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Predictors of late gadolinium enhancement development and extension in myocardial infarction with non-obstructive coronary arteries. Eur Heart J 2022. [DOI: 10.1093/eurheartj/ehac544.1456] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/14/2022] Open
Abstract
Abstract
Background
Myocardial infarction with non-obstructive coronary arteries (MINOCA) is a heterogeneous clinical entity and in its complex diagnostic approach cardiovascular magnetic resonance (CMR) plays a pivotal role.
Purpose
To characterize the differences of MINOCA patients with and without late gadolinium enhancement (LGE) at CMR and to identify the predictors for ischemic LGE development and extension.
Methods
We assessed 461 MINOCA cases from January 2016 to June 2021. MINOCA were defined according to the current European guidelines criteria. We excluded acute myocarditis, Tako-tsubo syndromes, cardiomyopathies, or non-pathological CMR. According to CMR imaging findings, our cohort was divided into two CMR phenotypes based on regional myocardial necrosis detected throughout LGE (“LGE-positive MINOCA”) or regional ischemic injury without LGE (“LGE-negative MINOCA”). Extended LGE was considered as the presence of >2 segments with transmural LGE. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to determine the predictors of LGE and extended LGE.
Results
The final cohort included 175 MINOCA: 121 (69.1%) constituted the LGE-positive group. The mean time delay between acute clinical presentation and CMR was 6±2.9 days. At admission MINOCA LGE-patients more frequently presented angina and ST segment elevation (24% vs 7.4%, p=0.01), compared to LGE negative ones. Furthermore, the LGE positive group had a significantly greater infarct size, measured by peak hs-Troponin I values and left ventricular function (LVEF). The only predictor of LGE was the peak troponin value (OR 1.64, 95% CI 1.18–2.28, p=0.003), while predictors of extended LGE were ST-segment elevation at admission (OR 7.44, 95% CI 1.57–35.22, p=0.01), peak troponin values (OR 1.07, 95% CI 1.02–1.13, p=0.01) and the presence of non-obstructive coronary artery disease at coronary angiography (OR 5.49, 95% CI 1.20–25.09, p=0.028).
Conclusion
The presence and extension of LGE at early CMR evaluation is an important feature in the setting of MINOCA. In addition, simple baseline characteristics (such as ST elevation, peak troponin value and LVEF) may aid the identification of a greater ischemic necrosis burden at CMR and therefore these high-risk MINOCA subjects could be benefit from a stricter management effort.
Funding Acknowledgement
Type of funding sources: None.
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Prognostic role and predictors of high Killip class in myocardial infarction with non-obstructive coronary artery. Eur Heart J 2022. [DOI: 10.1093/eurheartj/ehac544.1455] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/14/2022] Open
Abstract
Abstract
Background
Killip classification is a simple clinical tool for risk stratification in patients with acute myocardial infarction (AMI). However, predictors of high Killip class at admission and its prognostic role in myocardial infarction with non-obstructive coronary artery (MINOCA) are still poorly explored.
Purpose
To identify clinical predictors of high Killip class and its potential prognostic role in patients with MINOCA compared to patients with myocardial infarction with obstructive coronary artery (MIOCA).
Methods
We included patients with AMI undergoing coronary angiogram from January 2016 to June 2021. MINOCA were defined according to the current European guidelines criteria. We compared the Killip classes of MINOCA with those of MIOCA and defined a high Killip class if greater than 1. Kaplan-Meier (KM) curves were developed for the comparison of all-cause mortality among MIOCA and MINOCA with high Killip class (>1) compared to the others. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to determine the predictors of high Killip class.
Results
Among 3261 AMI, 261 were MINOCA. The median follow-up time was 36.1±15.2 months. Killip class >1 occurred in 24 (8.8%) MINOCA patients compared to 518 (17.3%) MIOCA cases (p=0.001). During long-term follow-up, a high Killip class was associated with a 3-fold increased mortality both in MIOCA and MINOCA populations (p<0.001 and p=0.001). Furthermore, in both groups, the KM survival curves were significantly worse for patients with high Killip class compared to lower classes (p<0.001). Within MIOCA multivariate logistic regression showed that predictors of a high Killip class at admission were older age [OR 1.04, 95% CI (1.03–1.06), p<0.001], diabetes [OR 1.60, 95% CI (1.24–2.07), p<0.001], ST-segment-elevation [OR 1.53, 95% CI (1.12–2.10), p=0.008], left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) [OR 0.95, 95% CI (0.94–0.96), p<0.001] and elevated cardiac troponin [OR 1.01, 95% CI (1.00–1.01), p=0.01]. Instead, in MINOCA only older age [OR 1.08, 95% CI (1.03–1.14), p=0.003], ST-segment-elevation [OR 7.40, 95% CI (1.08–50.65), p=0.04] and diabetes [OR 3.60, 95% CI (1.09–11.96), p=0.04] were predictors of a high Killip class whereas LVEF (p=0.3) and elevated cardiac troponin (p=0.6) exhibited a neutral impact in these patients.
Conclusions
High Killip class at admission is a high-risk marker of adverse cardiovascular events even in patients with MINOCA. Simple baseline characteristics (such as older age, diabetes, ST-segment-elevation) predict a high Killip class in MINOCA subjects and can help to identify a high-risk population who might benefit from a stricter management. Furthermore, LVEF and elevated cardiac troponin were identified as predictors of a high Killip class in MIOCA but they did not show a similar impact in the setting of MINOCA. This may reflect the different pathogenesis and myocardial damage extent in MINOCA compared to MIOCA.
Funding Acknowledgement
Type of funding sources: None.
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Development and validation of a diagnostic echocardiographic mass (DEM) score in the complex approach to cardiac masses. Eur Heart J 2022. [DOI: 10.1093/eurheartj/ehac544.164] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/15/2022] Open
Abstract
Abstract
Background
Cardiac masses (CM) are an extremely heterogeneous clinical entity, including benign and malignant neoformations. 2D Echocardiography is nowadays the first-line approach to define nature and management of CM.
