Efficacy and safety results after >3.5 years of treatment with the Bruton's tyrosine kinase inhibitor evobrutinib in relapsing multiple sclerosis: Long-term follow-up of a Phase II randomised clinical trial with a cerebrospinal fluid sub-study

BACKGROUND

Evobrutinib - an oral, central nervous system (CNS)-penetrant, and highly selective Bruton's tyrosine kinase inhibitor - has shown efficacy in a 48-week, double-blind, Phase II trial in patients with relapsing MS.

OBJECTIVE

Report results of the Phase II open-label extension (OLE; up to week 192 from randomisation) and a cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) sub-study.

METHODS

In the 48-week double-blind period (DBP), patients received evobrutinib 25 mg once-daily, 75 mg once-daily, 75 mg twice-daily or placebo (switched to evobrutinib 25 mg once-daily after week 24). Patients could then enter the OLE, receiving evobrutinib 75 mg once-daily (mean (± standard deviation (SD)) duration = 50.6 weeks (±6.0)) before switching to 75 mg twice-daily.

RESULTS

Of 164 evobrutinib-treated patients who entered the OLE, 128 (78.0%) completed ⩾192 weeks of treatment. Patients receiving DBP evobrutinib 75 mg twice-daily: annualised relapse rate at week 48 (0.11 (95% confidence interval (CI) = 0.04-0.25)) was maintained with the OLE twice-daily dose up to week 192 (0.11 (0.05-0.22)); Expanded Disability Status Scale score remained stable; serum neurofilament light chain fell to levels like a non-MS population (Z-scores); T1 gadolinium-enhancing lesion numbers remained low. No new safety signals were identified. In the OLE, evobrutinib was detected in the CSF of all sub-study patients.

CONCLUSION

Long-term evobrutinib treatment was well tolerated and associated with a sustained low level of disease activity. Evobrutinib was present in CSF at concentrations similar to plasma.

Effect of Evobrutinib on Slowly Expanding Lesion Volume in Relapsing Multiple Sclerosis: A Post Hoc Analysis of a Phase 2 Trial

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

Chronic active lesions (CALs) are demyelinated multiple sclerosis (MS) lesions with ongoing microglia/macrophage activity, resulting in irreversible neuronal damage and axonal loss. Evobrutinib is a highly selective, covalent, CNS-penetrant, Bruton tyrosine kinase inhibitor. This post hoc analysis evaluated the effect of evobrutinib on slowly expanding lesion (SEL) volume, an MRI marker of CALs, assessed baseline-week 48 in a phase 2, double-blind, randomized trial (NCT02975349) in relapsing MS (RMS).

METHODS

In the 48-week, double-blind trial, adult patients received evobrutinib (25 mg once daily [QD], 75 mg QD, or 75 mg twice daily [BID]), placebo (switched to evobrutinib 25 mg QD after week 24), or open-label dimethyl fumarate (DMF) 240 mg BID. SELs were defined as slowly and consistently radially expanding areas of preexisting T2 lesions of ≥10 contiguous voxels (∼30 mm3) over time. SELs were identified by MRI and assessed by the Jacobian determinant of the nonlinear deformation from baseline to week 48. SEL volume analysis, stratified by baseline T2 lesion volume tertiles, was based on week 48/end-of-treatment status (completers/non-completers). Treatment effect was analyzed using the stratified Hodges-Lehmann estimate of shift in distribution and stratified Wilcoxon rank-sum test. Comparisons of evobrutinib and DMF vs placebo/evobrutinib 25 mg QD were made. Subgroup analyses used pooled treatment groups (evobrutinib high dose [75 mg QD/BID] vs low dose [placebo/evobrutinib 25 mg QD]).

RESULTS

The SEL analysis set included 223 patients (mean [SD] age: 42.4 [10.7] years; 69.3% female; 87.4% relapsing/remitting MS). Mean (SD) SEL volume was 2,099 (2,981.0) mm3 with evobrutinib 75 mg BID vs 2,681 (3,624.2) mm3 with placebo/evobrutinib 25 mg QD. Median number of SELs/patient ranged from 7 to 11 across treatments. SEL volume decreased with increasing evobrutinib dose vs placebo/evobrutinib 25 mg QD, and no difference with DMF vs placebo/evobrutinib 25 mg QD was noted. SEL volume significantly decreased with evobrutinib 75 mg BID vs placebo/evobrutinib 25 mg QD (-474.5 mm3 [-1,098.0 to -3.0], p = 0.047) and vs DMF (-711.6 [-1,290.0 to -149.0], p = 0.011). SEL volume was significantly reduced for evobrutinib high vs low dose within baseline Expanded Disability Status Scale ≥3.5 and longer disease duration (≥8.5 years) subgroups.

DISCUSSION

Evobrutinib reduced SEL volume in a dose-dependent manner in RMS, with a significant reduction with evobrutinib 75 mg BID. This is evident that evobrutinib affects brain lesions associated with chronic inflammation and tissue loss.

TRIAL REGISTRATION INFORMATION

ClinicalTrials.gov number: NCT02975349. Submitted to ClinicalTrials.gov on November 29, 2016. First patient enrolled: March 7, 2017.

CLASSIFICATION OF EVIDENCE

This study provides Class II evidence that evobrutinib reduces the volume of SELs assessed on MRI comparing baseline with week 48, in patients with RMS.

Antibody response to SARS-CoV-2 vaccines in patients with relapsing multiple sclerosis treated with evobrutinib: A Bruton's tyrosine kinase inhibitor

BACKGROUND

Evobrutinib is an oral, central nervous system (CNS)-penetrant and highly selective covalent Bruton's tyrosine kinase inhibitor under clinical development for patients with relapsing multiple sclerosis (RMS).

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the effect of evobrutinib on immune responses in severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) vaccinated patients with RMS from a Phase II trial (NCT02975349).

METHODS

A post hoc analysis of patients with RMS who received evobrutinib 75 mg twice daily and SARS-CoV-2 vaccines during the open-label extension (n = 45) was conducted. Immunoglobulin (Ig)G anti-S1/S2-specific SARS-CoV-2 antibodies were measured using an indirect chemiluminescence immunoassay.

RESULTS

In the vaccinated subgroup, mean/minimum evobrutinib exposure pre-vaccination was 105.2/88.7 weeks. In total, 43 of 45 patients developed/increased S1/S2 IgG antibody levels post-vaccination; one patient's antibody response remained negative post-vaccination and the other had antibody levels above the upper limit of detection, both pre- and post-vaccination. Most patients (n = 36/45), regardless of pre-vaccination serostatus, had a 10-100-fold increase of antibody levels pre- to post-vaccination. Antibody levels post-booster were higher versus post-vaccination.

