Prognostic ability of BCLC-B Subclassification in Patients with Hepatocellular Carcinoma Undergoing Transarterial Chemoembolization

Frontline evaluation: Atezolizumab-bevacizumab versus lenvatinib for BCLC stage B hepatocellular carcinoma exceeding the up-to-seven criteria

INTRODUCTION

This study aimed to evaluate the efficacy and safety of atezolizumab combined with bevacizumab (Atez/Bev) compared to lenvatinib (LEN) as first-line systemic therapy for patients with Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) stage B hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) exceeding the up-to-seven criteria threshold, who are typically unsuitable for transarterial chemoembolization (TACE).

METHODS

A retrospective analysis was conducted on 49 consecutive patients with HCC treated at Tokyo Metropolitan Komagome Hospital between May 2018 and October 2023. The patients were divided into two groups: the Atez/Bev group (21 patients) and the LEN group (28 patients). Eligibility criteria included Child-Pugh A classification, no prior systemic therapy, and ineligibility for resection, ablation, or transplantation. Treatment outcomes were assessed through periodic imaging and laboratory tests, evaluating OS, PFS, ORR, and disease control rate (DCR).

RESULTS

Both groups demonstrated comparable baseline characteristics, with a median follow-up of 15.4 months. No significant difference was observed in OS between the Atez/Bev and LEN groups (median OS: 19.80 vs. 22.20 months, p = 0.763). The median PFS was 10.23 months for Atez/Bev and 7.20 months for LEN (p = 0.343). There were no statistically significant differences in ORR or DCR between the two groups. Common adverse events included elevated AST and ALT levels, with no significant difference in the overall rate of adverse events between the groups.

CONCLUSIONS

Atez/Bev and LEN demonstrated comparable efficacy and safety as first-line systemic treatments for patients with BCLC stage B HCC exceeding the up-to-seven criteria. Both therapeutic options are viable for this population, though further large-scale prospective studies are required to confirm these findings.

Multidisciplinary comprehensive treatment of massive hepatocellular carcinoma with hemorrhage: A case report and review of literature

BACKGROUND

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), a major contributor to cancer-related deaths, is particularly prevalent in Asia, largely due to hepatitis B virus infection. Its prognosis is generally poor. This case report contributes to the medical literature by detailing a unique approach in treating a large HCC through multidisciplinary collaboration, particularly in patients with massive HCC complicated by ruptured bleeding, a scenario not extensively documented previously.

CASE SUMMARY

The patient presented with large HCC complicated by intratumoral bleeding. Treatment involved a multidisciplinary approach, providing individualized care. The strategy included drug-eluting bead transarterial chemoembolization, sorafenib-targeted therapy, laparoscopic partial hepatectomy, and standardized sintilimab monoclonal antibody therapy. Six months after treatment, the patient achieved complete radiological remission, with significant symptom relief. Imaging studies showed no lesions or recurrence, and clinical assessments confirmed complete remission. This report is notable as possibly the first documented case of successfully treating such complex HCC conditions through integrated multidisciplinary efforts, offering new insights and a reference for future similar cases.

CONCLUSION

This study demonstrated effective multidisciplinary treatment for massive HCC with intratumoral bleeding, providing insights for future similar cases.

Prognostic Role of Basal Serum Alpha-Fetoprotein in Patients with Hepatocellular Carcinoma Suitable for Curative Treatment

Background and Objectives: Serum alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) is a recognized affordable oncological marker in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). However, AFP's prognostic role has been assessed mainly after specific treatments, and no unanimously recognized cut-offs have been identified. The aim of this study is to investigate the prognostic role of different basal AFP cut-offs on survival and HCC course. Materials and Methods: In this single-center, retrospective study, all patients newly diagnosed with HCC between January 2009 and December 2021 were prospectively enrolled. Only patients suitable for curative HCC treatments were included in the analyses. Patients were stratified according to AFP cut-offs of 20, 200, 400, and 1000 ng/mL, which were correlated with survival outcomes and clinical parameters. Results: A total of 266 patients were analyzed, with a median follow-up time of 41.5 months. Median overall survival (OS) of all cohort was 43 months. At the multivariate Cox-regression analysis, AFP value ≥ 1000 ng/mL correlated with impaired OS (1-year OS: 67% vs. 88%, 5-year OS: 1% vs. 43%; p = 0.005); other risk factors were tumor dimension ≥ 5 cm (HR 1.73; p = 0.002), Child-Pugh class B-C (HR 1.72; p = 0.002), BCLC stage A (vs. 0) (HR 2.4; p = 0.011), and malignant portal vein thrombosis (HR 2.57; p = 0.007). AFP ≥ 1000 ng/mL was also associated with a reduced recurrence-free survival (HR 2.0; p = 0.038), while starting from AFP ≥ 20 ng/mL, a correlation with development of HCC metastases over time (HR 3.5; p = 0.002) was seen. AFP values ≥ 20 ng/mL significantly correlated with tumor size and higher histological grading; starting from AFP values ≥ 400 ng/mL, a significant correlation with Child-Pugh class B-C and female gender was also observed. Conclusions: Basal AFP correlates with relevant outcomes in patients with HCC. It could help identify patients at a higher risk of worse prognosis who might benefit from personalized surveillance and treatment programs. Prospective studies are needed to confirm these results.

