[Analysis on the ' late diagnosis' (LD) phenomena among newly identified HIV/AIDS cases in China, 2010-2014]

The impact of COVID-19 lockdown on cases and deaths of AIDS, gonorrhea, syphilis, hepatitis B, and hepatitis C in China: an interrupted time series analysis

BACKGROUND

China has implemented nationwide lockdown to contain COVID-19 from an early stage. Previous studies of the impact of COVID-19 on sexually transmitted diseases (STDs) and diseases caused by blood-borne viruses (BBVs) in China have yielded widely disparate results, and study on deaths attributable to STDs and BBVs are scarce.

OBJECTIVE

We aimed to elucidate the impact of COVID-19 lockdown on the cases, deaths, and case-fatality ratios of STDs and BBVs.

METHODS

We extracted the monthly cases and deaths data for AIDS, gonorrhea, syphilis, hepatitis B, and hepatitis C between January 2015 and December 2021 from the notifiable disease reporting database on the official website of the National Health Commission of China. We used descriptive statistics to summarize the number of cases and deaths, and calculated incidence and case-fatality ratios before and after implementing nationwide lockdown (January 2020). We used negative binominal segmented regression models to estimate the immediate and long-term impacts of lockdown on cases, deaths, and case-fatality ratios in January 2020 and December 2021, respectively.

RESULTS

A total of 14,800,330 cases and 127,030 deaths of AIDS, gonorrhea, syphilis, hepatitis B, and hepatitis C were reported from January 2015 to December 2021, with an incidence of 149.11/100,000 before lockdown and 151.41/100,000 after lockdown , and a case-fatality ratio of 8.21/1000 before lockdown and 9.50/1000 after lockdown . In the negative binominal model, AIDS cases (-23.4%; 0.766, 0.626-0.939) and deaths (-23.9%; 0.761, 0.647-0.896), gonorrhea cases (-34.3%; 0.657, 0.524-0.823), syphilis cases (-15.4%; 0.846, 0.763-0.937), hepatitis B cases (-17.5%; 0.825, 0.726-0.937) and hepatitis C cases (-19.6%; 0.804, 0.693-0.933) showed significant decreases in January 2020. Gonorrhea, syphilis and hepatitis C showed small increases in the number of deaths or case-fatality ratios in January 2020. By December 2021, the cases, deaths, and case-fatality ratios for each disease had either reached or remained below expected levels.

CONCLUSIONS

COVID-19 lockdown may have contributed to fewer reported cases of AIDS, gonorrhea, syphilis, hepatitis B, and hepatitis C, and more reported deaths or case-fatality ratios of gonorrhea, syphilis and hepatitis C in China.

CLINICALTRIAL

Real-world data in late presentation of HIV infection in Suzhou, China: Results from four consecutive cross-sectional surveys, 2017-2020

Objectives

This study aimed to examine the real prevalence of late presentation of HIV infection and to identify factors associated with late HIV presentation among patients with newly diagnosed HIV/AIDS in Suzhou, China.

Methods

Patients with newly diagnosed HIV/AIDS who registered in national AIDS surveillance system from 2017 to 2020 were included in this study. Late presentation (LP) of HIV infection was defined as HIV diagnosis with a CD4 count < 350 cells/μL or an AIDS-defining event. Multivariable logistic regression analyses were used to identify factors associated with LP.

Results

A total of 2,300 patients were enrolled. 1,325 were classified as late presenters, showing a high percentage of 57.6% (95% CI: 54.5-60.7%) and a rise (P = 0.004) over the four-year period. Patients with newly diagnosed HIV/AIDS who were older than 24 years of age (aOR = 1.549, P = 0.001 for 25-39 years; aOR = 2.389, P < 0.001 for 40 years and older), were Suzhou registered residents (aOR = 1.259, P = 0.026), and were from inpatient and outpatient (aOR = 1.935, P < 0.001) were more likely to be late presentation.

Conclusions

This study showed a high percentage and a rise of late presentation of HIV infection among patients with newly diagnosed HIV/AIDS in Suzhou, China, which is a challenge for future prevention and control of AIDS. Targeted measures should be urgently implemented to reduce late HIV diagnosis.

Young MSM changed temporal HIV-1 epidemic pattern in Heilongjiang Province, China

Background

Human immunodeficiency virus type 1 (HIV-1) epidemic in China is featured by geographical diversity of epidemic patterns. Understanding the characteristics of regional HIV-1 epidemic allows carrying out targeted prevention and controlling measures. This seven-year cross-sectional study was conducted in Heilongjiang, one province of Northeast China, where newly diagnosed infection is fast increasing yearly, but temporal HIV-1 epidemic trend is largely unknown.