CONCLUSION

These results suggest evobrutinib, an investigational drug with therapeutic potential for patients with RMS, acts as an immunomodulator, that is, it inhibits aberrant immune cell responses in patients with RMS, while responsiveness to foreign de novo and recall antigens is maintained.

A plain language summary of what clinical studies can tell us about the safety of evobrutinib - a potential treatment for multiple sclerosis

WHAT IS THIS SUMMARY ABOUT?

This summary explains the findings from a recent investigation that combined the results of over 1000 people from three clinical studies to understand the safety of evobrutinib. Evobrutinib is an oral medication (taken by mouth), being researched as a potential treatment for multiple sclerosis (MS). This medication was also investigated in rheumatoid arthritis (RA) and systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE). Over 1000 people have taken evobrutinib as part of three separate phase 2 clinical studies. These studies looked at how much of the drug should be taken, how safe the drug is, and how well it might work for treating a certain medical condition.

WHAT WERE THE RESULTS?

Evobrutinib was well-tolerated by participants in all three studies. The number of side effects reported by participants taking the medication was very similar to those reported by participants taking the placebo (a 'dummy' treatment without a real drug). The most common side effects in clinical studies were urinary tract infections, headache, swelling of the nose and throat, diarrhoea and blood markers of potential liver damage (these returned to normal once the treatment was stopped).

WHAT DO THE RESULTS MEAN?

The safety data from all three clinical studies are encouraging and can be used to inform further research into using evobrutinib in MS. Clinical Trial Registration: NCT02975349 (multiple sclerosis), NCT03233230 (rheumatoid arthritis), NCT02975336 (systemic lupus erythematosus) (ClinicalTrials.gov).

Characterisation of the safety profile of evobrutinib in over 1000 patients from phase II clinical trials in multiple sclerosis, rheumatoid arthritis and systemic lupus erythematosus: an integrated safety analysis

OBJECTIVE

Analyse the integrated safety profile of evobrutinib, a Bruton's tyrosine kinase inhibitor (BTKi), using pooled data from multiple sclerosis (MS), rheumatoid arthritis (RA) and systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) trials.

METHODS

Phase II, randomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial data were analysed (N=1083; MS: n=213, 48 weeks (W); RA: n=390, 12W; SLE: n=480, 52W). The analysis included all patients who received ≥1 dose of evobrutinib (25 mg or 75 mg once daily, or 50 mg or 75 mgtwice daily) or placebo. Descriptive statistics and exposure-adjusted incidence rates (EAIR) were used to report treatment-emergent adverse events (TEAEs).

RESULTS

Data from 1083 patients were pooled: evobrutinib, n=861; placebo, n=271 (sum >1083 due to MS trial design: n=49 received both placebo (W0-24) and evobrutinib 25 mg (W25-48)); median follow-up time (pt-years): evobrutinib, 0.501; placebo, 0.463. Across indications, the proportion of patients with TEAEs and the EAIR were similar for evobrutinib and placebo (66.2% (247.6 events/100 pt-years) vs 62.4% (261.4 events/100 pt-years)). By indication, the EAIR (events/100 pt-years) of TEAEs for evobrutinib versus placebo were: MS: 119.7 vs 148.3; RA: 331.8 vs 306.8; SLE: 343.0 vs 302.1. Two fatal events occurred (in SLE). The serious infections EAIR was 2.7 and 2.1 events/100 pt-years for evobrutinib and placebo. For previously reported BTKi-class effects, the EAIR of transient elevated alanine aminotransferase/aspartate aminotransferase TEAEs (events/100 pt-years) with evobrutinib versus placebo was 4.8 vs 2.8/3.5 vs 0.7, respectively. IgG levels were similar in evobrutinib/placebo-treated patients.

CONCLUSIONS

This is the first BTKi-integrated safety analysis that includes patients with MS. Overall, evobrutinib treatment (all doses) was generally well tolerated across indications.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBERS

NCT02975349, NCT03233230, NCT02975336.

Blood Neurofilament Light in Progressive Multiple Sclerosis: Post Hoc Analysis of 2 Randomized Controlled Trials

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the potential of plasma neurofilament light (pNfL) as a biomarker of disease progression and treatment response in progressive multiple sclerosis (PMS) with and without acute disease activity.

METHODS

Post hoc blinded analysis of pNfL levels in two placebo-controlled, phase 3 studies in secondary progressive MS (SPMS; EXPAND) and primary progressive MS (PPMS; INFORMS) using siponimod and fingolimod, respectively, as active compounds. pNfL levels were quantified using a single molecule array ("Homebrew" Simoa) immunoassay from stored EDTA plasma samples of all patients who consented for exploratory biomarker analysis in either study; pNfL levels were divided into high (≥30 pg/mL) and low (<30 pg/mL) at baseline (BL). We investigated the association of pNfL levels with disability progression, cognitive decline and brain atrophy, and their sensitivity to indicate treatment response vis-à-vis clinical measures.

RESULTS

We analyzed pNfL in 4185 samples from 1452 SPMS patients and 1172 samples from 378 PPMS patients. BL pNfL levels were higher in SPMS (geomean 32.1pg/mL) than in PPMS (22.0pg/mL; p<0.0001) patients. In both studies, higher BL pNfL levels were associated with older age, higher EDSS score, more Gd⁺ lesions, and higher T2 lesion load (all p<0.05). Independent of treatment, high versus low BL pNfL levels were associated with significantly higher risks of confirmed 3-month (SPMS [32%], HR [95%CI]: 1.32 [1.09;1.61]; PPMS [49%], 1.49 [1.05;2.12]) and 6-month disability progression (SPMS [26%], 1.26 [1.01;1.57]; PPMS [48%], 1.48 [1.01;2.17]), earlier wheelchair dependence (SPMS [50%], 1.50 [0.96;2.34]; PPMS [197%], 2.97 [1.44;6.10]), cognitive decline (SPMS [41%], 1.41 [1.09;1.84]) and higher rates of brain atrophy (mean change at month [M]24: SPMS, -0.92; PPMS, -1.39). BL pNfL levels were associated with future disability progression and the degree of brain atrophy regardless of presence or absence of acute disease activity (gadolinium-enhancing lesions or recent occurrence of relapses before BL). pNfL levels were lower in patients treated with siponimod or fingolimod versus placebo-treated patients and higher in those having experienced disability progression.