Can Machine Learning Predict Favorable Outcome After Radiofrequency Ablation of Hepatocellular Carcinoma?

PURPOSE

The standard practice for limited-stage hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the resection or the use of local ablative techniques, such as radiofrequency ablation (RFA). The outcome after RFA depends on a complex interaction between the patient's general condition, hepatic function, and disease stage. In this study, we aimed to explore using a machine learning model to predict the response.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

A retrospective study was conducted for patients with RFA for a localized HCC between 2018 and 2022. The collected clinical, radiologic, and laboratory data were explored using Python and XGBoost. They were split into a training set (70%) and a validation set (30%). The primary end point of this study was to predict the probability of achieving favorable outcomes 12 months after RFA. Favorable outcomes were defined as the patient was alive and HCC was controlled.

RESULTS

One hundred and eleven patients were eligible for the study. Males were 78 (70.3%) with a median age of 57 (range of 43-81) years. Favorable outcome was seen in 62 (55.9%) of the patients. The 1-year survival rate and control rate were 94.6%, and 61.3%, respectively. The final model harbored an accuracy and an AUC of 90.6% and 0.95, respectively, for the training set, while they were 78.9% and 0.80, respectively, for the validation set.

CONCLUSION

Machine learning can be a predictive tool for the outcome after RFA in patients with HCC. Further validation by a larger study is necessary.

A Deep Learning Model Combining Multimodal Factors to Predict the Overall Survival of Transarterial Chemoembolization

Background

To develop and validate an overall survival (OS) prediction model for transarterial chemoembolization (TACE).

Methods

In this retrospective study, 301 patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) who received TACE from 2012 to 2015 were collected. The residual network was used to extract prognostic information from CT images, which was then combined with the clinical factors adjusted by COX regression to predict survival using a modified deep learning model (DLOPCombin). The DLOPCombin model was compared with the residual network model (DLOPCTR), multiple COX regression model (DLOPCox), Radiomic model (Radiomic), and clinical model.

Results

In the validation cohort, DLOPCombin shows the highest TD AUC of all cohorts, which compared with Radiomic (TD AUC: 0.96vs 0.63) and clinical model (TD AUC: 0.96 vs 0.62) model. DLOPCombin showed significant difference in C index compared with DLOPCTR and DLOPCox models (P < 0.05). Moreover, the DLOPCombin showed good calibration and overall net benefit. Patients with DLOPCombin model score ≤ 0.902 had better OS (33 months vs 15.5 months, P < 0.0001).

Conclusion

The deep learning model can effectively predict the patients' overall survival of TACE.

Evolution of Systemic Therapy in Advanced Hepatocellular Carcinoma

The recognition that hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a rising problem globally dates back decades; however, the development of effective medical treatment for the disease has only led to robust improvements in patient outcomes in the recent past. As knowledge evolves and regimens are proven to be more active, the importance of multidisciplinary management in patients with all stages of HCC will become more important to optimize patient outcomes. Key to optimizing patient outcomes is an understanding of the evolution and current role of these therapies in the HCC landscape.

Systemic Treatment in Intermediate Stage (Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer-B) Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) represents an entity of poor prognosis, especially in cases of delayed diagnosis. According to the Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) staging system, patients in BCLC-A are the most suitable for potentially curative treatments (surgery or radiofrequency ablation), whereas those in BCLC-C should be treated only with systemic treatment, as locoregional interventions are ineffective due to the tumor's extensiveness. For patients in the BCLC-B stage, trans-arterial chemoembolization (TACE) is the reference treatment, but the role of systemic treatment has been constantly increasing. As this group of patients is extremely heterogeneous, a case-by-case therapeutic strategy instead of a one-fits-all treatment is certainly required to achieve adequate results against HCC. The decision of selecting among immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs), tyrosine kinase inhibitors (TKIs), TACE, or a combination of them depends on the patient's tumor load, the severity of liver dysfunction, the general performance status, and the presence of concomitant extrahepatic diseases. The objective of this review is to critically appraise the recent data regarding the systemic treatment of BCLC-B HCCs, aiming to emphasize its potential role in the management of these difficult-to-treat patients.