Purpose
The purpose of our study was to identify the echocardiographic predictors of malignancy and create a multiparametric score to further increase the diagnostic yield and accurately suggest the nature of CM.
Material and methods
249 consecutive patients undergoing a complete echocardiographic assessment for suspected cardiac mass were enrolled from January 2004 to December 2020. A definitive diagnosis was achieved by histological examination or, in case of cardiac thrombi, with radiological evidence of thrombus resolution after an appropriate anticoagulant treatment. Logistic regression was performed to evaluate the ability of echocardiography to discriminate benign versus malignant masses.
Results
A scoring system was developed in a derivation cohort of 178 (70%) and validated in 71 (30%) patients. A weighted score [Diagnostic Echocardiographic Mass (DEM) Score] ranging from 0 to 9 was obtained from 6 variables: infiltration, polylobate mass, moderate-severe pericardial effusion, inhomogeneity, sessile and non-left localization. The AUC for the score was 0.965 (95% CI 0.938–0.993). In a logistic regression analysis using the DEM score as a predictor, the likelihood of malignancy increased more than 4 times for a 1-unit increase of the score (OR=4.468; 95% CI 2.733–7.304). The prognostic validity of the score was confirmed by its ability to predict survival during follow-up (median time of 31 months).
Conclusions
The application of a multiparametric echocardiographic score in the approach to CM accurately predicts mass malignancy thereby reducing the need for second-level investigations, and minimizing the diagnostic delay in such a complex clinical scenario.
Funding Acknowledgement
Type of funding sources: None.
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Prognostic role of early cardiac magnetic resonance in myocardial infarction with non-obstructive coronary arteries. Eur Heart J 2022. [DOI: 10.1093/eurheartj/ehac544.1459] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/13/2022] Open
Abstract
Abstract
Background
Myocardial infarction with non-obstructive coronary arteries (MINOCA) represents a significant proportion of acute myocardial infarction (AMI) population. MINOCA is a working diagnosis and an accurate investigation of the underlying causes should always be performed. In this setting, cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR) imaging plays a pivotal diagnostic role. However, a prognostic stratification based on the CMR findings in ischemic MINOCA is still unavailable.
Purpose
To evaluate the potential prognostic impact of specific CMR findings - especially ischemic late gadolinium enhancement (LGE) patterns - in order to look for measurable parameters that may guide the management of this still troubled clinical entity.
Methods
We assessed 461 MINOCA from January 2016 to June 2021. We excluded acute myocarditis, Tako-tsubo syndromes, cardiomyopathies, or non-pathological CMR. According to CMR findings, MINOCA were classified in two phenotypes: LGE-positive (an ischemic subendocardial or transmural LGE pattern) or LGE-negative (cases without LGE but exhibiting regional myocardial injury defined by myocardial edema in a coronary territory with a typically ischemic “wave-front” and/or regional wall motion abnormality consistent with coronary distribution).
All-cause mortality, re-infarction, stroke, heart failure (HF) and the composite endpoint (MACE) were evaluated. Extended LGE was considered as the presence of >2 segments with transmural LGE. The mean follow-up was 36.1±15.2 months and CMR was performed at a mean of 6±2.9 days from the acute presentation.
Results
The final cohort included 175 MINOCA with a likely-ischemic etiology: 121 (69.1%) constituted the LGE-positive group. The mean age of the study population was 62.3±12.9 years and more than 61% were females. During follow-up, HF (15.7% vs 1.9%, p=0.008) and MACE (20.7% vs 7.4%, p=0.029) occurred more frequently in MINOCA “LGE-positive” compared to the “LGE-negative” ones. Extended LGE was significantly more prevalent in patients with versus without subsequent HF. On multivariable Cox regression, extended LGE was an independent predictor of HF occurrence (HR 18.49, 95% CI 4.65–73.61, p<0.001) and MACE (HR 14.64, 95% CI 3.91–54.86, p<0.001).
Conclusions
Our data suggest that in MINOCA patients the detection of LGE is correlated with the incidence of major cardiovascular events and heart failure during long-term follow-up. In fact, LGE extension was identified as the strongest predictor of cardiac adverse events. The early execution of CMR is useful in the prognostic stratification of MINOCA and this could guide the subsequent clinical and therapeutic management.
Funding Acknowledgement
Type of funding sources: None.
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P212 PROGNOSTIC ROLE OF ACUTE MYOCARDIAL INFARCTION DIAGNOSTIC CRITERIA IN NON–ST SEGMENT ELEVATION MYOCARDIAL INFARCTION. Eur Heart J Suppl 2022. [DOI: 10.1093/eurheartj/suac012.204] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/13/2022]
Abstract
Abstract
Background
Although the majority of patients with NSTEMI share similar risk factors and similar pathophysiology, their outcomes differ considerably. The Fourth Universal Definition of Myocardial Infarction (UDMI) defined acute myocardial infarction (AMI) by an acute myocardial injury together with clinical evidence of acute myocardial ischaemia. However, the prognostic role of each single diagnostic criteria has never been explored.
Purpose
To evaluate the prognostic role of the different diagnostic criteria of AMI according to the Fourth UDMI in NSTEMI patients.
Methods
We enrolled all consecutive patients with AMI undergoing coronary angiogram at our Centre. We used a combination of criteria, according to the current ESC guidelines, to meet the diagnosis, namely the detection of an increase and/or decrease of high–sensitivity cardiac troponin I, with at least one value above the 99th percentile of the upper reference limit and at least one of the following: symptoms of ischaemia; ECG changes (new ST–T changes or new LBBB); development of pathological Q waves in the ECG; echocardiographic evidence of new loss of viable myocardium or new regional wall motion abnormality. Patients with STEMI and very high risk NSTEMI were excluded. A composite endpoint of all–cause mortality, re–hospitalization for heart failure, and myocardial reinfarction was collected. The predictive value of diagnostic criteria alone and their association were evaluated using Kaplan–Meier survival curves and subsequent Cox–regression analysis to find independent predictors of adverse events.
