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Genomic Surveillance of Recent Dengue Outbreaks in Colombo, Sri Lanka. Viruses 2023; 15:1408. [PMID: 37515097 PMCID: PMC10384240 DOI: 10.3390/v15071408] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/23/2023] [Revised: 06/19/2023] [Accepted: 06/19/2023] [Indexed: 07/30/2023] Open
Abstract
All four serotypes of the dengue virus (DENV1-4) cause a phenotypically similar illness, but serial infections from different serotypes increase the risk of severe disease. Thus, genomic surveillance of circulating viruses is important to detect serotype switches that precede community outbreaks of disproportionate magnitude. A phylogenetic analysis was conducted on near full length DENV genomes sequenced from serum collected from a prospective cohort study from the Colombo district, Sri Lanka during a 28-month period using Oxford nanopore technology, and the consensus sequences were analyzed using maximum likelihood and Bayesian evolutionary analysis. From 523 patients, 328 DENV sequences were successfully generated (DENV1: 43, DENV2: 219, DENV3:66). Most circulating sequences originated from a common ancestor that was estimated to have existed from around 2010 for DENV2 and around 2015/2016 for DENV1 and DENV3. Four distinct outbreaks coinciding with monsoon rain seasons were identified during the observation period mostly driven by DENV2 cosmopolitan genotype, except for a large outbreak in 2019 contributed by DENV3 genotype I. This serotype switch did not result in a more clinically severe illness. Phylogeographic analyses showed that all outbreaks started within Colombo city and then spread to the rest of the district. In 2019, DENV3 genotype I, previously, rarely reported in Sri Lanka, is likely to have contributed to a disease outbreak. However, this did not result in more severe disease in those infected, probably due to pre-existing DENV3 immunity in the community. Targeted vector control within Colombo city before anticipated seasonal outbreaks may help to limit the geographic spread of outbreaks.
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Development of a machine learning model for early prediction of plasma leakage in suspected dengue patients. PLoS Negl Trop Dis 2023; 17:e0010758. [PMID: 36913411 PMCID: PMC10035900 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0010758] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/24/2022] [Revised: 03/23/2023] [Accepted: 02/24/2023] [Indexed: 03/14/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND At least a third of dengue patients develop plasma leakage with increased risk of life-threatening complications. Predicting plasma leakage using laboratory parameters obtained in early infection as means of triaging patients for hospital admission is important for resource-limited settings. METHODS A Sri Lankan cohort including 4,768 instances of clinical data from N = 877 patients (60.3% patients with confirmed dengue infection) recorded in the first 96 hours of fever was considered. After excluding incomplete instances, the dataset was randomly split into a development and a test set with 374 (70%) and 172 (30%) patients, respectively. From the development set, five most informative features were selected using the minimum description length (MDL) algorithm. Random forest and light gradient boosting machine (LightGBM) were used to develop a classification model using the development set based on nested cross validation. An ensemble of the learners via average stacking was used as the final model to predict plasma leakage. RESULTS Lymphocyte count, haemoglobin, haematocrit, age, and aspartate aminotransferase were the most informative features to predict plasma leakage. The final model achieved the area under the receiver operating characteristics curve, AUC = 0.80 with positive predictive value, PPV = 76.9%, negative predictive value, NPV = 72.5%, specificity = 87.9%, and sensitivity = 54.8% on the test set. CONCLUSION The early predictors of plasma leakage identified in this study are similar to those identified in several prior studies that used non-machine learning based methods. However, our observations strengthen the evidence base for these predictors by showing their relevance even when individual data points, missing data and non-linear associations were considered. Testing the model on different populations using these low-cost observations would identify further strengths and limitations of the presented model.