Tumor Burden Score and Serum Alpha-fetoprotein Subclassify Intermediate-Stage Hepatocellular Carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Resection of Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) intermediate-stage hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) remains controversial. While not recommended by the BCLC algorithm, some patients may indeed benefit from hepatectomy. We sought to identify that subset of patients who might derive long-term survival benefit from resection.

METHODS

Intermediate-stage HCC patients who underwent curative-intent resection were identified from an international multi-institutional database. Factors associated with long-term prognosis were identified using multivariate analysis and a risk score was developed and assessed.

RESULTS

Among 194 patients, most individuals had two tumors (n = 123, 63.4%) with a median size of 6.0 cm (IQR, 4.0-8.4) for a median tumor burden score (TBS) of 6.5 (IQR, 5.0-9.1); median alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) was 23.9 ng/mL (IQR, 5.0-503.2), and median overall survival (OS) was 69 months (IAR, 60.7-77.3). Factors associated with OS included AFP (referent ≤ 20 ng/mL, > 20 ng/mL: HR 1.78 95%CI, 1.09-2.89) and TBS (referent TBS ≤ 8.0, TBS > 8.0: HR 1.72 95%CI, 1.07-2.75). While 71 (36.6%) patients had neither risk factor, 79 (40.7%) and 44 (22.7%) had 1 or 2, respectively. A simplified score stratified patients relative to recurrence-free survival (RFS) (0: 33.6% vs. 1: 18.0% vs. 2: 14.7%) (AUC 0.60) and recurrence time (i.e., < 6 months after surgery) (0: 21.3% vs. 1: 43.1% vs. 2: 68.6%) (AUC 0.69) (both p < 0.001). Of note, a higher score was also associated with incrementally worse 5-year OS (0: 68.1% vs. 1: 61.0% vs. 2: 29.9%) (AUC 0.62) (p < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

Long-term OS and RFS outcomes varied considerably. Using a simple risk score, patients with low AFP and low TBS were identified as the subset of individuals most likely to benefit from resection.

A prospective observational cohort study of lenvatinib as initial treatment in patients with BCLC-defined stage B hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) is the standard treatment for intermediate stage hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) (Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer [BCLC] B). However, it often leads to a poor prognosis and decreased hepatic function especially in patients with BCLC substage B2. Lenvatinib (LEN) was demonstrated to be efficacious in these patients in the REFLECT phase 3 trial. We therefore aimed to evaluate the efficacy and safety of LEN as a first-line treatment for the patients with HCC at BCLC substage B2.

METHODS

This prospective observational study used LEN in TACE-naïve patients with HCC at BCLC substage B2 and preserved hepatic function. The primary endpoint was overall survival. A one-year survival rate threshold of 60% and an expected survival rate of 78%, based on previous reports of TACE, was assumed for setting the sample size. With a one-sided α-type error of 5% and 70% detection power, 25 patients were required over a 2-year enrollment period and 10-month follow-up period.

RESULTS

Thirty-one patients were enrolled in this study from June 2018 to June 2020. The 1-year survival rate was 71.0% (90% confidence interval, 68.4-73.6%). Median overall and progression-free survival periods were 17.0 and 10.4 months, and the objective response rates according to Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumor (RECIST) version 1.1 and modified RECIST criteria were 22.6% and 70.0%, respectively. Common adverse events (AEs) were fatigue (68%), hypertension (65%), anorexia (61%), palmar-plantar erythrodysesthesia (39%), and thrombocytopenia (32%) of any grade; aspartate aminotransferase increased (23%), alanine aminotransferase increased (16%), and grade ≥ 3 proteinuria (13%). Treatment interruption and dose reduction were required in 61% and 81% of patients, respectively. LEN was discontinued in 29 patients due to disease progression (n = 17), AEs (n = 9), conversion to curative treatments (n = 2), and sudden death (n = 1), whereas post-LEN treatments were administered in 18 patients, including systemic chemotherapy (n = 11), TACE (n = 6), transarterial infusion (n = 1) and clinical trial (n = 1).

CONCLUSIONS

The results suggest that LEN provides treatment benefits as an initial therapeutic in patients with BCLC substage B2 HCC with a safety profile comparable to that previously reported.

Combination Therapy With Lenvatinib and Radiofrequency Ablation for Patients With Intermediate-Stage Hepatocellular Carcinoma Beyond Up-To-Seven Criteria and Child-Pugh Class A Liver function: A Pilot Study

Background

The present study aimed to evaluate the efficacy and safety of combined lenvatinib (first-line systemic therapy) and radiofrequency ablation (RFA) therapy in patients with intermediate-stage hepatocellular carcinoma with beyond up-to-seven criteria and Child-Pugh Class A liver function (CP A B2-HCC).

