The clinical impact of 21-gene recurrence score on treatment decisions for patients with hormone receptor-positive early breast cancer in Korea

The Rochester Modified Magee Algorithm (RoMMa): An Outcomes Based Strategy for Clinical Risk-Assessment and Risk-Stratification in ER Positive, HER2 Negative Breast Cancer Patients Being Considered for Oncotype DX® Testing

INTRODUCTION

Multigene genomic profiling has become the standard of care in the clinical risk-assessment and risk-stratification of ER⁺, HER2^- breast cancer (BC) patients, with Oncotype DX^® (ODX) emerging as the genomic profile test with the most support from the international community. The current state of the health care economy demands that cost-efficiency and access to testing must be considered when evaluating the clinical utility of multigene profile tests such as ODX. Several studies have suggested that certain lower risk patients can be identified more cost-efficiently than simply reflexing all ER⁺, HER2^- BC patients to ODX testing. The Magee equations^TM use standard histopathologic data in a set of multivariable models to estimate the ODX recurrence score. Our group published the first outcome data in 2019 on the Magee equations^TM, using a modification of the Magee equations^TM combined with an algorithmic approach-the Rochester Modified Magee algorithm (RoMMa). There has since been limited published outcome data on the Magee equations^TM. We present additional outcome data, with considerations of the TAILORx risk-stratification recommendations.

METHODS

355 patients with an ODX recurrence score, and at least five years of follow-up or a BC recurrence were included in the study. All patients received either Tamoxifen or an aromatase inhibitor. None of the patients received adjuvant systemic chemotherapy.

RESULTS

There was no significant difference in the risk of recurrence in similar risk categories (very low risk, low risk, and high risk) between the average Modified Magee score and ODX recurrence score with the chi-square test of independence (p > 0.05) or log-rank test (p > 0.05). Using the RoMMa, we estimate that at least 17% of individuals can safely avoid ODX testing.

CONCLUSION

Our study further reinforces that BC patients can be confidently stratified into lower and higher-risk recurrence groups using the Magee equations^TM. The RoMMa can be helpful in the initial clinical risk-assessment and risk-stratification of BC patients, providing increased opportunities for cost savings in the health care system, and for clinical risk-assessment and risk-stratification in less-developed geographies where multigene testing might not be available.

Identifying Clinicopathological Factors Associated with Oncotype DX® 21-Gene Recurrence Score: A Real-World Retrospective Cohort Study of Breast Cancer Patients in Quebec City, Canada

Gene expression profiling tests such as the Oncotype DX (ODX) 21-gene recurrence score (RS) assay is increasingly used in clinical practice to predict the risk of recurrence and support treatment planning for early-stage breast cancer (BC). However, this test has some disadvantages such as a high cost and a long turnaround time to get results, which may lead to disparities in access. We aim to identify clinicopathological factors associated with ODX RS in women with early-stage BC. We conducted a retrospective cohort study of women identified in the medical database of the Deschênes-Fabia Breast Disease Center of Quebec City University, Canada. Our sample consists of 425 women diagnosed with early-stage BC who have obtained an ODX RS between January 2011 and April 2015. The ODX RS has been categorized into three levels as originally defined: low (0-17), intermediate (18-30), and high (>30). The mean RS was 17.8 (SD = 9.2). Univariate analyses and multinomial logistic regressions were performed to identify factors associated with intermediate and high RS compared with low RS. A total of 237 (55.8%) patients had low RS, 148 (34.8%) had intermediate RS, and 40 (9.4%) had high RS. Women with progesterone receptor (PR)-negative (ORs ranging from 3.51 to 10.34) and histologic grade II (ORs ranging from 3.16 to 23.04) tumors were consistently more likely to have intermediate or high RS than low RS. Similar patterns of associations were observed when the RS was categorised using redefined thresholds from (i.e., from the TAILORx study or dichotomized). This study provides evidence suggesting that histologic grade and PR status are predictive factors for intermediate or high RS in women with early-stage BC. If these results are confirmed in future studies, considering these clinicopathological factors could spare women the need to get such a test before the beginning of a possible adjuvant therapy. This option could be considered in settings where the cost of testing is an issue.

Comprehensive analysis of the 21-gene recurrence score in invasive ductal breast carcinoma with or without ductal carcinoma in situ component

Background

Invasive ductal carcinoma (IDC) is often accompanied by ductal carcinoma in situ (DCIS). Whether the DCIS component affects the 21-gene recurrence score (RS) is unclear.

Methods

Consecutive ER-positive, HER2-negative, N0–1 patients with RS results were included. Patients were divided into pure IDC and IDC with DCIS (IDC/DCIS) groups. The RS, the expression of its 16 cancer genes and prognosis were compared between IDC and IDC/DCIS patients.

