Time-Series Forecasting of Hemodialysis Population in the State of Qatar by 2030

The Effects of Distance, Time, and Nonspatial Factors on Hemodialysis Access in Qatar

Background A long distance and time spent traveling to a hemodialysis (HD) center and other factors, such as comorbidities, can significantly impact HD patient compliance, satisfaction, and cost. Uncertainty about HD-dependent patients' geographical location may lead to inappropriate distribution of HD centers. The present study investigates travel time, distance, and nonspatial factors affecting HD center accessibility within a 30-km radius in the State of Qatar. Materials and methods The study included all HD-dependent patients residing in Qatar between March 1, 2020, and December 31, 2021. There were 921 patients dialyzed in six HD centers across Qatar. Our methodology incorporated descriptive and analytical cross-sectional designs to accurately identify the shortest routes and quickest travel times. We used two applications (Maptive {Vancouver, WA: BatchGeo LLC} and Google Maps {Mountain View, CA: Google LLC}) and marked a driving distance of 30 km as the main assessment scale and measurement standard, allowing optimum spatial accessibility determination. Results On average, patients traveled approximately 19±4.2 km, requiring almost 17.6±3.4 minutes to reach the assigned HD center three times per week. Based on geographic-spatial accessibility analysis, patients living in Umm Salal drove 31.4±3.5 km in 32.4±4.7 minutes, Al Daayen patients drove 30.2 km in 25.3 minutes, and others even drove more than 70 km to access HD sessions. Approximately 37.8% of Qatar's municipalities had no HD centers within their boundaries, but nearly 47% of HD-dependent patients lived in those municipalities. Additionally, some municipalities had HD centers; however, their general population density was less than 100 inhabitants/km2, and they had relatively few patients requiring regular HD. We noted a statistically significant correlation between the patients' residences and the locations of HD centers, whether they were located within or outside municipalities. Also, nonspatial factors may have affected the likelihood of reaching a hemodialysis center within a 30-km distance, including two or more comorbid conditions, having HD for at least five years, living in a municipality with more than 1,000 inhabitants/km2, being female, and attending dialysis centers that are more than 30 km away. Conclusion Although the available HD centers were sufficient for the present number of patients requiring HD, HD center locations did not match the patients' distribution, leading to difficulties for some patients. Understanding the impact of this geographic mismatch, population density, and other spatial factors helps significantly improve patient care and satisfaction at minimal cost. Furthermore, considering all these factors is crucial when planning new centers to achieve higher satisfaction and compliance as well as better health care.

Determinants of vaccine adherence among non-dialysis chronic kidney disease patients in Qatar

INTRODUCTION

Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is a global health problem. Reduced innate and adaptive immunological responses predispose CKD patients to infections. Despite the clinical and epidemiological importance of CKD and the great value of vaccination as a prophylactic measure, the utilization of recommended vaccines in Qatar has not yet been evaluated.

METHODS

We conducted a cross-sectional study to estimate the level of influenza, pneumococcal, and hepatitis B vaccination and the predictors of adherence to these recommended vaccines among non-dialysis CKD patients receiving renal ambulatory care in Qatar from 1 September 2020 to 30 April 2021. Complete vaccination was defined as receiving the three vaccines, and partial vaccination was defined as receiving one or two vaccines. The full and partial vaccination predictors were assessed using multivariate logistic regression and reported as odds ratio (OR) with p<0.05 indicating statistical significance.

RESULTS

416 non-dialysis CKD patients were included in our analysis. 73% were males; the mean age was 56 ± 15 years. More than 50% of the patients were from the Middle East, followed by 36% from Asia. Most patients had concurrent hypertension, concurrent diabetes mellitus, and were stage V CKD. Only 12% of the patients were fully vaccinated, while 73% received partial vaccination. The predictors of vaccination included age, gender, Asian origin, employment, living conditions, concurrent medical conditions, CKD stage, allergy to medications, and use of injectable medications. Only stage V CKD positively predicted adherence to full and partial vaccinations in non-dialysis CKD patients.

CONCLUSION

There is very low adherence to the recommended vaccines in CKD patients, with a prevalence of complete vaccination of 12% only. Increased public awareness about the importance of vaccination in CKD may improve the adherence rates among these patients in Qatar.