Methods

Twenty-two patients with CP A B2-HCC were enrolled in the study. The patients had no history of systemic treatment. For the initial lenvatinib administration in this study, all of the patients had an adequate course of treatment (no less than two weeks) and were administered the recommended dose. Of them, 13 were treated by means of lenvatinib monotherapy (monotherapy group), while the 9 patients with no contraindication to RFA operation and who had consented to RFA received initial lenvatinib plus subsequent RFA (combination group). The clinical outcomes that were considered to evaluate the treatments included tumor response, prognosis (recurrence and survivals), and possible adverse events (serum liver enzymes and clinically visible complications).

Results

The combination group exhibited a higher object response rate (9/9, 100%) as best tumor response than the monotherapy group (10/13, 76.9%). Longer progression-free survival (PFS) (12.5 months) and overall survival (OS) (21.3) were demonstrated in the combination group than in the monotherapy group (PFS: 5.5 months; OS:17.1 months). The combination group achieved a higher PFS rate (1-year: 74.1%) and OS rate (2-year: 80%) than the monotherapy group (1-year PFS rate: 0%; 2-year OS rate: 25.6%; for PFS, p<0.001; for OS, p=0.022). The treatment strategy was the independent factor for PFS (HR: 18.215 for monotherapy, p =0.010), which was determined by Cox regression analysis, suggesting that a combination strategy may reduce tumor progression when compared to the use of lenvatinib alone. There were no statistically significant intergroup differences that were observed in terms of adverse events, with the exception of ALT elevation (p=0.007) in the combination group.

Conclusion

Our newly proposed combination therapy may potentially be effective and safe for CP A B2-HCC beyond up-to-seven criteria. A larger scale, multicenter, prospective study is warranted to confirm our findings.

Patient stratification in hepatocellular carcinoma: impact on choice of therapy

INTRODUCTION

HCC comprises around 60 to 80% of all primary liver cancers and exhibits wide geographical variability. Appropriate treatment allocation needs to include both patient and tumor characteristics.

AREAS COVERED

Current HCC classification systems to guide therapy are either liver function-centric and evaluate physiologic liver function to guide therapy or prognostic stratification classification systems broadly based on tumor morphologic parameters, patient performance status, and liver reserve assessment. This review focuses on different classification systems for HCC, their strengths, and weaknesses as well as the use of artificial intelligence in improving prognostication in HCC.

EXPERT OPINION

Future HCC classification systems will need to incorporate clinic-pathologic data from a multitude of sources and emerging therapies to develop patient-specific treatment plans targeting a patient's unique tumor profile.

Association between Time to Local Tumor Control and Treatment Outcomes Following Repeated Loco-Regional Treatment Session in Patients with Hepatocellular Carcinoma: A Retrospective, Single-Center Study

BACKGROUND

Whether the number of loco-regional treatment sessions and the time required to obtain local tumor control (LTC) affects the prognosis of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) remains controversial. This study aimed to determine whether a longer time to LTC is a significant and independent predictor of poor treatment outcomes.

METHODS

In this retrospective study, we analyzed data of 139 treatment-naive patients with HCC who were not eligible for a treatment other than transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) at baseline. The outcome analyses were performed using the Cox proportional hazard model and Kaplan-Meier method, while the overall survival (OS) and progression free survival (PFS) were the primary study endpoints.

RESULTS

Overall, LTC was achieved in 82 (59%) of patients, including 67 (81%) patients who achieved LTC following TACE sessions alone and 15 (19%) subjects required additional ablation session. The median OS did not differ significantly between groups that needed 2, 3, or >3 locoregional treatment sessions to achieve LTC (p = 0.37). Longer time to LTC (in weeks) was significantly associated with shorter OS in univariate analysis (p = 0.04), but not in an adjusted model (p = 0.14). Both univariate and adjusted analyses showed that longer time to reach LTC was significantly associated with shorter PFS (adjusted HR = 1.04, 95% CI 1.001-1.09, p = 0.048).

CONCLUSIONS

These findings show that the longer time to LTC is not an independent predictor of OS, but suggest that PFS may be significantly shorter in patients with longer time to LTC.