CONCLUSION

pNfL was associated with future clinical and radiological disability progression features at the group level. pNfL was reduced by treatment and may be a meaningful outcome measure in PMS studies.

Safety of Fingolimod in Patients with Multiple Sclerosis Switched from Natalizumab: Results from TRANSITION―A 2-Year, Multicenter, Observational, Cohort Study

Multiple sclerosis (MS) patients receiving natalizumab and who are at risk of developing progressive multifocal leukoencephalopathy (PML) often switch to other high-efficacy disease-modifying therapies including fingolimod as a risk mitigation strategy, which could impact treatment safety and effectiveness. The TRANSITION study aimed to evaluate the safety of fingolimod over two years in patients with MS after switching from natalizumab in a real-world setting. The safety and effectiveness were assessed by monitoring serious and other adverse events (SAEs, AEs). We assessed effectiveness by recording relapses, Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) scores, and MRI activity. Of 637 patients enrolled, 505 completed the study (mean age, 42 years). Overall, 72.8% and 12.7% experienced AEs and SAEs respectively. The most common AEs were fatigue, headache, and urinary tract infection; no cases of PML were observed. Fingolimod treatment resulted in low disease activity. Patients with ≤8 weeks washout period had a markedly lower risk of relapses (4.5%) than those with >8 weeks (51.4%). In patients switching from natalizumab to fingolimod, no new safety signals with overall low relapse activity were observed in patients with washout latencies of ≤8 weeks before fingolimod initiation. Fingolimod was found to be safe and effective in patients transitioning from natalizumab.

Baseline characteristics and effects of fingolimod on cognitive performance in patients with relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis

Background and purpose

Studies reporting the baseline determinants of cognitive performance and treatment effect on cognition in patients with multiple sclerosis (MS) are limited. We investigated the baseline correlates of cognition and the long‐term treatment effects of fingolimod 0.5 mg once daily on cognitive processing speed and attention in patients with relapsing‐remitting MS.

Methods

This post hoc analysis pooled data from the phase 3 FREEDOMS and FREEDOMS II trials (N = 1556). We assessed the correlation between baseline patient demographic and disease characteristics and baseline 3‐second Paced Auditory Serial Addition Test (PASAT‐3) scores (Spearman's rank test) and the changes from baseline in PASAT‐3 (mixed model repeated measures model) in the fingolimod and placebo (up to 24 months) or placebo‐fingolimod switched (from Month 24 up to 120 months) groups. Additionally, the predictive value of PASAT‐3 score for future disease outcomes was assessed (Cox or logistic regression models).

Results

Among the variables assessed, lower PASAT‐3 score at baseline correlated with higher disease burden (total brain volume, T2 lesion volume, and Expanded Disability Status Scale score), longer disease duration and older age (p < 0.0001 for all). Fingolimod significantly improved PASAT‐3 scores from baseline versus placebo at 6 (1.3; p = 0.0007), 12 (1.1; p = 0.0044) and 24 months (1.1; p = 0.0028), with a sustained effect (overall treatment effect p = 0.0012) up to 120 months. Improvements were seen regardless of baseline cognitive status (PASAT quartile). Baseline PASAT‐3 score was predictive of both clinical and magnetic resonance imaging measures of disease activity at Month 24 (p < 0.001 for all).

Conclusion

Early fingolimod treatment may offer long‐term cognitive benefit in patients with relapsing‐remitting MS.

Disability improvement as a clinically relevant outcome in clinical trials of relapsing forms of multiple sclerosis

Background:

Disease-modifying therapies (DMTs) can reduce the risk of disability worsening in patients with relapsing forms of multiple sclerosis (RMS). High-efficacy DMTs can lead to confirmed or sustained disability improvement (CDI and SDI).

Objective and Methods:

Post hoc analyses of data from the TRANSFORMS, FREEDOMS, and FREEDOMS II trials and their extensions assessed the effects of fingolimod (0.5–1.25 mg/day) on stabilizing or improving disability over ⩽8 years in participants with RMS. CDI and SDI rates were compared between participants initially randomized to fingolimod, interferon (IFNβ-1a), or placebo.

Results:

At 8 years’ follow-up in TRANSFORMS, 35.1% (95% confidence interval [CI], 28.2%–43.1%) of assessed participants in the IFNβ-1a–fingolimod switch group and 41.9% (36.6%–47.6%) on continuous fingolimod experienced CDI; disability did not worsen in approximately 70%. Similar results were seen in the combined FREEDOMS population. Proportionally fewer TRANSFORMS participants achieved SDI in the IFNβ-1a–fingolimod switch group than on continuous fingolimod (5.4% [3.0%–9.5%] vs 14.2% [10.8%–18.4%], p = 0.01).

Conclusion:

CDI and SDI are outcomes of interest for clinical trials and for long-term follow-up of participants with RMS. Monitoring CDI and SDI in addition to disability worsening may facilitate understanding of the therapeutic benefit of RMS treatments.

Siponimod and Cognition in Secondary Progressive Multiple Sclerosis: EXPAND Secondary Analyses

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the effects of siponimod on cognitive processing speed in patients with secondary progressive (SP) multiple sclerosis (MS), by means of a predefined exploratory and post hoc analysis of the Exploring the Efficacy and Safety of Siponimod in Patients With Secondary Progressive Multiple Sclerosis (EXPAND) study, a randomized controlled trial comparing siponimod and placebo.

METHODS

EXPAND was a double-blind, placebo-controlled phase 3 trial involving 1,651 patients with SPMS randomized (2:1) to either siponimod 2 mg/d or placebo. Cognitive function was assessed with the Symbol Digit Modalities Test (SDMT), Paced Auditory Serial Addition Test (PASAT), and Brief Visuospatial Memory Test-Revised (BVMT-R) administered at baseline, 6-month intervals, and end of treatment.

RESULTS

Between-group differences in mean change from baseline in SDMT scores were significantly better in siponimod- vs placebo-treated patients at month 12 (difference 1.08 [95% confidence interval 0.23-1.94]; p = 0.0132), month 18 (1.23 [0.25-2.21); p = 0.0135), and month 24 (2.30 [1.11-3.50]; p = 0.0002). Siponimod-treated patients were at significantly lower risk for having a 4-point sustained decrease in SDMT score (hazard ratio [HR] 0.79 [0.65-0.96]; p = 0.0157), while their chance for having a 4-point sustained increase in SDMT score was higher (HR 1.28 [1.05-1.55]; p = 0.0131). PASAT and BVMT-R scores did not differ significantly between the 2 treatment groups (all p > 0.28).