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Prevalence of diabetes and pre-diabetes in Sri Lanka: a new global hotspot-estimates from the Sri Lanka Health and Ageing Survey 2018/2019. BMJ Open Diabetes Res Care 2023; 11:11/1/e003160. [PMID: 36796852 PMCID: PMC9936281 DOI: 10.1136/bmjdrc-2022-003160] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 6.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/01/2022] [Accepted: 01/18/2023] [Indexed: 02/18/2023] Open
Abstract
INTRODUCTION This study's objective was to produce robust, comparable estimates of the prevalence of diabetes and pre-diabetes in the Sri Lankan adult population, where previous studies suggest the highest prevalence in South Asia. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS We used data on 6661 adults from the nationally representative 2018/2019 first wave of the Sri Lanka Health and Ageing Study (SLHAS). We classified glycemic status based on previous diabetes diagnosis, and either fasting plasma glucose (FPG), or FPG and 2-hour plasma glucose (2-h PG). We estimated crude and age-standardized prevalence of pre-diabetes and diabetes and by major individual characteristics weighting the data to account for study design and subject participation. RESULTS Crude prevalence of diabetes in adults was 23.0% (95% CI 21.2% to 24.7%) using both 2-h PG and FPG, and age-standardized prevalence was 21.8% (95% CI 20.1% to 23.5%). Using only FPG, prevalence was 18.5% (95% CI 7.1% to 19.8%). Previously diagnosed prevalence was 14.3% (95% CI 13.1% to 15.5%) of all adults. The prevalence of pre-diabetes was 30.5% (95% CI 28.2% to 32.7%). Diabetes prevalence increased with age until ages ≥70 years and was more prevalent in female, urban, more affluent, and Muslim adults. Diabetes and pre-diabetes prevalence increased with body mass index (BMI) but was as high as 21% and 29%, respectively, in those of normal weight. CONCLUSIONS Study limitations included using only a single visit to assess diabetes, relying on self-reported fasting times, and unavailability of glycated hemoglobin for most participants. Our results indicate that Sri Lanka has a very high diabetes prevalence, significantly higher than previous estimates of 8%-15% and higher than current global estimates for any other Asian country. Our results have implications for other populations of South Asian origin, and the high prevalence of diabetes and dysglycemia at normal body weight indicates the need for further research to understand the underlying drivers.
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1162. A data-driven approach to predict plasma leakage using explainable machine learning. Open Forum Infect Dis 2022. [PMCID: PMC9752983 DOI: 10.1093/ofid/ofac492.999] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/23/2022] Open
Abstract
Background Dengue could cause complications with an estimated 10,000 deaths per annum. It mostly affects low- and middle-income countries such as Sri Lanka with limited healthcare resources to handle seasonal outbreaks. A third of dengue patients usually have a critical phase characterized by plasma leakage with increased risk of life-threatening complications. A data-driven approach was required to find early predictors of plasma leakage that are usually available in routine care from a resource limited setting, as means of triaging patients for hospital admission. Methods We utilized a prospective cohort (The Colombo dengue study in Sri Lanka) that recruits patients meeting the clinical case definition of dengue fever. The cohort includes 4,781 instances of clinical signs, symptoms, and in-hospital laboratory tests from N=877 patients (60.3% patients infected by Dengue) recorded in first four days of fever. By excluding incomplete patient instances, the data was randomly split to a development set (N=378) and a test set (N=144). From the development set, five most informative features were identified using the minimum description length (MDL) algorithm. Logistic regression was used to create a prediction model using the development set. Shapley analysis was used to explain the model on the test set extracting the extent by which each predictor contributed to the predictions. Results The MDL algorithm revealed that hemoglobin (HGB), hematocrit (HCT), aspartate aminotransferase (AST), age, and gender to be the most informative predictors of plasma leakage. The logistic regression model predicted plasma leakage with (AUC = 0.76) on the test set (Fig 1). The HGB appeared to contribute the most to the predictions with the higher values associated with higher predicted risk of plasma leakage and vice versa (Fig 2).
![]() Figure 2 SHAP decision plot for the logistic regression model on the test set. The features are sorted from top to bottom by their mean absolute SHAP values (higher interpreted as more contributing). Feature values are normalised to [0 1] by the min-max normalisation method and colour-coded (grey points are missing values), outliers were squished to the range using Hampel filter. For gender, male is indicated by red and female by blue. The colour of each line is the same as the value of the feature connected to in downwards direction.
![]() Conclusion Our results give support to the predictability of plasma leakage in patients suspected of Dengue fever in their first four days of fever onset. The study also underlines the relevance of the machine learning approach to identify the predictors and the practicality of the prediction model as reflected by the prediction performance to triage patients for hospital admission in resource limited settings. Disclosures All Authors: No reported disclosures.