Effect of Transarterial Chemoembolization on ALBI Grade in Intermediate-Stage Hepatocellular Carcinoma: Criteria for Unsuitable Cases Selection

Transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) is the standard of care for intermediate stage hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). We aimed to identify unsuitable cases who were at risk of ALBI-grade migration by TACE. Consecutive 531 BCLC-B HCC patients undergoing TACE were reviewed, and factors associated with ALBI-grade migration were analyzed. There were 129 (24.3%) patients experienced acute ALBI-grade migration after TACE, and 85 (65.9%) out of the 129 patients had chronic ALBI-grade migration. Incidences of acute ALBI-grade migration were 13.9%, 29.0% for patients within or beyond up-to-7 criteria (p < 0.001) and 20.0%, 36.2% for patients within or beyond up-to-11 criteria (p < 0.001), respectively. HBV infection, tumor size plus tumor number criteria were risk factors associated with acute ALBI-grade migration. Bilobar tumor involvement was the risk factor of chronic ALBI-grade migration in patients with acute ALBI-grade migration. Up-to-eleven (p = 0.007) performed better than up-to-seven (p = 0.146) to differentiate risk of dynamic ALBI score changes. Moreover, ALBI-grade migration to grade 3 has adverse effect on survival. In conclusion, tumor burden beyond up-to-eleven was associated with ALBI-grade migration after TACE, indicating that up-to-eleven can select TACE-unsuitable HCC patients who are at risk of liver function deterioration.

Therapy of Intermediate-Stage Hepatocellular Carcinoma: Current Evidence and Clinical Practice

Intermediate-stage Hepatocellular Carcinoma (HCC) represents a wide range of disease burden. Patients with different levels of liver function, tumor size, and number of lesions may all have intermediate-stage disease according to the Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) staging system. Several minimally invasive image-guided locoregional therapies are available for the treatment of intermediate-stage HCC, including conventional transarterial chemoembolization (cTACE), drug-eluting bead TACE (DEB-TACE), yttrium-90 radioembolization (Y-90 RE), thermal ablation, bland embolization, and combination therapy. Available clinical evidence points to cTACE as the current gold standard for the locoregional treatment of intermediate-stage HCC. DEB-TACE is at best non-inferior to cTACE in terms of survival benefit. Y-90 RE is a maturing therapy, and some institutions have adopted it as first-line therapy for intermediate-stage HCC. Thermal ablation combined with TACE may be used in select patients, while bland embolization has only limited evidence for its use. The combination of locoregional therapy with VEGF inhibitors or immune checkpoint inhibitors has also been explored. This article will examine in detail the clinical evidence supporting available locoregional treatment options for intermediate-stage HCC.

The development of early ascites is associated with shorter overall survival in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma treated with drug-eluting embolic chemoembolization

Background

A single-centre cohort study was performed to identify the independent factors associated with the overall survival (OS) of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients treated with transarterial chemoembolization with drug-eluting beads (DEB-TACE).

Methods

A total of 216 HCC patients who underwent DEB-TACE from October 2008 to October 2015 at a tertiary hospital were consecutively recruited. The analysis of prognostic factors associated with overall survival after DEB-TACE, stressing the role of post-TACE events, was performed.

Results

The objective response (OR) rate (Modified Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors (mRECIST) criteria) to the first DEB-TACE (DEB-TACE-1) was 70.3%; the median OS from DEB-TACE-1 was 27 months (95% confidence interval (CI), 24–30). In the multivariate analysis, tumor size, AFP < 100 ng/mL and serum alkaline phosphatase were independent factors for survival following DEB-TACE-1. The most important clinical event associated with poor survival was the development of early ascites after DEB-TACE-1 (median OS, 17 months), which was closely related to the history of ascites, albumin and hemoglobin but not to tumour load or to response to therapy.

Conclusions

Early ascites post-DEB-TACE is associated with the survival of patients despite adequate liver function and the use of a supra-selective technical approach. History of ascites, albumin and hemoglobin are major determinants of the development of early ascites post-DEB-TACE.

Appraisal of a Model to Estimate Survival in Ambulatory Patients with Hepatocellular Carcinoma Classified as Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer Stage B

Background/Aims

Patients with an intermediate stage of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) represent a highly heterogeneous population; therefore, many models have been proposed to predict the survival of these patients. The aim of this study was to evaluate the prognostic performance of a novel subclassification for tumors classified as Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) stage B using the Model to Estimate Survival in Ambulatory HCC patients (MESIAH).

Methods

This analysis was based on 377 patients with HCC treated at Seoul National University Hospital (training cohort) and 189 patients at the Soonchunhyang University Bucheon Hospital (validation cohort). Four subclassification systems were tested: MESIAH; original BCLC B subclassification (B1, B2, B3, and B4); modified model A (B1, B2, and B3+B4); and modified model B (B1, B2+B3, and B4).

Results

Median survival progressively decreased from stage B1 through stages B2 to B3 according to the new MESIAH subclassification (p<0.001). Moreover, significantly different survival among contiguous stages was observed. In the multivariable Cox regression, the MESIAH subclassification was an independent predictor of overall survival (p<0.001). In terms of discrimination and calibration, MESIAH performed better than the original BCLC B subclassification, modified model A and modified model B.

