Impact of standard of care treatments and disease variables on outcomes in systemic lupus erythematosus trials: analysis from the Lupus Foundation of America Collective Data Analysis Initiative

Improving resource utilisation in SLE drug development through innovative trial design

SLE is a complex autoimmune disease with considerable unmet need. Numerous clinical trials designed to investigate novel therapies are actively enrolling patients straining limited resources and creating inefficiencies that increase enrolment challenges. This has motivated investigators developing novel drugs and treatment strategies to consider innovative trial designs that aim to improve the efficiency of generating evidence; these strategies propose conducting fewer trials, involving smaller numbers of patients, while maintaining scientific rigour in safety and efficacy data collection and analysis. In this review we present the design of two innovative phase IIb studies investigating efavaleukin alfa and rozibafusp alfa for the treatment of SLE which use an adaptive study design. This design was selected as a case study, investigating efavaleukin alfa, in the Food and Drug Administration's Complex Innovative Trial Design Pilot Program. The adaptive design approach includes prospectively planned modifications at predefined interim timepoints. Interim assessments of futility allow for a trial to end early when the investigational therapy is unlikely to provide meaningful treatment benefits to patients, which can release eligible patients to participate in other-potentially more promising-trials, or seek alternative treatments. Response-adaptive randomisation allows randomisation ratios to change based on accumulating data, in favour of the more efficacious dose arm(s), while the study is ongoing. Throughout the trial the placebo arm allocation ratio is maintained constant. These design elements can improve the statistical power in the estimation of treatment effect and increase the amount of safety and efficacy data collected for the optimal dose(s). Furthermore, these trials can provide the required evidence to potentially serve as one of two confirmatory trials needed for regulatory approval. This can reduce the need for multiple phase III trials, the total patient requirements, person-exposure risk, and ultimately the time and cost of investigational drug development programmes.

Disease trajectory of SLE clinical endpoints and covariates affecting disease severity and probability of response: Analysis of pooled patient-level placebo (Standard-of-Care) data to enable model-informed drug development

Systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) is an autoimmune disease affecting multiple organ systems. Many investigational agents have failed or shown only modest effects when added to standard of care (SoC) therapy in placebo-controlled trials, and only two therapies have been approved for SLE in the last 60 years. Clinical trial outcomes have shown discordance in drug effects between clinical endpoints. Herein, we characterized longitudinal disease activity in the SLE population and the sources of variability by developing a latent disease trajectory model for SLE component endpoints (Systemic Lupus Erythematosus Disease Activity Index [SLEDAI], Physician's Global Assessment [PGA], British Isles Lupus Assessment Group Index [BILAG]) and composite endpoints (Systemic Lupus Erythematosus Responder Index [SRI], BILAG-based Composite Lupus Assessment [BICLA], and Lupus Low Disease Activity State [LLDAS]) using patient-level historical SoC data from nine phase II and III studies. Across all endpoints, in predictions up to 52 weeks from the final disease trajectory model, the following baseline covariates were associated with a greater decrease in SLE disease activity and higher response to placebo + SoC: Hispanic ethnicity from Central/South America, absence of hypocomplementemia, recent SLE diagnosis, and high baseline disease activity score using SLEDAI and BILAG separately. No discernible differences were observed in the trajectory of response to placebo + SoC across different SoC medications (antimalarial and immunosuppressant such as mycophenolate, methotrexate, and azathioprine). Across all endpoints, disease trajectory showed no difference in Asian versus non-Asian patients, supporting Asia-inclusive global SLE drug development. These results describe the first population approach to support a model-informed drug development framework in SLE.

Editor’s Pick: Identifying Shared Features and Addressing Common Challenges in Clinical Trials for Chronic Inflammatory Diseases: An Overview

Chronic inflammatory diseases (CID) share many common features, such as debilitating illness, increased mortality, impaired quality of life and productivity, and high economic burden. The approach to treating CID has shifted over the last 20 years from symptom to mechanism of action-targeted therapy following the development of primarily biologic drugs, in which the same therapy can potentially treat multiple diseases. Developing these drugs requires novel strategies and a multidisciplinary approach for implementation. This article provides an overview of shared features for CID clinical trials and addressing common challenges in their planning and execution. Since CID studies often test the same drug for treating different pathologies, knowledge of the drug from previously investigated therapeutic indications can be leveraged when planning clinical trials. Given the variety of CID signs and symptoms, eligibility criteria need to clearly define the target patient population by minimising ambiguity and risk of misunderstanding. Other common challenges include an elevated response in the placebo arm, the subjectivity of investigator assessments, and the use of appropriate patient-reported outcomes. Several measures can help minimise the impact of the aforementioned issues on study outcome, including centralised eligibility review and endpoint adjudication, tight control of background therapy and concomitant medications, and intensive training of assessors. The above common features support an approach to CID as a largely interconnected therapeutic area in which a multidisciplinary approach, application of common strategies, and lessons learnt across different indications represent crucial factors for effectively planning and executing clinical trials.

