Glomerular filtration function decline, mortality, and cardiovascular events: data from the Strong Heart Study

The nonlinear relationship between estimated glomerular filtration rate and cardiovascular disease in US adults: a cross-sectional study from NHANES 2007-2018

Background and aim

Estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) is a key indicator of kidney function and is associated with numerous health conditions. This study examines the association between eGFR and cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk in a representative cohort of the US adult population.

Methods

A cross-sectional analysis was conducted using data from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) from 2007 to 2018. The study included 31,020 participants aged 20 years and older. The eGFR estimates were calculated using the Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration (CKD-EPI) equation. CVD was defined as a self-reported physician's diagnosis of congestive heart failure, coronary heart disease, angina pectoris, myocardial infarction, or stroke. To assess the association between eGFR and CVD risk, the study employed weighted linear regression and generalized additive models.

Results

The study revealed a significant non-linear inverse association between eGFR and CVD risk, with a threshold effect observed at 99.3 ml/min/1.73 m². Below this threshold, each 10-unit increase in eGFR was associated with a 13% decrease in the odds of CVD (OR: 0.87, 95% CI: 0.84-0.90, P < 0.001). Above this threshold, no significant association was found between eGFR and CVD risk (OR: 1.04, 95% CI: 0.90-1.20, P = 0.60), indicating that further increases in eGFR beyond this point were not associated with additional cardiovascular benefits. Subgroup analyses revealed significant interactions for eGFR categories, anemia status, and ratio of family income to poverty (PIR).

Conclusions

This study shows that there is a non-linear relationship between eGFR and CVD risk in the US adult population. The study found evidence of a threshold effect. These findings emphasize the importance of monitoring and managing CVD risk factors in individuals with reduced kidney function, especially those with eGFR values below the identified threshold. The relationship between eGFR and CVD risk varies across different subgroups, particularly in relation to eGFR categories, anemia status, and socioeconomic factors.The results provide valuable insights for developing targeted CVD prevention and treatment strategies based on kidney function status.

Estimated glomerular filtration rate slope and risk of primary and secondary major adverse cardiovascular events and heart failure hospitalization in people with type 2 diabetes: An analysis of the EXSCEL trial

AIM

The decline in estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), a significant predictor of cardiovascular disease (CVD), occurs heterogeneously in people with diabetes because of various risk factors. We investigated the role of eGFR decline in predicting CVD events in people with type 2 diabetes in both primary and secondary CVD prevention settings.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Bayesian joint modelling of repeated measures of eGFR and time to CVD event was applied to the Exenatide Study of Cardiovascular Event Lowering (EXSCEL) trial to examine the association between the eGFR slope and the incidence of major adverse CV event/hospitalization for heart failure (MACE/hHF) (non-fatal myocardial infarction, non-fatal stroke, CV death, or hospitalization for heart failure). The analysis was adjusted for age, sex, smoking, systolic blood pressure, baseline eGFR, antihypertensive and lipid-lowering medication, diabetes duration, atrial fibrillation, high-density cholesterol, total cholesterol, HbA1c and treatment allocation (once-weekly exenatide or placebo).

RESULTS

Data from 11 101 trial participants with (n = 7942) and without (n = 3159) previous history of CVD were analysed. The mean ± SD eGFR slope per year in participants without and with previous CVD was -0.68 ± 1.67 and -1.03 ± 2.13 mL/min/1.73 m2, respectively. The 5-year MACE/hHF incidences were 7.5% (95% CI 6.2, 8.8) and 20% (95% CI 19, 22), respectively. The 1-SD decrease in the eGFR slope was associated with increased MACE/hHF risks of 48% (HR 1.48, 95% CI 1.12, 1.98, p = 0.007) and 33% (HR 1.33, 95% CI 1.18,1.51, p < 0.001) in participants without and with previous CVD, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

eGFR trajectories over time significantly predict incident MACE/hHF events in people with type 2 diabetes with and without existing CVD, with a higher hazard ratio for MACE/hHF in the latter group.

Vascular Endothelial Function Is Associated with eGFR Slope in Female and Non-Smoking Male Individuals with Cardiovascular Risk Factors: A Pilot Study on the Predictive Value of FMD for Renal Prognosis

AIMS

It is known that there are sex differences in vascular endothelial function and the development of chronic kidney diseases; however, it remains unclear whether sex differences influence the association between vascular endothelial function and renal prognosis.

