Patient age and donor HLA matching can stratify allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation patients into prognostic groups.
Eur J Haematol 2022;
109:672-679. [PMID:
36028979 DOI:
10.1111/ejh.13850]
[Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/03/2022] [Revised: 08/18/2022] [Accepted: 08/22/2022] [Indexed: 11/28/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND
Mixed results surround the accuracy of commonly used prognostic risk scores to predict overall survival (OS) and non-relapse mortality (NRM) in allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplant (allo-HCT) recipients. We hypothesize that a simple prognostic score performs better than conventional scoring systems.
PATIENTS AND METHODS
OS risk factors, HCT-CI, age-HCT-CI, and augmented-HCT-CI were studied in 299 patients who underwent allo-HCT for myeloid and lymphoid malignancies. A scoring system was developed based on results and validated in a different cohort of 455 patient.
RESULTS
2-year OS was 51% (95%CI 0.45-0.56). 2-year NRM was 34% (95%CI 0.29-0.39). HCT-CI and associated scores were grouped into 0-2 and ≥3. Age and HLA mismatch status were the only risk factors to affect OS in multivariate analysis (p = 0.02 and 0.05, respectively). HCT-CI and associated scores were not informative for OS prediction. The weighted scoring system assigned 0 to 2 points for age <50, 50 to 64, or ≥65, respectively, and 0 to 1 points for no HLA mismatch versus any mismatch (except HLA-DQ). Distinct 2-year OS [62%, 53%, and 38% (p = <0.001)] and NRM [24%, 34%, and 43% (p = 0.02)] groups were characterized. The scoring system was validated in a second independent cohort with similar results on OS and NRM (p <0.001).
CONCLUSIONS
A simple scoring system based on recipient's age and mismatch status accurately predicts OS and NRM in two distinct cohorts of allo-HCT patients. Its simplicity makes it a helpful tool to aid clinicians and patients in clinical decision making. This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved.
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