Methods

Information of 1,006 newly diagnosed HIV-1-infected participants were collected before antiretroviral therapy during 2010-2016 in Heilongjiang province. HIV-1 genotype was identified based on the viral gag and env gene sequences. Recent infection was determined by Limiting-Antigen Avidity assays. Comparison analyses on the median ages, CD4 counts, proportions of stratified age groups and CD4 count groups, and rates of recent HIV-1 infection among different population and sampling times were performed to understand temporal HIV-1 epidemic features.

Results

Homosexual contact among men who have sex with men (MSM) was the main transmission route and CRF01_AE was the most dominant HIV-1 genotype. During 2010-2016, the HIV-1 epidemic showed three new changes: the median age continued to decline, the cases with a CD4 count more than 500 cells/μl (CD4hi cases) disproportionally expanded, and the recent HIV-1 infection rate steadily increased. MSM cases determined the temporal trend of HIV-1 epidemic here. Increase of young MSM cases (aged <30 years) made the main contribution to the younger age trend of MSM cases. These young MSM exhibited a higher median CD4 count, a higher proportion of CD4hi cases, and a higher rate of recent HIV-1 infection than cases aged 30 years and more. MSM infected by CRF01_AE virus mostly affected HIV-1 epidemic patterns among MSM population.

Conclusion

Young MSM have become a new hotspot and vulnerable group for HIV-1 transmission in Heilongjiang Province, Northeast China. The rapid increase in the number of young MSM cases, mainly those with CRF01_AE infection, changed temporal HIV-1 epidemic pattern here. Measures for prevention and control of HIV-1 infection among this population are urgently needed in the future.

Trends in rates and causes of hospitalization among people living with HIV in the antiretroviral therapy era: A retrospective cohort study in China, 2008-2020

Background

The introduction of antiretroviral therapy (ART) has resulted in marked reductions in morbidity among people living with HIV (PLWH). Monitoring the hospitalizations of PLWH is important in evaluating the quality of healthcare and forecasting the co-morbidity pattern. We aimed to describe the trends in the rates and causes of hospitalization among PLWH who initiated ART in an HIV-designated hospital in China.

Methods

PLWH who initiated ART and were hospitalized in Beijing Ditan Hospital from 2008 to 2020 were selected for the study. Hospitalizations were classified based on AIDS-defining events (ADEs), non-AIDS-defining events (nADEs), and other causes. Hospitalization rates were calculated in terms of person-years, with risk factors determined by Poisson regression. The proportion of hospitalization causes at different ART treatment statuses was also evaluated.

Results

A total of 9,404 patients (94.7% were male patients) were included, contributing to 49,419 person-years. Overall, 1,551 PLWH were hospitalized for 2,667 hospitalization events, among which 60.4% of hospitalizations were due to ADEs, 11.4% were due to nADEs, and 28.2% were due to other causes. Unadjusted hospitalization rates decreased for all causes and all three diagnostic categories with year. After adjusting for the variables that changed substantially over time, ADE-related [IRR, 1.01 (0.96-1.05)] and nADE-related hospitalization rates [IRR, 0.92 (0.84-1.01)] appeared stable. Hospitalization for ADEs constituted an increasing proportion over time (36.3% in 2008-57.4% in 2020), especially in ART-naive inpatients (43.8% in 2008-83.3% in 2020). The proportion of nADE-related hospitalizations remained low (9.0% in 2008-15.4% in 2020). Hospitalization rate was highest for patients treated with ART during the first 6 months after ART initiation (46.2%) when ADEs were still the leading cause of hospitalizations (30.6%). Older age, non-men who have sex with men transmission, late presenters, HIV viral load (VL) > 50 copies/mL, and CD4 counts ≤ 200 cells/μL were associated with a higher hospitalization risk (all P < 0.05).

Conclusion

Despite some progress, ADEs remain the most common and serious problem among PLWH in China. In order to avoid deteriorating to the stage of needing hospitalization, more work is needed to diagnose and treat HIV infection earlier.

Talaromyces marneffei is the Persistent Overwhelming Bloodstream Infection Pathogen Among HIV Inpatients in Fujian, China

Purpose

This study aimed to investigate the epidemiology and etiological spectrums of BSI in Fujian over the past 6 years in the post antiretroviral treatment (ART) era.