METHODS

To clarify the relationship between vascular endothelial function and longitudinal eGFR changes in male and female patients with cardiovascular risk factors, we retrospectively evaluated 341 patients (176 males and 165 females) with cardiovascular risk factors in whom vascular function was assessed by flow-mediated dilation (FMD) and brachial-ankle pulse wave velocity (baPWV) and in whom 24-month longitudinal eGFR values were recorded after the vascular function examinations. Associations of values of FMD and baPWV with values of eGFR slope were statistically analyzed.

RESULTS

Simple regression analysis showed that the value of FMD was positively associated with eGFR slope in females (p=0.001) and non-smoking males (p=0.033) but not in smoking males. Multiple regression analysis showed that the value of FMD remains a positive contributor for eGFR slope in females (p=0.001) and non-smoking males (p=0.045) but not in smoking males. In contrast, values of baPWV had no significant association with eGFR slope regardless of sex and cigarette smoking.

CONCLUSIONS

In individuals with cardiovascular risk factors, evaluation of vascular endothelial function enables prediction of renal prognosis in females and non-smoking males.

Association between estimated glomerular filtration rate slope and cardiovascular disease among individuals with and without diabetes: a prospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

Previous studies have reported an association between a significant decline in estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) over time and an increased risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD). This study aimed to investigate the association between the eGFR slope and CVD among individuals with and without diabetes.

METHODS

This prospective cohort study was conducted within the Tehran Lipid and Glucose Study (TLGS) framework. We studied 6919 adults aged 20-70 years, including 985 with diabetes and 5934 without diabetes. The eGFR slope was determined based on repeated measurements of eGFR through linear mixed-effects models. A multivariable Cox proportional hazard model was employed to evaluate the association between eGFR slope, both in continuous and categorical form, and the risk of CVD.

RESULTS

The slopes of eGFR exhibited a bell-shaped distribution, with a mean (standard deviation (SD)) of -0.63 (0.13) and - 0.70 (0.14) ml/min per 1.73 m2 per year in individuals with and without diabetes, respectively. During a median follow-up of 8.22 years, following the 9-year eGFR slope ascertainment period, a total of 551 CVD events (195 in patients with diabetes) were observed. Among individuals with diabetes, a steeper decline in eGFR slope was significantly associated with a higher risk of CVD events, even after adjusting for baseline eGFR, demographic factors, and traditional risk factors for CVD; slopes of (-1.05 to -0.74) and (-0.60 to -0.52) were associated with 2.12 and %64 higher risks for CVD, respectively, compared with a slope of (-0.51 to 0.16). Among individuals without diabetes, the annual eGFR slope did not show a significant association with the risk of CVD.

CONCLUSION

Monitoring the eGFR slope may serve as a potential predictor of CVD risk in individuals with diabetes.

Blood pressure and vascular determinants of glomerular filtration rate decline in diabetic kidney disease

Objective

In patients with type 2 diabetes and diabetic kidney disease (DKD), explore the relationship between estimated glomerular filtration rate decline (eGFR-d) and simultaneously assessed vascular risk markers including office, ambulatory or central blood pressure, pulse pressure, carotid-femoral pulse wave velocity (PWV), carotid intima-media thickness (IMT) and renal resistive indexes (RRI).

Research design and methods

At baseline, vascular risk markers were measured in addition to the routine clinical workup. The eGFR-d was based on 2000-2019 creatinine values. Parameters were compared by eGFR-d quartiles. Regression models of eGFR-d and vascular markers were assessed.

Results

In total, 135 patients were included. Mean age was 63.8 ± 10.8y, baseline eGFR 60.2 ± 26.4 ml/min/1.73 m2 and urine albumin-creatinine ratio (ACR) 49 ± 108 mg/mmol. Mean eGFR-d was based on 43 ± 39 creatinine values within a time span of 7.0 ± 1.9y. The average yearly eGFR decline was -1.8 ± 3.0 ml/min/1.73 m2 ranging from -5.8 ± 2.3 in the first quartile to +1.4 ± 1.7 in the fourth quartile. Mean 24 h systolic (SBP) and diastolic (DBP) blood pressure were 126 ± 17 and 74 ± 9 mmHg. Mean PWV was 11.8 ± 2.8 m/s, RRI 0.76 ± 0.07 and IMT 0.77 ± 0.21 mm. SBP and pulse pressure correlated with eGFR-d but not DBP. 24 h SBP stood out as a stronger predictor of eGFR-d than office or central SBP. PWV and RRI correlated with eGFR decline in univariate, but not multivariate regression models including 24 SBP and ACR.

