation and Bayesian optimization were utilized to optimize the hyperparameters of different models and performances were evaluated based on the metrics of accuracy—the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), precision, recall, and F1-score. The dataset of the study consists of well-logging data acquired from the Baikouquan formation in the Mahu Sag of the Junggar Basin, China, including 4156 labeled data points with 9 well-logging variables. Results exhibit that ensemble methods (XGBoost and RF) outperform the other two categories of machine learning methods by a material margin. Within the ensemble methods, XGBoost has the best performance, achieving an overall accuracy of 0.882 and AUC of 0.947 in classifying mudstone, sandstone, and sandy conglomerate. Among the three lithology classes, sandy conglomerate, as in the potential reservoirs in the study area, can be best distinguished with accuracy of 97%, precision of 0.888, and recall of 0.969, suggesting the XGBoost model as a strong candidate machine learning model for more efficient and accurate lithology identification and reservoir quantification for geologists.
Collapse
|
3
|
A Data-Driven Approach for Lithology Identification Based on Parameter-Optimized Ensemble Learning. ENERGIES 2020. [DOI: 10.3390/en13153903] [Citation(s) in RCA: 21] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/31/2022]
Abstract
The identification of underground formation lithology can serve as a basis for petroleum exploration and development. This study integrates Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) with Bayesian Optimization (BO) for formation lithology identification and comprehensively evaluated the performance of the proposed classifier based on the metrics of the confusion matrix, precision, recall, F1-score and the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). The data of this study are derived from Daniudui gas field and the Hangjinqi gas field, which includes 2153 samples with known lithology facies class with each sample having seven measured properties (well log curves), and corresponding depth. The results show that BO significantly improves parameter optimization efficiency. The AUC values of the test sets of the two gas fields are 0.968 and 0.987, respectively, indicating that the proposed method has very high generalization performance. Additionally, we compare the proposed algorithm with Gradient Tree Boosting-Differential Evolution (GTB-DE) using the same dataset. The results demonstrated that the average of precision, recall and F1 score of the proposed method are respectively 4.85%, 5.7%, 3.25% greater than GTB-ED. The proposed XGBoost-BO ensemble model can automate the procedure of lithology identification, and it may also be used in the prediction of other reservoir properties.
Collapse
|