Results

A total of 1458 patients were enrolled, 320 of whom had concomitant DCIS. DCIS component was independently associated with lower RS (P = 0.038). IDC/DCIS patients more often had a low-risk RS (P = 0.018) or intermediate-risk RS (P = 0.024). Regarding individual genes in the RS panel, Ki67, CCNB1 and MYBL2 in the proliferation group and MMP11 and CTSL2 in the invasion group were significantly lower among IDC/DCIS patients than pure IDC patients. Among IDC/DCIS patients, lower RS was independently correlated with a higher DCIS proportion and lower DCIS grade. Within a median follow-up of 31 months, the DCIS component in IDC did not significantly influence prognosis.

Conclusions

IDC with DCIS component is associated with a lower 21-gene RS, possibly due to lower expression of proliferation and invasion genes. DCIS proportion and grade independently influenced the 21-gene RS in IDC/DCIS patients. Due to the relatively short follow-up period and low recurrence rate, the impact of the DCIS component in IDC on prognosis needs further evaluation.

Tumour profiling tests to guide adjuvant chemotherapy decisions in early breast cancer: a systematic review and economic analysis

BACKGROUND

Breast cancer and its treatment can have an impact on health-related quality of life and survival. Tumour profiling tests aim to identify whether or not women need chemotherapy owing to their risk of relapse.

OBJECTIVES

To conduct a systematic review of the effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of the tumour profiling tests oncotype DX^® (Genomic Health, Inc., Redwood City, CA, USA), MammaPrint^® (Agendia, Inc., Amsterdam, the Netherlands), Prosigna^® (NanoString Technologies, Inc., Seattle, WA, USA), EndoPredict^® (Myriad Genetics Ltd, London, UK) and immunohistochemistry 4 (IHC4). To develop a health economic model to assess the cost-effectiveness of these tests compared with clinical tools to guide the use of adjuvant chemotherapy in early-stage breast cancer from the perspective of the NHS and Personal Social Services.

DESIGN

A systematic review and health economic analysis were conducted.

REVIEW METHODS

The systematic review was partially an update of a 2013 review. Nine databases were searched in February 2017. The review included studies assessing clinical effectiveness in people with oestrogen receptor-positive, human epidermal growth factor receptor 2-negative, stage I or II cancer with zero to three positive lymph nodes. The economic analysis included a review of existing analyses and the development of a de novo model.

RESULTS

A total of 153 studies were identified. Only one completed randomised controlled trial (RCT) using a tumour profiling test in clinical practice was identified: Microarray In Node-negative Disease may Avoid ChemoTherapy (MINDACT) for MammaPrint. Other studies suggest that all the tests can provide information on the risk of relapse; however, results were more varied in lymph node-positive (LN+) patients than in lymph node-negative (LN0) patients. There is limited and varying evidence that oncotype DX and MammaPrint can predict benefit from chemotherapy. The net change in the percentage of patients with a chemotherapy recommendation or decision pre/post test ranged from an increase of 1% to a decrease of 23% among UK studies and a decrease of 0% to 64% across European studies. The health economic analysis suggests that the incremental cost-effectiveness ratios for the tests versus current practice are broadly favourable for the following scenarios: (1) oncotype DX, for the LN0 subgroup with a Nottingham Prognostic Index (NPI) of > 3.4 and the one to three positive lymph nodes (LN1-3) subgroup (if a predictive benefit is assumed); (2) IHC4 plus clinical factors (IHC4+C), for all patient subgroups; (3) Prosigna, for the LN0 subgroup with a NPI of > 3.4 and the LN1-3 subgroup; (4) EndoPredict Clinical, for the LN1-3 subgroup only; and (5) MammaPrint, for no subgroups.

LIMITATIONS

There was only one completed RCT using a tumour profiling test in clinical practice. Except for oncotype DX in the LN0 group with a NPI score of > 3.4 (clinical intermediate risk), evidence surrounding pre- and post-test chemotherapy probabilities is subject to considerable uncertainty. There is uncertainty regarding whether or not oncotype DX and MammaPrint are predictive of chemotherapy benefit. The MammaPrint analysis uses a different data source to the other four tests. The Translational substudy of the Arimidex, Tamoxifen, Alone or in Combination (TransATAC) study (used in the economic modelling) has a number of limitations.

CONCLUSIONS

The review suggests that all the tests can provide prognostic information on the risk of relapse; results were more varied in LN+ patients than in LN0 patients. There is limited and varying evidence that oncotype DX and MammaPrint are predictive of chemotherapy benefit. Health economic analyses indicate that some tests may have a favourable cost-effectiveness profile for certain patient subgroups; all estimates are subject to uncertainty. More evidence is needed on the prediction of chemotherapy benefit, long-term impacts and changes in UK pre-/post-chemotherapy decisions.