Conclusions

In this study, eGFR decline was highly variable in patients with type 2 diabetes and DKD. Twenty-four hour SBP provided an added value to the routine measurement of ACR in predicting eGFR decline, whereas PWV and RRI did not.

Rapid kidney function decline and increased risk of heart failure in patients with type 2 diabetes: findings from the ACCORD cohort : Rapid kidney function decline and heart failure in T2D

BACKGROUND

Impaired kidney function and albuminuria are associated with increased risk of heart failure (HF) in patients with type 2 diabetes (T2D). We investigated whether rapid kidney function decline over time is an additional determinant of increased HF risk in patients with T2D, independent of baseline kidney function, albuminuria, and other HF predictors.

METHODS

Included in the study were 7,539 participants in the Action to Control Cardiovascular Risk in Diabetes (ACCORD) study with baseline urinary albumin-to-creatinine ratio (UACR) data, who had completed 4 years of follow-up and had ≥ 3 eGFR measurements during that period (median eGFR/year = 1.9, IQR 1.7-3.2). The association between rapid kidney function decline (eGFR loss ≥ 5 ml/min/1.73 m2/year) and odds of HF hospitalization or HF death during the first 4 years of follow-up was estimated by logistic regression. The improvement in risk discrimination provided by adding rapid kidney function decline to other HF risk factors was evaluated as the increment in the area under the Receiving Operating Characteristics curve (ROC AUC) and integrated discrimination improvement (IDI).

RESULTS

Over 4 years of follow-up, 1,573 participants (20.9%) experienced rapid kidney function decline and 255 (3.4%) experienced a HF event. Rapid kidney function decline was associated with a ~ 3.2-fold increase in HF odds (3.23, 95% CI, 2.51-4.16, p < 0.0001), independent of baseline CVD history. This estimate was not attenuated by adjustment for potential confounders, including eGFR and UACR at baseline as well as at censoring (3.74; 95% CI 2.63-5.31). Adding rapid kidney function decline during follow-up to other clinical predictors (WATCH-DM score, eGFR, and UACR at study entry and end of follow-up) improved HF risk classification (ROC AUC = + 0.02, p = 0.027; relative IDI = + 38%, p < 0.0001).

CONCLUSIONS

In patients with T2D, rapid kidney function decline is associated with a marked increase in HF risk, independent of starting kidney function and/or albuminuria. These findings highlight the importance of serial eGFR measurements over time to improve HF risk estimation in T2D.

Coronary Artery Bypass Grafting in Patients with Chronic Kidney Disease: Chronic Kidney Disease Has an Independent Adverse Effect on the Long-Term Outcome of Coronary Artery Bypass Grafting

We examined short- and long-term outcomes of coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) in patients with ischemic heart disease and the effect of renal function on these outcomes. We included 2783 patients who underwent primary elective CABG at a single institution between 2002 and 2020 (age: 67.6 ± 10.2 years; male: 2281 male). They were stratified based on their preoperative estimated glomerular filtration rate and underwent off-pump CABG (completion rate, 98.1%); 57.6% cases used bilateral internal thoracic arteries (BITA). In-hospital mortality rate was 1.0%. Logistic regression analysis revealed that low left ventricular function (<40%), but not chronic kidney disease (CKD) severity, was an independent predictive risk factor for postoperative hospital mortality. Significant differences existed in respiratory complications, infections, and hospitalization duration according to CKD severity. Deep sternal wound infection rate was 0.5%. The mean follow-up period was 7.1 (0–18.5) years. Estimated 10-year survival rates were negatively correlated with CKD severity; in the Cox hazard model, severe CKD was an independent predictor of long-term survival. We examined the relationship between preoperative and intraoperative factors and their effects on long-term survival using propensity score matching by dividing the renal function severity into G1–2 and G3–5. Renal function severity, age, and operative time were independent risk factors. No prognostic improvement was observed with BITA grafts; graft patency was superior in the right internal thoracic artery (52/52; 100%) than in the great saphenous vein (48/59; 81.4%) in G5. Post-CABG in-hospital mortality was unrelated to renal function, but CKD severity strongly influenced long-term survival. Operation time was an important predictor of long-term prognosis in patients with impaired renal function. Treatment plans, including graft and anastomosis-site selections, should be designed to shorten the operation time. In conclusion, using the right internal thoracic artery in CABG is more beneficial in patients with CKD and cardiovascular comorbidities.