Results
2791 patients with NSTEMI were evaluate. At admission 196 had clinical criteria alone, 187 had clinic + ECG and 829 had clinic + ECG + echo. The total number of events was 689. The median follow–up was 23.3±14.5 months. We found that patients with clinical criteria alone had a better prognosis at 2 years follow–up (p < 0.001). No other significant prognostic correlation was found. Multivariable Cox–regression model demonstrated that clinical criteria was the only independent predictor of better prognosis in patients with NSTEMI (HR = 0.48; CI 95% 0.31–0.74; p < 0.001).
Conclusions
Our data suggest that in NSTEMI the prognosis is considerably better if clinical criteria alone is present at admission. We hypothesize that the absence of electrocardiographic and echocardiographic alterations in NSTEMI could indirectly indicate smaller infarct sizes or other causes of acute myocardial injury.
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P322 A MISLEADING SAM. Eur Heart J Suppl 2022. [DOI: 10.1093/eurheartj/suac012.309] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/14/2022]
Abstract
Abstract
A 66–year–old woman with a history of anxious–depressive syndrome and osteoporosis, without significant cardiological history, reported onset of cardiopalmus and dyspnoea for a few days due to moderate efforts, in conjunction with a period of strong emotional stress. Due to the persistence of these symptoms and the onset of epigastric pain, she underwent a cardiological examination which found low blood pressure values associated with the presence of a systolic murmur. The ECG showed diffuse changes in repolarization compatible with ischemia. Access to the emergency room (ER) was recommended. In ER, the first high–sensitivity troponin value was significantly high (1542 ng/L). Therefore, in the suspect of ACS, the patient was transferred to the cardiological intensive care unit. Echocardiogram showed akinesia of the mid–apical segments, hypercontractility of the bases (EF 35%) and a SAM (systolic anterior motion) with a dynamic outflow tract pressure gradient of 80 mmHg which resulted in severe mitral regurgitation. During the first days of hospitalization, persistent hypotension was observed requiring intravenous infusion of fluids to maintain systolic blood pressure values between 90–100 mmHg. Coronary angiography showed only severe ostial stenosis of a branch of the first diagonal branch. At the same time, ventriculography was performed which showed basal hypercontractility with muscle salience at the base and systolic obliteration of the outflow tract with a small apical aneurysm. 5 days after admission, another echocardiogram showed the almost complete normalization of the global systolic function (EF 68%) with apical hypokinesia and hypercontractility of the basal segments. However, the SAM persisted with a dynamic outflow tract pressure gradient of 140 mmHg with the presence of multiple and dislocated papillaries, accessory tendon cords and insertion of muscle tendon at the level of the septum. To complete the diagnosis, cardiac MRI was performed which documented a diffuse increase in T2 relaxation times more evident in the apical area, absence of LGE areas and normalization of contractility of the left ventricle with disappearance of the SAM. These findings, together with the absence of significant hypertrophy and the complete regression of the ECGgraphic changes, allowed us to exclude the presence of an unrecognized hypertrophic cardiomyopathy and to diagnose Takotsubo syndrome.
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P215 PROGNOSTIC IMPACT OF EARLY VERSUS DEFERRED CORONARY ANGIOGRAPHY IN MINOCA PATIENTS. Eur Heart J Suppl 2022. [DOI: 10.1093/eurheartj/suac012.207] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/14/2022]
Abstract
Abstract
Background
Although an early invasive strategy (coronary angiography performed < 24 hours) is associated with a lower risk of recurrent/refractory ischaemia among patients with acute myocardial infarction (AMI) and obstructive coronary arteries, the optimal timing of invasive examination in patients with non–obstructive coronary arteries and non–ST–segment elevation presentation (NSTE–MINOCA) has not been explored.
Purpose
This study tested the hypothesis that, compared to early (< 24 h) invasive strategy, deferred (≥ 24 h) coronary angiography has an equivalent prognostic impact in patients with NSTE–MINOCA.
Methods
From 2016 to 2020, all consecutive MINOCA patients diagnosed according to the current ESC diagnostic criteria (angiographic conventional cut–off of < 50% coronary stenosis without a clinically apparent alternative diagnosis) and admitted to our Centre with non–ST–segment elevation myocardial infarction (NSTEMI) presentation were enrolled. Very high–risk NSTEMI patients had been excluded from the study. The prognostic value of an early (< 24 h) vs. deferred (≥ 24 h) coronary angiography was assessed. All–cause mortality and a composite endpoint (MACE) of all–cause mortality, stroke, re–hospitalization for heart failure and myocardial re–infarction were evaluated.
Results
198 NSTE–MINOCA patients were enrolled, of which 79 underwent coronary angiography < 24 hours and 119 ≥ 24 hours. MINOCA patients were more frequently females (64%) and the mean age was 66.8±13.2 years. After a median follow–up of 26 [14–40] months, the overall all–cause mortality was 13,6% and the composite endpoint (MACE) was achieved in 27.3% of the entire population. Kaplan–Meier curves showed that there was no statistically significant difference (p = 0.88) between the two study groups depending on the time of invasive strategy adopted. Specifically, rates of death (11.4% vs. 15.1%) and MACE (25.3% vs. 28.6%) were similar in MINOCA patients undergoing early versus deferred coronary angiography.
Conclusions
We demonstrated for the first time that in the MINOCA population the prognosis is not influenced by an early versus deferred coronary angiography, as opposed to AMI patients with obstructive coronary arteries. These results add another piece to the puzzle and pave the way for the initial use of a non–invasive imaging strategy (eg. Coronary–CT), mostly in patients with NSTEMI and high clinical suspicion of non–obstructive coronary arteries.