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Geoeconomic variations in epidemiology, ventilation management, and outcomes in invasively ventilated intensive care unit patients without acute respiratory distress syndrome: a pooled analysis of four observational studies. THE LANCET GLOBAL HEALTH 2022; 10:e227-e235. [PMID: 34914899 PMCID: PMC8766316 DOI: 10.1016/s2214-109x(21)00485-x] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/28/2021] [Revised: 09/05/2021] [Accepted: 10/01/2021] [Indexed: 12/19/2022] Open
Abstract
Background Geoeconomic variations in epidemiology, the practice of ventilation, and outcome in invasively ventilated intensive care unit (ICU) patients without acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) remain unexplored. In this analysis we aim to address these gaps using individual patient data of four large observational studies. Methods In this pooled analysis we harmonised individual patient data from the ERICC, LUNG SAFE, PRoVENT, and PRoVENT-iMiC prospective observational studies, which were conducted from June, 2011, to December, 2018, in 534 ICUs in 54 countries. We used the 2016 World Bank classification to define two geoeconomic regions: middle-income countries (MICs) and high-income countries (HICs). ARDS was defined according to the Berlin criteria. Descriptive statistics were used to compare patients in MICs versus HICs. The primary outcome was the use of low tidal volume ventilation (LTVV) for the first 3 days of mechanical ventilation. Secondary outcomes were key ventilation parameters (tidal volume size, positive end-expiratory pressure, fraction of inspired oxygen, peak pressure, plateau pressure, driving pressure, and respiratory rate), patient characteristics, the risk for and actual development of acute respiratory distress syndrome after the first day of ventilation, duration of ventilation, ICU length of stay, and ICU mortality. Findings Of the 7608 patients included in the original studies, this analysis included 3852 patients without ARDS, of whom 2345 were from MICs and 1507 were from HICs. Patients in MICs were younger, shorter and with a slightly lower body-mass index, more often had diabetes and active cancer, but less often chronic obstructive pulmonary disease and heart failure than patients from HICs. Sequential organ failure assessment scores were similar in MICs and HICs. Use of LTVV in MICs and HICs was comparable (42·4% vs 44·2%; absolute difference –1·69 [–9·58 to 6·11] p=0·67; data available in 3174 [82%] of 3852 patients). The median applied positive end expiratory pressure was lower in MICs than in HICs (5 [IQR 5–8] vs 6 [5–8] cm H2O; p=0·0011). ICU mortality was higher in MICs than in HICs (30·5% vs 19·9%; p=0·0004; adjusted effect 16·41% [95% CI 9·52–23·52]; p<0·0001) and was inversely associated with gross domestic product (adjusted odds ratio for a US$10 000 increase per capita 0·80 [95% CI 0·75–0·86]; p<0·0001). Interpretation Despite similar disease severity and ventilation management, ICU mortality in patients without ARDS is higher in MICs than in HICs, with a strong association with country-level economic status. Funding No funding.
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179 A Cross-Sectional Study on the Effectiveness of Simulation-Based Learning in Emergency Medicine for Medical Undergraduates in a Low-Middle Income Country During the COVID-19 Pandemic. Simul Healthc 2021. [DOI: 10.54531/pbnr8697] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/20/2022]
Abstract
Learning emergencies is a challenge during COVID-19 pandemic for medical students. Managing a real patient in an emergency exposes the medical students and patients to risks now more than ever before. Simulation-based learning (SBL) is a proven safer teaching method to improve technical and non-technical medical knowledge, skills, and to enhance confidence in high-income countries. There is limited literature on the effectiveness of SBL in low-middle income countries (LMICs) This study evaluates final-year medical undergraduates’ knowledge, skills and confidence improvement through a novel SBL in an LMIC during the COVID-19 pandemic.Four simulation scenarios were conducted by an instructor to a small group of five to six participants. The instructors were Emergency Medicine Senior Registrars or Registrars, who had prior knowledge in teaching techniques through a formal instructor development course elsewhere. The simulation sessions were based on four scenarios. A high-fidelity mannequin, basic airway devices, IV access, monitoring devices and a defibrillator were used. Pendleton Model Final-year medical students of the University of Colombo were trained on medical emergency care skills and subsequently they were given the opportunity to apply skills in simulation. This course was conducted twice a week, 4-hour sessions, for 6 weeks in March and April 2021. There were four skills stations, including ABCDE assessment, airway management, defibrillation with BLS and non-technical skills. A pre- and post-MCQ was used to assess improvement of knowledge and confidence level on performing each skill. Likert-scale questionnaires were administered before and after each simulation session to assess the level of confidence in performing each task of the simulated scenario. The normal distribution of data was tested with the Shapiro–Wilk test. If the distribution of data was not normal, Wilcoxon signed-rank test was used to compare pre- and post-test scores. Paired sample t-test was used to compare pre- and post-test data if the distribution of data is normal.All 42 participants experienced SBL for the first time ever. Post-test MCQ score significantly improved compared with pre-test score (p < 0.001). Confidence in skills increased in all 17 domains following the skills sessions in all participants. Confidence to manage cardiac arrest increased in all 10 tasks of the cardiac arrest simulation and the total average confidence score rose from 17.1 (±4.7) to 32.0 (±7.7) after the simulation-based intervention (p < 0.001). Confidence increased significantly in all 12 domains of asthma and anaphylaxis management with the total average confidence score rising from 21.4 (±0.8) to 39.2 (±2.1) (p < 0.001). Satisfaction and attitudes towards simulation-based learning were very positive.The course has shown a statistically significant improvement of students’ knowledge and confidence in skills with a high level of satisfaction. Therefore, SBL is an effective, safe and feasible alternative to train emergency medicine for the students of LMICs during COVID-19 pandemic.
