Diabetes mellitus and tuberculosis in Korean adults: impact on tuberculosis incidence, recurrence and mortality

Trends in tuberculosis incidence and mortality coefficients in Brazil, 2011-2019: analysis by inflection points

Objective

To analyze the temporal trend of tuberculosis incidence and mortality rates in Brazil between 2011 and 2019.

Methods

This was an ecological time series study of tuberculosis incidence and mortality rates in Brazil between 2011 and 2019. Data were extracted from the Notifiable Disease Information System and the Mortality Information System, and population estimates were from the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics. Trends were analyzed by Joinpoint regression, which recognizes inflection points for temporal analysis.

Results

The average incidence rate of tuberculosis in Brazil in the period was 35.8 cases per 100 000 population. From 2011 to 2015, this coefficient had an annual percentage change of -1.9% (95% CI [-3.4, -0.5]) followed by an increase of 2.4% (95% CI [0.9, 3.9]) until 2019. The average mortality rate between 2011 and 2019 was 2.2 deaths per 100 000 population, with an average annual percentage change of -0.4% (95% CI [-1.0, 0.2]). Amazonas was the only state with an increase in the annual average percentage variation for the incidence rate (3.2%; 95% CI [1.3, 5.1]) and mortality rate (2.7%; 95% CI [1.0, 4.4]) over the years, while Rio de Janeiro state had an increasing inflection for incidence from 2014 to 2019 (2.4%; 95% CI [1.4, 3.5]) and annual average of decreasing percentage variation (-3.5%; 95% CI [-5.0, -1.9]).

Conclusions

During the period analyzed, a decreasing trend in incidence was observed between 2011 and 2015, and an increasing trend for the period from 2015 to 2019. On the other hand, no change in the trend for mortality was found in Brazil.

Stratification of Nontuberculous Mycobacterial Disease Risk in Type 2 Diabetes Based on Metformin Use: a Population-Based Cohort Study in South Korea

In a 1:4 case-control matched analysis of data from a nationwide population-based cohort in South Korea, we evaluated whether metformin use mitigates the risk of nontuberculous mycobacterial disease in patients with type 2 diabetes. Multivariable analysis revealed no significant association of metformin use with a diminished risk for incident nontuberculous mycobacterial disease in patients with type 2 diabetes.

Sex differences in the impact of diabetes mellitus on tuberculosis recurrence: a retrospective national cohort study

OBJECTIVES

Whether diabetes mellitus (DM) increases tuberculosis (TB) recurrence risk is debatable. We determined the effect of DM on TB recurrence.

METHODS

This retrospective nationwide cohort study included patients with TB who successfully completed TB treatment during 2011-2017 and were followed up for TB recurrence until August 2020. We performed subdistribution hazard model analyses stratified by sex to assess DM risk related to TB recurrence after successful treatment.

RESULTS

Of 199,571 participants who had received successful TB treatment, 47,952 (24%) had DM. There were more men (64.4%), positive acid-fast bacilli smears (35.9%), and positive cultures (49.5%) in the DM group. There were 6208 (3.1%) TB recurrences during 5.1 years of follow-up: 38.9% and 26.6% occurred 1 and 1-2 years after treatment completion, respectively. The recurrence rate was higher in the DM group (3.8%) than in the non-DM group (2.9%, P <0.0001). DM was associated with a higher TB recurrence risk, especially in men (adjusted hazard ratio 1.23, 95% confidence interval 1.15-1.32) but not in women (adjusted hazard ratio 0.96, 95% confidence interval 0.85-1.09).

CONCLUSION

The TB recurrence rate after successful treatment was higher in patients with DM than in patients without DM. DM is associated with TB recurrence in men.

Global, regional, and national sex differences in the global burden of tuberculosis by HIV status, 1990-2019: results from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019

BACKGROUND

Tuberculosis is a major contributor to the global burden of disease, causing more than a million deaths annually. Given an emphasis on equity in access to diagnosis and treatment of tuberculosis in global health targets, evaluations of differences in tuberculosis burden by sex are crucial. We aimed to assess the levels and trends of the global burden of tuberculosis, with an emphasis on investigating differences in sex by HIV status for 204 countries and territories from 1990 to 2019.

