Utility of the DECAF Score in Patients Admitted to Emergency Department with Acute Exacerbation of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease

Comparison of BAP65, DECAF, PEARL, and MEWS Scores in Predicting Respiratory Support Need in Hospitalized Exacerbation of Chronic Obstructive Lung Disease Patients

OBJECTIVE

Prognostic models aid clinical practice with decision-making on treatment and hospitalization in exacerbation of chronic obstructive lung disease (ECOPD). Although there are many studies with prognostic models, diagnostic accuracy is variable within and between models.

SUBJECTS AND METHODS

We compared the prognostic performance of the BAP65 score, DECAF score, PEARL score, and modified early warning score (MEWS) in hospitalized patients with ECOPD, to estimate ventilatory support need.

RESULTS

This cross-sectional study consisted of 139 patients. Patients in need of noninvasive or invasive mechanical ventilation support are grouped as ventilatory support groups (n = 54). Comparison between receiver operating characteristic curves revealed that the DECAF score is significantly superior to the PEARL score (p = 0.04) in discriminating patients in need of ventilatory support. DECAF score with a cutoff value of 1 presented the highest sensitivity and BAP65 score with a cutoff value of 2 presented the highest specificity in predicting ventilatory support need. Multivariable analysis revealed that gender played a significant role in COPD exacerbation outcome, and arterial pCO2 and RDW measurements were also predictors of ventilatory support need. Within severity indexes, only the DECAF score was independently associated with the outcome. One-point increase in DECAF score created a 1.43 times higher risk of ventilatory support need. All severity indexes showed a correlation with age, comorbidity index, and dyspnea. BAP65 and DECAF scores also showed a correlation with length of stay.

CONCLUSION

Objective and practical classifications are needed by clinicians to assess prognosis and initiate treatment accordingly. DECAF score is a strong candidate among severity indexes.

The v-DECAF score can predict 90-day all-cause mortality in patients with COPD exacerbation requiring invasive mechanical ventilation

INTRODUCTION

The DECAF score is a simple and effective tool for predicting mortality in patients hospitalized with acute exacerbations of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (AECOPD); however, the DECAF score has not been validated in AECOPD patients requiring invasive mechanical ventilation (IMV). We devised the ventilator (v)-DECAF score, in which "anemia" replaces "acidaemia," for use in AECOPD patients requiring IMV. The objective of this study was to compare the predictive efficacy of the v-DECAF score and the DECAF score.

METHODS

This study prospectively recruited 112 consecutive AECOPD patients requiring IMV from a single center. The clinical endpoint was 90-day all-cause mortality. Demographic and clinical data were recorded, as well as APACHE II, GCS, CURB-65, BAP-65 and DECAF scores, and the newly devised v-DECAF score. The discriminatory value of the scoring systems in predicting 90-day all-cause mortality was determined using the area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) curve.

RESULTS

In multivariate logistic regression analysis, the v-DECAF score was an independent predictor of 90-day all-cause mortality (odds ratio 3.004, 95% CI 1.658-5.445, P < 0.001). The AUROC of the v-DECAF and DECAF scores were 0.852 (95% CI 0.766-0.938) and 0.777 (95%CI: 0.676-0.878), respectively. The v-DECAF score had a better predictive value for 90-day all-cause mortality compared to the DECAF score (Z = 2.338, P = 0.019).

CONCLUSION

The v-DECAF score had good discriminatory power in predicting 90-day all-cause mortality in AECOPD patients requiring IMV.