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Plasma leakage in dengue: a systematic review of prospective observational studies. BMC Infect Dis 2021; 21:1082. [PMID: 34670495 PMCID: PMC8527656 DOI: 10.1186/s12879-021-06793-2] [Citation(s) in RCA: 9] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/10/2021] [Accepted: 10/12/2021] [Indexed: 11/10/2022] Open
Abstract
Plasma leakage is a precursor to life-threatening complications of dengue, but this group is poorly defined and not often reported in literature. Patients with Dengue haemorrhagic fever (DHF) as defined in the 1997 World Health Organization classification are often reported, and they all have plasma leakage, but some patients with plasma leakage do not meet the definition of DHF. The study aims to estimate the frequency of plasma leakage and DHF (as a surrogate of plasma leakage) in dengue and its variations based on virus serotype, geography, patient gender and pre-existing immunity to dengue. PUBMED, Scopus, EMBASE, CINAHL and Web of Science were searched for prospective observational studies reporting on plasma leakage or DHF. Quality of data was assessed using the NIH quality assessment tool for cohort studies. Forty-three studies that recruited 15,794 confirmed dengue patients were eligible. Cumulative frequency of plasma leakage was 36.8% (15 studies, 1642/4462, 95% CI 35.4-38.2%), but surprisingly the estimated cumulative frequency of DHF was higher (45.7%, 32 studies, 4758/10417, 95% CI 44.7-46.6%), indicating that current medical literature over-reports DHF or under-reports plasma leakage. Therefore, a reliable estimate for the proportion of dengue patients developing plasma leakage cannot be derived from existing medical literature even after applying rigorous inclusion criteria to select homogenous studies. Plasma leakage is an important marker of "at-risk" dengue patients and standardizing its definition, diagnosis and reporting should be a priority in research and global policy.
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Direct costs of managing in-ward dengue patients in Sri Lanka: A prospective study. PLoS One 2021; 16:e0258388. [PMID: 34624062 PMCID: PMC8500425 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0258388] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/07/2021] [Accepted: 09/26/2021] [Indexed: 11/30/2022] Open
Abstract
Introduction The cost in managing hospitalised dengue patients varies across countries depending on access to healthcare, management guidelines, and state sponsored subsidies. For health budget planning, locally relevant, accurate costing data from prospective studies, is essential. Objective To characterise the direct costs of managing hospitalised patients with suspected dengue infection in Sri Lanka. Methods Colombo Dengue Study is a prospective single centre cohort study in Sri Lanka recruiting suspected hospitalised dengue fever patients in the first three days of fever and following them up until discharge. The diagnosis of dengue is retrospectively confirmed and the cohort therefore has a group of non-dengue fever patients with a phenotypically similar illness, managed as dengue while in hospital. The direct costs of hospital admission (base and investigation costs, excluding medication) were calculated for all recruited patients and compared between dengue and non-dengue categories as well as across subgroups (demographic, clinical or temporal) within each of these categories. We also explored if excluding dengue upfront, would lead to an overall cost saving in several hypothetical scenarios. Results From October 2017 to February 2020, 431 adult dengue patients and 256 non-dengue fever patients were recruited. The hospitalisation costs were USD 18.02 (SD: 4.42) and USD 17.55 (SD: 4.09) per patient per day for dengue and non-dengue patients respectively (p>0.05). Laboratory investigations (haematological, biochemical and imaging) accounted for more than 50% of the total cost. The costs were largely homogenous in all subgroups within or across dengue and non-dengue categories. Excluding dengue upfront by subsidised viral genomic testing may yield overall cost savings for non-dengue patients. Conclusion As non-dengue patients incur a similar cost per day as the dengue patients, confirming dengue diagnosis using subsidised tests for patients presenting in the first three days of fever may be cost-efficient.
