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Coyle K, Singh PK, Kaushik R, Huque R, Khan Z, Mehrotra R, Siddiqi K, Pokhrel S. The Lifetime Health and Economic Burden of Smokeless Tobacco use in Bangladesh, India, and Pakistan: Results From ASTRAMOD. Nicotine Tob Res 2025; 27:684-692. [PMID: 38715337 PMCID: PMC11931212 DOI: 10.1093/ntr/ntae067] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/25/2023] [Revised: 01/25/2024] [Accepted: 03/14/2024] [Indexed: 03/25/2025]
Abstract
INTRODUCTION Under the current policy landscapes, the lifetime health and economic burden of smokeless tobacco (ST) products, consumed by over 297 million ST users in South Asia, is unknown. The aim of this study was to estimate the lifetime health effects and costs attributable to current and future ST use in Bangladesh, India, and Pakistan where the majority of ST users live. AIMS AND METHODS We developed a Markov-based state-transition model (ASTRAMOD) to predict the lifetime costs of treatment of four diseases (oral, pharyngeal, esophageal cancers, and stroke) and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), attributable to the current and future use of ST under existing ST policy scenario. Country-specific Global Adult Tobacco Surveys, life tables, and meta-analyses of South Asian and South East Asian studies were used to populate the model. A probabilistic sensitivity analysis evaluated the uncertainty in model predictions. RESULTS If there were no change in the current ST policies, the lifetime ST-attributable treatment costs would be over US$19 billion in India, over US$1.5 billion in Bangladesh, and over US$3 billion in Pakistan. For all countries, the attributable costs are higher for younger cohorts with costs declining with increasing age for those over 50. The model predicted that a typical 15-year-old male adoloscent would gain 0.07-0.18 life years, avert 0.07-0.19 DALYs, and generate a cost-savings of US$7-21 on healthcare spending if ST policies were changed to eliminate ST use. CONCLUSIONS Policy interventions aimed at decreasing the uptake of ST and increasing quitting success have the potential to substantially decrease the economic and health burden of ST. IMPLICATIONS This study provides the most comprehensive estimates of the lifetime health and economic burden of ST by 5-year age and sex cohorts. This is also the first study that highlights the scale of health and economic burden of ST in Bangladesh, India, and Pakistan if there were no changes in the current ST policies. Policymakers and practitioners can use the reported data to justify their decisions to improve current ST policies and practices in their country. Researchers can use the ASTRAMOD methodology to estimate the impact of future ST policy changes.
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Affiliation(s)
- Kathryn Coyle
- Health Economics Research Group (HERG), Department of Health Sciences, Brunel University London, Uxbridge, UK
| | - Prashant Kumar Singh
- Division of Preventive Oncology and Population Health, ICMR-National Institute of Cancer Prevention and Research, Noida, India
| | - Ravi Kaushik
- Department of Physiology, Maulana Azad Medical College, New Delhi, India
| | | | - Zohaib Khan
- Office of Research, Innovation, and Commercialization, Khyber Medical University, Peshawar, Pakistan
| | - Ravi Mehrotra
- Centre for Health Innovation and Policy (CHIP) Foundation, Noida, India
- Division of Global Public Health, Brunel University London, Uxbridge, UK
| | - Kamran Siddiqi
- Department of Health Sciences and Hull York Medical School, University of York, York, UK
| | - Subhash Pokhrel
- Health Economics Research Group (HERG), Department of Health Sciences, Brunel University London, Uxbridge, UK
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Abdullah SM, Huque R, Siddiqi K, Kanaan M, Huque S, Ullah S, Garg S, Singh MM, Deshmukh C, Borle AL, Iqbal R, Mazhar L, Parascandola M, Mehrotra R, Croucher R, Khan Z. Non-compliant packaging and illicit smokeless tobacco in Bangladesh, India and Pakistan: findings of a pack analysis. Tob Control 2024; 33:333-340. [PMID: 36167826 PMCID: PMC11041550 DOI: 10.1136/tc-2021-057228] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/15/2021] [Accepted: 09/13/2022] [Indexed: 11/03/2022]
Abstract