CONCLUSION

Siponimod had a significant benefit on SDMT in patients with SPMS. Siponimod-treated patients were at significantly lower risk for having a ≥4-point decrease in SDMT score and had a significantly higher chance for having a ≥4-point increase in SDMT score, a magnitude of change accepted as clinically meaningful.

CLINICALTRIALSGOV IDENTIFIER

NCT01665144.

CLASSIFICATION OF EVIDENCE

This study provides Class II evidence that, for patients with SPMS, siponimod had a significant benefit on cognitive processing speed.

Siponimod: Disentangling disability and relapses in secondary progressive multiple sclerosis

Background:

In multiple sclerosis, impact of treatment on disability progression can be confounded if treatment also reduces relapses.

Objective:

To distinguish siponimod’s direct effects on disability progression from those on relapses in the EXPAND phase 3 trial.

Methods:

Three estimands, one based on principal stratum and two on hypothetical scenarios (no relapses, or equal relapses in both treatment arms), were defined to determine the extent to which siponimod’s effects on 3- and 6-month confirmed disability progression were independent of on-study relapses.

Results:

Principal stratum analysis estimated that siponimod reduced the risk of 3- and 6-month confirmed disability progression by 14%–20% and 29%–33%, respectively, compared with placebo in non-relapsing patients. In the hypothetical scenarios, risk reductions independent of relapses were 14%–18% and 23% for 3- and 6-month confirmed disability progression, respectively.

Conclusion:

By controlling the confounding impact of on-study relapses on confirmed disability progression, these statistical approaches provide a methodological framework to assess treatment effects on disability progression in relapsing and non-relapsing patients. The analyses support that siponimod may be useful for treating secondary progressive multiple sclerosis in patients with or without relapses.

Long-term prognostic value of longitudinal measurements of blood neurofilament levels

OBJECTIVE

To assess the long-term prognostic value of an integral of longitudinal measurements of plasma neurofilament light chain levels (NfLlong) over 12 and 24 months vs single neurofilament light chain (NfL) measurements in patients with relapsing-remitting MS (RRMS) and its additional value when combined with clinical and MRI measures.

METHODS

This analysis included continuously fingolimod-treated patients with RRMS from the 24-month FTY720 Research Evaluating Effects of Daily Oral therapy in Multiple Sclerosis (FREEDOMS)/12-month Trial Assessing Injectable Interferon vs FTY720 Oral in Relapsing-Remitting Multiple Sclerosis (TRANSFORMS) phase 3 trials and their long-term extension, LONGTERMS. Patients were classified into high (≥30 pg/mL, n = 110) and low (<30 pg/mL, n = 164) NfL categories based on the baseline (BL) NfL value or the geometric mean NfLlong calculated over 12 and 24 months to predict disability-related outcomes and brain volume loss (BVL). The additional prognostic value of NfL was quantified using the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve.

RESULTS

A single high (vs low) NfL measure at BL was prognostic of a higher risk of reaching Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) score ≥4 earlier (hazard ratio [HR] = 2.19; 95% CI = 1.21-3.97) and higher BVL over 120 months (difference: -1.12%; 95% CI = -2.07 to -0.17). When NfLlong was measured over 24 months, high NfL was associated with a higher risk of reaching EDSS score ≥4 (HR = 7.91; 95% CI = 2.99-20.92), accelerated 6-month confirmed disability worsening (HR = 3.14; 95% CI = 1.38-7.11), and 20% worsening in the Timed 25-Foot Walk Test (HR = 3.05; 95% CI = 1.38-6.70). Area under the ROC curve was consistently highest in models combining NfL with clinical and MRI measures.

CONCLUSIONS

NfLlong had a higher prognostic value than single NfL assessments on long-term outcomes in RRMS. Combining it with clinical and MRI measures increased sensitivity and specificity to predict long-term disease outcomes.

CLASSIFICATION OF EVIDENCE

This study provides Class I evidence that NfLlong was more strongly associated with long-term outcomes than single NfL assessments in patients with RRMS.

Ofatumumab versus Teriflunomide in Multiple Sclerosis

BACKGROUND

Ofatumumab, a subcutaneous anti-CD20 monoclonal antibody, selectively depletes B cells. Teriflunomide, an oral inhibitor of pyrimidine synthesis, reduces T-cell and B-cell activation. The relative effects of these two drugs in patients with multiple sclerosis are not known.

METHODS

In two double-blind, double-dummy, phase 3 trials, we randomly assigned patients with relapsing multiple sclerosis to receive subcutaneous ofatumumab (20 mg every 4 weeks after 20-mg loading doses at days 1, 7, and 14) or oral teriflunomide (14 mg daily) for up to 30 months. The primary end point was the annualized relapse rate. Secondary end points included disability worsening confirmed at 3 months or 6 months, disability improvement confirmed at 6 months, the number of gadolinium-enhancing lesions per T1-weighted magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) scan, the annualized rate of new or enlarging lesions on T2-weighted MRI, serum neurofilament light chain levels at month 3, and change in brain volume.

RESULTS

Overall, 946 patients were assigned to receive ofatumumab and 936 to receive teriflunomide; the median follow-up was 1.6 years. The annualized relapse rates in the ofatumumab and teriflunomide groups were 0.11 and 0.22, respectively, in trial 1 (difference, -0.11; 95% confidence interval [CI], -0.16 to -0.06; P<0.001) and 0.10 and 0.25 in trial 2 (difference, -0.15; 95% CI, -0.20 to -0.09; P<0.001). In the pooled trials, the percentage of patients with disability worsening confirmed at 3 months was 10.9% with ofatumumab and 15.0% with teriflunomide (hazard ratio, 0.66; P = 0.002); the percentage with disability worsening confirmed at 6 months was 8.1% and 12.0%, respectively (hazard ratio, 0.68; P = 0.01); and the percentage with disability improvement confirmed at 6 months was 11.0% and 8.1% (hazard ratio, 1.35; P = 0.09). The number of gadolinium-enhancing lesions per T1-weighted MRI scan, the annualized rate of lesions on T2-weighted MRI, and serum neurofilament light chain levels, but not the change in brain volume, were in the same direction as the primary end point. Injection-related reactions occurred in 20.2% in the ofatumumab group and in 15.0% in the teriflunomide group (placebo injections). Serious infections occurred in 2.5% and 1.8% of the patients in the respective groups.