Type I interferon inhibitor anifrolumab in active systemic lupus erythematosus (TULIP-1): a randomised, controlled, phase 3 trial

BACKGROUND

Type I interferons are involved in systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) pathogenesis. In a phase 2 trial, anifrolumab, a human monoclonal antibody to type I interferon receptor subunit 1, suppressed interferon gene signatures and substantially reduced SLE disease activity. Here, we sought to confirm the efficacy of anifrolumab versus placebo in a phase 3 trial of adult patients with SLE and moderate-to-severe disease activity despite standard-of-care treatment.

METHODS

TULIP-1 was a double-blind, randomised, controlled, phase 3 trial done at 123 sites in 18 countries. Included patients were aged 18-70 years, with moderate-to-severe SLE, and ongoing stable treatment with either prednisone or equivalent, an antimalarial, azathioprine, mizoribine, mycophenolate mofetil or mycophenolic acid, or methotrexate. Patients were randomly assigned (2:1:2) to receive placebo, anifrolumab 150 mg, or anifrolumab 300 mg intravenously every 4 weeks for 48 weeks. Stable standard-of-care treatment continued except for mandatory attempts at oral corticosteroid tapering for patients receiving prednisone or equivalent of 10 mg/day or more at baseline. The primary outcome was the difference between the proportion of patients who achieved an SLE responder index-4 (SRI-4) response at week 52 with anifrolumab 300 mg versus with placebo. Key secondary outcomes were the difference between the anifrolumab 300 mg group and the placebo group in: proportion of patients in the interferon gene signature test-high subgroup who achieved SRI-4 at week 52; proportion of patients on 10 mg/day or more corticosteroids at baseline who achieved a sustained dose reduction to 7·5 mg/day or less from week 40 to 52; proportion of patients with a cutaneous lupus erythematosus disease area and severity index (CLASI) activity score of 10 or higher at baseline who achieved a 50% or more reduction in CLASI score by week 12; proportion of patients who achieved SRI-4 at week 24; and annualised flare rate through week 52. Other measures of disease activity were also assessed at week 52, including the British Isles Lupus Assessment Group-based composite lupus assessment (BICLA). Safety was also assessed. Efficacy and safety analyses were done in the population of patients who received at least one dose of study drug. This trial was registered at ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT02446912).

FINDINGS

Between June 9, 2015, and June 16, 2017, 457 patients were randomly assigned to the anifrolumab 300 mg group (n=180), the anifrolumab 150 mg group (n=93), or the placebo group (n=184). The proportion of patients at week 52 with an SRI-4 response was similar between anifrolumab 300 mg (65 [36%] of 180) and placebo (74 [40%] of 184; difference -4·2 [95% CI -14·2 to 5·8], p=0·41). Similarly, proportions of patients with an SRI-4 response at week 24, and at week 52 in patients in the interferon gene signature test-high subgroup, did not differ between the anifrolumab and placebo groups. In patients with baseline oral corticosteroids of at least 10 mg/day, sustained dose reduction to 7·5 mg/day or less was achieved by 42 (41%) of 103 patients in the anifrolumab 300 mg group and 33 (32%) of 102 patients in the placebo group (difference 8·9 [95% CI -4·1 to 21·9]). In patients with CLASI activity score of at least 10 at baseline, at least 50% reduction by week 12 was achieved by 24 (42%) of 58 patients in the anifrolumab 300 mg group and 14 (25%) of 54 in the placebo group (difference 17·0 [95% CI -0·3 to 34·3]). Annualised flare rates were 0·60 for anifrolumab and 0·72 for placebo (rate ratio 0·83 [95% CI 0·60 to 1·14]). BICLA response was achieved by 67 (37%) of 180 patients receiving anifrolumab 300 mg versus 49 (27%) of 184 receiving placebo (difference 10·1 [95% CI 0·6 to 19·7]). Anifrolumab's safety profile was similar to that observed in phase 2, with similar proportions of patients having a serious adverse event between groups (25 [14%] of 180 for anifrolumab 300 mg, ten [11%] of 93 for anifrolumab 150 mg, and 30 [16%] of 184 for placebo).

INTERPRETATION

The primary endpoint was not reached. However, several secondary endpoints, including reduction in oral corticosteroid dose, CLASI responses, and BICLA responses, suggest clinical benefit of anifrolumab compared with placebo. Conclusive evidence for the efficacy of anifrolumab awaits further phase 3 trial data. Despite the inherent limitations of a 1-year phase 3 study, such as incomplete knowledge of applicability to the general population and scarce detection of rare safety signals, in addition to complications from prespecified restricted medication rules, our results suggest that anifrolumab might have the potential to provide a treatment option for patients who have active SLE while receiving standard therapy.

FUNDING

AstraZeneca.

