1
|
Yu X, Zhang J, Zhang Y, Zhao X, Xu Z, Wang L, Hou C, Zhang L, Ling X. Influence of endoscopic sphincterotomy on hepatolithiasis with Oddi sphincter-preserved cholangioplasty with hepatico-subcutaneous stoma: A three-decade, real word cohort study. JOURNAL OF HEPATO-BILIARY-PANCREATIC SCIENCES 2025; 32:168-176. [PMID: 39801321 DOI: 10.1002/jhbp.12107] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 02/25/2025]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Hepatolithiasis frequently presents with recurring cholangitis and complications. Oddi sphincter-preserved cholangioplasty with hepatico-subcutaneous stoma (OSPCHS), introduced in 1993, has shown favorable long-term results. Endoscopic sphincterotomy (EST) is commonly used, but its impact on OSPCHS outcomes remains unclear. METHODS From January 1993 to June 2021, 254 patients with hepatolithiasis underwent OSPCHS. A total of 31 patients had prior EST (group with EST, n = 31), while 223 did not (group without EST, n = 223). Perioperative and long-term outcomes were compared, and risk factors for stone and cholangitis recurrence were analyzed using a Cox regression model. RESULTS The immediate and final stone clearance rates were 67.3% and 81.9%, respectively. Patients with prior EST had higher rates of stone recurrence (57.7% vs. 35.7%, p = .031), shorter stone-free duration (median: 51.5 vs. 112.0 months, p = .001), higher cholangitis recurrence (45.2% vs. 25.6%, p = .023), and shorter cholangitis-free duration (median: 71.0 vs. 134.0 months, p = .006). Multivariable analysis identified bilateral intrahepatic stones (HR: 1.815, p = .010) and prior EST (HR: 3.157, p = .000) as independent risk factors for stone recurrence, whereas combined hepatectomy was a protective factor (HR: 0.448, p = .001). For cholangitis recurrence, male gender (HR: 2.308, p = .001) and EST (HR: 2.241, p = .009) were independent risk factors, while complete stone clearance reduced recurrence risk (HR: 0.423, p = .002). CONCLUSION Prior EST adversely affects the long-term outcomes of OSPCHS. Therefore, in the management of hepatolithiasis, emphasis should be placed on preserving the Oddi sphincter.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Xue Yu
- Department of General Surgery, Peking University Third Hospital, Beijing, China
| | - Jie Zhang
- Department of General Surgery, Peking University Third Hospital, Beijing, China
| | - Yunyi Zhang
- Department of General Surgery, Peking University Third Hospital, Beijing, China
| | - Xiaoyu Zhao
- Department of General Surgery, Peking University Third Hospital, Beijing, China
| | - Zhi Xu
- Department of General Surgery, Peking University Third Hospital, Beijing, China
| | - Lixin Wang
- Department of General Surgery, Peking University Third Hospital, Beijing, China
| | - Chunsheng Hou
- Department of General Surgery, Peking University Third Hospital, Beijing, China
| | - Lingfu Zhang
- Department of General Surgery, Peking University Third Hospital, Beijing, China
| | - Xiaofeng Ling
- Department of General Surgery, Peking University Third Hospital, Beijing, China
| |
Collapse
|
2
|
Li Z, Zhang Y, Chen Z, Chen J, Hou H, Wang C, Lu Z, Wang X, Geng X, Liu F. Correlation analysis and recurrence evaluation system for patients with recurrent hepatolithiasis: a multicentre retrospective study. Front Digit Health 2024; 6:1510674. [PMID: 39664398 PMCID: PMC11631919 DOI: 10.3389/fdgth.2024.1510674] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/13/2024] [Accepted: 10/30/2024] [Indexed: 12/13/2024] Open
Abstract
Background Methods for accurately predicting the prognosis of patients with recurrent hepatolithiasis (RH) after biliary surgery are lacking. This study aimed to develop a model that dynamically predicts the risk of hepatolithiasis recurrence using a machine-learning (ML) approach based on multiple clinical high-order correlation data. Materials and methods Data from patients with RH who underwent surgery at five centres between January 2015 and December 2020 were collected and divided into training and testing sets. Nine predictive models, which we named the Correlation Analysis and Recurrence Evaluation System (CARES), were developed and compared using machine learning (ML) methods to predict the patients' dynamic recurrence risk within 5 post-operative years. We adopted a k-fold cross validation with k = 10 and tested model performance on a separate testing set. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve was used to evaluate the performance of the models, and the significance and direction of each predictive variable were interpreted and justified based on Shapley Additive Explanations. Results Models based on ML methods outperformed those based on traditional regression analysis in predicting the recurrent risk of patients with RH, with Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) and Light Gradient Boosting Machine (LightGBM) showing the best performance, both yielding an AUC (Area Under the receiver operating characteristic Curve) of∼0.9 or higher at predictions. These models were proved to have even better performance on testing sets than in a 10-fold cross validation, indicating that the model was not overfitted. The SHAP method revealed that immediate stone clearance, final stone clearance, number of previous surgeries, and preoperative CA19-9 index were the most important predictors of recurrence after reoperation in RH patients. An online version of the CARES model was implemented. Conclusion The CARES model was firstly developed based on ML methods and further encapsulated into an online version for predicting the recurrence of patients with RH after hepatectomy, which can guide clinical decision-making and personalised postoperative surveillance.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Zihan Li
- Department of General Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Anhui Medical University, Hefei, China
- Cardiology Division, Department of Medicine, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China
| | - Yibo Zhang
- Department of Analytics, Marketing and Operations, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom
| | - Zixiang Chen
