Incremental value of serum neurofilament light chain and glial fibrillary acidic protein as blood-based biomarkers for predicting functional outcome in severe acute ischemic stroke

INTRODUCTION

Blood-based biomarkers may improve prediction of functional outcome in patients with acute ischemic stroke. The role of neurofilament light chain (NfL) and glial fibrillary acidic (GFAP) as potential biomarkers especially in severe stroke patients is unknown.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Prospective, monocenter, cohort study including consecutive patients with severe ischemic stroke in the anterior circulation on admission (NIHSS score ⩾ 6 points or indication for mechanical thrombectomy). Outcome was assessed 3 months after the index stroke by the modified Rankin Scale (mRS). Serum biomarkers levels of NfL and GFAP were determined by ultrasensitive ELISA. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression models were performed to determine the association of biomarker levels and functional disability. Discrimination, calibration, and overall performance were analyzed in different models via AUROC, calibration plots (with Emax and Eavg), Brier-score and R2 using variables, identified as important covariates for functional outcome in previous studies.

RESULTS

Between 06/2020 and 08/2021, 213 patients were included [47% female, mean age 76 (SD ± 12) years, median NIHSS score 13 (interquartile range, IQR 9; 17)]. Biomarker serum levels were measured at a median of 1 [IQR, 1; 2] day after admission. Compared to patients with mRS 0-2 at 3 months, patients with mRS 3-6 had higher serum levels of NfL (median: 136 pg/ml vs 41 pg/ml; p < 0.0001) and GFAP (700 ng/ml vs 9.6 ng/ml; p < 0.0001). Both biomarkers were significantly associated with functional outcome [adjusted logistic regression, odds ratio (95% CI) for NfL: 2.63 (1.62; 4.56), GFAP: 2.16 (1.58; 3.09)]. In all models the addition of serum NfL led to a significant improvement in the AUROC, as did the addition of serum GFAP. Calibration plots showed high agreement between the predicted and observed outcomes and after addition of the two blood-based biomarkers there was an improvement of the overall performance.

CONCLUSION

Prediction of functional outcome after severe acute ischemic stroke was improved by the blood-based biomarkers serum NfL and GFAP, measured in the acute phase of stroke. These findings have to be replicated in independent external cohorts.Study registration: DRKS00022064.

Salt-Intake-Related Behavior Varies between Sexes and Is Strongly Associated with Daily Salt Consumption in Obese Patients at High Risk for MASLD

BACKGROUND

Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) imposes a significant burden on Westernized regions. The Western diet, high in salt intake, significantly contributes to disease development. However, there are a lack of data on salt literacy and salt intake among MASLD patients in Germany. Our study aims to analyze daily salt intake and salt-intake-related behavior in MASLD patients.

METHODS

234 MASLD patients were prospectively included. Daily salt intake and salt-intake-related behavior were assessed via a food frequency questionnaire (FFQ-DEGS) and a salt questionnaire (SINU). Statistical analyses were performed using SPSS.

RESULTS

Mean daily salt intake was higher in men than in women (7.3 ± 5 g/d vs. 5.3 ± 4 g/d; p < 0.001). There was significant agreement between increased daily salt intake (>6 g/d) and the behavioral salt index (SI) (p < 0.001). Men exhibited higher SI scores compared to women, indicating lower awareness of salt in everyday life. Multivariate analysis identified specific salt-intake-related behaviors impacting daily salt consumption.

CONCLUSIONS

Our study reveals a strong link between daily salt intake and salt-intake-related behavior, highlighting sex-specific differences in an MASLD cohort. To enhance patient care in high-cardiovascular-risk populations, specific behavioral approaches may be considered, including salt awareness, to improve adherence to lifestyle changes, particularly in male patients.

