Hyperphosphatemia increases inflammation to exacerbate anemia and skeletal muscle wasting independently of FGF23-FGFR4 signaling

Skeletal Muscle Injury in Chronic Kidney Disease-From Histologic Changes to Molecular Mechanisms and to Novel Therapies

Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is associated with significant reductions in lean body mass and in the mass of various tissues, including skeletal muscle, which causes fatigue and contributes to high mortality rates. In CKD, the cellular protein turnover is imbalanced, with protein degradation outweighing protein synthesis, leading to a loss of protein and cell mass, which impairs tissue function. As CKD itself, skeletal muscle wasting, or sarcopenia, can have various origins and causes, and both CKD and sarcopenia share common risk factors, such as diabetes, obesity, and age. While these pathologies together with reduced physical performance and malnutrition contribute to muscle loss, they cannot explain all features of CKD-associated sarcopenia. Metabolic acidosis, systemic inflammation, insulin resistance and the accumulation of uremic toxins have been identified as additional factors that occur in CKD and that can contribute to sarcopenia. Here, we discuss the elevation of systemic phosphate levels, also called hyperphosphatemia, and the imbalance in the endocrine regulators of phosphate metabolism as another CKD-associated pathology that can directly and indirectly harm skeletal muscle tissue. To identify causes, affected cell types, and the mechanisms of sarcopenia and thereby novel targets for therapeutic interventions, it is important to first characterize the precise pathologic changes on molecular, cellular, and histologic levels, and to do so in CKD patients as well as in animal models of CKD, which we describe here in detail. We also discuss the currently known pathomechanisms and therapeutic approaches of CKD-associated sarcopenia, as well as the effects of hyperphosphatemia and the novel drug targets it could provide to protect skeletal muscle in CKD.

Effects of a single phosphate-enriched test meal on inflammasome activity and postprandial inflammatory markers in healthy subjects

PURPOSE

The consumption of highly processed food is often associated with a high intake of inorganic phosphate. Hyperphosphatemia is accompanied by an inflammatory status in patients with chronic kidney disease. However, the immune response to high phosphorus intake in healthy individuals is largely unknown. Therefore, the aim of the present study was to evaluate the effect of a single phosphate-enriched meal on inflammasome activity and plasma levels of inflammatory markers.

METHODS

The analysis included 28 participants who received a single dose of either 700 mg phosphorus or a placebo with a test meal. At baseline, 4 and 8 h post-meal, plasma interleukin (IL)-6, IL-1β, IL-10, c-reactive protein (CRP), soluble IL-6 receptor (sIL-6R) and glycoprotein 130 (sgp130) levels were determined. At baseline and 4 h post-meal, peripheral blood mononuclear cells were isolated to assess inflammasome activity. Subsequently, the effect of phosphate with or without glucose on IL-6 and IL-1β gene expression and secretion in U937 monocytes was examined.

RESULTS

While both groups showed a marked postprandial increase in IL-6 plasma levels, neither plasma levels of IL-6, IL-1β, CRP, IL-10, sIL-6R, and sgp130 nor inflammasome activity were affected by phosphate compared to placebo. In U937 cells, there was also no effect of phosphate on IL-6 expression, but the addition of glucose increased it. Phosphate, however, reduced the IL-1β secretion of these cells.

CONCLUSION

Postprandial inflammatory markers were not affected by dietary phosphate. However, IL-6 plasma levels were markedly increased post-meal, which appears to be a metabolic rather than a pro-inflammatory phenomenon.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT03771924, date of registration: 11th December 2018, retrospectively registered.

Joint associations among non-essential heavy metal mixtures and nutritional factors on glucose metabolism indexes in US adults: evidence from the NHANES 2011-2016