- Department of General Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Anhui Medical University, Hefei, China
| | - Jiangming Chen
- Department of General Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Anhui Medical University, Hefei, China
| | - Hui Hou
- Department of General Surgery, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Anhui Medical University, Hefei, China
| | - Cheng Wang
- Department of General Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of the University of Science and Technology of China, Hefei, China
| | - Zheng Lu
- Department of General Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Bengbu Medical College, Bengbu, China
| | - Xiaoming Wang
- Department of General Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Wannan Medical College, Wuhu, China
| | - Xiaoping Geng
- Department of General Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Anhui Medical University, Hefei, China
| | - Fubao Liu
- Department of General Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Anhui Medical University, Hefei, China
| |
Collapse
|
3
|
Yuan C, Yang D, Xu L, Liu J, Li H, Yu X, Zou S, Wang K, Hu Z. Nomogram predicting surgical risk of laparoscopic left-sided hepatectomy for hepatolithiasis. Langenbecks Arch Surg 2023; 408:357. [PMID: 37704787 DOI: 10.1007/s00423-023-03099-6] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/26/2023] [Accepted: 09/07/2023] [Indexed: 09/15/2023]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE To explore the surgical risk factors of laparoscopic left-sided hepatectomy for hepatolithiasis and establish and validate a nomogram to estimate the corresponding surgical risks. METHODS Patients with hepatolithiasis who underwent laparoscopic left-sided hepatectomy were retrospectively enrolled. Demographic data, clinicopathological parameters, and surgical factors were collected. Three hundred fifty-three patients were enrolled and randomly divided into training set (n=267) and validation set (n=86) by 3:1. Conversion to laparotomy was used as a surrogate index to evaluate the surgical risk. Univariate analysis was used to screen potential surgical risk factors, and multivariate analysis using logistic regression model was used to screen independent surgical risk factors. Nomogram predicting the surgical risks was established based on the independent risk factors. Discrimination, calibration, decision curve, and clinical impact analyses were used to evaluate the performance of the nomogram on the statistical and clinical aspects both in the training and validation sets. RESULTS Five independent surgical risk factors were identified in the training set, including recurrent abdominal pain, bile duct stricture, ASA classification ≥2, extent of liver resection, and biliary tract T tube drainage. No collinearity was found among these five factors, and a nomogram was established. Performance analyses of the nomogram showed good discrimination (AUC=0.850 and 0.817) and calibration (Hosmer-Lemeshow test, p=0.530 and 0.930) capabilities both in the training and validation sets. Decision curve and clinical impact analyses also showed that the prediction performance was clinically valuable. CONCLUSIONS A nomogram was established and validated to be effective in evaluating and predicting the surgical risk of patients undergoing laparoscopic left-sided hepatectomies for hepatolithiasis.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Chen Yuan
- Hepato-Biliary-Pancreatic Surgery Division, Department of General Surgery, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Nanchang University, Nanchang, 330006, China
- Jiangxi Provincial Clinical Research Center for General Surgery Disease, Nanchang, China
- Jiangxi Provincial Engineering Research Center for Hepatobiliary Disease, Nanchang, China
| | - Dongxiao Yang
- Hepato-Biliary-Pancreatic Surgery Division, Department of General Surgery, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Nanchang University, Nanchang, 330006, China
- Jiangxi Provincial Clinical Research Center for General Surgery Disease, Nanchang, China
- Jiangxi Provincial Engineering Research Center for Hepatobiliary Disease, Nanchang, China
| | - Linlong Xu
- Hepato-Biliary-Pancreatic Surgery Division, Department of General Surgery, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Nanchang University, Nanchang, 330006, China
- Jiangxi Provincial Clinical Research Center for General Surgery Disease, Nanchang, China
- Jiangxi Provincial Engineering Research Center for Hepatobiliary Disease, Nanchang, China
| | - Jia Liu
- Hepato-Biliary-Pancreatic Surgery Division, Department of General Surgery, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Nanchang University, Nanchang, 330006, China
- Jiangxi Provincial Clinical Research Center for General Surgery Disease, Nanchang, China
- Jiangxi Provincial Engineering Research Center for Hepatobiliary Disease, Nanchang, China
| | - Huaiyang Li
- Hepato-Biliary-Pancreatic Surgery Division, Department of General Surgery, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Nanchang University, Nanchang, 330006, China
- Jiangxi Provincial Clinical Research Center for General Surgery Disease, Nanchang, China
- Jiangxi Provincial Engineering Research Center for Hepatobiliary Disease, Nanchang, China
| | - Xin Yu
- Hepato-Biliary-Pancreatic Surgery Division, Department of General Surgery, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Nanchang University, Nanchang, 330006, China
- Jiangxi Provincial Clinical Research Center for General Surgery Disease, Nanchang, China
- Jiangxi Provincial Engineering Research Center for Hepatobiliary Disease, Nanchang, China
| | - Shubing Zou
- Hepato-Biliary-Pancreatic Surgery Division, Department of General Surgery, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Nanchang University, Nanchang, 330006, China
- Jiangxi Provincial Clinical Research Center for General Surgery Disease, Nanchang, China
- Jiangxi Provincial Engineering Research Center for Hepatobiliary Disease, Nanchang, China
| | - Kai Wang
- Hepato-Biliary-Pancreatic Surgery Division, Department of General Surgery, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Nanchang University, Nanchang, 330006, China.