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P210 VENTRICULAR FIBRILLATION IN AN ELDERLY WOMAN WITH APPARENTLY UNREMARKABLE PAST CARDIOLOGICAL HISTORY: AN UNEXPECTED CULPRIT. Eur Heart J Suppl 2022. [DOI: 10.1093/eurheartj/suac012.202] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/13/2022]
Abstract
Abstract
An 85–year–old woman experienced cardiac arrest while she was at the supermarket. Cardiopulmonary resuscitation was promptly performed with ROSC after DC shock on ventricular fibrillation and immediate hemodynamic and neurological recovery. The first ECG performed by the rescuers did not show acute ischemic changes and the patient was admitted to the Cardiological Intensive Care Unit. Past medical history revealed only a previous episode of acute pulmonary embolism for which she was on oral anticoagulant therapy for a limited period of time. She had not family history of sudden cardiac death or cardiomyopathies. Before admission she was completely asymptomatic and she never complained of angina pectoris, palpitation or dyspnoea. The echocardiogram at admission showed moderate left atrial enlargement and hypokinesia of left ventricle apex and mid–apical lateral wall with global EF of 50%. Pulmonary and aortic CT angiography showed no pathological findings. In order to rule out an ACS, the patient underwent a coronary angiography which documented the absence of critical coronary stenosis. Finally, a cardiac MRI with gadolinium was performed, revealing the presence of two small areas of transmural LGE affecting inferior basal and lateral mid–apical segments with no edema, consistent with ischaemic myocardial scars. In light of this findings and to rule out paradoxical coronary artery embolism we decided to perform a transcranial echocolordoppler that showed the absence of a patent foramen ovale. Furthermore, continuous ECG monitoring during the hospital stay did not document arrhythmic recurrences. In consideration of the high probability of ischemic heart disease, therapy with antiplatelet agent, beta–blocker, ace–inhibitor and statin was introduced and the patient was discharged after ICD implantation. Three months later, during her first follow–up visit, we documented short episodes of atrial fibrillation at ICD interrogation. This was in line with the hypothesis of a ventricular fibrillation and cardiac arrest in the contest of an ischemic heart disease with myocardial scars probably due to undatale coronary artery embolism. Oral anticoagulant therapy was started in addition to previous therapy.
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Usefulness of CHA2DS2-VASc scoring system for predicting risk of embolism in patients with cardiac tumours: a single-centre study. Eur Heart J 2021. [DOI: 10.1093/eurheartj/ehab724.1838] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/12/2022] Open
Abstract
Abstract
Background
The CHA2DS2-VASc score is the most used in predicting thromboembolic risk in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). However, a higher CHA2DS2-VASc score predicts cardiovascular events even in patients without AF. Up to date, there is limited evidence about the association between CHA2DS2-VASc score and the embolic risk in patient with cardiac tumours (CT).
Purpose
To evaluate the role of the CHA2DS2-VASc score in predicting embolism and to identify other markers of embolization in patients with CT.
Methods
We included all patients with a CT who had a complete echocardiographic evaluation and a histologic diagnosis. We excluded patients with cardiac thrombi because of their higher embolic risk.
Results
Our sample consisted of 221 patients (mean age 60.9±15.6, 7% female). 132 (59.7%) patients had benign CT, usually left-sided (84.8%). In the malignant tumours, 28 (31.5%) were primary and 61 (68.5%) were metastasis. Compared to benign tumours, malignant ones were predominantly right-sided (47.2%) or with pericardial (20.2%) or great-vessels involvement (16.9%). A total of 59 patients (26.6%) experienced an embolic event, of which 33 patients had peripheral embolism, while 28 had pulmonary embolism (PE), 2 patients had both. Patients with embolism were older (p=0.013), had a higher prevalence of diabetes or previous stroke (p=0.019 and p<0.001), had left-sided and not-infiltrating CT (p=0.001 and p=0.04). We did not find any differences in AF prevalence, atrium volumes or other CT characteristics. Moreover, patients who developed an embolic event had a higher CHA2DS2-VASc score than those without embolism (p<0.001). In particular, a CHA2DS2-VASc score >3 had an AUC=0.835 in predicting a peripheral embolic event in the overall population (p<0.001). At multivariate analysis, only CHA2DS2-VASc and left-side localization were significantly associated with embolization (p<0.001 and p=0.009).
Also in patients with right-sided CT, CHA2DS2-VASc score (p=0.017), together with some tumours characteristics (mobility, pericardial effusion and absence of myocardial infiltration (p<0.04 for all) was associated with PE.
Embolization did not impact survival when considering the overall population. Otherwise, when focusing on patients with malignant CT, those who had an embolic event had a worse prognosis (p=0.02), as well as those with PE (p=0.037).
Conclusions
CHA2DS2-VASc and left-side localization are the best markers of embolism. In particular, CHA2DS2-VASc seems to predict embolization in CT, regardless of histology or localization. Many patients with CT and embolism may not be offered surgical treatment given their assumed high-risk profile. By contrast, our analysis showed that survival is not related to the embolic event per se, but by histology. In patients with CT and high CHA2DS2-VASc score, further studies are needed to evaluate the best therapeutic strategy to minimize the embolic risk.
Funding Acknowledgement
Type of funding sources: None.
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Cancer incidence during follow-up in patients with new-onset atrial fibrillation treated with DOACs and its impact on bleeding risk. Eur Heart J 2021. [DOI: 10.1093/eurheartj/ehab724.0569] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/13/2022] Open
Abstract
Abstract
Background
Cancer is increasingly recognized as strictly related to atrial fibrillation (AF). In patients with AF, the relationship between cancer and cardioembolic or bleeding risk during oral anticoagulant therapy is unknown.
Purpose
To assess the bleeding and ischaemic burden of a baseline or newly diagnosed cancer in patients treated with direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) for non-valvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF).
Methods
All consecutive patients treated with DOACs were enrolled among those with new-onset atrial fibrillation and indication for oral anticoagulant between January 2017 and March 2019. During follow-up, bleeding events, newly diagnosed primitive or metastatic malignancy and major cardiovascular events (MACE) were evaluated. At baseline, CHA2DS2-VASc, HAS-BLED, ATRIA, and ORBIT scores were used to assess the hemorrhagic and ischaemic risk. Major bleedings (MB) were defined according to the ISTH definition. Anemia was defined as haemoglobin levels below 11 g/dL in women and 12 mg/dL in men.
