Can Changes in Urban Form Affect PM2.5 Concentration? A Comparative Analysis from 286 Prefecture-Level Cities in China

Reconsidering the effects of urban form on PM2.5 concentrations: an urban shrinkage perspective

The phenomenon of urban shrinkage is currently occurring worldwide; however, the "growth-oriented" planning paradigm is not suitable for these shrinking cities. Reconsidering the relationship between urban form and PM_2.5 concentrations from the perspective of urban shrinkage can help provide a research reference for controlling air pollution and optimizing the spatial layout of shrinking cities. This study takes shrinking areas in China as the research subject, which are divided into four research groups according to their shrinkage degree. The empirical results indicate that the average PM_2.5 concentrations decrease with the aggravation of urban shrinkage. In terms of the effect of urban form on PM_2.5 concentrations, the urban size is always positively related to PM_2.5 concentrations, while the impact of urban fragmentation on PM_2.5 concentrations is negligible. Further, urban shape positively affects PM_2.5 concentrations only in moderately and severely shrinking cities. Cities with sprawling urban forms have higher PM_2.5 concentrations, except for those facing severe shrinking trends. This study suggests that governments in shrinking cities should reasonably adjust both the urban form and land use to improve air quality based on the degree of urban shrinkage.