Dietary intake can modify the impact of metals on human health, and is also closely related to glucose metabolism in human bodies. However, research on their interaction is limited. We used data based on 1738 adults aged ≥20 years from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey 2011-2016. We combined linear regression and restricted cubic splines with Bayesian kernel machine regression (BKMR) to identify metals associated with each glucose metabolism index (P < 0.05 and the posterior inclusion probabilities of BKMR >0.5) in eight non-essential heavy metals (barium, cadmium, antimony, tungsten, uranium, arsenic, lead, and thallium) and glucose metabolism indexes [fasting plasma glucose (FPG), blood hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) and homeostatic model assessment of insulin resistance (HOMA-IR)]. We identified two pairs of metals associated with glucose metabolism indexes: cadmium and tungsten to HbA1c and barium and thallium to HOMA-IR. Then, the cross-validated kernel ensemble (CVEK) approach was applied to identify the specific nutrient group (nutrients) that interacted with the association. By using the CVEK model, we identified significant interactions between the energy-adjusted diet inflammatory index (E-DII) and cadmium, tungsten and barium (all P < 0.05); macro-nutrients and cadmium, tungsten and barium (all P < 0.05); minerals and cadmium, tungsten, barium and thallium (all P < 0.05); and A vitamins and thallium (P = 0.043). Furthermore, a lower E-DII, a lower intake of carbohydrates and phosphorus, and a higher consumption of magnesium seem to attenuate the positive association between metals and glucose metabolism indexes. Our finding identifying the nutrients that interact with non-essential heavy metals could provide a feasible nutritional guideline for the general population to protect against the adverse effects of non-essential heavy metals on glucose metabolism.

Oh, My Gut! New insights on the role of the gastrointestinal tract and the gut microbiome in chronic kidney disease-mineral and bone disorder

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

The aim of this review is to highlight recent evidence on the role of the gastrointestinal tract and gut microbiome on chronic kidney disease-mineral bone disorder (CKD-MBD) outcomes, including intestinal phosphorus absorption and sensing, and the effect of gut-oriented therapies.

RECENT FINDINGS

Recent evidence has revealed a complex interplay among mineral metabolism and novel gut-related factors, including paracellular intestinal phosphate absorption, the gut microbiome, and the immune system, prompting a reevaluation of treatment approaches for CKD-MBD. The inhibition of NHE3 limits phosphate transport in the intestine and may lead to changes in the gut microbiome. A study in rats with CKD showed that the supplementation of the fermentable dietary inulin delayed CKD-MBD, lowering circulating phosphorus and parathyroid hormone, reducing bone remodeling and improving cortical parameters, and lowering cardiovascular calcifications. In non-CKD preclinical studies, probiotics and prebiotics improved bone formation mediated through the effect of butyrate facilitating the differentiation of T cells into Tregs, and Tregs stimulating the osteogenic Wnt10b, and butyrate was also necessary for the parathyroid hormone (PTH) bone effects.

SUMMARY

Recent findings support multiple possible roles for gut-oriented therapies in addressing CKD-MBD prevention and management that should be further explored through clinical and translational studies.

Phosphate Restriction Prevents Metabolic Acidosis and Curbs Rise in FGF23 and Mortality in Murine Folic Acid-Induced AKI

SIGNIFICANCE STATEMENT

Patients with AKI suffer a staggering mortality rate of approximately 30%. Fibroblast growth factor 23 (FGF23) and phosphate (P i ) rise rapidly after the onset of AKI and have both been independently associated with ensuing morbidity and mortality. This study demonstrates that dietary P i restriction markedly diminished the early rise in plasma FGF23 and prevented the rise in plasma P i , parathyroid hormone, and calcitriol in mice with folic acid-induced AKI (FA-AKI). Furthermore, the study provides evidence for P i -sensitive osseous Fgf23 mRNA expression and reveals that P i restriction mitigated calciprotein particles (CPPs) formation, inflammation, acidosis, cardiac electrical disturbances, and mortality in mice with FA-AKI. These findings suggest that P i restriction may have a prophylactic potential in patients at risk for AKI.

BACKGROUND

In AKI, plasma FGF23 and P i rise rapidly and are independently associated with disease severity and outcome.

METHODS

The effects of normal (NP) and low (LP) dietary P i were investigated in mice with FA-AKI after 3, 24, and 48 hours and 14 days.

RESULTS

After 24 hours of AKI, the LP diet curbed the rise in plasma FGF23 and prevented that of parathyroid hormone and calcitriol as well as of osseous but not splenic or thymic Fgf23 mRNA expression. The absence of Pth prevented the rise in calcitriol and reduced the elevation of FGF23 in FA-AKI with the NP diet. Furthermore, the LP diet attenuated the rise in renal and plasma IL-6 and mitigated the decline in renal α -Klotho. After 48 hours, the LP diet further dampened renal IL-6 expression and resulted in lower urinary neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin. In addition, the LP diet prevented the increased formation of CPPs. Fourteen days after AKI induction, the LP diet group maintained less elevated plasma FGF23 levels and had greater survival than the NP diet group. This was associated with prevention of metabolic acidosis, hypocalcemia, hyperkalemia, and cardiac electrical disturbances.

