Factors influencing early and long-term survival following hip fracture among nonagenarians

Background

The outcomes of nonagenarian patients undergoing orthopaedic surgery are not well understood. We investigated the 30-day mortality after surgical treatment of unilateral hip fracture. The relationship between postoperative complications and mortality was evaluated.

Methods

We performed a single-centre retrospective cohort study of nonagenarian patients undergoing hip fracture surgery over a 6-year period. Postoperative complications were graded according to the Clavien–Dindo classification. Correlation analyses were performed to evaluate the relationship between mortality and pre-specified mortality risk predictors. Survival analyses were assessed using Cox proportional hazards regression modelling.

Results

The study included 537 patients. The 30-day mortality rate was 7.4%. The mortality rate over a median follow-up period of 30 months was 18.2%. Postoperative complications were observed in 459 (85.5%) patients. Both the number and severity of complications were related to mortality (p < 0.001). Compared to patients who survived, deceased patients were more frail (p = 0.034), were at higher ASA risk (p = 0.010) and were more likely to have preoperative congestive heart failure (p < 0.001). The adjusted hazard ratio for mortality according to the number of complications was 1.3 (95% CI 1.1, 1.5; p = 0.003). Up to 21 days from admission, any increase in complication severity was associated significantly greater mortality [adjusted hazard ratio: 3.0 (95% CI 2.4, 3.6; p < 0.001)].

Conclusion

In a nonagenarian cohort of patients undergoing hip fracture surgery, 30-day mortality was 7.4%, but 30-month mortality rates approached one in five patients. Postoperative complications were independently associated with a higher mortality, particularly when occurring early.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s13018-021-02807-6.

The Impact of Intraoperative Donor Blood on Packed Red Blood Cell Transfusion During Deceased Donor Liver Transplantation: A Retrospective Cohort Study

BACKGROUND

Blood from deceased organ donors, also known as donor blood (DB), has the potential to reduce the need for packed red blood cells (PRBCs) during liver transplantation (LT). We hypothesized that DB removed during organ procurement is a viable resource that could reduce the need for PRBCs during LT.

METHODS

We retrospectively examined data on LT recipients aged over 18 y who underwent a deceased donor LT. The primary aim was to compare the incidence of PRBC transfusion in LT patients who received intraoperative DB (the DB group) to those who did not (the nondonor blood [NDB] group).

RESULTS

After a propensity score matching process, 175 patients received DB and 175 did not. The median (first-third quartile) volume of DB transfused was 690.0 mL (500.0-900.0), equivalent to a median of 3.1 units (2.3-4.1). More patients in the NDB group received an intraoperative PRBC transfusion than in the DB group: 74.3% (95% confidence intervals, 67.8-80.8) compared with 60% (95% confidence intervals, 52.7-67.3); P = 0.004. The median number of PRBCs transfused intraoperatively was higher in the NDB group compared with the DB group: 3 units (0-6) compared with 2 units (0-4); P = 0.004. There were no significant differences observed in the secondary outcomes.

CONCLUSIONS

Use of DB removed during organ procurement and reinfused to the recipient is a viable resource for reducing the requirements for PRBCs during LT. Use of DB minimizes the exposure of the recipient to multiple donor sources.

Associations between preoperative anaemia and hospital costs following major abdominal surgery: cohort study

Background

Determining the cost-effectiveness and sustainability of patient blood management programmes relies on quantifying the economic burden of preoperative anaemia. This retrospective cohort study aimed to evaluate the hospital costs attributable to preoperative anaemia in patients undergoing major abdominal surgery.

Methods

Patients who underwent major abdominal surgery between 2010 and 2018 were included. The association between preoperative patient haemoglobin (Hb) concentration and hospital costs was evaluated by curve estimation based on the least-square method. The in-hospital cost of index admission was calculated using an activity-based costing methodology. Multivariable regression analysis and propensity score matching were used to estimate the effects of Hb concentration on variables related directly to hospital costs.