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A scoping review of registry captured indicators for evaluating quality of critical care in ICU. J Intensive Care 2021; 9:48. [PMID: 34353360 PMCID: PMC8339165 DOI: 10.1186/s40560-021-00556-6] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/09/2021] [Accepted: 05/23/2021] [Indexed: 12/16/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Excess morbidity and mortality following critical illness is increasingly attributed to potentially avoidable complications occurring as a result of complex ICU management (Berenholtz et al., J Crit Care 17:1-2, 2002; De Vos et al., J Crit Care 22:267-74, 2007; Zimmerman J Crit Care 1:12-5, 2002). Routine measurement of quality indicators (QIs) through an Electronic Health Record (EHR) or registries are increasingly used to benchmark care and evaluate improvement interventions. However, existing indicators of quality for intensive care are derived almost exclusively from relatively narrow subsets of ICU patients from high-income healthcare systems. The aim of this scoping review is to systematically review the literature on QIs for evaluating critical care, identify QIs, map their definitions, evidence base, and describe the variances in measurement, and both the reported advantages and challenges of implementation. METHOD We searched MEDLINE, EMBASE, CINAHL, and the Cochrane libraries from the earliest available date through to January 2019. To increase the sensitivity of the search, grey literature and reference lists were reviewed. Minimum inclusion criteria were a description of one or more QIs designed to evaluate care for patients in ICU captured through a registry platform or EHR adapted for quality of care surveillance. RESULTS The search identified 4780 citations. Review of abstracts led to retrieval of 276 full-text articles, of which 123 articles were accepted. Fifty-one unique QIs in ICU were classified using the three components of health care quality proposed by the High Quality Health Systems (HQSS) framework. Adverse events including hospital acquired infections (13.7%), hospital processes (54.9%), and outcomes (31.4%) were the most common QIs identified. Patient reported outcome QIs accounted for less than 6%. Barriers to the implementation of QIs were described in 35.7% of articles and divided into operational barriers (51%) and acceptability barriers (49%). CONCLUSIONS Despite the complexity and risk associated with ICU care, there are only a small number of operational indicators used. Future selection of QIs would benefit from a stakeholder-driven approach, whereby the values of patients and communities and the priorities for actionable improvement as perceived by healthcare providers are prioritized and include greater focus on measuring discriminable processes of care.
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Epidemiological Characteristics, Ventilator Management, and Clinical Outcome in Patients Receiving Invasive Ventilation in Intensive Care Units from 10 Asian Middle-Income Countries (PRoVENT-iMiC): An International, Multicenter, Prospective Study. Am J Trop Med Hyg 2021; 104:1022-1033. [PMID: 33432906 PMCID: PMC7941813 DOI: 10.4269/ajtmh.20-1177] [Citation(s) in RCA: 8] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/10/2020] [Accepted: 11/22/2020] [Indexed: 01/05/2023] Open
Abstract
Epidemiology, ventilator management, and outcome in patients receiving invasive ventilation in intensive care units (ICUs) in middle-income countries are largely unknown. PRactice of VENTilation in Middle-income Countries is an international multicenter 4-week observational study of invasively ventilated adult patients in 54 ICUs from 10 Asian countries conducted in 2017/18. Study outcomes included major ventilator settings (including tidal volume [V T] and positive end-expiratory pressure [PEEP]); the proportion of patients at risk for acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS), according to the lung injury prediction score (LIPS), or with ARDS; the incidence of pulmonary complications; and ICU mortality. In 1,315 patients included, median V T was similar in patients with LIPS < 4 and patients with LIPS ≥ 4, but lower in patients with ARDS (7.90 [6.8-8.9], 8.0 [6.8-9.2], and 7.0 [5.8-8.4] mL/kg Predicted body weight; P = 0.0001). Median PEEP was similar in patients with LIPS < 4 and LIPS ≥ 4, but higher in patients with ARDS (five [5-7], five [5-8], and 10 [5-12] cmH2O; P < 0.0001). The proportions of patients with LIPS ≥ 4 or with ARDS were 68% (95% CI: 66-71) and 7% (95% CI: 6-8), respectively. Pulmonary complications increased stepwise from patients with LIPS < 4 to patients with LIPS ≥ 4 and patients with ARDS (19%, 21%, and 38% respectively; P = 0.0002), with a similar trend in ICU mortality (17%, 34%, and 45% respectively; P < 0.0001). The capacity of the LIPS to predict development of ARDS was poor (ROC AUC of 0.62, 95% CI: 0.54-0.70). In Asian middle-income countries, where two-thirds of ventilated patients are at risk for ARDS according to the LIPS and pulmonary complications are frequent, setting of V T is globally in line with current recommendations.