Evaluation of oxygen extraction fraction in systemic lupus erythematosus patients using quantitative susceptibility mapping

The purposes of this study are to assess the oxygen extraction fraction (OEF) changes on MRI-based quantitative susceptibility mapping (QSM) in systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) patients and to determine whether QSM-OEF is associated with disease activity in SLE. We enrolled 42 SLE patients and 20 healthy subjects (HS) who had no pathologies on conventional brain MRI. Disease activity was assessed using SLE Disease Activity Index (SLEDAI). For the measurement of QSM-OEF, QSM data were analysed using the Perfusion Mismatch Analyzer software program. Spearman's or Pearson's correlation coefficients were calculated, and independent predictors were identified through a multiple linear regression analysis. QSM-OEF was significantly higher in SLE than that in HS (51.3 ± 10.1 vs. 40.5 ± 3.7, p < 0.001). QSM-OEF was positively correlated with SLEDAI and the presence of neuropsychiatric symptom (NPS) scores (ρ = 0.663, p < 0.001 and ρ = 0.340, p = 0.028). At multiple linear regression analysis, SLEDAI and NPS were independently associated with QSM-OEF (standardized β = 0.426, p = 0.016 and standardized β = 6.148, p = 0.029). In the SLE patients, QSM-OEF is associated with disease activity, which might predict an increased risk of stroke in SLE.

Evaluating duration of response to treatment in systemic lupus erythematosus clinical trials

Objective

To evaluate response duration and identify predictors of transitioning into and out of the response state in patients with SLE receiving standard of care (SoC) in 52-week clinical trials.

Methods

A multistate model (MSM) allowing for bidirectional transitions between response and non-response states was fit to data on 759 patients with SLE with active disease randomised to SoC. The probability of being in response at 52 weeks, average duration of response (sojourn time) and mean total time in response for SLE Responder Index (SRI-4, SRI-5, SRI-6) and BILAG-based Composite Lupus Assessment (BICLA) were estimated. Predictors of attainment and loss of SRI-5 response were also assessed.

Results

The MSM estimated probability of being in response at 52 weeks ranged from 42% (SRI-6) to 61% (SRI-4). Mean duration of response ranged from 20.4 weeks (BICLA) to 31.5 weeks (SRI-4). Mean total time in response was 16.4–24.8 weeks. Baseline characteristics predictive of shorter SRI-5 response duration were African descent (p=0.005), longer history of disease (p=0.03), higher anti-dsDNA antibody titres (p=0.039), lower lymphocyte count (p=0.008) and lower haemoglobin (p=0.006). Younger age (p<0.001) and higher protein/creatinine ratio (p<0.001) were associated with higher likelihood of achieving SRI-5 but also shorter response duration.

Conclusion

Factors associated with disease severity were more predictive of shorter response duration than of 52-week response status. Analysing landmark response rates and response duration using MSM may be a more powerful way to distinguish effective investigational treatments from background SoC, although this remains to be evaluated in future trials.

Early Lupus Project: one-year follow-up of an Italian cohort of patients with systemic lupus erythematosus of recent onset

Objective

To describe the clinical and serological features of a prospectively followed cohort of early diagnosed systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) patients during a one-year follow-up period.

Methods

SLE patients with disease duration less than 12 months were consecutively enrolled in a multicentre, prospective study. At study entry and then every 6 months, a large panel of data was recorded.

Results

Of 260 patients enrolled, 185 had at least 12 months of follow-up; of these, 84.3% were female, 92.4% were Caucasians. Mean diagnostic delay was about 20 months; higher values of European Consensus Lupus Activity Measurement (ECLAM) and of organs/systems involved were both associated with shorter diagnostic delay. Clinical and serological parameters improved after study entry. However, patients' quality of life deteriorated and cardiovascular risk factors significantly increased. About one-third of patients with active disease at study entry went into remission (ECLAM = 0). Negative predictors for remission were: oral ulcers, arthritis, low C4, anti-SSB (Ro) antibodies and therapy with mycophenolate. There was a widespread use of glucocorticoids both at baseline and during follow-up.

Conclusion

Clinical symptoms and serological parameters improve during the first period after diagnosis. However, patients’ quality of life deteriorates. The widespread use of glucocorticoids is probably the reason for the early significant increase of some cardiovascular risk factors.

Enlarged perivascular spaces are associated with the disease activity in systemic lupus erythematosus

To determine whether any brain MR abnormalities, including enlarged perivascular spaces (EPVS), were associated with disease activity in systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) as an inflammatory activity. One hundred and thirty SLE patients with normal MR findings were assessed. With regard to MRI abnormalities, patients with brain atrophy and mild white matter hyperintensity (WMH) on T2WI were not excluded. The disease activity was assessed using the SLEDAI and the BILAG scores. The imaging characteristics included centrum semiovale EPVS (CS- EPVS) and basal ganglia EPVS on T2WI, WMH, and brain atrophy. We used univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses to determine the clinical (vascular risk factors and blood examinations) and imaging characteristics that were associated with the disease activity of SLE. High CS-EPVS to be the only factor that was independently associated with the severity of the SLEDAI and BILAG scores (odds ratio [OR] 5.77; 95% confidence interval [CI] 2.21–15.00; p < 0.001 for the SLEDAI, and OR 2.64; 95% CI 1.03–6.74; p = 0.042 for the BILAG score). The CS-EPVS in the SLE patients are associated with the systemic disease activity, suggesting that CS- EPVS may be indicative of the reactive changes of the white matter due to the inflammatory activity.