STUDY REGISTRATION

This study is registered as PROSPERO CRD42017059561.

FUNDING

The National Institute for Health Research Health Technology Assessment programme.

Prognostic Factors of Disease Recurrence in Breast Cancer Using Quantitative and Qualitative Magnetic Resonance Imaging (MRI) Parameters

The purpose of this study was to investigate prognostic factors predicting recurrence of breast cancer, focusing on imaging factors including morphologic features, quantitative MR parameters, and clinicopathologic factors. This retrospective study was approved by our institutional review board, and the requirement to obtain informed consent was waived. A total of 267 patients with breast cancer were enrolled in this study, who underwent dynamic contrast-enhanced magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) before surgery from February 2014 to June 2016. Imaging parameters of MRI, including morphologic features, perfusion parameters, and texture analysis, were retrospectively reviewed by two expert breast radiologists. Clinicopathologic information of enrolled patients was also reviewed using medical records. Univariable and multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression analyses were used to identify factors associated with cancer recurrence. C statistics was used to discriminate low and high risk patients for disease recurrence. Using Kaplan-Meier survival analysis, disease-free survival was compared between patients who experienced recurrence and those who did not. At a median follow up of 49 months, 32 patients (12%) showed disease: six cases of ipsilateral breast or axilla recurrence, one case of contralateral breast recurrence, 24 cases of distant metastasis, and one case of both ipsilateral breast recurrence and distant metastasis. Of multiple imaging features and parameters, increased ipsilateral vascularity and higher positive skewness of texture analysis showed significant association with disease recurrence in every multivariable model regardless of tumor subtype and pathologic stage. Pathologic stage, especially if higher than stage II, showed significant association with disease recurrence and its highest hazard ratio was 3.45 [95% confidence interval (CI): 1.37–8.67, p = 0.008]. Of the multivariable models, the model including clinico-pathologic factors and both qualitative and quantitative imaging parameters showed good discrimination with a high C index value of 0.825 (95% CI: 0.755–0.896). In addition, recurrence associated factors were associated with short interval time to disease recurrence by Kaplan-Meier survival analysis. Therefore, comprehensive analysis using both clinico-pathologic factors and qualitative and quantitative imaging parameters is more effective in predicting breast cancer recurrence. Among those factors, higher pathologic stage, increased ipsilateral vascularity and higher positive skewness of texture analysis could be good predictors of breast cancer recurrence. Moreover, when these three factors are applied comprehensively, they may also be the predictors for poor survival.

Adjuvant chemotherapy and survival among patients 70 years of age and younger with node-negative breast cancer and the 21-gene recurrence score of 26-30

Background

The benefits of chemotherapy in node-negative, hormone receptor-positive, and human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2)-negative breast cancer patients with the 21-gene recurrence score (RS) of 18–30, particularly those with RS 26–30, are not known.

Methods

Using the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) data, we retrospectively identified 29,137 breast cancer patients with the 21-gene RS of 18–30 diagnosed between 2004 and 2015. Mortality risks according to the RS and chemotherapy use were compared by the Kaplan-Meier method and Cox’s proportional hazards model.

Results

Among the breast cancer patients with the RS 18–30, 21% of them had RS 26–30. Compared to breast cancer patients with RS 18–25, patients with RS 26–30 had more aggressive tumor characteristics and chemotherapy use and increased risk of breast cancer-specific mortality and overall mortality. In breast cancer patients who were aged ≤ 70 years and had RS of 26–30, chemotherapy administration was associated with a 32% lower risk of breast cancer-specific mortality (hazard ratio [HR], 0.68; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.47–0.99) and a 42% lower risk of overall mortality (HR, 0.58; 95% CI, 0.44–0.76). Survival benefits were most pronounced in breast cancer patients who were younger or had grade III tumor.

Conclusions

The 21-gene RS of 18–30 showed heterogeneous outcomes, and the RS 26–30 was a significant prognostic factor for an increased risk of mortality. Adjuvant chemotherapy could improve the survival of node-negative, hormone receptor-positive, and HER2-negative breast cancer patients with the 21-gene RS 26–30 and should be considered for patients, especially younger patients or patients with high-grade tumors.

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (10.1186/s13058-019-1190-4) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

Development of a Nomogram to Predict the Recurrence Score of 21-Gene Prediction Assay in Hormone Receptor-Positive Early Breast Cancer

INTRODUCTION

A 21-gene prediction assay (Oncotype DX) is helpful to estimate benefit from adjuvant chemotherapy in patients with hormone receptor-positive, lymph node-negative early breast cancer. This study was conducted to develop a model to estimate high recurrence score (RS) using easily available clinicopathologic parameters in limited-resource countries.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Hormone receptor-positive, lymph node-negative early breast cancer patients who underwent Oncotype DX were enrolled onto the training set (n = 192). The risk category range of the RS was the same as in the TAILORx study. The multivariable logistic regression model was used to identify significant variables associated with high RS. The independent validation set (n = 264) was established from patients of a different time period.