Results

A total of 1286 patients were included. The median overall cost was US $18 476 (i.q.r.13 784–27 880), and 568 patients (44.2 per cent) had a Hb level below 13.0 g/dl. Patients with a preoperative Hb level below 9.0 g/dl had total hospital costs that were 50.6 (95 per cent c.i. 14.1 to 98.9) per cent higher than those for patients with a preoperative Hb level of 9.0–13.0 g/dl (P < 0.001), 72.5 (30.6 to 128.0) per cent higher than costs for patients with a Hb concentration of 13.1–15.0 g/dl (P < 0.001), and 62.4 (21.8 to 116.7) per cent higher than those for patients with a Hb level greater than 15.0 g/dl (P < 0.001). Multivariable general linear modelling showed that packed red blood cell (PRBC) transfusions were a principal cost driver in patients with a Hb concentration below 9.0 g/dl.

Conclusion

Patients with the lowest Hb concentration incurred the highest hospital costs, which were strongly associated with increased PRBC transfusions. Costs and possible complications may be decreased by treating preoperative anaemia, particularly more severe anaemia.

Potassium levels after liver reperfusion in adult patients undergoing cadaveric liver transplantation: A retrospective cohort study

Background

Hyperkalemia is a common cause of arrhythmias in patients undergoing liver transplantation. We examined the pattern of change of potassium levels during and immediately after reperfusion of the donor liver.

Materials and methods

Potassium levels of 30 consecutive adult patients undergoing cadaveric liver transplantation were assessed before and after liver reperfusion. Changes in potassium levels over 13 predefined timepoints were analyzed. Primary aim: to describe the pattern of change of potassium levels during the reperfusion period. Correlation between changes in potassium levels during reperfusion and a-priori variables were investigated.

Results

Baseline median (IQR) potassium levels were 4.1 (3.8:4.5) mmol/L. Thirteen patients (43%) developed hyperkalemia, 10 (33%) of whom developed severe hyperkalemia. Potassium levels peaked at 80 s post reperfusion, plateaued until 2 min, before returning toward baseline values at 5 min. There was a strong association between pre-reperfusion/baseline potassium levels and peak potassium values during reperfusion (95%CI: 0.26 to 0.77, p < 0.001). A baseline potassium level of 4.45 mmol/L was a good predictor of reperfusion hyperkalemia with a sensitivity of 69.2% and specificity of 94.1% (AUC = 0.894, 95%CI: 0.779 to 1.000, p < 0.001).

Conclusion

Hyperkalemia during cadaveric liver transplantation is common affecting almost 1 in 2 patients during reperfusion. During reperfusion potassium levels peaked within 2 min and over a third of patients developed severe hyperkalemia. Higher peak potassium levels correlated strongly with higher pre-reperfusion potassium values. These findings guide clinicians with timing of sampling of blood to check for hyperkalemia and identify modifiable factors associated with the development of hyperkalemia.

•

Hyperkalemia during the reperfusion phase of cadaveric liver transplantation is common.

•

Potassium levels peaked at 80 s post reperfusion, plateaued for 2 min, and returned to baseline at 5 min.

•

There was a strong association between pre-reperfusion potassium levels and peak potassium values during reperfusion.

•

Timing of blood sampling to check for hyperkalemia is paramount.

•

A baseline potassium level of greater than 4.45 mmol/L was a good predictor of reperfusion hyperkalemia.

Predictors of ManuScript Rejection sYndrome (MiSeRY): a cohort study

OBJECTIVES

To assess whether specific factors predict the development of ManuScript Rejection sYndrome (MiSeRY) in academic physicians.

DESIGN

Prospective pilot study; participants self-administered a questionnaire about full manuscript submissions (as first or senior author) rejected at least once during the past 5 years.

SETTING

Single centre (tertiary institution).

PARTICIPANTS

Eight academic physician-authors.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Duration of grief. MiSeRY was pre-specified as prolonged grief (grief duration longer than the population median).

RESULTS

Eight participants provided data on 32 manuscripts with a total of 93 rejections (median, two rejections per manuscript; interquartile range [IQR], 1-3 rejections per manuscript). Median age at rejection was 37 years (IQR, 33-45 years); 86% of 80 rejections involved male authors (86%), 56 of the authors providing data about these rejections were first authors (60%). The median journal impact factor was 5.9 (IQR, 5.2-17). In 48 cases of rejection (52%), pre-submission expectations of success had been high, and in 54 cases (58%) the manuscripts had been sent for external review. Median grief duration was 3 hours (IQR, 1-24 h). Multivariate analysis indicated that higher pre-submission expectation (adjusted odds ratio [aOR], 5.0; 95% CI, 1.5-18), first author status (aOR, 9.5; 95% CI, 1.1-77), and external review (aOR, 19.0; 95% CI 2.9-126) were independent predictors of MiSeRY.

