Network meta-analysis of post-exposure prophylaxis randomized clinical trials

OBJECTIVES

We performed a network meta-analysis of PEP randomized clinical trials to evaluate the best regimen.

METHODS

After MEDLINE/Pubmed search, studies were included if: (1) were randomized, (2) comparing at least 2 PEP three-drug regimens and, (3) reported completion rates or discontinuation at 28 days. Five studies with 1105 PEP initiations were included and compared ritonavir-boosted lopinavir (LPV/r) vs. atazanavir (ATV) (one study), cobicistat-boosted elvitegravir (EVG/c) (one study), raltegravir (RAL) (one study) or maraviroc (MVC) (two studies). We estimated the probability of each treatment of being the best based on the evaluation of five outcomes: PEP non-completion at day 28, PEP discontinuation due to adverse events, PEP switching due to any cause, lost to follow-up and adverse events.

RESULTS

Participants were mostly men who have sex with men (n = 832, 75%) with non-occupational exposure to HIV (89.86%). Four-hundred fifty-four (41%) participants failed to complete their PEP course for any reason. The Odds Ratio (OR) for PEP non-completion at day 28 in each antiretroviral compared to LPV/r was: ATV 0.95 (95% CI 0.58-1.56; EVG/c: OR 0.65 95% CI 0.30-1.37; RAL: OR 0.68 95% CI 0.41-1.13; and MVC: OR 0.69 95% CI 0.47-1.01. In addition, the rankogram showed that EVG/c had the highest probability of being the best treatment for the lowest rates in PEP non-completion at day 28, switching, lost to follow-up or adverse events and MVC for PEP discontinuations due to adverse events.

CONCLUSIONS

Our study shows the advantages of integrase inhibitors when used as PEP, particularly EVG as a Single-Tablet Regimen.

Incidence and causes of death in HIV-infected persons receiving highly active antiretroviral therapy compared with estimates for the general population of similar age and from the same geographical area

BACKGROUND

Since the introduction of highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART), the incidence of death in HIV-infected patients has dramatically decreased, and causes of death other than those related to HIV infection have increased, although it is unclear how these parameters compare with those in the age-matched general population living in the same geographical region.

METHODS

Consecutive HIV-infected adults who were prescribed HAART in our hospital were prospectively followed from January 1997 to December 2004 or until death, loss to follow-up or discontinuation of HAART. Estimations of the annual incidence and causes of death in the general population of similar age in Catalonia per calendar year in the study period were obtained and compared with those in the HIV-infected cohort.

RESULTS

There were 235 deaths among the 4471 patients on HAART (5%). The incidence of mortality decreased over time in HIV-infected patients (P<0.001; chi(2) test for trend), although it has remained approximately five times higher than that for the age-matched general population. AIDS-related events were the most common cause of death (n=95; 40%), although they significantly decreased over time (P<0.001; chi(2) test for trend), whereas liver diseases (P<0.001; chi(2) test for trend) and non-AIDS-defining infections (P=0.008; chi(2) test for trend) significantly increased over time. Infections in general (33 times higher), liver diseases (11 times higher) and non-Hodgkin lymphoma (5 times higher) were overrepresented as causes of death in the HIV-infected cohort compared with the age-matched general population.

CONCLUSIONS

Non-AIDS-defining infectious diseases, liver diseases, and non-Hodgkin lymphoma represent specific targets for efforts to further decrease mortality in HIV-infected patients receiving HAART.

Intrathoracic fat in HIV-infected patients

BACKGROUND

The impact of HIV infection or antiretroviral therapy on the intrathoracic fat compartment is unknown.

METHODS

Consecutive clinically stable HIV-infected adult patients, irrespective of exposure to antiretroviral therapy, and non-HIV-infected healthy volunteers, both without clinical evidence of body fat changes consistent with lipodystrophy and adjusted for age, gender and body mass index, were recruited for this study. Thoracic and abdominal fat was assessed by computed tomography and compared between patients and controls.

