Prognostic value of growth differentiation factor-15 3 months after an acute chest pain admission

OBJECTIVE

Growth differentiation factor-15 (GDF-15) is a predictor of death and cardiovascular events when measured during index hospitalisation in patients with acute chest pain. This study investigated the prognostic utility of measuring GDF-15 3 months after an admission with suspected non-ST-elevation acute coronary syndrome (NSTE-ACS).

METHODS

GDF-15 was measured at baseline and 3 months after admission in 758 patients admitted with suspected NSTE-ACS. Patients were followed for a median of 1540 (IQR: 1087-1776) days after the 3-month visit. The primary endpoint was all-cause mortality, while the secondary composite endpoint included all-cause mortality, incident myocardial infarction and heart failure hospitalisation during follow-up.

RESULTS

In patients with GDF-15 ≥1200 pg/mL (n=248), 18% died and 25% met the composite endpoint. In patients with GDF-15 <1200 pg/mL (n=510), 1.7% died and 4% met the composite endpoint. The GDF-15 concentration (log2 transformed) at 3 months was significantly associated with all-cause mortality (adjusted HR: 2.2, 95% CI: 1.4 to 3.3, p<0.001) and the composite endpoint (adjusted HR: 1.9, 95% CI: 1.4 to 2.7, p<0.001), independently of traditional risk factors and baseline troponin T. A 10% change in GDF-15 concentration from baseline to the 3-month visit was associated with increased risk of all-cause mortality (HR: 1.06, 95% CI: 1.01 to 1.13, p=0.031), adjusting for baseline GDF-15 concentrations.

CONCLUSIONS

High GDF-15 concentrations 3 months after admission for suspected NSTE-ACS are associated with long-term mortality and cardiovascular events, independent of traditional risk factors and troponin T. A change in GDF-15 concentration can provide prognostic information.

Growth differentiation factor 15 at 3 months after an acute chest pain admission is associated with increased risk of death and cardiovascular events

Background

Growth differentiation factor 15 (GDF-15) is related to increased risk of death and cardiovascular events when measured at initial presentation in patients with acute chest pain. Whether follow-up measurements at 3 months provide prognostic information is unknown.

Purpose

This study sought to investigate the ability of GDF-15 to predict long-term prognosis when measured 3 months after an acute chest pain admission.

Methods

GDF-15 was measured at baseline and 3 months after admission in 760 patients admitted with suspected NSTEMI-ACS. NSTEMI-ACS was diagnosed in 228 (30%) patients. Patients were followed for a median of 1480 (17–2118) days. GDF-15 concentration on admission and at 3-months was skewed and therefore compared using the related samples Wilcoxon signed ranked test. A baseline GDF-15 concentration of 1200pg/ml (previously defined as the 90th percentile in a healthy population) was used to divide patients into high and low concentration groups. Kaplan-Meier plots were generated and adjusted hazard ratios were estimated using multiple Cox proportional hazard regression analysis (adjusting for age, sex, hypercholesterolemia, current smoking, diabetes, hypertension, previous myocardial infarction, eGFR &lt;60 ml/min/1.73 m2 and cardiac troponin T). The primary endpoint was all-cause mortality following the 3-month visit and a secondary endpoint included all-cause mortality, future AMI and heart failure hospitalization.

Results

Median GDF-15 concentration on admission was 940 pg/ml (IQR: 678–1464) and similar to the concentration at 3 months: 927 pg/ml (IQR: 652–1431), p=0.183.

In the high-concentration group (n=249) 45 (18%) patients died, and 62 (25%) met the secondary endpoint. In the low-concentration group (n=511) 9 (1.7%) patients died (negative predictive value: 98.2%) and 22 (4%) met the secondary endpoint (negative predictive value: 95.6%).

Patients with persistently elevated GDF-15 at the 3 months follow-up visit carried the highest risk for death and cardiovascular events, followed by patients who developed high concentrations during the 3-month follow-up period. Patients with elevated levels at baseline who return to normal concentrations had similar risk as patients with low levels in both measurements (Figure 1).