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Single molecule, near full-length genome sequencing of dengue virus. Sci Rep 2020; 10:18196. [PMID: 33097792 PMCID: PMC7584602 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-020-75374-1] [Citation(s) in RCA: 7] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/01/2020] [Accepted: 10/12/2020] [Indexed: 01/23/2023] Open
Abstract
Current methods for dengue virus (DENV) genome amplification, amplify parts of the genome in at least 5 overlapping segments and then combine the output to characterize a full genome. This process is laborious, costly and requires at least 10 primers per serotype, thus increasing the likelihood of PCR bias. We introduce an assay to amplify near full-length dengue virus genomes as intact molecules, sequence these amplicons with third generation “nanopore” technology without fragmenting and use the sequence data to differentiate within-host viral variants with a bioinformatics tool (Nano-Q). The new assay successfully generated near full-length amplicons from DENV serotypes 1, 2 and 3 samples which were sequenced with nanopore technology. Consensus DENV sequences generated by nanopore sequencing had over 99.5% pairwise sequence similarity to Illumina generated counterparts provided the coverage was > 100 with both platforms. Maximum likelihood phylogenetic trees generated from nanopore consensus sequences were able to reproduce the exact trees made from Illumina sequencing with a conservative 99% bootstrapping threshold (after 1000 replicates and 10% burn-in). Pairwise genetic distances of within host variants identified from the Nano-Q tool were less than that of between host variants, thus enabling the phylogenetic segregation of variants from the same host.
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Carica papaya extract in dengue: a systematic review and meta-analysis. BMC COMPLEMENTARY AND ALTERNATIVE MEDICINE 2019; 19:265. [PMID: 31601215 PMCID: PMC6788024 DOI: 10.1186/s12906-019-2678-2] [Citation(s) in RCA: 14] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/01/2019] [Accepted: 09/09/2019] [Indexed: 12/18/2022]
Abstract
Background Carica papaya (CP) extract is becoming popular as an unlicensed herbal remedy purported to hasten recovery in dengue infection, mostly based on observations that it may increase platelet counts. This systematic review and meta-analysis aims to critically analyze the evidence from controlled clinical trials on the efficacy and safety of CP extract in the treatment of dengue infection. Methods PubMed, LILACS and Google Scholar were searched for randomized or non-randomized trials enrolling patients with suspected or confirmed dengue where CP extract was compared, as a treatment measure, against standard treatment. Recovery of platelet counts as well as other clinical indicators of favourable outcome (duration of hospital stay, prevention of plasma leakage, life threatening complications, and mortality) were assessed. Results Nine studies (India-6, Pakistan-1, Indonesia-1, Malaysia-1) met the inclusion criteria. Seven studies showed an increase in platelet counts in patients receiving CP extract, while one study showed no significant difference between the two groups, and direct comparison was not possible in the remaining study. Serious adverse events were not reported. CP extract may reduce the duration of hospital stay (mean difference − 1.98 days, 95% confidence interval − 1.83 to − 2.12, 3 studies, 580 participants, low quality evidence), and cause improvement in mean platelet counts between the first and fifth day of treatment (mean difference 35.45, 95% confidence interval 23.74 to 47.15, 3 studies, 129 participants, low quality evidence). No evidence was available regarding other clinical outcomes. Conclusions The clinical value of improvement in platelet count or early discharge is unclear in the absence of more robust indicators of favourable clinical outcome. Current evidence is insufficient to comment on the role of CP extract in dengue. There is a need for further well designed clinical trials examining the effect of CP on platelet counts, plasma leakage, other serious manifestations of dengue, and mortality, with clearly defined outcome measures.