Methods

A retrospective, observational study was conducted to include positive BSI inpatients with HIV between September 2015 and August 2021 in Mengchao Hepatobiliary Hospital of Fujian Medical University, the largest designated HIV/AIDS care hospital in Fujian, China. Demographic data and laboratory data including gender, age, blood cell counts, biochemistry results, CD4 and CD8 cell counts, HIV-RNA loads, pathogen isolates, procalcitonin (PCT) levels and c-reactive protein (CRP) levels were collected. Continuous variables were expressed as median (range) and Kruskal–Wallis or Mann–Whitney test was used to analyze the differences between groups. Categorical data were expressed as numbers (percentage) and the differences between groups were analyzed by Pearson’s chi-squared test.

Results

In total, 3681 HIV inpatients with blood culture data were included and 683 strains identified from 646 inpatients were further analyzed. The median age of patients was 38 years and male accounted for 86.84%. The pooled prevalence of BSI was 18.55% (12.01%–22.36% during the six-year period). The overall isolated rate of Talaromyces marneffei (TM) in blood culture was 12.42% (8.3%–15.00% during the study period). TM was the persistent dominant BSI pathogen from 2015 to 2021 (accounting for 63.04% to 71.43%), followed by Cryptococcus neoformans (responsible for 10.00% to 20.83%). Compared to patients with other organisms BSI, those with TM BSI were younger and had lower CD4 counts, WBC counts, HB and CRP level, but higher HIVRNA loads.

Conclusion

BSI is still a major problem in the post ART era in hospitalized patients with HIV/AIDS in Fujian, China. TM is the predominant pathogen. This underlines the importance of an early diagnosis of opportunistic pathogen to avoid BSI in HIV-infected populations with a low immune status.

The Epidemic of Sexually Transmitted Diseases Under the Influence of COVID-19 in China

Background: Prevention and control of HIV/AIDS and other sexually transmitted diseases (STDs) are major public health priorities in China, but are influenced by the COVID-19 epidemic. In this study, we aimed to quantitatively explore the impact of the COVID-19 epidemic and its control measures on five major STD epidemics in China.

Methods: A monthly number of newly reported cases of HIV/AIDS, hepatitis B and C, gonorrhea, and syphilis from January 2010 to December 2020 were extracted to establish autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) models. Each month's absolute percentage error (APE) between the actual value and model-predicted value of each STD in 2020 was calculated to evaluate the influence of the COVID-19 epidemic on the STDs. Pearson correlation analysis was conducted to explore the confirmed COVID-19 case numbers and the COVID-19 control measures' correlations with the case numbers and the APEs of five STDs in 2020.

Results: The actual number of five STDs in China was more than 50% lower than the predicted number in the early days of the COVID-19 epidemic, especially in February. Among them, the actual number of cases of hepatitis C, gonorrhea, and syphilis in February 2020 was more than 100% lower than the predicted number (APE was −102.3, −109.0, and −100.4%, respectively). After the sharply declines of STDs' reported cases in early 2020, the case numbers recovered quickly after March. The epidemic of STDs was negatively associated with the COVID-19 epidemic and its control measures, especially for restrictions on gathering size, close public transport, and stay-at-home requirements (p < 0.05).

Conclusion: COVID-19 had a significant but temporary influence on the STD epidemic in China. The effective control of COVID-19 is vital for STD prevention. STD services need to be improved to prevent STDs from becoming a secluded corner in the shadow of COVID-19.

HIV/AIDS late presentation and its associated factors in China from 2010 to 2020: a systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Late presentation to HIV/AIDS care presents serious health concerns, like increased transmission and high healthcare costs, increased mortality, early development of opportunistic infection, increased risk of antiretroviral therapy drug resistance. Despite the effort to contain the HIV/AIDS epidemic, LP has remained an impediment to individual immune reconstitution and public health.

OBJECTIVE

This review aimed to estimate the prevalence and determine the factors associated with late presentation to HIV/AIDS care.

METHODS

We searched PubMed, Web of Science, China National Knowledge Infrastructure (CNKI), Chinese Wanfang, and Weipu database for articles published from 2010 to 2020. We utilized I2 statistics and Q-test to estimate heterogeneity between studies. Random-effects meta-analysis models were used to calculate the aggregate odds ratio of late presentation to HIV/AIDS care.