INTRODUCTION Illicit smokeless tobacco (ST) trade has seldom been documented despite ST use in at least 127 countries across the world. Based on non-compliance with packaging regulations, we report the proportion of illicit ST products from samples on sale in Bangladesh, India and Pakistan where 85% of global ST users reside. METHODS We purchased unique ST products from tobacco sellers in two purposively selected administrative areas (division/district) in each of the three countries. The criteria to determine illicit ST products were based on country-specific legal requirements for ST packaging and labelling. These requirements included: 'market retail price disclosure', 'sale statement disclosure', 'pictorial health warning (PHW) pertinence', 'appropriate textual health warning' and 'using misleading descriptors (MDs)'. Non-compliance with even one of the legal requirements was considered to render the ST product illicit. RESULTS Almost all ST products bought in Bangladesh and India were non-compliant with the local packaging requirements and hence potentially illicit, all products in Pakistan lacked desirable features. The most common feature missing was health warnings: 84% packs in Bangladesh, 93% in India, and 100% in Pakistan either did not have PHW or their sizes were too small. In Bangladesh, 61% packs carried MDs. In India and Pakistan, the proportions of such packs were 32% and 42%, respectively. CONCLUSIONS Weak and poorly enforced ST control policies may be slowing the progress of tobacco control in South Asia. Standardised regulations are required for packaging and labelling ST. Improving compliance and reducing sale of cheap illicit products may require business licensing and market surveillance.
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Affiliation(s)
- S M Abdullah
- Health Sciences, University of York, York, UK
- Department of Economics, University of Dhaka, Dhaka, Dhaka District, Bangladesh
| | - Rumana Huque
- Department of Economics, University of Dhaka, Dhaka, Dhaka District, Bangladesh
- Research and Development, ARK Foundation, Dhaka, Bangladesh
| | | | - Mona Kanaan
- Health Sciences, University of York, York, UK
| | - Samina Huque
- Research and Development, ARK Foundation, Dhaka, Bangladesh
| | - Safat Ullah
- Office of Research Innovation and Commercialization, Khyber Medical University, Pehsawar, Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, Pakistan
| | - Suneela Garg
- Department of Community Medicine, Maulana Azad Medical College and Associated Hospitals, New Delhi, Delhi, India
| | - Mongjam Meghachandra Singh
- Department of Community Medicine, Maulana Azad Medical College and Associated Hospitals, New Delhi, Delhi, India
| | - Chetana Deshmukh
- Department of Community Medicine, Maulana Azad Medical College and Associated Hospitals, New Delhi, Delhi, India
| | - Amod L Borle
- Department of Community Medicine, Maulana Azad Medical College and Associated Hospitals, New Delhi, Delhi, India
| | - Romaina Iqbal
- Department of Community Health Sciences, Aga Khan University, Karachi, Pakistan
| | - Laraib Mazhar
- Department of Community Health Sciences, Aga Khan University, Karachi, Pakistan
- Department of Medicine, Aga Khan University, Karachi, Pakistan
| | - Mark Parascandola
- National Cancer Institute, Division of Cancer Control and Population Sciences, Bethesda, Maryland, USA
| | - Ravi Mehrotra
- Indian Council of Medical Research (ICMR) - Indian Cancer Research Consortium, New Delhi, Delhi, India
| | | | - Zohaib Khan
- Office of Research Innovation and Commercialization, Khyber Medical University, Pehsawar, Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, Pakistan
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Siddiqui F, Bauld L, Croucher R, Jackson C, Kellar I, Kanaan M, Pokhrel S, Huque R, Iqbal R, Khan JA, Mehrotra R, Siddiqi K. Behavioural support and nicotine replacement therapy for smokeless tobacco cessation: protocol for a pilot randomised-controlled multi-country trial. Pilot Feasibility Stud 2022; 8:189. [PMID: 35996179 PMCID: PMC9396808 DOI: 10.1186/s40814-022-01146-5] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/20/2021] [Accepted: 07/28/2022] [Indexed: 12/24/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Smokeless tobacco (ST) is consumed globally by more than 350 million people, with approximately 85% of all users based in South and Southeast Asia. In this region, ST products are cheap and easily accessible. Evidence-based interventions to people quit ST use are lacking. This study aims to test the feasibility of conducting a future definitive trial of ST cessation, using a culturally adapted behavioural intervention, and/or nicotine replacement therapy (NRT) in three South Asian countries. METHODS We will conduct a factorial design, randomised-controlled pilot trial in Bangladesh, India and Pakistan. Daily ST users will be recruited from primary health care settings in Dhaka, Noida and Karachi. Participants will be individually