RESULTS

There were nine women (33%) and 18 men (67%) in each group. Nineteen patients (70%) had been taking antiretrovirals for a median of 8 months (interquartile range: 6-11). Among the HIV-infected patients, intrathoracic fat (median; interquartile range) did not differ significantly between treated (6.7 cm(2); 4.5-8.3 cm(2)) and untreated (6.9 cm(2); 5.7-10.9 cm(2)) individuals (P=0.288). However, intrathoracic fat content (median; interquartile range) was higher in HIV-infected patients (6.8 cm(2); 5.6-10.5 cm(2)) than in controls (5.6 cm(2); 3.9-6.7 cm(2)) (P=0.025). Intrathoracic fat was positively correlated with intra-abdominal fat both in patients (rho=0.6, P=0.002) and in controls (rho=0.7, P=0.004).

CONCLUSION

In HIV-infected adults without clinical evidence of lipodystrophy, intrathoracic fat content was higher than in healthy persons and positively correlated with intra-abdominal fat content.

HIV Lipodystrophy Case Definition using Artificial Neural Network Modelling

Objective

A case definition of HIV lipodystrophy has recently been developed from a combination of clinical, metabolic and imaging/body composition variables using logistic regression methods. We aimed to evaluate whether artificial neural networks could improve the diagnostic accuracy.

Methods

The database of the case-control Lipodystrophy Case Definition Study was split into 504 subjects (265 with and 239 without lipodystrophy) used for training and 284 independent subjects (152 with and 132 without lipodystrophy) used for validation. Back-propagation neural networks with one or two middle layers were trained and validated. Results were compared against logistic regression models using the same information.

Results

Neural networks using clinical variables only (41 items) achieved consistently superior performance than logistic regression in terms of specificity, overall accuracy and area under the ROC curve. Their average sensitivity and specificity were 72.4 and 71.2%, as compared with 73.0 and 62.9% for logistic regression, respectively (area under the ROC curve, 0.784 vs 0.748). The discriminating performance of the neural networks was largely unaffected when built excluding 13 parameters that patients may not have readily available. The average sensitivity and specificity of the neural networks remained the same when metabolic variables were also considered (total 60 items) without a clear advantage against logistic regression (overall accuracy 71.8%). The performance of networks considering also body composition variables was similar to that of logistic regression (overall accuracy 78.5% for both).

Conclusions

Neural networks may offer a means to improve the discriminating performance for HIV lipodystrophy, when only clinical data are available and a rapid approximate diagnostic decision is needed. In this context, information on metabolic parameters is apparently not helpful in improving the diagnosis of HIV lipodystrophy, unless imaging and body composition studies are also obtained.

Hepatotoxicity in HIV-1-infected patients receiving nevirapine-containing antiretroviral therapy

OBJECTIVES

To assess the incidence and risk factors for hepatotoxicity associated with nevirapine.

DESIGN

A prospective cohort study in a teaching and referral hospital involving all consecutive patients who were prescribed a nevirapine-containing antiretroviral regimen between September 1997 and May 2000.

METHOD

Cutaneous and hepatic adverse reactions and clinical hepatitis were assessed. Blood analysis including plasma HIV-1 RNA CD4 cell counts, liver chemistry tests, and serology for hepatitis B and C viruses. Hepatotoxicity was defined as an increase of at least threefold in serum alanine aminotransferase or aspartate aminotransferase levels compared with baseline values.

RESULTS

Of a total of 610 patients, 82 (13.4%) were antiretroviral naive when commencing nevirapine, and 46.2 and 8.9% were coinfected with hepatitis C and B viruses, respectively. Median duration of exposure to nevirapine was 8.7 months (interquartile range 3.4--14.3). Hepatotoxicity developed in 76 (12.5%), an incidence of 13.1/100 person-years. Kaplan--Meier estimated incidence of hepatotoxicity at 3, 6 and 12 months was 3.7, 9.7 and 20.1%, respectively. In seven (1.1%) patients, hepatotoxicity was associated with clinical hepatitis, which was reversible upon discontinuation of therapy. Multivariate analysis identified the duration of prior exposure to antiretroviral drugs, hepatitis C virus, and higher baseline levels of alanine aminotransferase as independent risk factors for hepatotoxicity.

CONCLUSIONS

Hepatotoxicity but not clinical hepatitis was common in HIV-1-infected patients receiving nevirapine-containing regimens and the incidence steadily increased over time. Prolonged exposure to any antiretroviral therapy, coinfection with hepatitis C virus and abnormal baseline levels of alanine aminotransferase identified patients at a higher risk.