Results
1258 patients constituted the study population and followed for a mean time of 21.6±9.5 months. Overall, 66 patients (5.2%) were affected by malignant neoplasia at baseline, whereas 59 (4.7%) were diagnosed with a malignancy during follow-up. Among baseline characteristics, anemia was associated with cancer at enrolment (43.9% vs 22.5%, p<0.001) but not at follow up (29.3% vs 23.4%, p=0.341). MACEs were not associated with cancer at baseline (5.3% vs 5.2%, p=1.0) and at follow up (5% vs 4.9%, p=1.0). No association was observed between major ischaemic events and cancer at enrolment or follow up (5.3% vs 4.4%, p=0.83 and 4.4% vs 5%, p=0.82). Despite no statistically significant differences in haemorrhagic risk at baseline, the overall bleeding events and MB were associated with newly diagnosed cancer (9.2% vs 3.9%, p=0.001 and 13.8% vs 4.5%, p=0.001, respectively) but not at baseline (5.2% vs 5.5%, p=0.82 and 9.2% vs 5.2%, p=0.162). At multivariate analysis adjusted for age, hypertension and renal function, anemia and a newly diagnosed cancer during follow up remained independent predictors of MB (respectively, HR 1.27, 95% CI 1.52–1.06, p=0.009 and HR 3.53, 95% CI 7.71–1.62, p=0.001).
Conclusion
Bleeding risk assessment is an ongoing challenge in patients with NVAF on DOACs. During follow-up, newly diagnosed primitive or metastatic cancer is a strong predictor of bleeding regardless of baseline haemorrhagic risk assessment. In contrast, such association is not observed with malignancy at baseline. A proper diagnosis and treatment could therefore decrease cancer-related bleeding risk. On the contrary, our study shows that cancer is not an ischaemic risk modifier, either diagnosed at baseline or follow-up.
Funding Acknowledgement
Type of funding sources: None.
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Prognostic role of diagnostic criteria of acute myocardial infarction. Eur Heart J 2021. [DOI: 10.1093/eurheartj/ehab724.1347] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/13/2022] Open
Abstract
Abstract
Background
The term acute myocardial infarction (AMI) reflects cell death of cardiac myocytes caused by ischaemia. The Fourth Universal Definition of Myocardial Infarction (UDMI) defined AMI by a typical rise and fall in the level of biochemical markers of myocardial necrosis together with criteria of myocardial ischaemia. However, the prognostic role of each single diagnostic criteria has never been explored.
Purpose
To evaluate the prognostic role of the different diagnostic criteria of AMI according to the Fourth UDMI.
Methods
We enrolled all consecutive patients with AMI admitted from 2016 to 2019. We used a combination of criteria, according to the current ESC guidelines, to meet the diagnosis, namely the detection of an increase and/or decrease of high-sensitivity cardiac troponin I, with at least one value above the 99th percentile of the upper reference limit and at least one of the following: symptoms of ischaemia; ECG changes (new ST-T changes or new LBBB); development of pathological Q waves in the ECG; imaging evidence of new loss of viable myocardium or new regional wall motion abnormality, in our study evaluated by transthoracic echocardiogram. All-cause mortality and a composite endpoint of all-cause mortality, re-hospitalization for heart failure and myocardial re-infarction were collected. The predictive value of diagnostic criteria alone and its association were evaluated using Kaplan-Meier survival curves and subsequent Cox-regression analysis to find independent predictors of adverse events.
Results
2386 patients were evaluated. The median follow-up time was 23.3±14.5 months. The total number of events was 703 (29.3%). Kaplan-Meier curves showed that major adverse cardiac events (MACE) were statistically different depending on the diagnostic criteria of AMI at admission. Particularly, clinical criteria alone showed a better predictive value (p<0.001) than other diagnostic AMI criteria. Multivariable Cox-regression model demonstrated that clinical criteria was the independent predictor of good prognosis in patients with AMI (HR=0.43; CI 95% 0.28–0.67; p<0.001). Conversely, the others diagnostic criteria (electrocardiographic and echocardiographic) and the combination of all diagnostic criteria were not independent prognostic factors of MACE (HR=1.1 CI 95% 0.6–2.4, p=0.6; HR=1.1 CI 95% 0.7–1.2, p=0.6; HR=0.9 CI 95% 0.7–1.0, p=0.8 respectively).
Conclusions
Our data suggest that the prognosis is considerably better among patients with a diagnosis of AMI if clinical criteria alone are present at admission. We also demonstrated that clinical criteria are a strong prognostic predictor of good outcomes in patients with AMI. We hypothesize that the absence of electrocardiographic and echocardiographic alterations could indirectly indicate a smaller infarct sizes that contribute to patients' outcome.
Funding Acknowledgement
Type of funding sources: Public hospital(s). Main funding source(s): None
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Worsening renal function as an outcome predictor in patients with new onset atrial fibrillation on direct oral anticoagulant. Eur Heart J 2021. [DOI: 10.1093/eurheartj/ehab724.0596] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/14/2022] Open
Abstract
Abstract
Background
In patients with atrial fibrillation (AF), baseline kidney function is used to guide oral anticoagulant (OA) selection and dosing, and chronic kidney disease (CKD) is a significant outcome predictor. However, the incidence of worsening renal function (WRF) and its prognostic role during treatment with direct oral anticoagulants (DOACS) has been poorly explored.
Purpose
To assess the prognostic role of WRF in terms of bleedings and major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs) in a cohort of patients with newly diagnosed non-valvular AF (NVAF) treated with DOACs.
Methods
Between January 2017 and March 2019, we enrolled all the patients with newly diagnosed NVAF and OA indication, treated with DOACs. Renal function was assessed using the mean value of the estimated glomerular filtration rates (eGFR) calculated using Cockcroft-Gault (CG), Modification of Diet in Renal Disease (MDRD) and Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration (CKD-EPI) formulas. CHA2DS2-VASc and HAS-BLED scores were used at baseline to estimate the ischemic and hemorrhagic risk, respectively. At follow-up, WRF was identified as a decrease in eGFR of at least 20% while bleedings were classified according to the international society of thrombosis and hemostasis (ISTH) criteria. Finally, we defined AF progression as the transition from paroxysmal to persistent or permanent AF or from persistent to permanent AF.