randomised to receive intervention A (4 or 6 mg NRT chewing gum for 8-weeks), intervention B (BISCA: face-to-face behavioural support for ST cessation), a combination of interventions A and B or usual care (Very Brief Advice - VBA). The participants will provide demographic and ST use related data at baseline, and at 6, 12 and 26 weeks of follow-up. Salivary cotinine samples will be collected at baseline and 26 weeks. The analyses will undertake an assessment of the feasibility of recruitment, randomisation, data collection and participant retention, as well as the feasibility of intervention delivery. We will also identify potential cessation outcomes to inform the main trial, understand the implementation, context and mechanisms of impact through a process evaluation and, thirdly, establish health resource use and impact on the quality of life through health economic data. DISCUSSION The widespread and continued use of ST products in South Asia is consistent with a high rate of associated diseases and negative impact on the quality of life. The identification of feasible, effective and cost-effective interventions for ST is necessary to inform national and regional efforts to reduce ST use at the population level. The findings of this pilot trial will inform the development of larger trials for ST cessation among South Asian users, with relevance to wider regions and populations having high rates of ST use. TRIAL REGISTRATION ISRCTN identifier 65109397.
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Affiliation(s)
- Faraz Siddiqui
- Department of Health Sciences, University of York, Heslington, UK
| | - Linda Bauld
- Usher Institute and SPECTRUM Consortium, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK.
| | - Ray Croucher
- Department of Health Sciences, University of York, Heslington, UK
| | - Cath Jackson
- Department of Health Sciences, University of York, Heslington, UK
- Valid Research Ltd., Wetherby, UK
| | - Ian Kellar
- School of Psychology, Faculty of Medicine & Health, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK
| | - Mona Kanaan
- Department of Health Sciences, University of York, Heslington, UK
| | - Subhash Pokhrel
- Health Economics Research Group (HERG), Department of Health Sciences, Brunel University London, Uxbridge, UK
| | | | - Romaina Iqbal
- Department of Medicine, Aga Khan University, Karachi, Pakistan
| | | | - Ravi Mehrotra
- Department of Health Sciences, University of York, Heslington, UK
- ICMR - India Cancer Research Consortium, New Delhi, India
| | - Kamran Siddiqi
- Department of Health Sciences, University of York, Heslington, UK
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Behaviour change intervention for smokeless tobacco (ST) cessation delivered through dentists within a dental setting: a feasibility study protocol. BDJ Open 2022; 8:12. [PMID: 35449103 PMCID: PMC9023496 DOI: 10.1038/s41405-022-00104-w] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/22/2022] [Revised: 03/31/2022] [Accepted: 04/02/2022] [Indexed: 11/10/2022] Open
Abstract
Objectives/Aim To adapt a structured behavioural support intervention for smokeless tobacco (ST) cessation and to assess the feasibility and acceptability of delivering the intervention via dentists within dental settings in Pakistan. Material and methods The study will have 3 phases: (1) Adapt a previously developed intervention to make it suitable for delivery in a clinical/dental setting through qualitative interviews with dental patients and dentists; (2) A multi-centre, pilot randomised control trial in two teaching dental hospitals in Pakistan. Participants (dental patients) will be randomly assigned to intervention or control group in a 1:1 allocation ratio to receive either a structured behavioural support intervention involving face to face counselling or self-help material plus usual care. Each participant will be in the study for approximately 6 months and the overall study is expected to run for 12 months; (3) An embedded qualitative process evaluation. All trial participants will be followed up at 3 and 6 months to assess self-reported ST use. Outcome measures will include: rates of eligibility, recruitment and retention, randomisation group cross-over rates, the provision of data on ST use behaviour, fidelity to the intervention and qualitative assessment of acceptability and feasibility. Discussion Despite the high use of ST in Pakistan, users are offered negligible cessation support. The findings of this multi-centre, mixed-method feasibility study will inform the scope for a larger trial on ST cessation delivered through the existing dental health system.