METHODS

We used a Bayesian hierarchical Cause of Death Ensemble model (CODEm) platform to analyse 21 505 site-years of vital registration data, 705 site-years of verbal autopsy data, 825 site-years of sample-based vital registration data, and 680 site-years of mortality surveillance data to estimate mortality due to tuberculosis among HIV-negative individuals. We used a population attributable fraction approach to estimate mortality related to HIV and tuberculosis coinfection. A compartmental meta-regression tool (DisMod-MR 2.1) was then used to synthesise all available data sources, including prevalence surveys, annual case notifications, population-based tuberculin surveys, and tuberculosis cause-specific mortality, to produce estimates of incidence, prevalence, and mortality that were internally consistent. We further estimated the fraction of tuberculosis mortality that is attributable to independent effects of risk factors, including smoking, alcohol use, and diabetes, for HIV-negative individuals. For individuals with HIV and tuberculosis coinfection, we assessed mortality attributable to HIV risk factors including unsafe sex, intimate partner violence (only estimated among females), and injection drug use. We present 95% uncertainty intervals for all estimates.

FINDINGS

Globally, in 2019, among HIV-negative individuals, there were 1·18 million (95% uncertainty interval 1·08-1·29) deaths due to tuberculosis and 8·50 million (7·45-9·73) incident cases of tuberculosis. Among HIV-positive individuals, there were 217 000 (153 000-279 000) deaths due to tuberculosis and 1·15 million (1·01-1·32) incident cases in 2019. More deaths and incident cases occurred in males than in females among HIV-negative individuals globally in 2019, with 342 000 (234 000-425 000) more deaths and 1·01 million (0·82-1·23) more incident cases in males than in females. Among HIV-positive individuals, 6250 (1820-11 400) more deaths and 81 100 (63 300-100 000) more incident cases occurred among females than among males in 2019. Age-standardised mortality rates among HIV-negative males were more than two times greater in 105 countries and age-standardised incidence rates were more than 1·5 times greater in 74 countries than among HIV-negative females in 2019. The fraction of global tuberculosis deaths among HIV-negative individuals attributable to alcohol use, smoking, and diabetes was 4·27 (3·69-5·02), 6·17 (5·48-7·02), and 1·17 (1·07-1·28) times higher, respectively, among males than among females in 2019. Among individuals with HIV and tuberculosis coinfection, the fraction of mortality attributable to injection drug use was 2·23 (2·03-2·44) times greater among males than females, whereas the fraction due to unsafe sex was 1·06 (1·05-1·08) times greater among females than males.

INTERPRETATION

As countries refine national tuberculosis programmes and strategies to end the tuberculosis epidemic, the excess burden experienced by males is important. Interventions are needed to actively communicate, especially to men, the importance of early diagnosis and treatment. These interventions should occur in parallel with efforts to minimise excess HIV burden among women in the highest HIV burden countries that are contributing to excess HIV and tuberculosis coinfection burden for females. Placing a focus on tuberculosis burden among HIV-negative males and HIV and tuberculosis coinfection among females might help to diminish the overall burden of tuberculosis. This strategy will be crucial in reaching both equity and burden targets outlined by global health milestones.

FUNDING

Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.

Diabetes mellitus and tuberculosis, a systematic review and meta-analysis with sensitivity analysis for studies comparable for confounders

Introduction

Meta-analyses conducted so far on the association between diabetes mellitus (DM) and the tuberculosis (TB) development risk did not sufficiently take confounders into account in their estimates. The objective of this systematic review was to determine whether DM is associated with an increased risk of developing TB with a sensitivity analyses incorporating a wider range of confounders including age, gender, alcohol consumption, smoke exposure, and other comorbidities.