Results
1009 patients with newly diagnosed NVAF started on DOAC were enrolled. They were followed-up for 21.6±9.5 months. Overall, WRF was observed in 181 cases (18%). Patients with WRF had higher rates of progression of atrial fibrillation (18.5% vs 11.8%, p=0.02), MACEs (20.4% vs 12.9%, p=0.09) and major bleedings (MB) (9,4% vs 4,7%, p=0.013). WRF did not correlate with all bleedings, stroke, or acute coronary syndrome (ACS). However, those who presented WRF using CKD-EPI formula had higher ACS incidence (6.1% vs 2.5%, p=0.015), and generally better-predicted MACEs. At multivariate analysis adjusted for age, hypertension, baseline HAS-BLED score and WRF, the latter emerged as an independent predictor of MB (OR 1.9 95% C.I, 1,059–3,51).
Conclusion
In patients with newly diagnosed NVAF treated with DOACs, WRF is associated with atrial fibrillation progression and MACEs, and emerged as an independent predictor of major bleedings. WRF evaluated with CKD-EPI formula better predicted MACEs.
Funding Acknowledgement
Type of funding sources: None.
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Admission blood glucose level as an ischemic stroke risk modifier in patients with new-onset non-valvular atrial fibrillation. Eur Heart J 2020. [DOI: 10.1093/ehjci/ehaa946.0526] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/13/2022] Open
Abstract
Abstract
Background
Several scores have been proposed to assess the stroke risk in patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF). However, type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) is considered a major stroke risk factor regardless of glycemic control. Whether basal blood glucose level modifies the risk of stroke in NVAF is still unclear.
Purpose
To evaluate the risk of ischemic stroke according to the presence of T2DM and admission blood glucose (ABG) level in patients with new-onset NVAF starting direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs).
Methods
We analyzed all consecutive patients with NVAF at our outpatient clinic from January to December 2018. The study population was constituted by 1014 patients with new-onset NVAF starting DOACs. Baseline characteristics were evaluated in the overall cohort whereas outcomes were assessed for 915 patients. The median follow-up time was 19.6±12.9 months.
Results
Overall, 50.3% were male with a mean age of 73.9±12.5 years. Diabetic NVAF patients were more frequently male (p=0.04) with higher prevalence of dyslipidemia (p<0.001), hypertension (p<0.001), severe renal impairment (p=0.02), peripheral vasculopathy (p=0.007) and history of myocardial infarction (p<0.001) compared to non-diabetic NVAF. Conversely, no differences were observed between subgroups in terms of age (p=0.8). Baseline blood glucose level was significantly higher in the diabetic NVAF population (160±67 mg/dL vs 119±39 mg/dL; p<0.001). As expected, the mean CHA2DS2-VASc score was significantly higher in diabetic NVAF compared to non-diabetic group (4.7±1.4 vs 3.2±1.5; p<0.001).
During a 2 year-follow up period, we collected 27 (3.0%) ischemic stroke. As expected, the rates of stroke were significantly higher in diabetic NVAF (7.6% vs 2.3%, p<0.001). Also, the ABG was significantly greater in NVAF who had an ischemic stroke compared to others (160±68 mg/dL vs 119±39 mg/dL, p=0.005). The incidence of stroke was almost five-time greater in NVAF with ABG level major than 150 mg/dl (9.8% vs 1.9%, p<0.001).
At multivariate Cox-regression model adjusted for age, sex and presence of T2DM, blood glucose level at admission was the only independent predictor of ischemic stroke at follow up (HR 1.01, 95% CI 1.001–1.02; p=0.03). Finally, another multivariate Cox-regression model, adjusted for the mean CHA2DS2-VASc score, showed that the ABG level still remained a strong independent predictor of ischemic stroke at follow up (HR 1.012, 95% CI 1.003–1.02; p=0.01).
Conclusions
Diabetic NVAF had a worse baseline profile and higher stroke risk compared to non-diabetic NVAF. Baseline blood glucose level was an independent predictor of stroke regardless of the presence of T2DM or stroke risk profile. These findings underline the role of basal blood glucose level as a potential stroke risk modifier and therefore emphasize the importance of its routine determination to better stratify the stroke risk in NVAF starting DOACs.
Funding Acknowledgement
Type of funding source: None
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Myocardial infarction with non-obstructive coronary artery disease: the prognostic role of infarct size predictors. Eur Heart J 2020. [DOI: 10.1093/ehjci/ehaa946.1809] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/13/2022] Open
Abstract
Abstract
Background
In patients with Acute Myocardial Infarction (AMI) the levels of cardiac troponin T and absolute neutrophil count have been shown to correlate with infarct scar size and left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) as well as conferring a risk for major cardiovascular adverse events (MACE). In the context of myocardial infarction with non-obstructive coronary arteries (MINOCA) the prognostic role of such indicators has never been explored.
Purpose
To evaluate the prognostic role of known myocardial infarct size indicators in a MINOCA population compared to patients with obstructive AMI (Ob – AMI).
Methods
Among 1990 patients admitted to our coronary care unit from 2016 to 2019 with AMI, we enrolled 186 consecutive MINOCA patients according to the current ESC diagnostic criteria. We compared troponin peak levels, absolute neutrophil count at the time of hospital admission and LVEF in MINOCA patients versus Ob–AMI. Furthermore we assessed the prognostic value of these indicators. All-cause mortality and a composite end - point of all-cause mortality and myocardial re-infarction were evaluated. The median follow-up time was 19.6±12.9 months.
