Pre-operative granulocyte/lymphocyte ratio as a predictive marker of post-operative complications in patients with colorectal cancer

Investigating the clinical predictive utility of inflammatory markers and nomogram development in colorectal cancer patients with malnutrition

Objective

The aim of this study is to investigate the relationship and prognostic significance of serum neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), systemic immune-inflammatory index (SII), platelet-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), and prognostic nutritional index (PNI) in colorectal cancer (CRC) patients with malnutrition, as well as to construct a nomogram for predicting the onset of malnutrition.

Methods

The clinical data of 391 inpatients who were hospitalized from December 1, 2021 to January 31, 2023 the diagnosis of CRC were selected and divided into a malnutrition group (121 cases) and a well-nourished group (270 cases) according to whether they were malnourished or not. Focusing on comparing the differences in serum NLR, PLR, SII index, PNI index and general information between the two groups, the Binary logistics regression analysis was used to analyze the factors affecting malnutrition, and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were established to assess the predictive value of serum NLR, PLR, SII index, and PNI index individually and jointly for malnutrition, and to calculate the optimal predictive thresholds. Finally a highly accurate clinical predictive nomogram was constructed.

Results

Compared with the well-nourished group, the malnourished group had higher serum NLR, SII index, PLR and lower PNI index levels, with statistically significant differences (p < 0.001). The area under the curve of NLR, SII index, PLR, and PNI index alone and in combination predicted a poor prognosis of 0.705, 0.665, 0.636, 0.773, and 0.784, respectively. After conducting Logistic regression analysis, the nomogram, which included BMI, NRS-2002, long-term bed rest, and PNI, demonstrated strong predictive capabilities. Decision curves highlighted the clinical utility of the predictive nomograms. The receiver operating characteristic curve revealed strong discrimination (area under the curve [AUC] = 0.958, 95% CI: 0.937-0.979). Additionally, the ROC analysis indicated a sensitivity of 0.843 and specificity of 0.937. Calibration curves exhibited excellent concordance between nomogram predictions and observed outcomes. Decision curves highlighted the clinical utility of the predictive nomograms.

Conclusion

Serum NLR, SII index, PLR, and PNI are significant predictive factors for the development of malnutrition in patients with CRC. These indices, whether considered individually or collectively, possess clinical relevance in forecasting malnutrition. Furthermore, the creation of an innovative nomogram prediction model offers considerable clinical utility.

Using preoperative C-reactive protein levels to predict anastomotic leaks and other complications after elective colorectal surgery: A systematic review and meta-analysis

AIM

While postoperative C-reactive protein (CRP) is used routinely as an early indicator of anastomotic leak (AL), preoperative CRP remains to be established as a potential predictor of AL for elective colorectal surgery. The aim of this systematic review and meta-analysis is to examine the association between preoperative CRP and postoperative complications including AL.

METHOD

MEDLINE, EMBASE, Web of Science, PubMed, Cochrane Library and CINAHL databases were searched. Studies with reported preoperative CRP values and short-term surgical outcomes after elective colorectal surgery were included. An inverse variance random effects meta-analysis was performed for all meta-analysed outcomes to determine if patients with or without complications and AL differed in their preoperative CRP levels. Risk of bias was assessed with MINORS and certainty of evidence with GRADE.

RESULTS

From 1945 citations, 23 studies evaluating 7147 patients were included. Patients experiencing postoperative infective complications had significantly greater preoperative CRP values [eight studies, n = 2421 patients, mean difference (MD) 8.0, 95% CI 3.77-12.23, p < 0.01]. A significant interaction was observed with subgroup analysis based on whether patients were undergoing surgery for inflammatory bowel disease (X2 = 8.99, p < 0.01). Preoperative CRP values were not significantly different between patients experiencing and not experiencing AL (seven studies, n = 3317, MD 2.15, 95% CI -2.35 to 6.66, p = 0.35), nor were they different between patients experiencing and not experiencing overall postoperative morbidity (nine studies, n = 2958, MD 4.54, 95% CI -2.55 to 11.62, p = 0.31) after elective colorectal surgery.

CONCLUSION

Higher preoperative CRP levels are associated with increased rates of overall infective complications, but not with AL alone or with overall morbidity in patients undergoing elective colorectal surgery.

