Prognostic Effects of Predominant Histologic Subtypes in Resected Pulmonary Adenocarcinomas

Establishment and Validation of a Predictive Nomogram for Postoperative Survival of Stage I Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer

Background

Surgical procedure is the preferred option for people with early-stage non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC), while nearly 30% of patients experienced metastatic or recurrent tumor after operation. The primary intention of this context is to summarize high-risk prognostic factors and set up a novel nomogram to predict the overall survival of individuals with stage I NSCLC after resection.

Methods

Research objects, 10,218 patients with stage I NSCLC after operation from 2010 to 2015, were extracted from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. Independent prognostic factors, confirmed by Cox regression analyses, were integrated into a nomogram, to predict the 3-and 5-year overall survival of these individuals. The model experienced internal validation of testing cohorts above and external validation crewed by 160 patients from China. Finally, the nomogram was evaluated through several verification methods such as concordance index (C-index), calibration plots and receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC).

Results

Multivariate analysis identified that age, gender, histologic type, differentiation class, type of operation, T stage and treatment were significant predictive factors for the survival of stage I NSCLC. Based on these factors, a nomogram was constructed to predict the 3- and 5-year overall survival of these individuals. Meanwhile, in the training set, this nomogram displayed excellent superiority over the TNM staging system with abroad application, especially in C-index (0.669 vs 0.580) and the AUC (the Area Under ROC Curve) for the 3- and 5-year survival (0.678 vs 0.582; 0.650 vs 0.576). In the calibration curve, the curve representing predicted survival tended to align with the line representing actual survival as well.

Conclusion

A nomogram was successfully created and verified to achieve the goal that made a rounded accurate prediction on the survival of postoperative I NSCLC patients in terms of the SEER database.

Adenocarcinoma of High-Grade Patterns Associated with Distinct Outcome of First-Line Chemotherapy or EGFR-TKIs in Patients of Relapsed Lung Cancer

Purpose

High-grade patterns (micropapillary/solid/complex gland) are associated with a higher recurrence rate and shorter disease-free survival. Thus far, it remains unclear whether the efficacy of first-line anticancer therapy is different from that of the other adenocarcinoma subgroups for patients with high-grade patterns. The study aimed to investigate the association between an adenocarcinoma with high-grade patterns with the outcomes of first-line treatment in patients with lung cancer.

Patients and Methods

Patients with a high-grade pattern adenocarcinoma (more than 20% of micropapillary/solid components/complex glandular patterns) were retrospectively analyzed between June 2015 and June 2017. Patients’ clinical characteristics and treatment outcomes were compared with those of the remaining control adenocarcinoma subgroups.

Results

In total, 239 patients with adenocarcinoma, including 115 (48.1%) high-grade patterns and 124 (51.9%) control groups, were enrolled. Patients’ clinical characteristics such as age, sex, smoking status, and stage were similar between the two groups. Among them, 108 patients received first-line chemotherapy, and 131 received epidermal growth factor receptor–tyrosine kinase inhibitors (EGFR-TKIs). In the chemotherapy group, adenocarcinoma of high-grade patterns had a significantly lower objective response rate (ORR; 15.6% vs 36.4%, P=0.045), shorter progression-free survival (PFS; median 4.1 vs 5.4 months, P=0.007) and overall survival (OS, median 19.6 vs 23.8 months, P=0.048) compared with the control group. As for these treated with EGFR-TKIs, a similar ORR (70.7% vs 72.1%, P=0.703), PFS (median 11.3 vs 13.9 months, P=0.065) and OS (median 34.1 vs 29.6%, p=0.575) were observed between these two groups.

Conclusion

An adenocarcinoma with high-grade patterns is associated with inferior outcomes to first-line chemotherapy in relapsed lung cancer. Patients who received chemotherapy had a significantly shorter PFS and OS and lower ORR than control subjects, while there was no difference in the EGFR-TKI cohort. This study is the first to report the distribution of adenocarcinoma with high-grade patterns.