CONCLUSIONS

Among patients with multiple sclerosis, ofatumumab was associated with lower annualized relapse rates than teriflunomide. (Funded by Novartis; ASCLEPIOS I and II ClinicalTrials.gov numbers, NCT02792218 and NCT02792231.).

Serum neurofilament light chain and optical coherence tomography measures in MS: A longitudinal study

OBJECTIVE

To study the association between serum neurofilament light chain (sNfL) and multiple optical coherence tomography (OCT) measures in patients with MS and healthy controls (HCs).

METHODS

In this prospective study, 110 patients with MS were recruited, together with 52 age- and sex-matched HCs. Clinical evaluation and spectral domain OCT and sNfL were obtained at baseline and after 5.5 years of follow-up. Nested linear mixed models were used to assess differences between MS vs HC and associations between sNfL and OCT measures. Partial correlation coefficients are reported, and p values were adjusted for the false discovery rate.

RESULTS

At baseline, peripapillary retinal nerve fiber layer thickness (pRNFLT) and macular ganglion cell and inner plexiform layer thickness (mGCIP) were significantly lower in MS than HC both in MS-associated optic neuritis (MSON) (p = 0.007, p = 0.001) and nonaffected MSON (n-MSON) eyes (p = 0.003, p = 0.018), along with total macular volume (TMV) in n-MSON eyes (p = 0.011). At follow-up, MS showed significantly lower pRNFLT, mGCIP, and TMV both in MSON and n-MSON eyes (p < 0.001) compared with HC. In MS n-MSON eyes, sNfL was significantly associated with baseline pRNFLT and mGCIP (q = 0.019). No significant associations were found in MSON eyes.

CONCLUSIONS

This study confirms the ability of sNfL to detect neurodegeneration in MS and advocates for the inclusion of sNfL and OCT measures in clinical trials.

CLASSIFICATION OF EVIDENCE

This study provides Class III evidence that sNfL levels were associated with MS neurodegeneration measured by OCT.

Serum neurofilament light chain is a useful biomarker in pediatric multiple sclerosis

Objective

To investigate serum neurofilament light chain (sNfL) as a potential biomarker for disease activity and treatment response in pediatric patients with multiple sclerosis (MS).

Methods

In this retrospective cohort study, sNfL levels were measured in a pediatric MS cohort (n = 55, follow-up 12–105 months) and in a non-neurologic pediatric control cohort (n = 301) using a high-sensitivity single-molecule array assay. Association of sNfL levels and treatment and clinical and MRI parameters were calculated.

Results

Untreated patients had higher sNfL levels than controls (median 19.0 vs 4.6 pg/mL; CI [4.732, 6.911]), p < 0.001). sNfL levels were significantly associated with MRI activity (+9.1% per contrast-enhancing lesion, CI [1.045, 1.138], p < 0.001; +0.6% per T2-weighted lesion, CI [1.001, 1.010], p = 0.015). Higher values were associated with a relapse <90 days ago (+51.1%; CI [1.184, 1.929], p < 0.001) and a higher Expanded Disability Status Scale score (CI [1.001, 1.240], p = 0.048). In patients treated with interferon beta-1a/b (n = 27), sNfL levels declined from 14.7 to 7.9 pg/mL after 6 ± 2 months (CI [0.339, 0.603], p < 0.001). Patients with insufficient control of clinical or MRI disease activity under treatment with interferon beta-1a/b or glatiramer acetate who switched to fingolimod (n = 18) showed a reduction of sNfL levels from 16.5 to 10.0 pg/mL 6 ± 2 months after switch (CI [0.481, 0.701], p < 0.001).

Conclusions

sNfL is a useful biomarker for monitoring disease activity and treatment response in pediatric MS. It is most likely helpful to predict disease severity and to guide treatment decisions in patients with pediatric MS. This study provides Class III evidence that sNfL levels are associated with disease activity in pediatric MS.

The ACROSS study: Long-term efficacy of fingolimod in patients with relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis

Background

In chronic diseases such as multiple sclerosis requiring lifelong treatment, studies on long-term outcomes are important.

Objective

To assess disability and magnetic resonance imaging-related outcomes in relapsing multiple sclerosis patients from a Phase 2 study of fingolimod 10 or more years after randomization and to compare outcomes in patients who had a higher fingolimod exposure versus those with a lower fingolimod exposure.

Methods

ACROSS was a cross-sectional follow-up study of patients originally enrolled in a Phase 2 fingolimod proof-of-concept study (NCT00333138). Disability and magnetic resonance imaging-related outcomes were assessed in patients grouped according to fingolimod treatment duration, based on an arbitrary cut-off: ≥8 years (high exposure) and <8 years (low exposure).

Results

Overall, 175/281 (62%) patients participated in ACROSS; 104 (59%) of these were classified “high exposure.” At 10 years, patients in the high-exposure group had smaller increases in Expanded Disability Status Scale (+0.55 vs. +1.21), and lower frequencies of disability progression (34.7% vs. 56.1%), wheelchair use (4.8% vs. 16.9%), or transition to secondary progressive multiple sclerosis (9.6% vs. 22.5%) than those in the low-exposure group. The high-exposure patients also had less progression in most magnetic resonance imaging-related outcomes.

Conclusion

After 10 years of fingolimod treatment, disability progression was lower in the high-exposure group than in the low-exposure group.

A Novel, Integrative Approach for Evaluating Progression in Multiple Sclerosis: Development of a Scoring Algorithm

Background

There is an unmet need for a tool that helps to evaluate patients who are at risk of progressing from relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis to secondary progressive multiple sclerosis (SPMS). A new tool supporting the evaluation of early signs suggestive of progression in multiple sclerosis (MS) has been developed. In the initial stage, concepts relevant to progression were identified using a mixed method approach involving regression on data from a real-world observational study and qualitative research with patients and physicians. The tool was drafted in a questionnaire format to assess these variables.

Objective

This study aimed to develop the scoring algorithm for the tool, using both quantitative and qualitative research methods.

Methods

The draft scoring algorithm was developed using two approaches: quantitative analysis of real-world data and qualitative analysis based on physician interviews and ranking and weighting exercises. Variables that were included in the draft tool and regarded as most clinically relevant were selected for inclusion in a multiple logistic regression. The analyses were run using physician-reported data and patient-reported data. Subsequently, a ranking and weighting exercise was conducted with 8 experienced neurologists as part of semistructured interviews. Physicians were presented with the variables included in the draft tool and were asked to rank them in order of strength of contribution to progression and assign a weight by providing a percentage of the overall contribution. Physicians were also asked to explain their ranking and weighting choices. Concordance between physicians was explored.