- Jiangxi Provincial Clinical Research Center for General Surgery Disease, Nanchang, China.
- Jiangxi Provincial Engineering Research Center for Hepatobiliary Disease, Nanchang, China.
| | - Zhigang Hu
- Hepato-Biliary-Pancreatic Surgery Division, Department of General Surgery, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Nanchang University, Nanchang, 330006, China.
- Jiangxi Provincial Clinical Research Center for General Surgery Disease, Nanchang, China.
- Jiangxi Provincial Engineering Research Center for Hepatobiliary Disease, Nanchang, China.
| |
Collapse
|
4
|
Zhang J, Xu Z, Wang L, Hou C, Wang G, Cui L, Zhang L, Ling X, Xiu D. Long-term outcomes of surgical approaches for bilateral hepatolithiasis: A real-world six-decade experience at a single center. JOURNAL OF HEPATO-BILIARY-PANCREATIC SCIENCES 2022; 29:994-1003. [PMID: 35794790 DOI: 10.1002/jhbp.1204] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/05/2022] [Revised: 05/14/2022] [Accepted: 05/22/2022] [Indexed: 11/06/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Bilateral hepatolithiasis is an intractable disease and repeated attacks of acute cholangitis seriously threaten patient health. The surgical approaches evolve along with gradually greater understanding of its pathophysiology. METHODS This is a retrospective cohort study for bilateral hepatolithiasis from January 1958 to December 2018. Before May 1993 (Group A, n = 70), three surgical approaches were adopted: 37 patients with common bile duct exploration (CBDE), 29 with choledochoenterostomy (CE) and four with partial hepatectomy (PH). After June 1993 (Group B, n = 150), 101 patients underwent Oddi sphincter-preserved cholangioplasty with hepatico-subcutaneous stoma (OSPCHS), and 16 with CBDE, 21 with CE, 12 with PH. The perioperative and long-term outcomes were compared. RESULTS After 1993, the cholangitis recurrence rate significantly decreased from 49.2% to 20.9%, and the stone recurrence rate from 76.3% to 37.1% (both P < .001). Also, the stone-/cholangitis-free durations were prolonged significantly (median: 50.8 vs 26.4/49.6 vs 16.2 months, both P < .001). Preoperative cholangitis was an independent risk factor for stone recurrence (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.863, P = .018), and residual stone for cholangitis recurrence (HR = 2.838, P < .001). OSPCHS and PH were protective surgical approaches for recurrent stone (CBDE: reference; OSPCHS: HR = .469, P = .016, PH: HR = .219, P = .018) and cholangitis (CBDE: reference; OSPCHS: HR = .421, P = .010, PH: HR = .283, P = .093). CONCLUSIONS For bilateral hepatolithiasis, the management should focus on hepatobiliary lesion eradication and Oddi sphincter function preservation.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Jie Zhang
- Department of General Surgery, Peking University Third Hospital, Beijing, China
| | - Zhi Xu
- Department of General Surgery, Peking University Third Hospital, Beijing, China
| | - Lixin Wang
- Department of General Surgery, Peking University Third Hospital, Beijing, China
| | - Chunsheng Hou
- Department of General Surgery, Peking University Third Hospital, Beijing, China
| | - Gang Wang
- Department of General Surgery, Peking University Third Hospital, Beijing, China
| | - Long Cui
- Department of General Surgery, Peking University Third Hospital, Beijing, China
| | - Lingfu Zhang
- Department of General Surgery, Peking University Third Hospital, Beijing, China
| | - Xiaofeng Ling
- Department of General Surgery, Peking University Third Hospital, Beijing, China
| | - Dianrong Xiu
- Department of General Surgery, Peking University Third Hospital, Beijing, China
| |
Collapse
|