CONCLUSIONS

To help put authors out of their MiSeRY, journal editors could be more selective in the manuscripts they send for external review. Tempering pre-submission expectations and mastering the Coping and reLaxing Mechanisms (CaLM) of senior colleagues are important considerations for junior researchers.

P5740ACE2 activity level is associated with embolic stroke of undetermined source

Background

ACE2 activity levels correlate with adverse left atrial remodelling in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). Several biochemical and structural markers have been associated with embolic stroke of undetermined source (ESUS). The relationship between ACE2 activity and ESUS is unknown.

Purpose

Randomised controlled trials failed to demonstrate a clear benefit of oral anticoagulation in an unselected ESUS population. As selective use of oral anticoagulation guided by biomarker risk-profiling may benefit these patients, we evaluated the association between ACE2 activity and ESUS.

Methods

This prospective case control study compared patients with ESUS against a control group matched for vascular risk factors. ESUS was diagnosed following cerebral vascular imaging and 24 hours of cardiac monitoring to exclude AF. Blood samples were collected for measurement of ACE2 activity, D-Dimer and high sensitivity troponin T (hsTnT).

Results

A total of 51 patients in the ESUS group were compared with 47 patients in the Control group. ACE2 activity and D-Dimer levels were significantly higher in the ESUS group. There was a significant but weak positive correlation between ACE2 activity and hsTnT (r=0.20, p<0.05). Left atrial volume index (LAVI) on echocardiography was significantly higher in the ESUS group. On regression modelling adjusting for LAVI, only ACE2 activity remained significant for ESUS, with a 20% rise in odds for every 4 unit increase in ACE2 activity (OR 1.20; 95% CI: 1.01 - 1.36, p=0.04).

Participant characteristics Control (n=47) ESUS (n=51) P value Age (years) 65.65±6.78 67.20±6.89 0.26 Female gender 22 (45.8) 19 (38.0) 0.43 Hypertension 22 (45.8) 24 (48.0) 0.83 Diabetes mellitus 9 (18.8) 12 (24.0) 0.53 CHA2DS2VASc score 2 (1–3) 2 (1–3) 0.50 LA size & Biomarkers   LA volume index (ml/m2) 36.5 (32.6–42.5) 39.1 (36.2–46.0) 0.04   ACE2 (pmol/ml/min) 7.24 (2.66–14.64) 10.16 (4.54–18.80) 0.04   D-Dimer (mg/L) 0.35 (0.3–0.5) 0.40 (0.30–0.60) 0.02   hsTroponin T (ng/L) 7.0 (5–10) 9.00 (6.0–13.5) 0.05 Values are expressed as mean ± standard deviation, median (IQR), or n (%).

Median ACE2 activity

Conclusion(s)

ACE2 activity is associated with ESUS independent of left atrial volume and correlate with elevated Troponin. Further studies are warranted to investigate the utility of ACE2 activity in identifying ESUS patients that may benefit from oral anticoagulation.

Acknowledgement/Funding

This study received project funding from the Eastern Health Foundation

P3466Cardiac output in end-stage liver disease increases with the severity of liver dysfunction

Background

End-stage liver disease is associated with significant systemic and haemodynamic alterations that affect cardiac function. Cirrhotic cardiomyopathy remains an ill-defined entity among cardiologists. Understanding the complex interplay between liver dysfunction and cardiac function can lead to a better understanding of the compensatory mechanisms of the heart in liver failure.

Purpose

To investigate whether severity of liver disease affects baseline cardiac output in a large contemporary cohort of patients undergoing liver transplant work-up.

Methods

Consecutive patients that underwent pre-liver transplant (LT) workup between 2010–2017 were included. All patients underwent a resting echocardiogram. Cardiac output (CO) was prospectively recorded at baseline by pulsed-wave Doppler examination of the left ventricular outflow tract from the apical window and systemic vascular resistance (SVR) was calculated as 80 x (mean arterial pressure (MAP)/CO). Severity of liver disease was characterized by the model of end-stage liver disease (MELD) and Child-Pugh scores.

