Long-term outcome in traumatic brain injury patients with midline shift: a secondary analysis of the Phase 3 COBRIT clinical trial

OBJECTIVE

Following traumatic brain injury (TBI), midline shift of the brain at the level of the septum pellucidum is often caused by unilateral space-occupying lesions and is associated with increased intracranial pressure and worsened morbidity and mortality. While outcome has been studied in this population, the recovery trajectory has not been reported in a large cohort of patients with TBI. The authors sought to utilize the Citicoline Brain Injury Treatment (COBRIT) trial to analyze patient recovery over time depending on degree of midline shift at presentation.

METHODS

Patient data from the COBRIT trial were stratified into 4 groups of midline shift, and outcome measures were analyzed at 30, 90, and 180 days postinjury. A recovery trajectory analysis was performed identifying patients with outcome measures at all 3 time points to analyze the degree of recovery based on midline shift at presentation.

RESULTS

There were 892, 1169, and 895 patients with adequate outcome data at 30, 90, and 180 days, respectively. Rates of favorable outcome (Glasgow Outcome Scale-Extended [GOS-E] scores 4-8) at 6 months postinjury were 87% for patients with no midline shift, 79% for patients with 1-5 mm of shift, 64% for patients with 6-10 mm of shift, and 47% for patients with > 10 mm of shift. The mean improvement from unfavorable outcome (GOS-E scores 2 and 3) to favorable outcome (GOS-E scores 4-8) from 1 month to 6 months in all groups was 20% (range 4%-29%). The mean GOS-E score for patients in the 6- to 10-mm group crossed from unfavorable outcome (GOS-E scores 2 and 3) into favorable outcome (GOS-E scores 4-8) at 90 days, and the mean GOS-E of patients in the > 10-mm group nearly reached the threshold of favorable outcome by 180 days postinjury.

CONCLUSIONS

In this secondary analysis of the Phase 3 COBRIT trial, TBI patients with less than 10 mm of midline shift on admission head CT had significantly improved functional outcomes through 180 days after injury compared with those with greater than 10 mm of midline shift. Of note, nearly 50% of patients with > 10 mm of midline shift achieved a favorable outcome (GOS-E score 4-8) by 6 months postinjury.

Recovery Trajectories and Long-Term Outcomes in Traumatic Brain Injury: A Secondary Analysis of the Phase 3 Citicoline Brain Injury Treatment Clinical Trial

BACKGROUND

Prospects for recovery after traumatic brain injury (TBI) are often underestimated, potentially leading to withdrawal of care in the comatose TBI patient who may ultimately have a favorable outcome with aggressive care. Outcomes and trajectories of recovery in a large series of patients with TBI were evaluated at 30, 90, and 180 days postinjury.

METHODS

A secondary analysis of the phase 3 Citicoline Brain Injury Treatment (COBRIT) trial was performed analyzing recovery trajectories and long-term outcomes at 30, 90, and 180 days postinjury. A Glasgow Outcome Scale-Extended (GOS-E) score of 5 or higher was considered favorable. Pearson χ² analysis was used, and a P value of 0.05 was considered significant. A locally weighted, polynomial regression model was used to model recovery trajectories in a nonlinear fashion.

RESULTS

Subjects with TBI in the COBRIT trial had high rates of favorable outcome (57% of severe TBI, 86% of moderate TBI, and 93% of complicated mild TBI) at 6-month follow-up. These favorable outcomes often converted from high rates of unfavorable outcome at initial 1-month follow-up (85% of severe TBI, 57% of moderate TBI, and 21% of complicated mild TBI). Recovery trajectories had not plateaued at 6 months, suggesting that further improvement occurs beyond 6 months postinjury.

CONCLUSIONS

In this secondary analysis of the COBRIT trial, most patients had favorable outcomes by the GOS-E at 6 months postinjury in all complicated mild and moderate TBI groups, with over half of patients with severe TBI achieving a favorable outcome as well. Of subjects in a vegetative state (GOS-E score 2) at 1 month postinjury, 18% improved to a favorable outcome by 6 months postinjury. There was substantial improvement in all groups from 1 to 6 months, and this improvement may continue beyond 6 months. Clinical trials in TBI should consider recovery curves with repeated measures to assess outcomes because arbitrary single-moment outcome determination likely underestimates treatment effect in TBI care.