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Singh PK, Jain P, Pandey V, Saxena S, Tripathi S, Kumar A, Singh L, Singh S. Smokeless tobacco quitting during COVID-19: A mixed-methods pilot study among participants screened for a cessation trial in India. CLINICAL EPIDEMIOLOGY AND GLOBAL HEALTH 2021; 12:100902. [PMID: 34786519 PMCID: PMC8582124 DOI: 10.1016/j.cegh.2021.100902] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/30/2021] [Revised: 10/25/2021] [Accepted: 10/29/2021] [Indexed: 11/17/2022] Open
Abstract
Introduction COVID-19 and subsequent country-wide lockdown has impacted smokeless tobacco (SLT) product availability in India. We aimed to examine SLT quitting during COVID-19 lockdown among SLT users who consented to be enrolled in a cessation programme. Methods Between January–March 2020, we screened 227 exclusive SLT users to be enrolled in a randomized-controlled feasibility study on SLT cessation. However, all activities were suspended due to national lockdown in response to the COVID-19 pandemic. To examine the quitting intention and behaviour during COVID-19 lockdown, we re-contacted these individuals telephonically; during September–October 2020. Results Of 227 participants, 87 (38.3%) could not be contacted on phone. We conducted telephonic qualitative interviews and assessed the SLT use status, willingness to quit and participate in the SLT cessation trial among the remaining 140 participants. Among these, 12.1% (17/140) showed no willingness to participate in the study due to migration. Since COVID-19 lockdown, 32.1% (45/140) participants reported quitting SLT due to non-availability, increased cost of products, shifts in community norms and family pressures. Conclusions COVID-19 pandemic presented an opportunity for tobacco cessation as stringent bans and isolation from social circles enabled tobacco cessation. It also triggered improvement in dissemination of public health information at an unprecedented scale, particularly related to the vulnerability of tobacco users to co-morbidities and harm from SARS CoV-2 infection. Implementation of strict bans on sale and consumption of SLT and strengthening of cessation support may lead to sustainable tobacco control. This study provides insight into effective policy strategies to reduce SLT use; which need to be substantiated with adequate cessation support.
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Affiliation(s)
- Prashant Kumar Singh
- WHO-FCTC Global Knowledge Hub on Smokeless Tobacco, ICMR National Institute of Cancer Prevention and Research, Noida 201301 Uttar Pradesh, India.,Division of Preventive Oncology & Population Health, ICMR National Institute of Cancer Prevention and Research, Noida 201301 Uttar Pradesh, India
| | - Pankhuri Jain
- Division of Preventive Oncology & Population Health, ICMR National Institute of Cancer Prevention and Research, Noida 201301 Uttar Pradesh, India
| | - Varsha Pandey
- Division of Preventive Oncology & Population Health, ICMR National Institute of Cancer Prevention and Research, Noida 201301 Uttar Pradesh, India
| | - Shikha Saxena
- Division of Preventive Oncology & Population Health, ICMR National Institute of Cancer Prevention and Research, Noida 201301 Uttar Pradesh, India
| | - Surbhi Tripathi
- Division of Preventive Oncology & Population Health, ICMR National Institute of Cancer Prevention and Research, Noida 201301 Uttar Pradesh, India
| | - Anuj Kumar
- Division of Molecular Biology, ICMR National Institute of Cancer Prevention and Research, Noida 201301 Uttar Pradesh, India
| | - Lucky Singh
- ICMR National Institute of Medical Statistics, Ansari Nagar, Delhi, India
| | - Shalini Singh
- WHO-FCTC Global Knowledge Hub on Smokeless Tobacco, ICMR National Institute of Cancer Prevention and Research, Noida 201301 Uttar Pradesh, India.,Division of Preventive Oncology & Population Health, ICMR National Institute of Cancer Prevention and Research, Noida 201301 Uttar Pradesh, India