RESULTS

The median age in the training set was 47 years, and 78.0% were premenopausal. The number of patients with low RS (< 11), intermediate RS (11-25), and high RS (> 25) were 42 (22.0%), 122 (63.9%), and 27 (14.1%), respectively. High nuclear grade, no progesterone receptor expression, and high Ki-67 were associated with high RS, and these variables were used to construct the nomogram. It had significant discriminatory power in internal validation (area under the curve = 0.856) and in the validation set (area under the curve = 0.828). The calibration plot showed optimal agreement between predicted and actual probabilities in both sets.

CONCLUSION

A nomogram was successfully developed with 3 simple parameters. The probability of high RS can be easily and conveniently estimated using our nomogram. It might be useful to determine whether or not Oncotype DX is conducted in the TAILORx era. Future large-scale prospective studies are warranted.

Uptake of the 21-Gene Assay Among Women With Node-Positive, Hormone Receptor−Positive Breast Cancer

Background: This study assessed uptake of the Oncotype DX 21-gene assay over time and characterized which sociodemographic and clinical factors are associated with test uptake among women with lymph node−positive (LN+), hormone receptor−positive, HER2-negative breast cancer. Methods: Invasive breast cancer cases diagnosed in 2010 through 2013 were included from a SEER database linked to 21-gene assay results performed at Genomic Health’s Clinical Laboratory. Factors associated with 21-gene assay uptake were identified using a multivariable logistic regression model. Results: Uptake of the 21-gene assay increased over time and differed by race, socioeconomic status (SES), and age. In the multivariable model, when clinical and SES variables were controlled for, racial differences in test uptake were no longer observed. Private insurance status was associated with higher odds of 21-gene assay uptake (Medicaid vs private insurance: adjusted odds ratio, 0.86; P=.02), and high area-level SES was associated with an increased odds of uptake (quintile 5 vs 1: adjusted odds ratio, 1.6; P<.001). Demographic factors such as age and marital status influenced test uptake, and use varied greatly by geographic region. Uptake of the 21-gene assay increased over time and preceded the assay’s inclusion in the NCCN Guidelines for LN+ breast cancer. Differences in uptake by race, SES, and age have persisted over time. However, when clinical and SES variables were controlled for, racial differences in assay uptake were no longer observed. Socioeconomic variables, such as health insurance type and area-level SES, were associated with assay uptake. Conclusions: Future research should continue to document practice patterns related to the 21-gene assay. Given variation in testing associated with area-level SES, insurance coverage, and geographic region, interventions to understand and reduce differential uptake are needed to ensure equitable access to this genomic test.

Clinical significance of 21-gene recurrence score assay for hormone receptor-positive, lymph node-negative breast cancer in early stage

OBJECTIVE

To identify the relationship between clinical pathological characteristics and the recurrence score (RS) on a 21-gene expression assay in patients with hormone receptor-positive, node-negative breast cancer, as well as the effect of RS on adjuvant decision-making.

METHODS

The retrospective study was conducted among luminal breast cancer patients admitted to Xijing Hospital between October 10, 2016, and September 14, 2018. Real-time PCR was used for 21-genome detection. Based on the calculated RS, participants were classified into low-risk, moderate-risk, and high-risk groups. Single-factor analysis and multiple logistic regression analysis were performed to explore independent predictors of high RS. Moreover, the effect of RS on adjuvant decision-making was studied.

RESULTS

Two hundred twenty-two patients with luminal breast cancer, aged 48.3 ± 9.66, were enrolled. Among them, 33.8% had low (13 ± 3.34), 45.5% intermediate (23 ± 3.65), and 20.7% high (37 ± 3.44) RS. According to the single-factor analysis, age, tumor size, Ki-67, molecular subtype, CK5/6 expression, E-cadherin level, and histological grade were positively associated with high RS. Multiple logistic analyses showed that tumor size and histological grade were independent variables that might predict high RS in patients with hormone receptor-positive, node-negative breast cancer. For adjuvant decision-making, the proportion of adjuvant chemotherapy in the intermediate-/high-risk groups was higher than that in the low-risk group, P < 0.001. Compared with the data worldwide, the changes of treatment selection in the present study were similar to those in Japan (23.0% vs. 26%) and America (23.0% vs. 23.0%). Considering the pathology types, 14.3% of patients with invasive breast cancer with lower RS changed treatment recommendations, predominantly from chemo-endocrine to endocrine treatment alone, whereas the percentage in intermediate/high RS groups was 8.1%.