CONCLUSIONS

This study reveals P i -sensitive FGF23 expression in the bone but not in the thymus or spleen in FA-AKI and demonstrates that P i restriction mitigates CPP formation, inflammation, acidosis, and mortality in this model. These results suggest that dietary P i restriction could have prophylactic potential in patients at risk for AKI.

Breast cancer, alcohol, and phosphate toxicity

Alcohol consumption is associated with an increased risk of breast cancer, even at low alcohol intake levels, but public awareness of the breast cancer risk associated with alcohol intake is low. Furthermore, the causative mechanisms underlying alcohol's association with breast cancer are unknown. The present theoretical paper uses a modified grounded theory method to review the research literature and propose that alcohol's association with breast cancer is mediated by phosphate toxicity, the accumulation of excess inorganic phosphate in body tissue. Serum levels of inorganic phosphate are regulated through a network of hormones released from the bone, kidneys, parathyroid glands, and intestines. Alcohol burdens renal function, which may disturb the regulation of inorganic phosphate, impair phosphate excretion, and increase phosphate toxicity. In addition to causing cellular dehydration, alcohol is an etiologic factor in nontraumatic rhabdomyolysis, which ruptures cell membranes and releases inorganic phosphate into the serum, leading to hyperphosphatemia. Phosphate toxicity is also associated with tumorigenesis, as high levels of inorganic phosphate within the tumor microenvironment activate cell signaling pathways and promote cancer cell growth. Furthermore, phosphate toxicity potentially links cancer and kidney disease in onco-nephrology. Insights into the mediating role of phosphate toxicity may lead to future research and interventions that raise public health awareness of breast cancer risk and alcohol consumption.

Potential application of anti-osteoporotic therapy to relieve sarcopenia in the elderly

Sarcopenia is a progressive and systemic skeletal muscle disorder associated with aging that usually occurs with age in the elderly. Sarcopenia currently lacks effective pharmacological treatment modalities. Multiple pharmacological intervention modalities are available for osteoporosis, a comprehensive disease characterized by decreased systemic bone mass, degradation of bone microarchitecture, and increased bone fragility. Several recent studies have shown an extremely strong correlation between sarcopenia and osteoporosis, leading to the concept of "osteosarcopenia". Therefore, it is possible to alleviate sarcopenia simultaneously by improving osteoporosis.

The Potential Influence of Uremic Toxins on the Homeostasis of Bones and Muscles in Chronic Kidney Disease

Patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) often experience a high accumulation of protein-bound uremic toxins (PBUTs), specifically indoxyl sulfate (IS) and p-cresyl sulfate (pCS). In the early stages of CKD, the buildup of PBUTs inhibits bone and muscle function. As CKD progresses, elevated PBUT levels further hinder bone turnover and exacerbate muscle wasting. In the late stage of CKD, hyperparathyroidism worsens PBUT-induced muscle damage but can improve low bone turnover. PBUTs play a significant role in reducing both the quantity and quality of bone by affecting osteoblast and osteoclast lineage. IS, in particular, interferes with osteoblastogenesis by activating aryl hydrocarbon receptor (AhR) signaling, which reduces the expression of Runx2 and impedes osteoblast differentiation. High PBUT levels can also reduce calcitriol production, increase the expression of Wnt antagonists (SOST, DKK1), and decrease klotho expression, all of which contribute to low bone turnover disorders. Furthermore, PBUT accumulation leads to continuous muscle protein breakdown through the excessive production of reactive oxygen species (ROS) and inflammatory cytokines. Interactions between muscles and bones, mediated by various factors released from individual tissues, play a crucial role in the mutual modulation of bone and muscle in CKD. Exercise and nutritional therapy have the potential to yield favorable outcomes. Understanding the underlying mechanisms of bone and muscle loss in CKD can aid in developing new therapies for musculoskeletal diseases, particularly those related to bone loss and muscle wasting.