In-Hospital ECG Findings, Changes in Medical Management, and Cardiovascular Outcomes in Patients With Acute Stroke or Transient Ischemic Attack

Background In patients with acute ischemic stroke, little is known regarding the frequency of abnormal ECG findings other than atrial fibrillation and their association with cardiovascular outcomes. We aim to analyze the frequency and type of abnormal ECG findings, subsequent changes in medical treatment, and their association with cardiovascular outcomes in patients with acute ischemic stroke. Methods and Results In the investigator-initiated multicenter MonDAFIS (impact of standardized monitoring for detection of atrial fibrillation in ischemic stroke) study, 3465 patients with acute ischemic stroke or transient ischemic attack and without known atrial fibrillation were randomized 1:1 to receive Holter-ECG for up to 7 days in-hospital with systematic evaluation in a core cardiology laboratory (intervention group) or standard diagnostic care (control group). Outcomes included predefined abnormal ECG findings (eg, pauses, atrial fibrillation, brady-/tachycardias), medical management in the intervention group, and combined vascular end point (recurrent stroke, myocardial infarction, major bleeds, or all-cause death) and mortality at 24 months in both randomization groups. Predefined abnormal ECG findings were detected in 326 of 1693 (19.3%) patients in the intervention group. Twenty of these 326 patients (6.1%) received a pacemaker, and 62 of 326 (19.0%) patients had newly initiated or discontinued β-blocker medication. Discontinuation of β-blockers was associated with a higher death rate in the control group than in the intervention group during 24 months after enrollment (adjusted hazard ratio, 11.0 [95% CI, 2.4-50.4]; P=0.025 for interaction). Conclusions Systematic in-hospital Holter ECG reveals abnormal findings in 1 of 5 patients with acute stroke, and mortality was lower at 24 months in patients with systematic ECG recording in the hospital. Further studies are needed to determine the potential impact of medical management of abnormal ECG findings. Registration URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov; Unique identifier: NCT02204267.

The German National Pandemic Cohort Network (NAPKON): rationale, study design and baseline characteristics

The German government initiated the Network University Medicine (NUM) in early 2020 to improve national research activities on the Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) pandemic. To this end, 36 German Academic Medical Centers started to collaborate on 13 projects, with the largest being the National Pandemic Cohort Network (NAPKON). The NAPKON’s goal is creating the most comprehensive Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) cohort in Germany. Within NAPKON, adult and pediatric patients are observed in three complementary cohort platforms (Cross-Sectoral, High-Resolution and Population-Based) from the initial infection until up to three years of follow-up. Study procedures comprise comprehensive clinical and imaging diagnostics, quality-of-life assessment, patient-reported outcomes and biosampling. The three cohort platforms build on four infrastructure core units (Interaction, Biosampling, Epidemiology, and Integration) and collaborations with NUM projects. Key components of the data capture, regulatory, and data privacy are based on the German Centre for Cardiovascular Research. By April 01, 2022, 34 university and 40 non-university hospitals have enrolled 5298 patients with local data quality reviews performed on 4727 (89%). 47% were female, the median age was 52 (IQR 36–62-) and 50 pediatric cases were included. 44% of patients were hospitalized, 15% admitted to an intensive care unit, and 12% of patients deceased while enrolled. 8845 visits with biosampling in 4349 patients were conducted by April 03, 2022. In this overview article, we summarize NAPKON’s design, relevant milestones including first study population characteristics, and outline the potential of NAPKON for German and international research activities.

Trial registrationhttps://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT04768998.https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT04747366.https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT04679584

Off-label-dosing of non-vitamin K-dependent oral antagonists in AF patients before and after stroke: results of the prospective multicenter Berlin Atrial Fibrillation Registry

AIMS

We aimed to analyze prevalence and predictors of NOAC off-label under-dosing in AF patients before and after the index stroke.

METHODS

The post hoc analysis included 1080 patients of the investigator-initiated, multicenter prospective Berlin Atrial Fibrillation Registry, designed to analyze medical stroke prevention in AF patients after acute ischemic stroke.