The Kaplan-Meier curves demonstrated an increased risk of the primary and secondary endpoint in the high concentration group (Figure 2). GDF-15 concentration &gt;1200 pg/ml at 3 months was an independent predictor of all-cause mortality with an adjusted HR for death of 4.0 (1.7–9.5, p=0.001) and for the secondary endpoint (adjusted HR 2.9, 95% CI: 1.6–5.4, p=0.001).

Conclusion

Elevated GDF-15 three months after admission due to suspected NSTEMI-ACS independently predicts long-term mortality and cardiovascular events, irrespective of GDF-15 values during admission.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: Public Institution(s). Main funding source(s): Western Norway Regional Health Authority

Predictors of long-term symptom burden and quality of life in patients hospitalised with chest pain: a prospective observational study

OBJECTIVE

To describe the magnitude and predictors of symptom burden (SB) and quality of life (QoL) 3 months after hospital admission for acute chest pain.

DESIGN

Prospective observational study.

SETTING

Single centre, outpatient follow-up.

PARTICIPANTS

1506 patients.

OUTCOMES

Scores reported for general health (RAND-12), angina-related health (Seattle Angina Questionnaire 7 (SAQ-7)) and dyspnoea (Rose Dyspnea Scale) 3 months after hospital admission for chest pain.

METHODS

A total of 1506 patients received questionnaires assessing general health (RAND-12), angina-related health (SAQ-7) and dyspnoea (Rose Dyspnea Scale) 3 months after discharge. Univariable and multivariable regression models identified predictors of SB and QoL scores. A mediator analysis identified factors mediating the effect of an unstable angina pectoris (UAP) diagnosis.

RESULTS

774 (52%) responded. Discharge diagnoses were non-ST elevation myocardial infarction (NSTEMI) (14.2%), UAP (17.1%), non-coronary cardiac disease (6.6%), non-cardiac disease (6.3%) and non-cardiac chest pain (NCCP) (55.6%). NSTEMI had the most favourable, and UAP patients the least favourable SAQ-7 scores (median SAQ7-summary; 88 vs 75, p<0.001). NCCP patients reported persisting chest pain in 50% and dyspnoea in 33% of cases. After adjusting for confounders, revascularisation predicted better QoL scores, while UAP, current smoking and hypertension predicted worse outcome. NSTEMI and UAP patients who were revascularised reported higher scores (p<0.05) in SAQ-7-QL, SAQ7-PL, SAQ7-summary (NSTEMI) and all SAQ-7 domains (UAP). Revascularisation altered the unstandardised beta value (>±10%) of an UAP diagnosis for all SAQ-7 and RAND-12 outcomes.

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with NSTEMI reported the most favourable outcome 3 months after hospitalisation for chest pain. Patients with other diseases, in particular UAP patients, reported lower scores. Revascularised NSTEMI and UAP patients reported higher QoL scores compared with patients receiving conservative treatment. Revascularisation mediated all outcomes in UAP patients.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

NCT02620202.

Association between symptoms and risk of non-ST segment elevation myocardial infarction according to age and sex in patients admitted to the emergency department with suspected acute coronary syndrome: a single-centre retrospective cohort study

OBJECTIVES

Evaluate the association between symptoms and risk of non-ST segment elevation myocardial infarction (NSTEMI) in patients admitted to an emergency department with suspected acute coronary syndrome based on sex and age.

DESIGN

Post hoc analysis of a prospective observational study conducted between September 2015 and May 2019.

SETTING

University hospital in Norway.

PARTICIPANTS

1506 participants >18 years of age (39.6% women and 31.0% 70 years of age or older).

FINDINGS

The OR for NSTEMI was 9.4 if pain radiated to both arms, 3.0 if exertional chest pain was present during the last week and 2.9 if pain occurred during activity. Men had significantly lower OR compared with women if pain was dependent of position, respiration or palpation (OR 0.17 vs 0.53, p value for interaction 0.047). Patients <70 years had higher predictive value than older patients if they reported exertional chest pain the last week (OR 4.08 vs 1.81, 95%, p value for interaction 0.025) and lower if pain radiated to the left arm (OR 0.73 vs 1.67, p value for interaction 0.045).