Results
MINOCA patients were more frequently females (64,9% vs 35,1%; p<0.001), non-smokers (42,3% vs 61,8%; p<0.001) with a lower prevalence of diabetes (9.9% vs 23.7%; p<0.001) compared to the Ob-AMI population. Conversely, no differences were found in hypertension and dyslipidemia. As far as infarct size predictors are concerned, MINOCA patients showed lower levels of troponin value and absolute neutrophil count measured at the time of hospital admission (1838.27±601.0 ng/L vs 13543±3350.6 ng/L; p<0.001, 6.7±1.36x109/L vs 7.1±1.29x109/L; p=0.001, respectively). Moreover, these patients exhibited a higher LVEF (56.1±10% vs 49.3±11%; p<0.001) as compared to Ob-AMI.
Among our MINOCA patients, 13 (10.6%) all-cause deaths and 3 (4.3%) myocardial re-infarction were observed during follow-up. Multivariable Cox-regression model demonstrated that mean troponin level, absolute neutrophil count and LVEF were not independent predictors of MACE (HR = 1.0, 95% CI: 0.9–1.1, p=0.6; HR = 0.96, 95% CI: 0.9–1.1, p=0.187; HR = 0.9, 95% CI: 0.79–1.02, p=0. 12 respectively).
Conclusion
MINOCA patients show a similar prognosis compared to the worldwide AMI population.
However, in this study the outcome in the MINOCA population was not influenced by commonly used infarct size predictors, in contrast to what is observed in Ob-AMI patients. These results once again emphasize both the complexity of MINOCA patients and the importance of a better understanding of the different underlying pathophysiological mechanisms.
Funding Acknowledgement
Type of funding source: None
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The predictor role of worsening renal function in patients with new onset atrial fibrillation on direct oral anticoagulant. Eur Heart J 2020. [DOI: 10.1093/ehjci/ehaa946.0652] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/13/2022] Open
Abstract
Abstract
Background
Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is an important outcome predictor in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). Moreover, renal function at baseline is used to guide oral anticoagulant (OA) selection and dosing at initial treatment. The prognostic role of worsening renal function (WRF) during treatment with direct oral anticoagulants (DOACS) has been poorly explored.
Purpose
To estimate the prognostic role of WRF in terms of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs) in a series of patients with newly diagnosed non-valvular AF (NVAF) treated with DOACs.
Methods
Among all patients with newly diagnosed NVAF and indication for OA between January 2017 and December 2018, we enrolled those treated with DOACs. Renal function at baseline and during follow-up was assessed with estimated glomerular filtration rates (eGFR). eGFR was calculated as a mean value of Cockcroft-Gault (CG), Modification of Diet in Renal Disease (MDRD) and Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration (CKD-EPI) formulas. The hemorrhagic risk at baseline was estimated with the main available scores (HAS-BLED, ATRIA and ORBIT). WRF was defined as a decrease in eGFR of at least 20%. MACEs were evaluated according to the type of DOAC and the WRF. Major bleedings (MB) were defined according to the ISTH definition.
Results
The study population was constituted by 249 patients with newly diagnosed NVAF started on DOAC and followed for a median time of 14.1±8.6 months. Overall, WRF was observed in 58 cases (23.3%). Patients with WRF had significative higher rates of death (10.3% versus 3.1%, p=0.025) and MB (13.8% versus 4.7%, p=0.016). The incidence of bleeding events, acute coronary syndromes and stroke was not affected by WRF. Interestingly, CG formula better predicted the incidence of MB as compared to the other formulas (p=0.006). The type of DOAC did not significantly impact the observed renal impairment and had no effect on the occurrence of MACEs in patients showing WRF. The predictors of WRF were found to be age, female sex, low hemoglobin level and left ventricle end telediastolic volume. At multivariate analysis, WRF was identified as an independent predictor of MB (OR 3.1, 95% C.I, 1.12–8.58), regardless of the baseline bleeding risk.
Conclusion
This is the first prospective study to evaluate the impact of worsening renal function on cardiovascular events in patients with atrial fibrillation treated with DOACs. A significant WRF emerged as an independent predictor of death and MB. The specific DOAC did not affect either the entity of worsening renal function or the incidence of cardiovascular events.
Funding Acknowledgement
Type of funding source: None
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Impact of type 2 diabetes mellitus and blood glucose admission levels in patients with myocardial infarction with non obstructive coronary artery disease (MINOCA). Eur Heart J 2020. [DOI: 10.1093/ehjci/ehaa946.1808] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/12/2022] Open
Abstract
Abstract
Background
Myocardial infarction with non-obstructive coronary arteries (MINOCA) is a heterogeneous clinically entity and represents 5% to 10% of all patients with myocardial infarction (MI). Besides type 2 diabetes mellitus (DM), which is a common comorbidity in patients hospitalized for an acute coronary syndrome, high glucose levels (HGL) at admission are frequently observed in this context. The risk of major adverse cardiovascular events following acute coronary syndrome is increased in people with DM and HGL. However, evidence regarding diabetes and high glucose level among MINOCA patients is lacking.
Purpose
To examine the incidence of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs) in diabetic and non-diabetic MINOCA patients as well as according to HGL at presentation.
Methods
Among 1995 patients with acute MI admitted to our coronary care unit from 2016 to 2018, we enrolled 186 consecutive MINOCA patients according to the current ESC diagnostic criteria. HGL at admission was defined as serum glucose level above 180 mg/dl. All-cause mortality and a composite end-point of all-cause mortality and myocardial re-infarction were compared. The median follow-up time was 19.6±12.9 months.
Results
Diabetic MINOCA patients were older (mean age 75.5±9.6 vs 66.5±14.7; p=0.002) and with higher prevalence of hypertension (p=0.016). Conversely, there were no significant differences in gender, BMI, dyslipidemia and atrial fibrillation. Similarly, no significant differences were observed regarding clinical and ECG presentation, echocardiographic features and laboratory tests. The rates of death (30.8% vs 8.3%; p=0.013) and MACEs (22.2% vs 6.8%; p=0.025) were significantly higher in MINOCA-DM patients; conversely, no significant differences were observed for re-MI (p=0.58). At multivariate regression model adjusted for age and sex, type 2 DM was not an independent predictor of all cause deaths (p=0.36) and MACE (p=0.24).