CONCLUSIONS

Tumor size and histological grade were independent variables, predicting high risk in patients with hormone receptor-positive, node-negative breast cancer; 21-gene RS assessment was potentially a critical tool in guiding adjuvant decision-making in China.

Clinical analysis of 21-gene recurrence score test in hormone receptor-positive early-stage breast cancer

The 21-gene recurrence score (RS) predicts the prognosis of patients with estrogen receptor (ER)-positive, human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2)-negative early-stage breast cancer and the effectiveness of adding adjuvant chemotherapy on the basis of endocrine therapy to avoid excessive chemotherapy. The present study aimed to analyze clinicopathological characteristics and chemotherapeutic efficacy-related target genes with the 21-gene RS in hormone receptor-positive early-stage breast cancer in China. The prognostic value of chemotherapeutic efficacy-related target genes was also examined. In addition, this study investigated the postoperative adjuvant therapeutic decision-oriented role of 21-gene RS in hormone receptor-positive and lymph node-negative early-stage breast cancer. In the present retrospective study, 110 ER⁺/HER2⁻ early-stage breast cancer patients were tested with the 21-gene RS. The analyses of clinicopathological characteristics and chemotherapeutic efficacy-related target genes with the 21-gene RS were performed using the χ² test, the Wilcoxon rank-sum test and binary logistic regression. Kaplan-Meier survival plots were drawn in www.kmplot.com. Furthermore, the McNemar χ² test was used to compare the changes of treatment decisions before and after the 21-gene test. The median RS of 110 patients was 16 (range, 2–47), and patients were categorized as low (59.1%), intermediate (34.5%) or high risk (6.4%). The results revealed that higher body mass index, invasive ductal carcinoma type, higher histological grade, luminal B molecular type and higher thymidylate synthetase (TYMS) and DNA topoisomerase IIα (TOP2A) gene expression levels were more likely to have a higher RS. Kaplan-Meier plots suggested that expression of TYMS, tubulin β3 class III (TUBB3) and TOP2A genes was significantly associated with relapse-free survival for ER⁺ breast cancer. Additionally, prior to 21-gene RS testing, 61 patients (55%) were recommended adjuvant chemotherapy and endocrine therapy; however, following 21-gene test, 32 patients (29%) were treated with only adjuvant endocrine therapy. TYMS, TUBB3 and TOP2A gene expression may have prognostic value for ER⁺ breast cancer. In addition, 21-gene RS testing may aid to avoid excessive postoperative adjuvant chemotherapy.

The impact of the 21-gene recurrence score (Oncotype DX) on concordance of adjuvant therapy decision making as measured by the Liverpool Systemic Therapy Adjuvant Decision Tool

PURPOSE

The 21-gene recurrence score (Oncotype DX) (RS) informs systemic therapy decision making in ER-positive HER2-negative early breast cancer (BC). To date no study has described the more nuanced discussions that take place regarding systemic therapy or the impact of the RS on concordance in such decision making. Here we utilized a novel decision making tool to assess the impact of the RS on decision making as well as concordance of treatment recommendations.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

The clinicopathological information (CPI) of 50 BCs without and with the RS were presented to a panel of breast oncologists in a simulated MDT. The Liverpool Adjuvant Systemic Therapy Decision Tool (LASTDT) was developed and used to categorize treatment recommendations. Outcome measures included the impact of the RS on decisiveness and concordance in decision making and its impact on treatment recommendations.

RESULTS

Availability of the RS increased definitive decision making from 8% (4/50) to 56% (28/50) [χ2 = 79.35, p < 0.001] and altered the LASTDT category in 68% (34/50) of cases (p < 0.001), 74% of which were to forgo chemotherapy. With knowledge of RS, universal concordance rose from 14% to 64% [K = 0.328: K = 0.729].

CONCLUSIONS

The RS improves certainty of decision making as well as concordance amongst oncologists. This provides evidence that the availability of the RS can improve consistency of decision making amongst oncologists and thus helps to ensure patients are managed consistently. This is particularly important when patients are managed in a loco-regional, multidisciplinary team manner where heterogeneous decisions can lead to disparity in care.