Results

Multiple logistic regression identified age, MS disease activity, and Expanded Disability Status Scale score as the most significant physician-reported predictors of progression to SPMS. Patient age, mobility, and self-care were identified as the strongest patient-reported predictors of progression to SPMS. In physician interviews, the variables ranked and weighted as most important were stability or worsening of symptoms, intermittent or persistent symptoms, and presence of ambulatory and cognitive symptoms. Across all physicians, the level of concordance was 0.278 (P<.001), indicating a low to moderate, but statistically significant, level of agreement. Variables were categorized as high (n=8), moderate (n=8), or low (n=10) importance based on the findings from the different approaches described above. Accordingly, the respective questions in the tool were assigned a weight of “three,” “two,” or “one” to inform the draft scoring algorithm.

Conclusions

This study further confirms the need for a tool to provide a consistent, comprehensive approach across physicians to support the early evaluation of signs indicative of progression to SPMS. The novel and comprehensive approach to develop the draft scoring algorithm triangulates data obtained from ranking and weighting exercises, qualitative interviews, and a real-world observational study. Variables that go beyond the clinically most obvious impairment in lower limbs have been identified as relevant subtle/sensitive signs suggestive of progressive disease.

White matter lesion location correlates with disability in relapsing multiple sclerosis

Background

Lesion location is a prognostic factor of disease progression and disability accrual.

Objective

To investigate lesion formation in 11 brain regions, assess correlation between lesion location and physical and cognitive disability measures and investigate treatment effects by region.

Methods

In 2355 relapsing–remitting multiple sclerosis patients from the FREEDOMS and FREEDOMS II studies, we extracted T2-weighted lesion number, volume and density for each brain region; we investigated the (Spearman) correlation in lesion formation between brain regions, studied association between location and disability (at baseline and change over 2 years) using linear/logistic regression and assessed the regional effects of fingolimod versus placebo in negative binomial models.

Results

At baseline, the majority of lesions were found in the supratentorial brain. New and enlarging lesions over 24 months developed mainly in the frontal and sublobar regions and were substantially correlated to pre-existing lesions at baseline in the supratentorial brain (p = 0.37–0.52), less so infratentorially (p = −0.04–0.23). High sublobar lesion density was consistently and significantly associated with most disability measures at baseline and worsening of physical disability over 24 months. The treatment effect of fingolimod 0.5 mg was consistent across the investigated areas and tracts.

Conclusion

These results highlight the role of sublobar lesions for the accrual of disability in relapsing–remitting multiple sclerosis.

A Physician-Completed Digital Tool for Evaluating Disease Progression (Multiple Sclerosis Progression Discussion Tool): Validation Study

Background

Defining the transition from relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS) to secondary progressive multiple sclerosis (SPMS) can be challenging and delayed. A digital tool (MSProDiscuss) was developed to facilitate physician-patient discussion in evaluating early, subtle signs of multiple sclerosis (MS) disease progression representing this transition.

Objective

This study aimed to determine cut-off values and corresponding sensitivity and specificity for predefined scoring algorithms, with or without including Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) scores, to differentiate between RRMS and SPMS patients and to evaluate psychometric properties.

Methods

Experienced neurologists completed the tool for patients with confirmed RRMS or SPMS and those suspected to be transitioning to SPMS. In addition to age and EDSS score, each patient’s current disease status (disease activity, symptoms, and its impacts on daily life) was collected while completing the draft tool. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves determined optimal cut-off values (sensitivity and specificity) for the classification of RRMS and SPMS.

Results

Twenty neurologists completed the draft tool for 198 patients. Mean scores for patients with RRMS (n=89), transitioning to SPMS (n=47), and SPMS (n=62) were 38.1 (SD 12.5), 55.2 (SD 11.1), and 69.6 (SD 12.0), respectively (P<.001, each between-groups comparison). Area under the ROC curve (AUC) including and excluding EDSS were for RRMS (including) AUC 0.91, 95% CI 0.87-0.95, RRMS (excluding) AUC 0.88, 95% CI 0.84-0.93, SPMS (including) AUC 0.91, 95% CI 0.86-0.95, and SPMS (excluding) AUC 0.86, 95% CI 0.81-0.91. In the algorithm with EDSS, the optimal cut-off values were ≤51.6 for RRMS patients (sensitivity=0.83; specificity=0.82) and ≥58.9 for SPMS patients (sensitivity=0.82; specificity=0.84). The optimal cut-offs without EDSS were ≤46.3 and ≥57.8 and resulted in similar high sensitivity and specificity (0.76-0.86). The draft tool showed excellent interrater reliability (intraclass correlation coefficient=.95).

Conclusions

The MSProDiscuss tool differentiated RRMS patients from SPMS patients with high sensitivity and specificity. In clinical practice, it may be a useful tool to evaluate early, subtle signs of MS disease progression indicating the evolution of RRMS to SPMS. MSProDiscuss will help assess the current level of progression in an individual patient and facilitate a more informed physician-patient discussion.

A multimodal approach to assess the validity of atrophied T2-lesion volume as an MRI marker of disease progression in multiple sclerosis

BACKGROUND

Atrophied T2-lesion volume (LV) is a novel MRI marker representing brain-lesion loss due to atrophy, able to predict long-term disability progression and conversion to secondary-progressive multiple sclerosis (MS).

OBJECTIVE

To better characterize atrophied T2-LV via comparison with other multidisciplinary markers of MS progression.

METHODS

We studied 127 MS patients (85 relapsing-remitting, RRMS and 42 progressive, PMS) and 20 clinically isolated syndrome (CIS) utilizing MRI, optical coherence tomography, and serum neurofilament light chain (sNfL) at baseline and at 5-year follow-up. Symbol Digit Modalities Test (SDMT) was obtained at follow-up. Atrophied T2-LV was calculated by combining baseline lesion masks with follow-up CSF partial-volume maps. Measures were compared between MS patients who developed or not disease progression (DP). Partial correlations between atrophied T2-LV and other biomarkers were performed, and corrected for multiple comparisons.

RESULTS

Atrophied T2-LV was the only biomarker that significantly differentiated DP from non-DP patients over the follow-up (p = 0.007). In both DP and non-DP groups, atrophied T2-LV was associated with baseline T2-LV and T1-LV (both p = 0.003), absolute change of T1-LV (DP p = 0.038; non-DP p = 0.003) and percentage of brain volume change (both p = 0.003). Furthermore, in the DP group, atrophied T2-LV was related to baseline brain parenchymal (p = 0.017) and thalamic (p = 0.003) volumes, thalamic volume change and follow-up SDMT (both p = 0.003). In non-DP patients, atrophied T2-LV was significantly related to baseline sNfL (p = 0.008), contrast-enhancing LV (p = 0.02) and percentage ventricular volume change (p = 0.003).