Results

560 patients were included (mean age 57.5±7.7, 74.8% male). Mean MELD score was 19±7 and Child-Pugh Score was 9±3. There was an inverse linear relationship between the severity of liver disease by the MELD score and baseline SVR (rho 0.40, P<0.001). As SVR reduced, there was also a significant rise in baseline CO with a strong inverse correlation between the two variables (rho 0.86, p<0.001). There was a significant linear correlation between the severity of liver disease and baseline CO with both the scores (MELD Score rho 0.42, p<0.001; Child Pugh rho 0.44, p<0.001) (Figure).

Baseline CO in LT Patients by Severity

Conclusions

Baseline CO increased with the severity of liver dysfunction due to a reduced afterload. A higher resting CO may lead to patients encroaching on their cardiac reserve at rest. This provides a pathophysiological insight suggesting a limited role for beta-blockers, particularly in patients with advanced liver cirrhosis.

P3465Inducible left ventricular outflow tract obstruction is associated with a higher incidence of perioperative cardiac arrest in liver transplantation

Background

Inducible left ventricular outflow tract obstruction (LVOTO) is not infrequently encountered in liver transplant (LT) candidates undergoing cardiac workup. While the impact of LVOTO on adverse cardiovascular haemodynamics is well reported, it is unclear whether it predisposes to perioperative cardiovascular complications following LT.

Purpose

To investigate the effect of inducible left ventricular outflow tract obstruction on perioperative cardiovascular complications in a modern cohort of liver transplant patients.

Methods

Consecutive patients undergoing dobutamine stress echocardiography (DSE) were evaluated from a quaternary LT centre between 2010 and 2017. Inducible LVOTO was defined as LVOT gradient ≥36mmHg. Perioperative major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) at 30 days and all-cause death were recorded from a prospectively maintained transplantation database and augmented by electronic medical record review.

Results

We evaluated 560 patients who underwent DSE as part of a workup for LT. Of these, 319 progressed to transplant. Inducible LVOTO was observed in 68 patients (21.3%). A higher baseline cardiac output (7.7 L/min vs 7.0 L/min, p=0.002) predicted for development of inducible LVOTO. Seventy-seven patients (4.1%) experienced a MACE including five deaths, 19 cases of heart failure, 11 cardiac arrests, 10 acute coronary syndromes and 46 cases of arrhythmias (VT/AF). Overall MACE occurred in 17/68 patients (25.0%) with LVOTO and 60/251 patients (23.9%) without LVOTO (p=0.85). However, there was a significantly increased risk of resuscitated perioperative cardiac arrest in patients with LVOTO (7.4% vs 2.4%, p=0.04). Patients with LVOTO also required significantly greater volumes of fluid intra-operatively (8.37L vs. 6.71L, p=0.043).

Cardiac Arrest in LT Patients with LVOTO

Conclusions

Inducible LVOTO is a frequent finding occurring in 21.3% of LT candidates. Despite higher intraoperative fluid resuscitation, LVOTO increased the risk of a perioperative cardiac arrest. Further studies are required to confirm these findings and to assess whether patients with LVOTO undergoing liver transplantation may benefit from heightened perioperative surveillance.

Contrasting approaches to end of life and palliative care in end stage kidney disease

With increased numbers of the elderly, including nursing home patients, being accepted for end-stage kidney disease (ESKD) management, there is heightened interest and focus on end of life decisions, advanced care planning and directives, withdrawal from dialysis and palliative care in this setting. Despite this, care at the individual patient level can vary greatly. Here, we present two contrasting cases to highlight the importance of early and ongoing involvement of palliative care in patients with ESKD. In the first case, a high quality of life was preserved before the patient died with dignity, with early interdisciplinary palliative care involvement. In the second case there was a long protracted period of poor quality of life prior to death. This was associated with resistance to the involvement of palliative care, mainly from the family. Addressing end of life care issues early in the chronic kidney disease (CKD) trajectory and ensuring patients, their families and health care providers are well informed, may contribute to a better outcome for the patient and their family.