Phosphate Control in Peritoneal Dialysis Patients: Issues, Solutions, and Open Questions

Hyperphosphatemia is a common complication in advanced chronic kidney disease and contributes to cardiovascular morbidity and mortality. The present narrative review focuses on the management of phosphatemia in uremic patients receiving peritoneal dialysis. These patients frequently develop hyperphosphatemia since phosphate anion behaves as a middle-size molecule despite its low molecular weight. Accordingly, patient transporter characteristics and peritoneal dialysis modalities and prescriptions remarkably influence serum phosphate control. Given that phosphate peritoneal removal is often insufficient, especially in lower transporters, patients are often prescribed phosphate binders whose use in peritoneal dialysis is primarily based on clinical trials conducted in hemodialysis because very few studies have been performed solely in peritoneal dialysis populations. A crucial role in phosphate control among peritoneal dialysis patients is played by diet, which must help in reducing phosphorous intake while preventing malnutrition. Moreover, residual renal function, which is preserved in most peritoneal dialysis patients, significantly contributes to maintaining phosphate balance. The inadequate serum phosphate control observed in many patients on peritoneal dialysis highlights the need for large and well-designed clinical trials including exclusively peritoneal dialysis patients to evaluate the effects of a multiple therapeutic approach on serum phosphate control and on hard clinical outcomes in this high-risk population.

Bone-derived C-terminal FGF23 cleaved peptides increase iron availability in acute inflammation

Inflammation leads to functional iron deficiency by increasing the expression of the hepatic iron regulatory peptide hepcidin. Inflammation also stimulates fibroblast growth factor 23 (FGF23) production by increasing both Fgf23 transcription and FGF23 cleavage, which paradoxically leads to excess in C-terminal FGF23 peptides (Cter-FGF23), rather than intact FGF23 (iFGF23) hormone. We determined that the major source of Cter-FGF23 is osteocytes and investigated whether Cter-FGF23 peptides play a direct role in the regulation of hepcidin and iron metabolism in response to acute inflammation. Mice harboring an osteocyte-specific deletion of Fgf23 showed a ∼90% reduction in Cter-FGF23 levels during acute inflammation. Reduction in Cter-FGF23 led to a further decrease in circulating iron in inflamed mice owing to excessive hepcidin production. We observed similar results in mice showing impaired FGF23 cleavage owing to osteocyte-specific deletion of Furin. We next showed that Cter-FGF23 peptides bind members of the bone morphogenetic protein (BMP) family, BMP2 and BMP9, which are established inducers of hepcidin. Coadministration of Cter-FGF23 and BMP2 or BMP9 prevented the increase in Hamp messenger RNA and circulating hepcidin levels induced by BMP2/9, resulting in normal serum iron levels. Finally, injection of Cter-FGF23 in inflamed Fgf23KO mice and genetic overexpression of Cter-Fgf23 in wild type mice also resulted in lower hepcidin and higher circulating iron levels. In conclusion, during inflammation, bone is the major source of Cter-FGF23 secretion, and independently of iFGF23, Cter-FGF23 reduces BMP-induced hepcidin secretion in the liver.

Fibroblast Growth Factor 23 Bone Regulation and Downstream Hormonal Activity

Mineral homeostasis of calcium and phosphate levels is one critical component to the maintenance of bone mineral density (BMD) and strength. Diseases that disrupt calcium and phosphate balanced have highlighted not only the role these minerals play in overall bone homeostasis, but also the factors, hormones and downstream transporters, responsible for mineral metabolism. The key phosphaturic hormone elucidated from studying rare heritable disorders of hypophosphatemia is Fibroblast Growth Factor 23 (FGF23). FGF23 is predominantly secreted from bone cells in an effort to maintain phosphate balance by directly controlling renal reabsorption and indirectly affecting intestinal uptake of this mineral. Multiple factors have been shown to enhance bone mRNA expression; however, FGF23 can also undergo proteolytic cleavage to control secretion of the biologically active form of the hormone. The review focuses specifically on the regulation of FGF23 and its secretion from bone as well as its hormonal actions under physiological and disease conditions.