Conclusions

The MESIAH model would be an effective tool for stratifying heterogeneous BCLC stage B cancer, and the ability of this model to predict survival is better than that of the other previously proposed models.

BCLC-B Subclassification and the Hong Kong Liver Cancer System in Intermediate Hepatocellular Carcinoma: Identifying Candidates for Curative Therapy

INTRODUCTION

The intermediate stage of the Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) classification includes a heterogenous population of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), and palliative treatment with transarterial chemoembolization is recommended for all of them. In this regard, 2 other classifications could be useful, the subclassification BCLC-B (SUB) and the classification Hong Kong Liver Cancer (HKLC).

OBJECTIVE

To determine the indication of curative or palliative treatment between SUB and HKLC in BCLC-B patients.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

A retrospective study in HCC patients seen between 2011 and 2016 in southern Brazil. Demographic, clinical, and laboratory data were collected. HCC staging was performed with BCLC, SUB, and HKLC.

RESULTS

A total of 570 patients with HCC were assessed, of whom 95 were classified as BCLC-B: 25 (26.0%) B1, 48 (50.5%) B2, 9 (9.5%) B3, and 13 (13.7%) B4. Overall median survival was 21.1 (95% confidence interval, 14.2-28.0) months. Median survival was higher for BCLC-B1 patients than in subgroups B3 (P=0.046) and B4 (P=0.001), and this was also seen for B2 versus B4 (P=0.044). Regarding the HKLC classification, a significantly higher median survival was observed for HKLC-I and HKLC-IIB in relation to the categories HKLC-IIIA (P<0.001 and 0.004, respectively) and HKLC-IIIB (P<0.001 and 0.006, respectively). When HKLC was applied, the following were identified as candidates for curative treatment: BCLC-B1, 24 (96.0%); BCLC-B2, 26 (54.2%); BCLC-B3, 0 (0%); and BCLC-B4, 3 (23.1%).

CONCLUSION

In intermediate HCC, SUB was able to identify a subset of patients with a higher overall survival. According to HKLC, 55.8% of BCLC-B patients could receive curative treatment.

A new prediction model for prognosis of patients with intermediate-stage HCC after conventional transarterial chemoembolization: an internally validated study

Purpose: The prognosis of patients with intermediate-stage hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) treated by conventional TACE (cTACE) is greatly heterogeneous. This study aimed to develop a new survival prediction model to help select patients who would benefit better from cTACE treatment. Methods: We collected data of 848 treatment-naïve patients with BCLC B HCC who received cTACE as first-line therapy. The prognostic model's variables were derived from univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses. The concordance index (C-statistic) calculated through cross-validation and bootstrap resampling was used for the model selection. The calibration of our final prediction model was also assessed. Results: The model showed a better discrimination ability than Bolondi's BCLC B1-B4 subclassification to predict the prognosis of BCLC B patients (C-statistic, 0.66 vs. 0.60; difference, 0.05, 95% CI, 0.03-0.07). In cross-validation, bootstrap resampling demonstrated that the model maintained sufficiently discriminant (an average of C-statistic, 0.66; 95% CI, 0.65-0.68). The model calibration was accurate in predicting survival of patients matched well with the observed outcomes. On the basis of the improved survival of 18 months or more as the responding patient, the observations of patients in each response category (responder and non-responder) were fair-moderately matched with those predicted by the model (κ=0.40, P<0.001). Conclusions: Based on clinically available features of patient, tumor and liver function, we developed an alternative prediction model with better performance than the Bolondi's substaging system for intermediate HCC patients after cTACE, which could help define the distinct subgroup of BCLC B patients who are suitable for cTACE treatment.

Efficacy and Safety of Drug-Eluting Beads Transarterial Chemoembolization by CalliSpheres® in 275 Hepatocellular Carcinoma Patients: Results From the Chinese CalliSpheres® Transarterial Chemoembolization in Liver Cancer (CTILC) Study

