A Novel Swarm Intelligence-Harris Hawks Optimization for Spatial Assessment of Landslide Susceptibility

In this research, the novel metaheuristic algorithm Harris hawks optimization (HHO) is applied to landslide susceptibility analysis in Western Iran. To this end, the HHO is synthesized with an artificial neural network (ANN) to optimize its performance. A spatial database comprising 208 historical landslides, as well as 14 landslide conditioning factors-elevation, slope aspect, plan curvature, profile curvature, soil type, lithology, distance to the river, distance to the road, distance to the fault, land cover, slope degree, stream power index (SPI), topographic wetness index (TWI), and rainfall-is prepared to develop the ANN and HHO-ANN predictive tools. Mean square error and mean absolute error criteria are defined to measure the performance error of the models, and area under the receiving operating characteristic curve (AUROC) is used to evaluate the accuracy of the generated susceptibility maps. The findings showed that the HHO algorithm effectively improved the performance of ANN in both recognizing (AUROCANN = 0.731 and AUROCHHO-ANN = 0.777) and predicting (AUROCANN = 0.720 and AUROCHHO-ANN = 0.773) the landslide pattern.

Application of rotation forest with decision trees as base classifier and a novel ensemble model in spatial modeling of groundwater potential

Groundwater resources are facing a high pressure due to drought and overexploitation. The main aim of this research is to apply rotation forest (RTF) with decision trees as base classifiers and an improved ensemble methodology based on evidential belief function and tree-based models (EBFTM) for preparing groundwater potential maps (GPM). The performance of these new models is then compared with three previously implemented models, i.e., boosted regression tree (BRT), classification and regression tree (CART), and random forest (RF). For this purpose, spring locations in the Meshgin Shahr in Iran were detected. The spring locations were randomly categorized into training (70% of the locations) and validation (30% of the locations) datasets. Furthermore, several groundwater conditioning factors (GCFs) such as hydrogeological, topographical, and land use factors were mapped and regarded as input variables. The tree-based algorithms (i.e., BRT, CART, RF, and RTF) were applied by implementing the input variables and training dataset. The groundwater potential values (i.e., spring occurrence probability) obtained by the BRT, CART, RF, and RTF models for all the pixels of the study area were classified into four potential classes and then used as inputs of the EBF model to construct the new ensemble model (i.e., EBFTM). At last, this paper implemented a receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curve for determining the efficiency of the EBFTM, RTF, BRT, CART, and RF methods. The findings illustrated that the EBFTM had the highest efficacy with an area under the ROC curve (AUC) of 90.4%, followed by the RF, BRT, CART, and RTF models with AUC-ROC values of 90.1, 89.8, 86.9, and 86.2%, respectively. Thus, it could be inferred that the ensemble approach is capable of improving the efficacy of the single tree-based models in GPM production.

Groundwater potential mapping using C5.0, random forest, and multivariate adaptive regression spline models in GIS

Ever increasing demand for water resources for different purposes makes it essential to have better understanding and knowledge about water resources. As known, groundwater resources are one of the main water resources especially in countries with arid climatic condition. Thus, this study seeks to provide groundwater potential maps (GPMs) employing new algorithms. Accordingly, this study aims to validate the performance of C5.0, random forest (RF), and multivariate adaptive regression splines (MARS) algorithms for generating GPMs in the eastern part of Mashhad Plain, Iran. For this purpose, a dataset was produced consisting of spring locations as indicator and groundwater-conditioning factors (GCFs) as input. In this research, 13 GCFs were selected including altitude, slope aspect, slope angle, plan curvature, profile curvature, topographic wetness index (TWI), slope length, distance from rivers and faults, rivers and faults density, land use, and lithology. The mentioned dataset was divided into two classes of training and validation with 70 and 30% of the springs, respectively. Then, C5.0, RF, and MARS algorithms were employed using R statistical software, and the final values were transformed into GPMs. Finally, two evaluation criteria including Kappa and area under receiver operating characteristics curve (AUC-ROC) were calculated. According to the findings of this research, MARS had the best performance with AUC-ROC of 84.2%, followed by RF and C5.0 algorithms with AUC-ROC values of 79.7 and 77.3%, respectively. The results indicated that AUC-ROC values for the employed models are more than 70% which shows their acceptable performance. As a conclusion, the produced methodology could be used in other geographical areas. GPMs could be used by water resource managers and related organizations to accelerate and facilitate water resource exploitation.