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Huque R, Al Azdi Z, Sheikh A, Ahluwalia JS, Mishu MP, Mehrotra R, Ahmed N, Bauld L, Huq SM, Alam SM, Siddiqui F, Choudhury SR, Siddiqi K. Policy priorities for strengthening smokeless tobacco control in Bangladesh: A mixed-methods analysis. Tob Induc Dis 2021; 19:78. [PMID: 34707471 PMCID: PMC8500203 DOI: 10.18332/tid/140826] [Citation(s) in RCA: 10] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/11/2021] [Revised: 06/28/2021] [Accepted: 08/03/2021] [Indexed: 11/24/2022] Open
Abstract
INTRODUCTION Smokeless tobacco (ST) remains poorly regulated in Bangladesh. This study describes the prevalence and trends of ST use in Bangladesh, presents ST-related disease burden, identifies relevant policy gaps, and highlights key implications for future policy and practice for effective ST control in Bangladesh. METHODS We analyzed secondary data from the two rounds (2009 and 2017) of The Global Adult Tobacco Survey, estimated ST-related disease burden, and conducted a review to assess differences in combustible tobacco and ST policies. In addition, we gathered views in a workshop with key stakeholders in the country on gaps in existing tobacco control policies for ST control in Bangladesh and identified policy priorities using an online survey. RESULTS Smokeless tobacco use, constituting more than half of all tobacco use in Bangladesh, declined from 27.2% (25.9 million) in 2009 to 20.6% (22 million) in 2017. However, in 2017, at least 16947 lives and 403460 Disability-Adjusted Life Years (DALYs) were lost across Bangladesh due to ST use compared to 12511 deaths and 324020 DALYs lost in 2010. Policy priorities identified for ST control have included: introducing specific taxes and increasing the present ad valorem tax level, increasing the health development surcharge, designing and implementing a tax tracking and tracing system, standardizing ST packaging, integrating ST cessation within existing health systems, comprehensive media campaigns, and licensing of ST manufactures. CONCLUSIONS Our analysis shows that compared to combustible tobacco, there remain gaps in implementing and compliance with ST control policies in Bangladesh. Thus, contrary to the decline in ST use and the usual time lag between tobacco exposure and the development of cancers, the ST-related disease burden is still on the rise in Bangladesh. Strengthening ST control at this stage can accelerate this decline and reduce ST related morbidity and mortality.
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Affiliation(s)
- Rumana Huque
- Department of Economics, University of Dhaka, Dhaka, Bangladesh
- ARK Foundation, Dhaka, Bangladesh
| | | | - Aziz Sheikh
- Usher Institute, The University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, United Kingdom
| | - Jasjit S. Ahluwalia
- Department of Behavioral and Social Sciences, Alpert Medical School, Brown University School of Public Health, Providence, United States
| | - Masuma P. Mishu
- Department of Health Sciences, Faculty of Sciences, University of York, Heslington, United Kingdom
| | - Ravi Mehrotra
- Centre for Health Economics, University of York, York, United Kingdom
- Department of Health Research, India Cancer Research Consortium, New Delhi, India
| | - Nasiruddin Ahmed
- 8 Institute of Governance and Development, BRAC University, Dhaka, Bangladesh
| | - Linda Bauld
- Usher Institute, The University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, United Kingdom
| | | | | | - Faraz Siddiqui
- Department of Health Sciences, Faculty of Sciences, University of York, Heslington, United Kingdom
| | - Sohel R. Choudhury
- Department of Epidemiology and Research, National Heart Foundation Hospital and Research Institute, Dhaka, Bangladesh
| | - Kamran Siddiqi
- Department of Health Sciences, Faculty of Sciences, University of York, Heslington, United Kingdom
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