The purpose of this study was to investigate the efficacy and safety of drug-eluting beads transarterial chemoembolization (DEB-TACE) treatment in Chinese hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients and the prognostic factors for treatment response as well as survival. A total of 275 HCC patients were included in this prospective study. Treatment response was assessed by modified Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors (mRECIST), and progression-free survival (PFS) as well as overall survival (OS) were determined. Liver function and adverse events (AEs) were assessed before and after DEB-TACE operation. Complete response (CR), partial response (PR), and objective response rate (ORR) were 22.9%, 60.7%, and 83.6%, respectively. The mean PFS was 362 (95% CI: 34.9–375) days, the 6-month PFS rate was 89.4 ± 2.1%, while the mean OS was 380 (95% CI: 370–389) days, and the 6-month OS rate was 94.4 ± 1.7%. Multivariate logistic regression revealed that portal vein invasion (p = 0.011) was an independent predictor of worse clinical response. Portal vein invasion (p = 0.040), previous cTACE treatment (p = 0.030), as well as abnormal serum creatinine level (BCr) (p = 0.017) were independent factors that predicted worse ORR. In terms of survival, higher Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) stage (p = 0.029) predicted for worse PFS, and abnormal albumin (ALB) (p = 0.011) and total serum bilirubin (TBIL) (p = 0.009) predicted for worse OS. The number of patients with abnormal albumin, total protein (TP), TBIL, alanine aminotransferase (ALT), and aspartate aminotransferase (AST) were augmented at 1 week posttreatment and were similar at 1–3 months compared with baseline. The most common AEs were pain, fever, nausea, and vomiting, and no severe AEs were observed in this study. DEB-TACE was effective and tolerable in treating Chinese HCC patients, and portal vein invasion, previous cTACE treatment, abnormal BCr, ALB, and TBIL appear to be important factors that predict worse clinical outcome.

Residual convolutional neural network for predicting response of transarterial chemoembolization in hepatocellular carcinoma from CT imaging

Background

We attempted to train and validate a model of deep learning for the preoperative prediction of the response of patients with intermediate-stage hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) undergoing transarterial chemoembolization (TACE).

Method

All computed tomography (CT) images were acquired for 562 patients from the Nan Fang Hospital (NFH), 89 patients from Zhu Hai Hospital Affiliated with Jinan University (ZHHAJU), and 138 patients from the Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center (SYUCC). We built a predictive model from the outputs using the transfer learning techniques of a residual convolutional neural network (ResNet50). The prediction accuracy for each patch was revaluated in two independent validation cohorts.

Results

In the training set (NFH), the deep learning model had an accuracy of 84.3% and areas under curves (AUCs) of 0.97, 0.96, 0.95, and 0.96 for complete response (CR), partial response (PR), stable disease (SD), and progressive disease (PD), respectively. In the other two validation sets (ZHHAJU and SYUCC), the deep learning model had accuracies of 85.1% and 82.8% for CR, PR, SD, and PD. The ResNet50 model also had high AUCs for predicting the objective response of TACE therapy in patches and patients of three cohorts. Decision curve analysis (DCA) showed that the ResNet50 model had a high net benefit in the two validation cohorts.

Conclusion

The deep learning model presented a good performance for predicting the response of TACE therapy and could help clinicians in better screening patients with HCC who can benefit from the interventional treatment.

Key Points

• Therapy response of TACE can be predicted by a deep learning model based on CT images.

• The probability value from a trained or validation deep learning model showed significant correlation with different therapy responses.

• Further improvement is necessary before clinical utilization.

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (10.1007/s00330-019-06318-1) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

Early recurrence detected in hepatocellular carcinoma patients after transcatheter arterial chemoembolization treatment with plasma cell-free DNA

OBJECTIVE

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is one of the most lethal malignancies worldwide with poor prognosis due to the high incidence of recurrence. For patients with advanced HCC, transcatheter arterial chemoembolization (TACE) is the preferred treatment option owing to the minimal invasive clinical treatment with optimum therapeutic outcomes. But, there is a paucity of studies on early detection of residual cancer and relapse that result in the bottleneck of long-term effects after TACE therapy.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Using next-generation sequencing platform targeting a panel of 622 cancer-associated genes, we prospectively evaluated the predictive significance of plasma cell-free DNA (cfDNA) to detect minimal residual disease in plasma cfDNA in comparison with DNA obtained from tumor tissue and blood cells of three eligible cases with HCC following TACE therapy.

RESULTS

The results indicated that the mutational spectrum from plasma cfDNA was consistent with tumor-derived DNA and potentially suggested disease progression. Next, we determined if the dynamic variation of plasma cfDNA could indicate treatment response, the findings suggested that the mutation burden of plasma cfDNA could reveal relapse before alterations in conventional computed tomography imaging and serum α-fetoprotein values.

CONCLUSION

The mutation burden in plasma cfDNA may serve as a novel prognostic biomarker by providing early evidence of residual disease and identifying high risk of recurrence in patients with HCC following TACE therapy.

Safety and efficacy of hepatic arterial infusion chemotherapy with raltitrexed and oxaliplatin post-transarterial chemoembolization for unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the safety, efficacy, and prognostic factors of hepatic arterial infusion chemotherapy (HAIC) with raltitrexed and oxaliplatin post-transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) for unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (uHCC).