Examination of the Biomark assay as an alternative to Oncotype DX for defining chemotherapy benefit

Currently the 21-gene recurrence score (RS) assay called Oncotype DX is recommended by the National Comprehensive Cancer Network guideline for defining the benefit of chemotherapy. To overcome the cost disadvantages of the Oncotype DX assay and the turnaround time, a multigene assay was examined to compare the correlation of the RS and the predicted score (PS) of the present study. Paraffin-embedded tissues of 50 cases with early-stage estrogen receptor (ER)-positive breast cancer, who underwent the Oncotype DX test were used. A total of 149 candidate genes with high correlation to the RS were identified, in another project (Lee et al, unpublished data). Reverse transcription-quantitative polymerase chain reaction biomark assays were conducted using the dynamic array integrated fluidic circuit and the correlation analysis was performed with BRB ArrayTools. A predictive model was developed by the coefficient and gene expression, and 41 genes were identified. If the cut-off was ≥18, the predicted model was 18/50 cases, and the RS was 19, indicating that the differential rate of predicted response against RS was 2%. If the cutoff was ≥11, the predicted model was 38/50 cases and the RS was 34, indicating a difference of 8%. Genes common to the Oncotype DX and the Biomark assay include marker of proliferation Ki-67, aurora kinase A, Erb-B2 receptor tyrosine kinase 2, glutathione S-transferase Mu 1, estrogen receptor 1, progesterone receptor, B-cell lymphoma 2, signal peptide CUB domain EGF-like 2 and 5 reference genes. The remaining 28 genes are involved in various pathways and functions. This result indicates that there is a significant correlation between PS and RS scores, although validation of results is required to accurately determine the risk of distant recurrence. The Biomark assay is an easy and inexpensive way to measure mRNA expression. The present study demonstrates the possibility of the Biomark assay as an alternative for defining chemotherapy benefit in individual patients with ER-positive early-stage breast cancer.

Only estrogen receptor "positive" is not enough to predict the prognosis of breast cancer

PURPOSE

Beginning in 2018, biomarkers including estrogen receptor (ER) status were incorporated in the 8th AJCC staging system. ER expression levels were not considered in these changes. We hypothesized that the levels of ER expression could affect the prognosis of breast cancer.

METHODS

A retrospective review was conducted to identify all female patients with invasive breast cancer between 2003 and 2012. ER negative (group I), weakly ER-positive (group II), and strongly ER-positive (group III) were defined as Allred total scores of 0-2, 3-5, and 6-8, respectively. We examined a multigene panel, designated the BCT score, which is a newly developed prognostic model for predicting the risk of a distant metastasis.

RESULTS

Among the 4949 patients enrolled in this study, 1310 (26.5%), 361 (7.3%), and 3277 (66.2%) were categorized as group I, II, and III, respectively. Median F/U duration was 57.8 months. Compared to group III, patients in group II were younger, had larger tumors, and were also more likely to have PR-negative tumors, HER-2 amplification, high Ki-67, and high nuclear grade. Between group II and III, there was a significant difference in OS (P = 0.0764, 0.909, and 0.010, respectively). After adjusting for additional factors that may affect OS, the HR for OS showed higher in group II than in group III. The baseline median BCT score indicated that lower ER expression was associated with significantly higher BCT score (P < 0.0001) and significantly more likely to have high risk group (P < 0.0001) relative to higher levels of ER expression group.

CONCLUSION

ER expression levels affect the prognosis of breast cancer. The risk for patients with weakly ER-positive breast cancer should not be underestimated.

Verification of a Western Nomogram for Predicting Oncotype DX™ Recurrence Scores in Korean Patients with Breast Cancer

A recent study conducted at the University of Tennessee Medical Center using a large dataset from the National Cancer Database (NCDB) reported the use of nomograms for predicting Oncotype DX™ (ODX) scores with clinicopathologic data. We reviewed the data of 218 patients who underwent the ODX test at a single institution in Korea to confirm that nomograms can accurately predict ODX score groups using our data, which differ from those of the NCDB in terms of ethnicity. The concordance index (c-index) of nomograms was much lower than that of the University of Tennessee Medical Center for high- and low-risk groups of commercial ODX and Trial Assigning Individualized Options for Treatment values. Although the nomogram for predicting ODX scores was based on a large dataset, it could not be generalized to patients in Asia. Further studies using large datasets of patients from different ethnicities should be performed to develop a nomogram applicable to patients worldwide.

Practice patterns and outcomes for patients with node-negative hormone receptor-positive breast cancer and intermediate 21-gene Recurrence Scores

BACKGROUND

The recommendation for chemotherapy in early-stage breast cancer patients has been refined by the 21-gene Recurrence Score. However, uncertainty remains whether patients in the Intermediate Risk category benefit from chemotherapy.

METHODS

We analyzed female patients from the National Cancer Database from 2006 to 2012 who had pT1c-T2N0M0 breast cancer, were ER/PR-positive and HER2-negative, received endocrine therapy, and had a 21-gene Recurrence Score from 11 to 25. We performed univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses to see what impacted chemotherapy receipt. We compared overall survival using Kaplan-Meier curves and the log-rank test. A multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression model was used to assess what variables impacted overall survival.

