Delivering long-term cancer care in primary care

Predicting Long-Term Care Service Demands for Cancer Patients: A Machine Learning Approach

BACKGROUND

Long-term care (LTC) service demands among cancer patients are significantly understudied, leading to gaps in healthcare resource allocation and policymaking.

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to predict LTC service demands for cancer patients and identify the crucial factors.

METHODS

3333 cases of cancers were included. We further developed two specialized prediction models: a Unified Prediction Model (UPM) and a Category-Specific Prediction Model (CSPM). The UPM offered generalized forecasts by treating all services as identical, while the CSPM built individual predictive models for each specific service type. Sensitivity analysis was also conducted to find optimal usage cutoff points for determining the usage and non-usage cases.

RESULTS

Service usage differences in lung, liver, brain, and pancreatic cancers were significant. For the UPM, the top 20 performance model cutoff points were adopted, such as through Logistic Regression (LR), Quadratic Discriminant Analysis (QDA), and XGBoost (XGB), achieving an AUROC range of 0.707 to 0.728. The CSPM demonstrated performance with an AUROC ranging from 0.777 to 0.837 for the top five most frequently used services. The most critical predictive factors were the types of cancer, patients' age and female caregivers, and specific health needs.

CONCLUSION

The results of our study provide valuable information for healthcare decisions, resource allocation optimization, and personalized long-term care usage for cancer patients.

'You know where we are if you need us.' The role of primary care in supporting patients following pancreaticoduodenectomy for cancer: a qualitative study

Background

Ten per cent of patients diagnosed with pancreatic cancer undergo pancreaticoduodenectomy. It is known that these patients have unmet psychological support needs, and GPs are key in enabling effective coordination of care for people living with life-shortening conditions.

Aim

To explore patients’ perspectives on the role of primary care in their management, and their sources of support.

Design & setting

Inductive qualitative study of patients who had undergone pancreaticoduodenectomy between 6 months and 6 years previously for pancreatic or distal biliary duct cancers. Participants were recruited by clinical nurse specialists (CNSs) from a single NHS trust in Northwest England.

Method

Semi-structured interviews, either face-to-face or via video link, were conducted with 20 participants. Interviews were audio-recorded, transcribed, and anonymised. Thematic analysis utilised principles of constant comparison.

Results

Participants described immense treatment burden and uncertainty around the role of the GP in their ongoing care. They recognised that GPs may have little experience of patients who have undergone pancreaticoduodenectomy, but felt that GPs can play a vital role in offering support. Participants wished for emotional support postoperatively, and valued support networks including family and friends. However, they found expressing their deepest fears difficult. Participants felt they would value greater recognition by primary care of both physical and psychological sequelae of major pancreatic surgery, and the impact on their families.

Conclusion

Patients may feel themselves to be a ‘burden’ to both healthcare professionals and their own support networks following pancreaticoduodenectomy. Primary care is in a key position to proactively offer psychological support.

Adolescent and Young Adult Perspectives on Challenges and Improvements to Cancer Survivorship Care: How Are We Doing?

Purpose: The purpose was to review main challenges experienced by adolescent and young adult (AYA) cancer survivors (18-34 years) during transition to survivorship and their suggestions regarding improvements needed in care. Methods: A national survey was conducted to identify experiences with follow-up care 1-3 years after cancer treatment. The survey included open-ended questions for respondents to add topics of importance and details for deeper insight. This study presents analysis of open-ended questions about main challenge faced by AYA respondents and their suggestions for improvements in care. Results: Of 575 AYA survey respondents, 497 (86.4%) commented regarding main challenges. Twenty-one indicated that they had no challenges. Of those reporting challenges, 209 (43.9%) named one challenge, 267 (56.1%) identified more than one. In total, 955 challenges were identified with the most frequently cited being physical (n = 462, 48.4%) and psychological (n = 234, 24.5%). A total of 391 survivors wrote 679 suggestions about improvements in care with the majority (n = 248, 69.4%) offering more than one. The most frequently cited suggestions included information/communication (n = 191, 29.8%), naming a range of topics for which information was desired, and access to post-treatment therapies/services (n = 164, 25.5%) such as counseling, physiotherapy, and occupational therapy. The overarching theme was, "I need follow-up care that fits me." Conclusions: AYA cancer survivors are diverse and face unique challenges following treatment, which can have life-long implications and impede their recovery. Personalized follow-up care is highly recommended by these survivors.