CONCLUSION

Atrophied T2-LV is associated with disability accrual in MS, and to several multimodal markers of disease evolution.

A mixed methods approach towards understanding key disease characteristics associated with the progression from RRMS to SPMS: Physicians' and patients' views

OBJECTIVES

The transition from relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS) to secondary progressive multiple sclerosis (SPMS) evolves over time and it can be challenging for physicians to identify progression early. Typically, SPMS is diagnosed retrospectively with a significant delay, based on a history of gradual worsening, independent of relapses, following an initial relapsing-remitting disease course. As such, SPMS is often associated with a considerable period of diagnostic uncertainty. This study aimed to explore and characterize key symptoms and impacts associated with transitioning from RRMS to SPMS and inform the content for a tool to support evaluation of early subtle signs suggestive of progressive disease.

METHODS

The qualitative study involved 60-min, face-to-face, concept elicitation (CE) interviews with 32 patients with MS (US = 16 and Germany = 16); and 30-min, telephone, CE interviews with 16 neurologists (US = 8 and Germany = 8). Multivariate analysis on data from a real-world observational study of 3294 MS patients assessed the differences between early-RRMS and early-SPMS, and identified factors that were significant drivers of this difference. These studies informed selection of the key variables to be included in a pilot tool. Sixteen physicians used the pilot tool, presented as a paper questionnaire, with a sample of patients whom they suspected were progressing to SPMS (n ≥ 5). Following this, the physicians participated in a 30-min cognitive debriefing (CD) interview to evaluate the relevance and usefulness of the tool. Qualitative analysis of all anonymized, verbatim transcripts was performed using thematic analysis.

RESULTS

Patients and physicians reported signs that indicated progression to SPMS including gradual worsening of symptoms, lack of clear recovery, increased severity and presence of new symptoms. No specific symptoms definitively indicated progression to SPMS, however a number of potential symptoms associated with progression were identified by SPMS patients and physicians, including worsening ambulation, cognition, balance, muscle weakness, visual symptoms, bladder symptoms and fatigue. Quality of life domains reported to be more severely impacted in SPMS than MS in general included: physical activity, work, daily activities, emotional and social functioning. Multivariate analysis of the observational study data identified several variables strongly associated with progression to SPMS including, requirement of assistance in daily living, presence of motor symptoms, presence of ataxia/coordination symptoms, and unemployment. Physicians reported that items included in the tool were easy to understand and relevant. Physicians also reported that there is an unmet need for a tool to help identify signs of SPMS progression and so the tool would be useful in clinical practice.

CONCLUSIONS

This was the first stage of development of a novel, validated, physician-completed tool to support physician-patient interactions in evaluating signs indicative of disease progression to SPMS. Qualitative and quantitative methods (involving physician and patients) were used to determine tool content. The usefulness and unmet need for such a tool in clinical practice was confirmed via CD interviews with physicians. Further work is now warranted to develop a scoring algorithm and validate the tool so that it can be reliably implemented in clinical practice.

Association Between Serum Neurofilament Light Chain Levels and Long-term Disease Course Among Patients With Multiple Sclerosis Followed up for 12 Years

Importance

Blood sample-based biomarkers that are associated with clinically meaningful outcomes for patients with multiple sclerosis (MS) have not been developed.

Objective

To evaluate the potential of serum neurofilament light chain (sNFL) measurements as a biomarker of disease activity and progression in a longitudinal MS data set.

Design, Setting, and Participants

Single-center, ongoing, prospective observational cohort study of 607 patients with MS from the longitudinal EPIC (Expression, Proteomics, Imaging, Clinical) study at the University of California, San Francisco from July 1, 2004, through August 31, 2017. Clinical evaluations and sample collection were performed annually for 5 years, then at different time points for up to 12 years, with a median follow-up duration of 10 (interquartile range, 7-11) years. Serum NFL levels were measured using a sensitive single molecule array platform and compared with clinical and magnetic resonance imaging variables with the use of univariable and multivariable analyses.

Main Outcomes and Measures

The main outcomes were disability progression defined as clinically significant worsening on the Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) score and brain fraction atrophy.

Results

Mean (SD) age of the 607 study participants at study entry was 42.5 (9.8) years; 423 (69.7%) were women; and all participants were of non-Hispanic European descent. Of 3911 samples sequentially collected, 3904 passed quality control for quantification of sNFL. Baseline sNFL levels showed significant associations with EDSS score (β, 1.080; 95% CI, 1.047-1.114; P < .001), MS subtype (β, 1.478; 95% CI, 1.279-1.707; P < .001), and treatment status (β, 1.120; 95% CI, 1.007-1.245; P = .04). A significant interaction between EDSS worsening and change in levels of sNFL over time was found (β, 1.015; 95% CI, 1.007-1.023; P < .001). Baseline sNFL levels alone were associated with approximately 11.6% of the variance in brain fraction atrophy at year 10. In a multivariable analysis that considered sex, age, and disease duration, baseline sNFL levels were associated with 18.0% of the variance in brain fraction atrophy at year 10. After 5 years' follow-up, active treatment was associated with lower levels of sNFL, with high-potency treatments associated with the greater decreases in sNFL levels compared with platform therapies (high-potency vs untreated: β, 0.946; 95% CI, 0.915-0.976; P < .001; high-potency vs platform: β, 0.972; 95% CI, 0.948-0.998; P = .04).

Conclusions and Relevance

This study found that statistically significant associations of sNFL with relevant clinical and neuroimaging outcomes in MS were confirmed and extended, supporting the potential of sNFL as an objective surrogate of ongoing MS disease activity. In this data set of patients with MS who received early treatment, the prognostic power of sNFL for relapse activity and long-term disability progression was limited. Further prospective studies are necessary to assess the assay's utility for decision-making in individual patients.

Serum neurofilament light chain level associations with clinical and cognitive performance in multiple sclerosis: A longitudinal retrospective 5-year study

Background:

A limited number of studies investigated associations between serum neurofilament light chain (sNfL) and cognition in persons with multiple sclerosis (PwMS).

Objective:

To assess cross-sectional and longitudinal associations between sNfL levels, clinical, and cognitive performance in PwMS and age-matched healthy controls (HCs).