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Implementing near-peer learning: a resuscitation skills development module for medical students in middle income countries. Resuscitation 2019. [DOI: 10.1016/j.resuscitation.2019.06.157] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 10/26/2022]
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A short, structured skills training course for critical care physiotherapists in a lower-middle income country. Physiother Theory Pract 2018; 34:714-722. [PMID: 29319380 DOI: 10.1080/09593985.2018.1423593] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 10/18/2022]
Abstract
OBJECTIVES The aim of this article is to describe the delivery and acceptability of a short, structured training course for critical care physiotherapy and its effects on the knowledge and skills of the participants in Sri Lanka, a lower-middle income country. METHODS The two-day program combining short didactic sessions with small group workshops and skills stations was developed and delivered by local facilitators in partnership with an overseas specialist physiotherapist trainer. The impact was assessed using pre/post-course self-assessment, pre/post-course multiple-choice-question (MCQ) papers, and an end-of-course feedback questionnaire. RESULTS Fifty-six physiotherapists (26% of critical care physiotherapists in Sri Lanka) participated. Overall confidence in common critical care physiotherapy skills improved from 11.6% to 59.2% in pre/post-training self-assessments, respectively. Post-course MCQ scores (mean score = 63.2) and percentage of passes (87.5%) were higher than pre-course scores (mean score = 36.6; percentage of passes = 12.5%). Overall feedback was very positive as 75% of the participants were highly satisfied with the course's contribution to improved critical care knowledge. CONCLUSIONS This short, structured, critical care focused physiotherapy training has potential benefit to participating physiotherapists. Further, it provides an evidence that collaborative program can be planned and conducted successfully in a resource poor setting. This sustainable short course model may be adaptable to other resource-limited settings.
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A data platform to improve rabies prevention, Sri Lanka. Bull World Health Organ 2017; 95:646-651. [PMID: 28867845 PMCID: PMC5578379 DOI: 10.2471/blt.16.188060] [Citation(s) in RCA: 13] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.9] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/08/2016] [Revised: 03/22/2017] [Accepted: 04/06/2017] [Indexed: 11/12/2022] Open
Abstract
Problem In Sri Lanka, rabies prevention initiatives are hindered by fragmented and delayed information-sharing that limits clinicians’ ability to follow patients and impedes public health surveillance. Approach In a project led by the health ministry, we adapted existing technologies to create an electronic platform for rabies surveillance. Information is entered by trained clinical staff, and both aggregate and individual patient data are visualized in real time. An automated short message system (SMS) alerts patients for vaccination follow-up appointments and informs public health inspectors about incidents of animal bites. Local setting The platform was rolled out in June 2016 in four districts of Sri Lanka, linking six rabies clinics, three laboratories and the public health inspectorate. Relevant changes Over a 9-month period, 12 121 animal bites were reported to clinics and entered in the registry. Via secure portals, clinicians and public health teams accessed live information on treatment and outcomes of patients started on post-exposure prophylaxis (9507) or receiving deferred treatment (2614). Laboratories rapidly communicated the results of rabies virus tests on dead mammals (328/907 positive). In two pilot districts SMS reminders were sent to 1376 (71.2%) of 1933 patients whose contact details were available. Daily SMS reports alerted 17 public health inspectors to bite incidents in their area for investigation. Lessons learnt Existing technologies in low-resource countries can be harnessed to improve public health surveillance. Investment is needed in platform development and training and support for front-line staff. Greater public engagement is needed to improve completeness of surveillance and treatment.
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Physical inactivity among physiotherapy undergraduates: exploring the knowledge-practice gap. BMC Sports Sci Med Rehabil 2016; 8:39. [PMID: 27980791 PMCID: PMC5142393 DOI: 10.1186/s13102-016-0063-8] [Citation(s) in RCA: 11] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/26/2016] [Accepted: 11/30/2016] [Indexed: 01/30/2023]
Abstract
Background Physical inactivity is a common risk factor for several non-communicable diseases (NCDs). Increasing physical activity could reduce the burden of disease due to major NCDs and increase life expectancy. Undergraduate physiotherapy students represent a group of young-adults expected to have a good knowledge of physical activity. We evaluated physical activity levels of undergraduate physiotherapy students of University of Colombo, Sri Lanka and determined their motives and barriers for participation in physical activity. Methods All physiotherapy undergraduates studying at the University of Colombo, Sri Lanka in 2013 were invited for the study. Phase one was a quantitative study to evaluate the physical activity levels and phase two was a qualitative study to identify motives and barriers for physical activity and sports in the same cohort. Physical activity levels (phase 1) were assessed using the interviewer administered International Physical Activity Questionnaire (long-version). The qualitative study (phase 2) was conducted in the same population using Focus Group Discussions (n = 3) and individual In-depth Interviews (n = 5). Results Sample size in phase 1 and phase 2 were 113 (response rate = 98%; [N-115]) and 87 (response rat = 97%; [N-90]) respectively. Mean age (±SD) of participants was 23.4 ± 1 years. The mean weekly total MET minutes (±SD) of the study population was 1791.25 ± 3097. According to the IPAQ categorical score a higher percentage of participants were ‘inactive’ (48.7%), while only 15.9% were in the ‘Highly active’ group. Lack of support and encouragement received during childhood to engage in sports activity seem to have played an important role in continuing their exercise behavior through to the adult life. Academic activities were given priority by both parents and teachers. The environment and support from teachers, family and friends were important to initiate and adhere to sports and physical activity. Conclusions A higher percentage of participants were ‘inactive’, in spite of belonging to a group which is presumed to be knowledgeable regarding the benefits of physical activity. A significant negative attitude towards physical activity was observed in this cohort of young-adults. This seems to stem from earlier in life, due to lack of support and motivation for physical exercise and sports, received during primary and secondary schooling. This negative attitude has become a significant ‘internal’ barrier, which has not been changed in spite of their education. Electronic supplementary material The online version of this article (doi:10.1186/s13102-016-0063-8) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.