METHODS

Thirty-seven patients with uHCC who received HAIC with raltitrexed and oxaliplatin post-TACE between June 2014 and December 2016 at our hospital were recruited. The primary endpoint was overall survival (OS), and secondary endpoint was progression-free survival (PFS). The overall response rate (ORR) was evaluated using the modified Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors. Toxicity was assessed according to the Common Terminology Criteria for Adverse Events (v4.0). The OS and prognostic factors were analyzed using the Kaplan-Meier method, log-rank test, and Cox regression models.

RESULTS

Three (8.1%) patients achieved complete response, 17 (46.0%) patients achieved partial response, and the ORR was54.0%.The median OS and median PFS were 19.0 months and 12.0 months, respectively. The common toxicities included grade 3-4 increased aspartate aminotransferase levels (8/37,21.6%), grade 1-2 hyperbilirubinemia (75.7%, 28/37), nonspecific abdominal pain and fever, and grade 2-3 thrombocytopenia (18.9%, 7/37); no patients developed grade 3-4 neutropenia. Univariate analysis showed that the tumor diameter (≤50 mm, p = 0.028), Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) stage (p = 0.012), hepatitis B virus DNA level (p = 0.033), and derived neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (dNLR; derived neutrophils/leukocytes minus neutrophils) (p = 0.003) were predictive factors for prognosis. Multivariate analysis showed that patients with BCLC stage B disease (p = 0.029) and dNLR≤2 before therapy (p = 0.004) had better prognosis.

CONCLUSIONS

HAIC with raltitrexed and oxaliplatin post-TACE is a safe and efficacious therapy for patients with uHCC; in particular, those with BCLC stage B and dNLR≤2 have better prognosis.

Intra-Arterial TheraSphere Yttrium-90 Glass Microspheres in the Treatment of Patients With Unresectable Hepatocellular Carcinoma: Protocol for the STOP-HCC Phase 3 Randomized Controlled Trial

BACKGROUND

Globally, hepatocellular carcinoma is the second most common cause of cancer deaths. It remains challenging to intensify cancer treatment without impairing liver function.

OBJECTIVE

The objective of the TheraSphere in the Treatment of Patients with Unresectable Hepatocellular Carcinoma (STOP-HCC) study is to examine the hypothesis that transarterial radioembolization (TheraSphere yttrium-90 glass microspheres) combined with standard first-line treatment with sorafenib will improve outcomes over treatment with sorafenib alone in unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma. The STOP-HCC study is the largest international, multicenter, prospective study of intra-arterial treatment in combination with sorafenib in unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma. Here we report the study design.

METHODS

STOP-HCC is a prospective, phase 3, open-label, randomized controlled study conducted across up to 105 sites in North America, Europe, and Asia. Eligible adults have unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma and a life expectancy of at least 12 weeks, 1 or more unidimensional measurable lesions, Child-Pugh score 7 points or less, and Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group Performance Status score 1 or lower, and are candidates for treatment with sorafenib. Presence of branch portal vein tumor thrombosis is permitted. Patients were randomly assigned in a 1:1 ratio to receive either sorafenib alone or transarterial radioembolization followed by sorafenib within 2 to 6 weeks. The primary outcome is overall survival. Secondary outcomes are time to progression, time to untreatable progression, time to symptomatic progression, tumor response, quality of life, and adverse event occurrence. The study is an adaptive trial, comprising a group-sequential design with 2 interim analyses with 520 patients, and an option to increase the sample size to 700 patients at the second interim analysis. The sample size of 520 patients allows for 417 deaths to give 80% power to detect an increase in median overall survival from 10.7 months for the sorafenib group (based on the Sorafenib Hepatocellular Carcinoma Assessment Randomized Protocol [SHARP] trial) to 14.2 months for the transarterial radioembolization+sorafenib group (hazard ratio 0.754) with 2-sided alpha of .05. The increased sample size of 700 patients allows for 564 deaths to give 80% power to detect a smaller difference in median overall survival from 10.7 months for the sorafenib group to 13.7 months for the transarterial radioembolization+sorafenib group (hazard ratio 0.781).

RESULTS

Enrollment for the study completed in September 2017. Results of the first and second interim analyses were reviewed by the Independent Data Monitoring Committee. The recommendation of the committee, at both interim analyses, was to continue the study without any changes.

CONCLUSIONS

The STOP-HCC study will contribute toward the establishment of the role of combination therapy with transarterial radioembolization and sorafenib in the treatment of unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma with and without branch portal vein tumor thrombosis.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

ClinicalTrials.gov NCT01556490; https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT01556490 (Archived by WebCite at http://www.webcitation.org/7188iygKs).

REGISTERED REPORT IDENTIFIER

RR1-10.2196/11234.