Methods

Pubmed, Embase, Web of Science and Global Index Medicus were queried from inception until October 2020. Without any restriction to time of study, geographical location, and DM and TB diagnosis approaches, all observational studies that presented data for associations between DM and TB were included. Studies with no abstract or complete text, duplicates, and studies with wrong designs (review, case report, case series, comment on an article, and editorial) or populations were excluded. The odds ratios (OR) and their 95% confidence intervals were estimated by a random-effect model.

Results

The electronic and manual searches yielded 12,796 articles of which 47 were used in our study (23 case control, 14 cross-sectional and 10 cohort studies) involving 503,760 cases (DM or TB patients) and 3,596,845 controls. The size of the combined effect of TB risk in the presence of DM was OR = 2.3, 95% CI = [2.0–2.7], I² = 94.2%. This statistically significant association was maintained in cohort (OR = 2.0, CI 95% = [1.5–2.4], I² = 94.3%), case control (OR = 2.4, CI 95% = [2.0–2.9], I² = 93.0%) and cross-sectional studies (OR = 2.5, CI 95% = [1.8–3.5], I² = 95.2%). The association between DM and TB was also maintained in the sensitivity analysis including only studies with similar proportions of confounders between cases and controls. The substantial heterogeneity observed was mainly explained by the differences between geographic regions.

Conclusions

DM is associated with an increased risk of developing latent and active TB. To further explore the role of DM in the development of TB, more investigations of the biological mechanisms by which DM increases the risk of TB are needed.

Review registration

PROSPERO, CRD42021216815.

Patterns of non-communicable comorbidities at start of tuberculosis treatment in three regions of the Philippines: The St-ATT cohort

Diabetes and undernutrition are common risk factors for tuberculosis (TB), associated with poor treatment outcomes and exacerbated by TB. Limited data exist describing patterns and risk factors of multiple comorbidities in persons with TB. Nine-hundred participants (69.6% male) were enrolled in the Starting Anti-TB Treatment (St-ATT) cohort, including 133 (14.8%) initiating treatment for multi-drug resistant TB (MDR-TB). Comorbidities were defined as: diabetes, HbA1c ≥6.5% and/or on medication; hypertension, systolic blood pressure ≥140 mmHg or diastolic blood pressure ≥90 mmHg and/or on medication; anaemia (moderate/severe), haemoglobin <11g/dL; and, undernutrition (moderate/severe) body-mass-index <17 kg/m2. The most common comorbidities were undernutrition 23.4% (210/899), diabetes 22.5% (199/881), hypertension 19.0% (164/864) and anaemia 13.5% (121/899). Fifty-eight percent had ≥1 comorbid condition (496/847), with 17.1% having ≥2; most frequently diabetes and hypertension (N = 57, 6.7%). Just over half of diabetes (54.8%) and hypertension (54.9%) was previously undiagnosed. Poor glycemic control in those on medication (HbA1c≥8.0%) was common (N = 50/73, 68.5%). MDR-TB treatment was associated with increased odds of diabetes (Adjusted odds ratio (AOR) = 2.48, 95% CI: 1.55-3.95); but decreased odds of hypertension (AOR = 0.55, 95% CI: 0.39-0.78). HIV infection was only associated with anaemia (AOR = 4.51, 95% CI: 1.01-20.1). Previous TB treatment was associated with moderate/severe undernutrition (AOR = 1.98, 95% CI: 1.40-2.80), as was duration of TB-symptoms before starting treatment and household food insecurity. No associations for sex, alcohol or tobacco use were observed. MDR-TB treatment was marginally associated with having ≥2 comorbidities (OR = 1.52, 95% CI: 0.97-2.39). TB treatment programmes should plan for large proportions of persons requiring diagnosis and management of comorbidities with the potential to adversely affect TB treatment outcomes and quality of life. Dietary advice and nutritional management are components of comprehensive care for the above conditions as well as TB and should be included in planning of patient-centred services.

Association between economic development level and tuberculosis registered incidence in Shandong, China

BACKGROUND

Tuberculosis (TB) is one of the major infectious diseases that seriously endanger people's health. In Shandong province, the relationship between the level of economic development and TB incidence has not been studied. This study aims to provide more research basis for the government to prevent and control TB by exploring the impact of different economic factors on TB incidence.