Phosphate induces inflammation and exacerbates injury from cigarette smoke in the bronchial epithelium

An elevation in serum phosphate-also called hyperphosphatemia-is associated with reduced kidney function in chronic kidney disease (CKD). Reports show CKD patients are more likely to develop lung disease and have poorer kidney function that positively correlates with pulmonary obstruction. However, the underlying mechanisms are not well understood. Here, we report that two murine models of CKD, which both exhibit increased serum levels of phosphate and fibroblast growth factor (FGF) 23, a regulator of phosphate homeostasis, develop concomitant airway inflammation. Our in vitro studies point towards a similar increase of phosphate-induced inflammatory markers in human bronchial epithelial cells. FGF23 stimulation alone does not induce a proinflammatory response in the non-COPD bronchial epithelium and phosphate does not cause endogenous FGF23 release. Upregulation of the phosphate-induced proinflammatory cytokines is accompanied by activation of the extracellular-signal regulated kinase (ERK) pathway. Moreover, the addition of cigarette smoke extract (CSE) during phosphate treatments exacerbates inflammation as well as ERK activation, whereas co-treatment with FGF23 attenuates both the phosphate as well as the combined phosphate- and CS-induced inflammatory response, independent of ERK activation. Together, these data demonstrate a novel pathway that potentially explains pathological kidney-lung crosstalk with phosphate as a key mediator.

The effect of high-dose vitamin D supplementation on hepcidin-25 and erythropoiesis in patients with chronic kidney disease

BACKGROUND

Hepcidin is considered to play a central role in the pathophysiology of renal anemia. Recent studies in healthy individuals have demonstrated a suppressive effect of vitamin D (VD) on the expression of hepcidin. In this post-hoc analysis based on a randomized controlled study, we evaluated the effect of supplementing chronic kidney disease (CKD) patients (stage G3-G4) with a high daily dose of native VD on serum levels of hepcidin-25, the hepcidin/ferritin ratio, as well as on markers of erythropoiesis.

METHODS

Patients with CKD stage G3-G4 included in a double blind, randomized, placebo (PBO) controlled study with available hepcidin measurements were analyzed. Study subjects received either 8000 international units (IU) of cholecalciferol daily or PBO for 12 weeks. We evaluated the change in markers of hepcidin expression, erythropoiesis, and iron status from baseline to week 12 and compared the change between the groups.

RESULTS

Eighty five patients completed the study. Calcitriol, but not 25-hydroxyvitamin D (25(OH) D), was inversely correlated with serum levels of hepcidin-25 (rho = -0,38; p =  < 0, 01 and rho = -0,02; p = 0, 89, respectively) at baseline. Supplementation with VD significantly raised the serum concentration of serum 25(OH)D in the treatment group (from 54 (39-71) to 156 (120-190) nmol/L; p =  < 0, 01)) but had no effect on any of the markers of hepcidin, erythropoiesis, or iron status in the entire cohort. However, we did observe an increase in hemoglobin (HB) levels and transferrin saturation (TSAT) as compared to the PBO group in a subgroup of patients with low baseline 25(OH)D levels (< 56 nmol/L). In contrast, in patients with high baseline 25(OH)D values (≥ 56 nmol/L), VD supplementation associated with a decrease in HB levels and TSAT (p = 0,056) within the VD group in addition to a decrease in hepcidin levels as compared to the PBO group.

CONCLUSION

High-dose VD supplementation had no discernible effect on markers of hepcidin or erythropoiesis in the entire study cohort. However, in patients with low baseline 25(OH)D levels, high-dose VD supplementation associated with beneficial effects on erythropoiesis and iron availability. In contrast, in patients with elevated baseline 25(OH)D levels, high-dose VD supplementation resulted in a decrease in hepcidin levels, most likely due to a deterioration in iron status.