RESULTS

At stroke onset, an off-label daily dose was prescribed in 61 (25.5%) of 239 NOAC patients with known AF and CHA₂DS₂-VASc score ≥ 1, of which 52 (21.8%) patients were under-dosed. Under-dosing was associated with age ≥ 80 years in patients on rivaroxaban [OR 2.90, 95% CI 1.05-7.9, P = 0.04; n = 29] or apixaban [OR 3.24, 95% CI 1.04-10.1, P = 0.04; n = 22]. At hospital discharge after the index stroke, NOAC off-label dose on admission was continued in 30 (49.2%) of 61 patients. Overall, 79 (13.7%) of 708 patients prescribed a NOAC at hospital discharge received an off-label dose, of whom 75 (10.6%) patients were under-dosed. Rivaroxaban under-dosing at discharge was associated with age ≥ 80 years [OR 3.49, 95% CI 1.24-9.84, P = 0.02; n = 19]; apixaban under-dosing with body weight ≤ 60 kg [OR 0.06, 95% CI 0.01-0.47, P < 0.01; n = 56], CHA₂DS₂-VASc score [OR per point 1.47, 95% CI 1.08-2.00, P = 0.01], and HAS-BLED score [OR per point 1.91, 95% CI 1.28-2.84, P < 0.01].

CONCLUSION

At stroke onset, off-label dosing was present in one out of four, and under-dosing in one out of five NOAC patients. Under-dosing of rivaroxaban or apixaban was related to old age. In-hospital treatment after stroke reduced off-label NOAC dosing, but one out of ten NOAC patients was under-dosed at discharge.

CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION

NCT02306824.

Systematic monitoring for detection of atrial fibrillation in patients with acute ischaemic stroke (MonDAFIS): a randomised, open-label, multicentre study

BACKGROUND

Systematic electrocardiogram (ECG) monitoring improves detection of covert atrial fibrillation in stroke survivors but the effect on secondary prevention is unknown. We aimed to assess the effect of systematic ECG monitoring of patients in hospital on the rate of oral anticoagulant use after 12 months.

METHODS

In this investigator-initiated, randomised, open-label, parallel-group multicentre study with masked endpoint adjudication, we recruited patients aged at least 18 years with acute ischaemic stroke or transient ischaemic attack without known atrial fibrillation in 38 certified stroke units in Germany. Patients were randomly assigned (1:1) to usual diagnostic procedures for atrial fibrillation detection (control group) or additional Holter-ECG recording for up to 7 days in hospital (intervention group). Patients were stratified by centre using a random permuted block design. The primary outcome was the proportion of patients on oral anticoagulants at 12 months after the index event in the intention-to-treat population. Secondary outcomes included the number of patients with newly diagnosed atrial fibrillation in hospital and the composite of recurrent stroke, major bleeding, myocardial infarction, or death after 6 months, 12 months, and 24 months. This trial was registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT02204267, and is completed and closed for participants.

FINDINGS

Between Dec 9, 2014, and Sept 11, 2017, 3465 patients were randomly assigned, 1735 (50·1%) to the intervention group and 1730 (49·9%) to the control group. Oral anticoagulation status was available in 2920 (84·3%) patients at 12 months (1484 [50·8%] in the intervention group and 1436 [49·2%] in the control group). For the primary outcome, at 12 months, 203 (13·7%) of 1484 patients in the intervention group versus 169 (11·8%) of 1436 in the control group were on oral anticoagulants (odds ratio [OR] 1·2 [95% CI 0·9-1·5]; p=0·13). Atrial fibrillation was newly detected in patients in hospital in 97 (5·8%) of 1714 in the intervention group versus 68 (4·0%) of 1717 in the control group (hazard ratio [HR] 1·4 [95% CI 1·0-2·0]; p=0·024). The composite of cardiovascular outcomes and death did not differ between patients randomly assigned to the intervention group versus the control group at 24 months (232 [13·5%] of 1714 vs 249 [14·5%] of 1717; HR 0·9 [0·8-1·1]; p=0·43). Skin reactions due to study ECG electrodes were reported in 56 (3·3%) patients in the intervention group. All-cause death occured in 73 (4·3%) patients in the intervention group and in 103 (6·0%) patients in the control group (OR 0·7 [0·5-0·9]).