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Capacity building for critical care training delivery: Development and evaluation of the Network for Improving Critical care Skills Training (NICST) programme in Sri Lanka. Intensive Crit Care Nurs 2016; 39:28-36. [PMID: 27890305 DOI: 10.1016/j.iccn.2016.08.008] [Citation(s) in RCA: 11] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/29/2016] [Revised: 07/12/2016] [Accepted: 08/25/2016] [Indexed: 10/20/2022]
Abstract
OBJECTIVES To deliver and evaluate a short critical care nurse training course whilst simultaneously building local training capacity. RESEARCH METHODOLOGY A multi-modal short course for critical care nursing skills was delivered in seven training blocks, from 06/2013-11/2014. Each training block included a Train the Trainer programme. The project was evaluated using Kirkpatrick's Hierarchy of Learning. There was a graded hand over of responsibility for course delivery from overseas to local faculty between 2013 and 2014. SETTING Sri Lanka. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES Participant learning assessed through pre/post course Multi-Choice Questionnaires. RESULTS A total of 584 nurses and 29 faculty were trained. Participant feedback was consistently positive and each course demonstrated a significant increase (p≤0.0001) in MCQ scores. There was no significant difference MCQ scores (p=0.186) between overseas faculty led and local faculty led courses. CONCLUSIONS In a relatively short period, training with good educational outcomes was delivered to nearly 25% of the critical care nursing population in Sri Lanka whilst simultaneously building a local faculty of trainers. Through use of a structured Train the Trainer programme, course outcomes were maintained following the handover of training responsibility to Sri Lankan faculty. The focus on local capacity building increases the possibility of long term course sustainability.
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A collaborative approach to training ward nurses in acute care skills in resource limited settings: the nursing intensive care skills training (nicts) project. Intensive Care Med Exp 2015. [PMCID: PMC4797977 DOI: 10.1186/2197-425x-3-s1-a445] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/23/2022] Open
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Capacity building for critical care skills training provision in resource limited settings: the nursing intensive care skills training (nicst) project. Intensive Care Med Exp 2015. [PMCID: PMC4797402 DOI: 10.1186/2197-425x-3-s1-a444] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/01/2022] Open
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Nursing intensive care skills training: a nurse led, short, structured, and practical training program, developed and tested in a resource-limited setting. J Crit Care 2014; 30:438.e7-11. [PMID: 25466312 DOI: 10.1016/j.jcrc.2014.10.024] [Citation(s) in RCA: 21] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/11/2014] [Revised: 10/21/2014] [Accepted: 10/26/2014] [Indexed: 10/24/2022]
Abstract
PURPOSE To assess the impact of a nurse-led, short, structured training program for intensive care unit (ICU) nurses in a resource-limited setting. METHODS A training program using a structured approach to patient assessment and management for ICU nurses was designed and delivered by local nurse tutors in partnership with overseas nurse trainers. The impact of the course was assessed using the following: pre-course and post-course self-assessment, a pre-course and post-course Multiple Choice Questionnaire (MCQ), a post-course Objective Structured Clinical Assessment station, 2 post-course Short Oral Exam (SOE) stations, and post-course feedback questionnaires. RESULTS In total, 117 ICU nurses were trained. Post-MCQ scores were significantly higher when compared with pre-MCQ (P < .0001). More than 95% passed the post-course Objective Structured Clinical Assessment (patient assessment) and SOE 1 (arterial blood gas analysis), whereas 76.9% passed SOE 2 (3-lead electrocardiogram analysis). The course was highly rated by participants, with 98% believing that this was a useful experience. CONCLUSIONS Nursing Intensive Care Skills Training was highly rated by participants and was effective in improving the knowledge of the participants. This sustainable short course model may be adaptable to other resource-limited settings.
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