Muscle plasticity is influenced by renal function and caloric intake through the FGF23-vitamin D axis

Skeletal muscle, the main metabolic engine in the body of vertebrates, is endowed with great plasticity. The association between skeletal muscle plasticity and two highly prevalent health problems: renal dysfunction and obesity, which share etiologic links as well as many comorbidities, is a subject of great relevance. It is important to know how these alterations impact on the structure and function of skeletal muscle because the changes in muscle phenotype have a major influence on the quality of life of the patients. This literature review aims to discuss the influence of a nontraditional axis involving kidney, bone, and muscle on skeletal muscle plasticity. In this axis, the kidneys play a role as the main site for vitamin D activation. Renal disease leads to a direct decrease in 1,25(OH)₂-vitamin D, secondary to reduction in renal functional mass, and has an indirect effect, through phosphate retention, that contributes to stimulate fibroblast growth factor 23 (FGF23) secretion by bone cells. FGF23 downregulates the renal synthesis of 1,25(OH)₂-vitamin D and upregulates its metabolism. Skeletal production of FGF23 is also regulated by caloric intake: it is increased in obesity and decreased by caloric restriction, and these changes impact on 1,25(OH)₂-vitamin D concentrations, which are decreased in obesity and increased after caloric restriction. Thus, both phosphate retention, that develops secondary to renal failure, and caloric intake influence 1,25(OH)₂-vitamin D that in turn plays a key role in muscle anabolism.

Serum Phosphate Levels Modify the Impact of FGF23 Levels on Hemoglobin in Chronic Kidney Disease

Anemia is a complication of chronic kidney disease (CKD). Phosphate and fibroblast growth factor-23 (FGF23) have a close relationship, as both are related to the pathogenesis of anemia. However, the possible interplay between them regarding their effect on anemia has not been evaluated. This was a cross-sectional study of 896 participants from the NEFRONA study (273 CKD3, 246 CKD4-5, 282 dialysis and 95 controls). The levels of 25(OH) and 1,25(OH)2 vitamin D, intact FGF23 (iFGF23) and soluble Klotho were measured, together with standard blood biochemistries. Anemia was defined as hemoglobin levels < 13 g/dL in men and <12 g/dL in women. Patients with anemia (407, 45.4%) were younger, mostly men and diabetic; were in advanced CKD stages; had lower calcium, 1,25(OH)2 vitamin D and albumin levels; and had higher ferritin, phosphate, intact PTH, and iFGF23. An inverse correlation was observed between hemoglobin and both iFGF23 and phosphate. The multivariate logistic regression analyses showed that the adjusted risk of anemia was independently associated with higher serum phosphate and LogiFGF23 levels (ORs (95% CIs) of 4.33 (2.11−8.90) and 8.75 (3.17−24.2), respectively (p < 0.001)). A significant interaction between phosphate and iFGF23 (OR of 0.66 (0.53−0.83), p < 0.001) showed that the rise in the adjusted predicted risk of anemia with the increase in iFGF23 was steeper when phosphate levels were low. Phosphate levels acted as modifiers of the effect of iFGF23 concentration on anemia. Thus, the effect of the increase in iFGF23 levels was stronger when phosphate levels were low.

High phosphate-induced progressive proximal tubular injury is associated with the activation of Stat3/Kim-1 signaling pathway and macrophage recruitment

Dietary phosphate intake in the Western population greatly exceeds the recommended dietary allowance and is linked to enhanced cardiovascular and all-cause mortality. It is unclear whether a chronic high phosphate diet (HPD) causes kidney injury in healthy individuals. Here, we show that feeding a 2% HPD in C57BL/6N mice for one up to six months resulted in hyperphosphatemia, hyperphosphaturia, increased plasma levels of fibroblast growth factor (FGF) 23, and parathyroid hormone (PTH) compared to mice on a 0.8% phosphate diet. Kidney injury was already noted after two months of HPD characterized by loss of proximal tubular (PT) cell polarity, flattened epithelia, disruption of brush border membranes, vacuolization, increased PT cell proliferation, marked interstitial mononuclear infiltration, and progressive accumulation of collagen fibers. HPD increased Stat3 activation and Kim-1 expression in PT epithelial cells and enhanced renal synthesis of chemokines recruiting monocytes and macrophages as well as macrophage related factors. Enhanced recruitment of F4/80⁺ macrophages around injured PT lesions was timely associated with increased Kim-1 synthesis, tubular MCP-1 expression, and degree of PT injury score. Likewise, tubulointerstitial fibrosis was associated with activation of Stat3/Kim-1 signaling pathway. The stimulation of human proximal tubular cells with high phosphate activated Stat3 signaling and induced HAVCR1 and CCL2 expression. We conclude that high phosphate results in progressive proximal tubular injury, indicating that high dietary phosphate intake may affect kidney health and therefore represents an underestimated health problem for the general population.