CONCLUSIONS

Chest pain with radiation to both arms, exertional chest pain during the last week and pain during activity had the strongest predictive value for NSTEMI. The differences in symptom presentation and risk of NSTEMI between sex and age groups were small.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

WESTCOR study ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT02620202).

Fibrinogen and Neopterin Is Associated with Future Myocardial Infarction and Total Mortality in Patients with Stable Coronary Artery Disease

Systemic fibrinogen and neopterin are related to inflammation. We investigated the prognostic utility and possible interactions of these biomarkers in stable coronary artery disease (SCAD) patients undergoing coronary angiography. We included 3,545 patients with suspected stable angina with a median follow-up of 7.3 and 10.2 years for incident acute myocardial infarction (AMI) and all-cause mortality, respectively. Prospective associations were explored by Cox regression. Potential effect modifications were investigated according to strata of fibrinogen, neopterin or high-sensitivity troponin T (hsTnT) below and above the median, as well as gender and smoking habits. During follow-up, 543 patients experienced an AMI and 769 patients died. In a multivariable model, the hazard ratios (HRs; 95% confidence interval [CI]) per 1 SD increase for fibrinogen in relation to these endpoints were 1.30 (1.20, 1.42; p < 0.001) and 1.22 (1.13, 1.31; p < 0.001), respectively. For neopterin, the HRs (95% CI) were 1.31 (1.23, 1.40; p < 0.001) and 1.24 (1.15, 1.34; p < 0.001), respectively. No significant interaction between fibrinogen and neopterin was observed. The prognostic utility of neopterin for incident AMI was improved in patients with an hsTnT above the median, for total mortality in non-smokers, and for both total mortality and AMI in females. In conclusion, both fibrinogen and neopterin were associated with future AMI and total mortality, but had low discriminatory impact. No interaction was observed between these two biomarkers. The prognostic utility of neopterin was improved in patients with hsTnT levels above the median, and in females and non-smokers.

Borderline Values of Troponin-T and High Sensitivity C-Reactive Protein Did Not Predict 2-Year Mortality in TnT Positive Chest-Pain Patients, Whereas Brain Natriuretic Peptide Did

Background

Troponin-T (TnT), high-sensitive C-reactive protein (hsCRP), and Brain Natriuretic Peptide (BNP) have been shown to be independent prognostic indicators of total and cardiac death during short- and long-term follow-up.

Methods

We investigated prospectively the prognostic value of admission samples of TnT, hsCRP, and BNP in 871 chest-pain patients from South-Western Norway and 982 patients from Northern Argentina, based on a similar protocol and database setup. Follow-up was 2 years for the pooled population. The prognostic value of the selected biomarkers was investigated in quartiles of 239 patients with TnT values greater than 0.01 and up to and including 0.1 ng/mL, with continuous TnT as a potential confounder.

Results

After 24 months, 69 patients had died, of whom 38 died from cardiac causes. In the selected range of TnT, this biomarker was not significantly different between patients who died and survived (mean 0.0452 and 0.0457, p = 0.887). The BNP levels were significantly higher among patients dying than in long-term survivors [340 (142–656) versus 157 (58–367) pg/mL (median, 25 and 75% percentiles), p < 0.001]. In a multivariable Cox regression model for death within 2 years, the hazard ratio (HR) for BNP in the highest quartile (Q4) as compared to the lowest (Q1) was significantly related to total mortality [HR 2.84 (95% confidence interval (CI), 1.13–7.17)], p = 0.027, in addition to age (p ≤ 0.001) and hypercholesterolemia (p = 0.043). For cardiac death, the HR for BNP was 5.18 (95% CI, 1.06–25.3), p = 0.042. Several other variables (age, congestive heart failure, ST elevation myocardial infarction, and study country) were also significantly related to cardiac death. In a multivariable Cox regression model, hsCRP rendered no significant prognostic information for all-cause mortality (p = 0.089) or for cardiac mortality (p = 0.524).

Conclusion

In patients with borderline TnT values (greater than 0.01 and up to and including 0.1 ng/mL), this biomarker as well as hsCRP did not render prognostic information, whereas BNP was found to be a strong prognostic indicator of 2-year total and cardiac mortality.