RESULTS

Of 9563 titles and abstracts retrieved, 189 were identified as potentially eligible and 39 fulfilled the inclusion criteria. The pooled prevalence of late presentation to HIV/AIDS care was 43.26%. The major risk factors were patients ≥ 50 years old (OR = 2.19, 95% CI: 1.85-2.58; I2 = 97.44%), married (OR = 1.50, 95% CI: 1.35-1.68; I2 = 96.58%), with heterosexual contact as risk factor for infection (OR = 1.91, 95% CI: 1.73-2.11; I2 = 90.74%) and diagnosed in medical institutions (OR = 2.35,95% CI: 2.11-2.62; I2 = 96.05%). In middle or low HIV prevalence areas, patients ≥ 50 years old (P = 0.01), married (P < 0.01) and diagnosed in medical institutions (P = 0.01) were more likely to be presented late than in high prevalence areas. From 2016-2020, the OR of patients who were married and diagnosed in medical facilities were significantly lower than before (P < 0.01).

CONCLUSION

Patients ≥ 50 years old, married, with heterosexual contact as risk factor for infection, and diagnosed in medical institutions were risk factors of LP. Gender had no significant relationship with LP. In middle or low prevalence areas, patients who were ≥ 50 years old, married, and diagnosed in medical institutions were more likely to be presented late than in other areas. Married patients and those diagnosed in medical institutions after 2015 have a lower risk of LP than before.

Declining trend in HIV new infections in Guangxi, China: insights from linking reported HIV/AIDS cases with CD4-at-diagnosis data

Background

The Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region bears a relatively high burden of HIV/AIDS infection. The number of accumulatively reported HIV/AIDS cases in Guangxi is the third highest among 31 provinces or Autonomous Region from 2004 to 2007, changed to the second highest between 2011 and 2013, then returned to the third highest again after 2014. We aim to estimate the new infections and evaluate the real-time HIV epidemic in Guangxi, China, in order to reveal the rule of HIV transmission.

Methods

Firstly, the number of annually reported HIV and AIDS cases, as well as the number of cases linked with CD4 data are extracted from the HIV/AIDS information system in China. Secondly, two CD4-staged models are formulated by linking the with-host information on CD4 level to between-host transmission and surveillance data. Thirdly, new HIV infections, diagnosis rates and undiagnosed infections over time are estimated by using Bayesian method and Maximum Likelihood Estimation method.

Results

The data reveal that the newly reported cases have been decreasing since 2011, while lots of cases are identified at late CD4 stage. The data fitted results indicate that both models can describe the trend of the epidemic well. The estimation results show that the new and undiagnosed infections began to decrease from the period2006 - 2008. However, the diagnosis probabilities/rates keep at a very low level, and there are still a large number of infections undiagnosed, most of which have a large probability to be identified at late CD4 stage.

Conclusions

Our findings suggest that HIV/AIDS epidemic in Guangxi has been controlled to a certain extent, while the diagnosis rate still needs to be improved. More attentions should be paid to identify infections at their early CD4 stages. Meanwhile, comprehensive intervention measures should be continually strengthened in avoid of the rebound of new infections.

Demographic characteristics and spatial clusters of recent HIV-1 infections among newly diagnosed HIV-1 cases in Yunnan, China, 2015

BACKGROUND

The characteristics of recent HIV infections can provide the information about the dynamics of HIV transmission. Yunnan is one of the provinces hardest-hit by HIV-1 in China. To further understand the characteristics of the HIV-1 epidemic in Yunnan, we analyzed the prevalence of recent HIV-1 infections among newly diagnosed cases, identified the associated factors and explored the spatial distribution of recent HIV-1 infections.

METHODS

Residual plasma samples from HIV-1 diagnostic tests were preserved. The associated information was collected from China HIV/AIDS case reporting system. Recent HIV-1 infections were estimated by combining the information about disease progression and BED- capture enzyme immunoassay (CEIA). The proportions of recent HIV-1 infections among newly diagnosed cases stratified by demographic characteristics were analyzed. The spatial clusters of recent HIV-1 infections were investigated by spatial scan statistics.

RESULTS

Among 6119 HIV/AIDS cases were newly reported between January 2015 and June 2015 in Yunnan Province, 9.3% (570/6119) were estimated as recent infections. Female, aged below 25 years and homosexual contact were more associated with the higher proportion of recent HIV-1 infections. Among the different demographic sub-groups, men who have sex with men (MSM) aged < 25 years and ≥ 50 years had a higher chance of being diagnosed as recent infections, heterosexually infected men aged ≥25 years had a lower chance of being diagnosed as recent infections. In the sub-groups with different screening approaches, the highest proportion of recent infections (16.1%) was found among women diagnosed by testing during pregnancy and childbirth. In the sub-groups with different contact histories, the higher proportion of recent infections was found among the female cases having commercial heterosexual contacts (16.4%) and MSM (19.7%). The statistically significant spatial clusters of recent infections attributed to heterosexual contact, homosexual contact and intravenous drug injection were identified, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

The investigation of recent HIV infections among newly diagnosed cases supplements the routine HIV surveillance, and reveals the characteristics of ongoing HIV transmission. Our finding identified the potential sub-populations and geographic areas in need of services or improved interventions.

