Application of the advanced lung cancer inflammation index for patients with coronavirus disease 2019 pneumonia: Combined risk prediction model with lung cancer inflammation index, computed tomography and chest radiograph

Advanced Lung Cancer Inflammation Index: A Novel Comprehensive Biomarker of Host Status for Patients with Metastatic Colorectal Cancer

Numerous biomarkers that reflect host status have been identified for patients with metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC). However, there has been a paucity of biomarker studies that comprehensively indicate body composition, nutritional assessment, and systemic inflammation status. The advanced lung cancer inflammation index (ALI), initially introduced as a screening tool for patients with non-small-cell lung cancer in 2013, emerges as a holistic marker encompassing all body composition, nutritional status, and systemic inflammation status. The index is calculated by the simple formula: body mass index × albumin value / neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio. Given its accessibility in routine clinical practice, the ALI has exhibited promising clinical utility in prognosticating outcomes for patients with multiple types of cancer. In this review, we focus on the significance of host status and the clinical applicability of the ALI in the treatment and management of patients with malignancies, including mCRC. We also suggest its potential in guiding the formulation of treatment strategies against mCRC and outline future perspectives.

The risk profile of patients with COVID-19 as predictors of lung lesions severity and mortality—Development and validation of a prediction model

Objective

We developed and validated a prediction model based on individuals' risk profiles to predict the severity of lung involvement and death in patients hospitalized with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) infection.

Methods

In this retrospective study, we studied hospitalized COVID-19 patients with data on chest CT scans performed during hospital stay (February 2020-April 2021) in a training dataset (TD) (n = 2,251) and an external validation dataset (eVD) (n = 993). We used the most relevant demographical, clinical, and laboratory variables (n = 25) as potential predictors of COVID-19-related outcomes. The primary and secondary endpoints were the severity of lung involvement quantified as mild (≤25%), moderate (26–50%), severe (>50%), and in-hospital death, respectively. We applied random forest (RF) classifier, a machine learning technique, and multivariable logistic regression analysis to study our objectives.

Results

In the TD and the eVD, respectively, the mean [standard deviation (SD)] age was 57.9 (18.0) and 52.4 (17.6) years; patients with severe lung involvement [n (%):185 (8.2) and 116 (11.7)] were significantly older [mean (SD) age: 64.2 (16.9), and 56.2 (18.9)] than the other two groups (mild and moderate). The mortality rate was higher in patients with severe (64.9 and 38.8%) compared to moderate (5.5 and 12.4%) and mild (2.3 and 7.1%) lung involvement. The RF analysis showed age, C reactive protein (CRP) levels, and duration of hospitalizations as the three most important predictors of lung involvement severity at the time of the first CT examination. Multivariable logistic regression analysis showed a significant strong association between the extent of the severity of lung involvement (continuous variable) and death; adjusted odds ratio (OR): 9.3; 95% CI: 7.1–12.1 in the TD and 2.6 (1.8–3.5) in the eVD.

Conclusion

In hospitalized patients with COVID-19, the severity of lung involvement is a strong predictor of death. Age, CRP levels, and duration of hospitalizations are the most important predictors of severe lung involvement. A simple prediction model based on available clinical and imaging data provides a validated tool that predicts the severity of lung involvement and death probability among hospitalized patients with COVID-19.