METHODS

By constructing threshold regression model (TRM), we described the extent to which different economic factors contribute to TB registered incidence and differences in TB registered incidence among seventeen cities with different levels of economic development in Shandong province, China, during 2006-2017. Data were retrieved from the China Information System for Disease Control and Prevention.

RESULTS

Per capita medical expenditure (regression coefficient, -0.0314462; SD, 0.0079305; P > |t|, 0.000) and per capita savings (regression coefficient, 0.0001924; SD, 0.0000566; P > |t|, 0.001) passed the significance test at the level of 1%.They are the two economic indicators that have the greatest impact on TB registered incidence. Through the threshold test, we selected the per capita savings as the threshold variable. In the three stages of per capita savings (<9772.8086 China Yuan(CNY); 9772.8086-33,835.5391 CNY; >33,835.5391 CNY), rural per capita income always has a significant negative impact on the TB registered incidence (The regression coefficients are - 0.0015682, - 0.0028132 and - 0.0022253 respectively. P is 0.007,0.000 and 0.000 respectively.).In cities with good economies, TB registered incidence was 38.30% in 2006 and dropped to 25.10% by 2017. In cities with moderate economies, TB registered incidence peaked in 2008 at 43.10% and dropped to 27.1% by 2017.In poorer cities, TB registered incidence peaked in 2008 at 56.30% and dropped to 28.9% in 2017.

CONCLUSION

We found that per capita savings and per capita medical expenditure are most closely related to the TB incidence. Therefore, relevant departments should formulate a more complete medical system and medical insurance policy to effectively solve the problem of "difficult and expensive medical treatment". In order to further reduce the TB incidence, in addition to timely and accurate diagnosis and treatment, it is more important for governments to increase investment in medicine and health care.

Primary drug resistance among tuberculosis patients with diabetes mellitus: a retrospective study among 7223 cases in China

Background

Given the high burden of tuberculosis (TB) and diabetes mellitus (DM) in China and the worse outcome of TB-DM cases (refers to TB patients with diabetes), and drug-resistant tuberculosis cases (DR-TB), it is of great significance to explore the association between diabetes and primary DR-TB for TB elimination target in China. We assessed the clinical characteristics, drug-resistance profile, and increased risk of resistance among TB-DM patients across China from 2004 to 2017.

Method

7223 cases with drug-susceptibility data were collected from Shandong, China. Categorical baseline characteristics of new TB cases were compared by DM status using Fisher's exact or Pearson Chi-square test. Univariable analysis and multivariable logistic models were used to estimate the association between diabetes and different drug-resistance profiles and the risk factors of primary drug resistance among TB-DM cases.

Result

Of 7223 newly diagnosed TB patients, 426 (5.90%) were TB-DM cases. TB-DM csaes were more likely to be older，accompanied by higher body mass index (BMI) and hypertension than TB-no DM cases (refers to TB patients without diabetes). The rates of DR-TB (21.83% vs 16.96%), polydrug resistant TB (PDR-TB, 6.10% vs 3.80%), isoniazid (INH)+streptomycin (SM)-resistant TB (4.93% vs 3.13%), and SM-resistant TB (16.20% vs 11.7%) among TB-DM group were higher than TB-no DM group, P<0.05. DM was significantly associated with any DR-TB (adjusted (aOR):1.30; 95% CI, 1.02-1.65), SM-related resistance (aOR: 1.43; 95% CI, 1.08-1.88), PDR-TB (OR: 1.57; 95% CI, 1.04-2.36; aOR: 1.59; 95% CI, 1.04-2.44), compared with pan-susceptible TB patients (P<0.05).

Conclusion

Our study indicated that TB-DM groups had a higher proportion of drug resistance than TB groups, and diabetes was identified as a risk factor of total DR, PDR, SM resistance and INH+SM resistance among newly diagnosed TB cases. Good management of diabetes and TB infection screening program among DM patients might be necessary for improving TB control in China.