HIV late presentation and advanced HIV disease among patients with newly diagnosed HIV/AIDS in Southwestern China: a large-scale cross-sectional study

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to investigate the prevalence of HIV late presentation and advanced HIV disease and to identify the factors associated with HIV late presentation and advanced HIV disease among patients with newly diagnosed HIV/AIDS in the Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region, in Southwestern China.

METHODS

Patients with newly diagnosed HIV registered in the HIV surveillance system of Guangxi Centers for Disease Control between January 2012 and December 2016 were included in this study.

RESULTS

Of 45,118 newly diagnosed patients, 70.2% had late presentation, and 45.1% had advanced HIV disease. A higher prevalence of late presentation and advanced HIV disease was found in male heterosexuals and female people who use drugs (PWID). Heterosexuals (OR 2.11 [95% CI 1.90-2.34]) and PWID (OR 1.55 [95% CI 1.30-1.84]) had a higher risk of late presentation than men who have sex with men (MSM). Blood testing of the blood receivers (OR 1.75 [95% CI 1.36-2.26]) and diagnosed in hospital (OR 1.74 [95% CI 1.65-1.84]) had an increased risk of late presentation compared to those who diagnosis in voluntary counseling and testing (VCT). Heterosexuals (OR 2.86 [95% CI 2.51-3.27]), PWID (OR 2.23 [95% CI 1.83-2.71]), blood testing of the blood receivers (OR 1.58 [95% CI 1.29-1.94]) and diagnosed in hospital (OR 1.85 [95% CI 1.76-1.94]) were also independent risk factors associated with advanced HIV disease. Older age, lower level of education and being divorced or widowed were also associated with late presentation and advanced HIV disease.

CONCLUSIONS

Late presentation and advanced HIV disease were very common among patients with newly diagnosed HIV in Guangxi, China during 2012-2016. Targeted programs are urgently required to reduce HIV late diagnosis in Guangxi, especially for male heterosexuals, PWID, and patients with characteristics such as older age, lower level of education, divorced or widowed.

Mortality risk in the population of HIV-positive individuals in Southern China: A cohort study

To evaluate the mortality risk in the HIV-positive population, we conducted an observational cohort study involving routine data collection of HIV-positive patients who presented at HIV clinics and multiple treatment centers throughout Guangxi province, Southern China in 2011. The patients were screened for tuberculosis (TB) and tested for hepatitis B (HBV) and C (HCV) virus infections yearly. Following the registration, the cohort was followed up for a 60-month period till the end-point (December 31, 2015). Univariable and multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to analyze the hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence interval (95% CI) for mortality after adjusting for confounding factors stratified by patients’ sociodemographic and behavioral characteristics. HRs were compared within risk-factor levels. With the median follow-up of 3.7-person years for each individual, 5,398 (37.8%) (of 14,293 patients with HIV/AIDS) died; among whom, 78.4% were antiretroviral therapy (ART)-naïve; 43.6% presented late; and 12.2% and 3.3% of patients had Mycobacterium tuberculosis (MTB) and HBV and HCV co-infection, respectively. Of individuals with CD4 counts, those with CD4 count >350 cells/μL formed 14.0% of those who died. Furthermore, gender [multivariable HR (95% CI):1.94 (1.68–2.25)], Han ethnicity [2.15 (1.07–4.32)], illiteracy [3.28 (1.96–5.5)], elementary education [2.91 (1.8–4.72)], late presentation [2.89 (2.46–3.39)], and MTB co-infection [1.28 (1.10–1.49)] strongly increased the all-cause mortality risk of HIV-positive individuals. The HR for ART-based stratification was 0.08 (0.07–0.09); and for HBV and HCV co-infection, HR was 1.02 (0.86–1.21). The findings emphasized that accessibility to HIV testing among high-risk populations and screening for viral hepatitis and TB co-infection are important for the survival of HIV-positive individuals. Initiating early ART, even for individuals with higher CD4 counts, is advisable to help increase the prolongation of lives within the community.