INTERPRETATION

Systematic core centrally reviewed ECG monitoring is feasible and increases the detection rate of atrial fibrillation in unselected patients hospitalised with acute ischaemic stroke or transient ischaemic attack, if added to usual diagnostic care in certified German stroke units. However, we found no effect of systematic ECG monitoring on the rate of oral anticoagulant use after 12 months and further efforts are needed to improve secondary stroke prevention.

FUNDING

Bayer Vital.

TRANSLATION

For the German translation of the abstract see Supplementary Materials section.

Risk of postmenopausal hormone therapy and patient history factors for the survival rate in women with endometrial carcinoma

PURPOSE

Postmenopausal hormone therapy (HT) is known to affect the development of hormone-dependent endometrial carcinoma (type I EC). Several studies on breast and ovarian carcinoma have shown that HT influences the molecular profile and prognostic behavior of these tumors. This study aimed to investigate the influence of prior HT and other risk factors on the prognosis in a cohort of patients with invasive endometrial carcinoma (EC).

METHODS

Among 525 patients diagnosed with EC between 1987 and 2010, 426 postmenopausal patients were identified. Information regarding HT was available in 287 of these patients, 78 of whom had a history of HT and 209 of whom did not. Both overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) were analyzed. In addition to OS and PFS, risk factors such as age at diagnosis, postmenopausal HT, body mass index (BMI), diabetes mellitus, tumor stage, EC type (I or II), and recurrences were analyzed.

RESULTS

Relative to HT alone, women with EC and a history of HT had a longer survival than those with no HT. However, the Cox proportional hazards model showed that it was not HT itself, but rather other characteristics in the HT group that were causally associated with longer survival.

CONCLUSIONS

Age (the older, the worse) and tumor stage (the higher, the worse) were significant influences on overall survival. Patients with HT also had lower BMIs, less diabetes, more type I EC, and fewer recurrences in comparison with the non-HT group. With regard to the PFS, it made no difference whether the patient was receiving HT.

Association between month of birth and melanoma risk: fact or fiction?

Background

Evidence on the effect of ultraviolet radiation (UVR) exposure in infancy on melanoma risk in later life is scarce. Three recent studies suggest that people born in spring carry a higher melanoma risk. Our study aimed at verifying whether such a seasonal pattern of melanoma risk actually exists.

Methods

Data from the population-based Cancer Registry Bavaria (CRB) on the birth months of 28 374 incident melanoma cases between 2002 and 2012 were analysed and compared with data from the Bavarian State Office for Statistics and Data Processing on the birth month distribution in the Bavarian population. Crude and adjusted analyses using negative binomial regression models were performed in the total study group and supplemented by several subgroup analyses.

Results

In the crude analysis, the birth months March-May were over-represented among melanoma cases. Negative binomial regression models adjusted only for sex and birth year revealed a seasonal association between melanoma risk and birth month with 13-21% higher relative incidence rates for March, April and May compared with the reference December. However, after additionally adjusting for the birth month distribution of the Bavarian population, these risk estimates decreased markedly and no association with the birth month was observed any more. Similar results emerged in all subgroup analyses.

Conclusions

Our large registry-based study provides no evidence that people born in spring carry a higher risk for developing melanoma in later life and thus lends no support to the hypothesis of higher UVR susceptibility during the first months of life.

The Effect of Exposure to Ultraviolet Radiation in Infancy on Melanoma Risk

Evidence on the effect of ultraviolet radiation (UVR) exposure in infancy on melanoma risk in later life is scarce. Three recent studies suffering from methodological shortcomings suggested that people born in spring carry a higher melanoma risk. Data from the Bavarian population-based cancer registry on 28374 incident melanoma cases between 2002 and 2012 were analyzed to reexamine this finding. Crude and adjusted analyses - using negative binomial regression models - were performed addressing the relationship. In the crude analysis, the birth months March - May were significantly overrepresented among melanoma cases. However, after additionally adjusting for the birth month distribution of the Bavarian population, the ostensible seasonal effect disappeared. Similar results emerged in all subgroup analyses. Our large registry-based study provides no evidence that people born in spring carry a higher risk for developing melanoma in later life and thus lends no support to the hypothesis of higher UVR-susceptibility during the first months of life.