RESULTS

Of 21,991 patients who met all inclusion and exclusion criteria, 4646 (21.1%) received chemotherapy and 17,345 (78.9%) did not. Chemotherapy was more often received by patients who were younger (adjusted odds ratios (aORs) compared to age < 40 years, 0.48 for 40s, 0.34 for 50s, 0.20 for 60s, 0.10 for 70s, and 0.07 for 80+), had private insurance vs Medicare (aOR = 1.37), were from metro vs urban counties (aOR = 1.15), and were treated in community cancer centers vs academic programs (aOR = 1.26), and those with tumors of higher grade (grade 2 vs 1, aOR = 1.72; grade 3 vs 1, aOR = 3.76), higher tumor stage (pT2 vs pT1c, aOR = 1.62), or presence of lymphovascular invasion (LVI) (aOR = 1.41). At a median follow-up of 46.4 months, there was no significant difference in overall survival between patients who received chemotherapy vs those who did not (5-year estimated overall survival, 97.4% vs 97.8%, p = 0.89). On multivariable analysis, worse overall survival was associated with Black race, treatment at a community program, Medicaid, high-grade tumors, pT2 vs pT1c, higher Charlson-Deyo score, and no radiotherapy. Utilization trends showed that chemotherapy receipt in these patients has been decreasing from 25.8% in 2010 to 18.4% in 2013 (p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

In these patients where the benefit of chemotherapy remains uncertain, current practices see chemotherapy more likely to be used in patients with younger age, higher pathologic T stage, higher grade tumors, and LVI. No apparent difference was seen in overall survival between those who received chemotherapy and those who did not.

Use of adjuvant chemotherapy in hormone receptor-positive breast cancer patients with or without the 21-gene expression assay

PURPOSE

We assessed the use of chemotherapy in breast cancer patients to investigate the factors that changed trends in chemotherapy following the adoption of the 21-gene expression assay in tumor genomic profiling.

METHODS

Our study used 2033 patients from the National Cancer Center in Korea diagnosed with hormone receptor (HR)-positive, human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2)-negative breast cancer (tumor size of 0.5 cm or larger and 0-3 node metastases) from 2010 to 2015. We analyzed use of the 21-gene expression assay, changes in frequency of adjuvant chemotherapy use, and clinicopathological factors related to adjuvant chemotherapy to assess the impact of the 21-gene expression assay.

RESULTS

Adjuvant chemotherapy use declined from 33.33% (2011) to 13.59% (2015) [relative risk (RR), 0.71; 95% CI 0.56-0.89; p_trend = 0.004] in patients with 21-gene expression assay data. Among patients without assay data, adjuvant chemotherapy use decreased from 76.79 to 40.17% between 2010 and 2015 (RR 0.87; 95% CI 0.84-0.91; p_trend < 0.001), especially for patients with node-negative/micrometastasis (RR 0.85; 95% CI 0.81-0.89; p_trend < 0.001). The frequency of adjuvant chemotherapy was significantly decreased after introduction of the 21-gene expression assay (p < 0.001). Tumor size (p < 0.001), progesterone receptor (PgR) status (p = 0.001), and proliferation index (Ki-67) levels (p < 0.001) were important factors for chemotherapy decision-making in node-negative/micrometastasis patients who did not undergo the assay.

CONCLUSIONS

For HR-positive, HER2-negative breast cancer patients with 0-1 node metastases, chemotherapy use declined significantly after the adoption of the 21-gene assay. PgR status and Ki-67 were useful for chemotherapy decision-making in cases without the 21-gene assay.

Spotlight on the utility of the Oncotype DX® breast cancer assay

The Oncotype DX^® assay was developed to address the need for optimizing the selection of adjuvant systemic therapy for patients with estrogen receptor (ER)-positive, lymph node-negative breast cancer. It has ushered in the era of genomic-based personalized cancer care for ER-positive primary breast cancer and is now widely utilized in various parts of the world. Together with several other genomic assays, Oncotype DX has been incorporated into clinical practice guidelines on biomarker use to guide treatment decisions. The Oncotype DX result is presented as the recurrence score which is a continuous score that predicts the risk of distant disease recurrence. The assay, which provides information on clinicopathological factors, has been validated for use in the prognostication and prediction of degree of adjuvant chemotherapy benefit in both lymph node-positive and lymph node-negative early breast cancers. Clinical studies have consistently shown that the Oncotype DX has a significant impact on decision making in adjuvant therapy recommendations and appears to be cost-effective in diverse health care settings. In this article, we provide an overview of the validation and clinical impact studies for the Oncotype DX assay. We also discuss its potential use in the neoadjuvant setting, as well as the more recent prospective validation trials, and the economic and utility implications of studies that use a lower cutoff score to define low-risk disease.