Patients with admission HGL had similar baseline characteristics, cardiovascular risk factors, clinical presentations, echocardiographic features and troponin values as compared to patients with no-HGL. HGL at admission was associated with higher incidence of all-cause-death (p<0.001) and MACE (p=0.003) during follow-up compared to patients with no HGL; conversely, no significant differences were observed in the incidence of re-MI (p=0.7). Multivariate analysis adjusted for age and sex demonstrated that HGL was an independent predictor of death (HR 6.25; CI 1.64–23.85; p=0.007) and MACEs (HR 6.17; CI 1.79–21.23, p=0.004).
Conclusion
In MINOCA patients, HGL was an independent risk factor for both MACEs and death while type 2 DM was not correlated with these hard endpoints. As a consequence, HGL could have a still unexplored pathophysiological role in MINOCA. Properly powered randomized trials are warranted.
Funding Acknowledgement
Type of funding source: None
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Outcomes in patients with cardiac masses: the underestimated burden of pseudotumours. Eur Heart J 2020. [DOI: 10.1093/ehjci/ehaa946.2164] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/14/2022] Open
Abstract
Abstract
Background
Cardiac masses (CMs) include benign and malignant formations. So far, clinical presentation and prognosis have been reported only in small series without discriminating between subtypes. We investigated the clinical presentation and long-term prognosis of patients with cardiac masses stratifying our results according to the lesions' nature.
Methods
We enrolled all consecutive patients admitted to our Institution between 1999 and 2018 with imaging evidence of CMs. Definitive diagnosis was achieved by histologic examination or by radiological evidence of thrombotic resolution after anticoagulant treatment. The study population was classified as benign or malignant and subsequently into 4 subtypes: pseudo-tumours, primary benign tumours, primary malignant tumours and secondary tumours. Cardiovascular and non-cardiovascular mortality was described.
Results
We identified 172 patients with CMs, 125 benign and 47 malignant. Benign lesions were often incidentally diagnosed in the left heart chambers whereas malignancies were usually detected in the pericardium and right sections, resulting in more advanced symptoms. Over time – median follow-up of 48 months - survival of patients with benign formations was three-fold greater than patients with malignancies (p<0.001) with no differences in cardiovascular mortality. Patients with pseudo-tumours showed a significantly lower survival than primary benign tumours (p=0.018) while no difference was found within the malignant stratum between primary and secondary neoplasms.
Conclusions
CMs are a heterogeneous entity where advanced symptoms and a pericardial involvement suggest malignant forms, which exhibit a poor outcome. Among patients with benign lesions, pseudo-tumours were associated with reduced survival, supposedly as a consequence of the different underlying conditions.
Funding Acknowledgement
Type of funding source: None
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P4742Evaluation of the HAS-BLED, ATRIA and ORBIT bleeding risk scores in newly diagnosed non-valvular atrial fibrillation. Eur Heart J 2019. [DOI: 10.1093/eurheartj/ehz745.1118] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/12/2022] Open
Abstract
Abstract
Background
Several risk scores have been proposed to assess the bleeding risk in patients with Atrial Fibrillation.
Purpose
To compare the efficacy of HAS-BLED, ATRIA and ORBIT scores to predict major bleedings in newly diagnosed non-valvular AF (NV-AF) treated with vitamin K antagonists (VKAs) or new oral anticoagulants (NOACs).
Methods
We analyzed all consecutive patients with AF at our outpatient clinic from January to December 2017. Only those with new diagnosed NV-AF starting new anticoagulant therapy were enrolled. Major hemorrhagic events were defined according to the ISTH definition in non-surgical patients.
Results
Out of the 820 patients admitted with AF, 305 were newly diagnosed with NV-AF starting oral anticoagulation. Overall, 51.3% were male with a mean age of 72.6±13.7 years. Thirty-six patients (11.8%) started VKAs whereas 269 (88.2%) patients were treated with NOACs. The median follow-up time was 10.4±3.4 months. During follow-up, 123 (32.2%) bleeding events were recorded, 21 (17,1%) in the VKA group and 102 (82,9%) in the NOAC group. Eleven (2.9%) major bleeding events occurred: 5 (45.5%) in the VKA group and 6 (54.5%) in the NOAC group.
Overall, patients with major hemorrhagic events showed a mean value of the scores significantly higher when compared to patients without such bleeding complications (HASBLED 3.4 vs 2.4 p=0.007; ATRIA 5.6 vs 2.4 p<0.001; ORBIT 3.6 vs 1.8 p<0,001). Conversely, when analyzing the VKA subgroup, only the ATRIA score was significantly higher in patients with major adverse events (7.4 vs 3.5 p<0.001; HAS-BLED: 4.4 vs 3.6 p=0.27; ORBIT 4.4 vs 2.9 p=0.13). An ATRIA score ≥4 identified patients at high risk of bleeding (29.4% vs. 0% events. respectively, p=0.04). In the NOAC group, patients with major bleeding events had higher mean values of ATRIA (4.0 vs 2.3 p=0.02) and ORBIT (2.8 vs 1.6 p=0,04) but not the HAS-BLED (2.5 vs 2.3 p=0.57) scores. Similarly, patients on NOACs with an ATRIA score ≥4 had higher rates of major bleedings (8.1% vs. 1.6% p=0,02).
Comparing the single elements of the ATRIA score, only glomerular filtration rate <30 ml/min/1.73 mq was associated with major bleedings in the VKA group (p<0.001) whereas, in the NOAC group, anemia was strongly associated with bleeding events (p=0,02). In fact, multivariate analysis in the NOAC group showed that hemoglobin level at admission was an independent predictor for major bleeding events (OR 0.41, 95% CI 0.23–0.75, P=0.003). Conversely, in the VKA group, baseline creatinine level was an independent predictor for these events (OR 12.76, 95% CI 1.6–101.7, P=0.016).
Conclusions
The ATRIA score showed the best efficacy in predicting major bleeding events. Hemoglobin and creatinine levels at admission were independent predictors for major hemorrhagic events in the NOAC and in the VKA groups, respectively. The latter finding might be helpful in stratifying the hemorrhagic risk at the beginning of treatment.
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