Prognostic significance of the immuno-peritoneal cancer index in peritoneal metastatic patients treated with cytoreductive surgery and hyperthermic intraperitoneal chemotherapy

PURPOSE

A valid comparison of immune function among different patients with different primary pathologies or even with different tumour burdens requires the common use of a reliable assessment of the patient's condition. The combined immuno-PCI system can translate a complex clinical situation into a simple point value to improve postoperative outcomes to assess the prognostic significance of combined immuno-PCI in peritoneal metastatic patients treated with cytoreductive surgery(CRS) and hyperthermic intraperitoneal chemotherapy(HIPEC).

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Four hundred twenty-four patients from the prospectively maintained database of Dokuz Eylul University Peritoneal Surface Malignancy Center were retrospectively analysed. In addition to the demographic findings and the well-known clinicopathologic factors, several systemic inflammation-based prognostic scores, including the modified Glasgow prognostic score (mGPS), CRP-albumin ratio (CAR), neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), neutrophil-thrombocyte ratio (NTR), and thrombocyte count, were all searched and stratified into scoring categories as prognostic determinants of surgical complications, final oncologic outcomes, recurrent disease, disease-free survival (DFS), and overall survival (OS). ROC analyses were performed, and cut-off values were obtained for all immune parameters by using the Youden index method.

RESULTS

There were 314 (74%) women and 110 (26%) men. The median age was 56 (ranging from 18 to 86) years. The most frequent sites of peritoneal metastasis were colorectal (n = 204; 48%) and gynaecologic carcinomas (n = 187; 44%). Thirty-three patients (8%) had primary malignant peritoneal mesothelioma. The median follow-up was 37.8 (ranging from 1 to 124) months. The overall survival was 51.7%. The 1-year, 3-year, and 5-year survival rates were estimated as 80%, 48.4%, and 32.6%, respectively. PCI-CAR-NTR (1 to 3) (p < .001) scoring was an independent prognostic factor for DFS. In a Cox backwards regression analysis, anastomotic leak (p = .002), completeness of cytoreduction (p = .0014), number of organ resections (p = .002), lymph node involvement (p = .003), and PCI-CAR-NTR (1 to 3) scoring (p = .001) were found to be independently significant prognostic factors for overall survival.

CONCLUSION

The PCI is a reliable and consistently valid prognostic factor to evaluate the tumour burden and tumour extent in patients treated with CRS/HIPEC. Staging the host by combining the PCI with an immunoscore may help to improve the outcomes of complications and overall survival in these complex cancer patients. The aggregate maximum immuno-PCI tool may be a better prognostic measure for outcome evaluation.

A new dimensional-reducing variable obtained from original inflammatory scores is highly associated to morbidity after curative surgery for colorectal cancer

PURPOSE

Several scores have been developed to define the inflammatory status of oncological patients. We suspect they share iterative information. Our hypothesis is that we may summarise their information into one or two new variables which will be independent. This will help us to predict, more accurately, which patients are at an increased risk of suffering postoperative complications after curative surgery for CRC.

METHODS

Observational prospective study with those patients undergoing curative surgery for CRC between September 2015 and February 2017. We analysed the influence of inflammatory scores (PNI, GPS, NLR, PLR) on postoperative morbidity (overall and severe complications, anastomotic leakage and reoperation).

RESULTS

Finally, 168 patients were analysed. We checked these four original scores are interrelated among them. Using a complex and innovative statistical method, we created two new independent variables (resultant A and resultant B) which resume the information coming from them. One of these two new variables (resultant A) was statistically associated to overall complications (OR, 2.239; 95% CI, 1.541-3.253; p = 0.0001), severe complications (OR, 1.773; 95% CI, 1.129-2.785; p = 0.013), anastomotic leakage (OR, 3.208; 95% CI, 1.416-7.268; p = 0.005) and reoperation (OR, 2.349; 95% CI, 1.281-4.305; p = 0.006).

CONCLUSIONS

We evinced the four original scores we used share redundant information. We created two new independent new variables which resume their information. In our sample of patients, one of these variables turned out to be a great predictive factor for the four complications we analysed.