Systematic review of the clinical and economic value of gene expression profiles for invasive early breast cancer available in Europe

Gene expression profiles with prognostic capacities have shown good performance in multiple clinical trials. However, with multiple assays available and numerous types of validation studies performed, the added value for daily clinical practice is still unclear. In Europe, the MammaPrint, OncotypeDX, PAM50/Prosigna and Endopredict assays are commercially available. In this systematic review, we aim to assess these assays on four important criteria: Assay development and methodology, clinical validation, clinical utility and economic value. We performed a literature search covering PubMed, Embase, Web of Science and Cochrane, for studies related to one or more of the four selected assays. We identified 147 papers for inclusion in this review. MammaPrint and OncotypeDX both have evidence available, including level IA clinical trial results for both assays. Both assays provide prognostic information. Predictive value has only been shown for OncotypeDX. In the clinical utility studies, a higher reduction in chemotherapy was achieved by OncotypeDX, although the number of available studies differ considerably between tests. On average, economic evaluations estimate that genomic testing results in a moderate increase in total costs, but that these costs are acceptable in relation to the expected improved patient outcome. PAM50/prosigna and EndoPredict showed comparable prognostic capacities, but with less economical and clinical utility studies. Furthermore, for these assays no level IA trial data are available yet. In summary, all assays have shown excellent prognostic capacities. The differences in the quantity and quality of evidence are discussed. Future studies shall focus on the selection of appropriate subgroups for testing and long-term outcome of validation trials, in order to determine the place of these assays in daily clinical practice.

Breast cancer multigene testing trends and impact on chemotherapy use

OBJECTIVES

A 21-gene test that predicts recurrence risk among women with hormone receptor positive (HR+), localized breast cancer was nationally recommended in 2007, but we know little about its subsequent impact. We evaluated: a) patient characteristics associated with test use, b) correlations between Recurrence Score (RS) and chemotherapy, and c) whether test introduction was associated with a reduction in chemotherapy use.

STUDY DESIGN

Retrospective cohort study.

METHODS

The Kaiser Permanente Northern California tumor registry and electronic health records from 2005 to 2012 were used to identify HR+, human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 negative, node-negative cancers. Analyses used logistic regression with propensity score matching and 2-level logistic regression.

RESULTS

Of the 7004 patients who met guidelines for testing, 22% were tested and 26% had chemotherapy. Test use was more likely in younger women (for ages 40-49 years vs 50-64 years: odds ratio [OR], 1.22; 95% CI, 1.04-1.44), in women with tumors sized 1.0 to 2.0 cm versus > 2 cm (OR, 1.20; 95% CI, 1.03-1.40), and in women from higher-income neighborhoods (for each $10,000 increase in area median income: OR, 1.05; 95% CI, 1.03-1.07). Among patients with low RS, 8% had chemotherapy versus 72% among patients with high RS (P < .01). In propensity score-matched analyses, testing was associated with an absolute reduction of 6.2% in the proportion of women receiving chemotherapy (95% CI, 2.9%-9.5%); the 2-level model showed a similar but nonsignificant (P = .14) association.

CONCLUSIONS

The 21-gene test is used in a minority of eligible patients in this integrated plan. Its use appears to be associated with a modest decrease in overall chemotherapy use.

[Impact of the 21-gene assay in decision-making during multidisciplinary breast meeting: A French experience]

OBJECTIVES

The 21-gene assay (Oncotype DX(®)) test is used to estimate the risk of recurrence and to predict the benefit of adjuvant chemotherapy at an early stage of endocrine responsive breast cancers, without HER2 overexpression or amplification. This test corresponds to a recurrence score (RS), classifying patients into three groups (low, intermediate or high risk). The objective of this two-center prospective study is to define the impact of Oncotype DX(®) in clinical practice.

METHODS

Between August 2013 and May 2015, an Oncotype DX(®) test was decided in multidisciplinary meeting, to certain patients with an indication of adjuvant chemotherapy for HR+ and HER2 negative cancers. The therapeutic changes after knowledge of RS were collected. An estimate of the economic impact was performed and a correlation between the RS and usual breast cancer prognostic markers was investigated.

RESULTS

Thirty-nine patients had a test, twenty-six (66.7%) of them have finally been no indication retaining chemotherapy. The economy obtained through the use of the test was estimated around 173,000euros. It has not been demonstrated correlation between the RS, the usual decisional and prognostic factors for breast cancer or with adjuvant! Online.

CONCLUSIONS

The RS has an additional decision value compared to other common decision criteria. Use of Oncotype DX(®) reduced in our experience the indications of adjuvant chemotherapy. The medical and economic impact could be significant.