Materials:

One hundred twenty-seven PwMS (85 relapsing–remitting MS/42 progressive MS), 20 clinically isolated syndrome patients, and 52 HCs were followed for 5 years. sNfL levels were measured using the single-molecule array (Simoa) assay and quantified in picograms per milliliter. Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS), walking, and manual dexterity tests were obtained. At follow-up, Brief International Cognitive Assessment for MS (BICAMS) was utilized. Cognitively impaired (CI) status was derived using HC-based z-scores. Age-, sex-, and education-adjusted analysis of covariance (ANCOVA) and regression models were used. Multiple comparison–adjusted values of q < 0.05 were considered significant.

Results:

In PwMS, sNfL levels were cross-sectionally associated with walking speed ( r = 0.235, q = 0.036), manual dexterity ( r = 0.337, q = 0.002), and cognitive processing speed (CPS; r =−0.265, q = 0.012). Baseline sNfL levels predicted 5-year EDSS scores ( r = 0.25, q = 0.012), dexterity ( r = 0.224, q = 0.033), and CPS ( r =−0.205, q = 0.049). CI patients had higher sNfL levels (27.2 vs. 20.6, p = 0.016) and greater absolute longitudinal sNfL increase when compared with non-CI patients (4.8 vs. 0.7, p = 0.04).

Conclusion:

Higher sNfL levels are associated with poorer current and future clinical and cognitive performance.

Serum neurofilament light chain levels associations with gray matter pathology: a 5-year longitudinal study

Background

Gray matter (GM) pathology is closely associated with physical and cognitive impairment in persons with multiple sclerosis (PwMS). Similarly, serum neurofilament light chain (sNfL) levels are related to MS disease activity and progression.

Objectives

To assess the cross–sectional and longitudinal associations between sNfL and MRI–derived lesion and brain volume outcomes in PwMS and age–matched healthy controls (HCs).

Materials and Methods

Forty‐seven HCs and 120 PwMS were followed over 5 years. All subjects underwent baseline and follow–up 3T MRI and sNfL examinations. Lesion volumes (LV) and global, tissue–specific and regional brain volumes were assessed. sNfL levels were analyzed using single molecule array (Simoa) assay and quantified in pg/mL. The associations between sNfL levels and MRI outcomes were investigated using regression analyses adjusted for age, sex, baseline disease modifying treatment (DMT) use and change in DMT over the follow‐up. False discovery rate (FDR)–adjusted q‐values <0.05 were considered significant.

Results

In PwMS, baseline sNfL was associated with baseline T₁‐, T₂‐ and gadolinium‐LV (q = 0.002, q = 0.001 and q < 0.001, respectively), but not with their longitudinal changes. Higher baseline sNfL levels were associated with lower baseline deep GM (β = −0.257, q = 0.017), thalamus (β = −0.216, q = 0.0017), caudate (β = −0.263, q = 0.014) and hippocampus (β = −0.267, q = 0.015) volumes. Baseline sNfL was associated with longitudinal decline of deep GM (β = −0.386, q < 0.001), putamen (β = −0.395, q < 0.001), whole brain (β = −0.356, q = 0.002), thalamus (β = −0.272, q = 0.049), globus pallidus (β = −0.284, q = 0.017), and GM (β = −0.264, q = 0.042) volumes. No associations between sNfL and MRI–derived measures were seen in the HCs.

Conclusion

Higher sNfL levels were associated with baseline LVs and greater development of GM atrophy in PwMS.

Blood neurofilament light as a potential endpoint in Phase 2 studies in MS

Objectives

To assess whether neurofilament light chain (NfL) could serve as an informative endpoint in Phase 2 studies in patients with relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS) and estimate the sample size requirements with NfL as the primary endpoint.

Methods

Using data from the Phase 3 FREEDOMS study, we evaluated correlation of NfL at Month 6 with 2-year outcomes: relapses, confirmed disability worsening (CDW), new or enlarging T2 lesions (active lesions), and brain volume loss (BVL). We compared the proportion of treatment effect (PTE) on 2-year relapses and BVL explained by 6-month log-transformed NfL levels with the PTE explained by the number of active lesions over 6 months. We estimated sample size requirements for different treatment effects.

Results

At Month 6, blood NfL levels (pg/mL, median [range]) were lower in the fingolimod arm (fingolimod (n = 132) 18 [8-247]; placebo (n = 114) 26 [8-159], P < 0.001). NfL at 6 months correlated with number of relapses (r = 0.25, P < 0.001), 6-month CDW (hazard ratio 1.83, P = 0.012), active lesions (r = 0.46, P < 0.001), and BVL (r = -0.41, P < 0.001) at Month-24. The PTE (95% CI) on 24-month relapses and BVL explained by 6-month NfL was 25% (8-60%) and 60% (32-132%), and by 6-month active lesions was 28% (11-66%) and 45% (18-115%), respectively. Assuming a 20-40% treatment-related reduction in NfL levels, 143-28 patients per arm will be required.

Conclusions

Blood NfL may qualify as an informative and easy-to-measure endpoint for future Phase 2 clinical studies that captures both inflammatory- and noninflammatory-driven neuroaxonal injury in RRMS.

Electronic Neurostatus-EDSS increases the quality of expanded disability status scale assessments: Experience from two phase 3 clinical trials

BACKGROUND

The Neurostatus-eEDSS is an electronic tool providing automated real-time feedback on inconsistencies of Neurostatus-EDSS calculations.

OBJECTIVE

To analyze the performance of the Neurostatus-eEDSS in two multicenter phase 3 multiple sclerosis (MS) trials.

METHODS

All assessments captured with the Neurostatus-eEDSS web service during a period of 2.5 years were analyzed.

RESULTS

Of the total 10,789 assessments, 40.1% had inconsistencies after first entry, reduced to 22.1% due to the real-time feedback. The entire checking process resulted in a change of the expanded disability status scale (EDSS) score in 14.8% of the assessments.

CONCLUSION

The Neurostatus-eEDSS can increase consistency and reliability of EDSS assessments in clinical MS trials.

Blood neurofilament light chain as a biomarker of MS disease activity and treatment response

Objective

To assess the value of blood neurofilament light chain (NfL) as a biomarker of recent, ongoing, and future disease activity and tissue damage and its utility to monitor treatment response in relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis.

Methods

We measured NfL in blood samples from 589 patients with relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (from phase 3 studies of fingolimod vs placebo, FREEDOMS and interferon [IFN]-β-1a, TRANSFORMS) and 35 healthy controls and compared NfL levels with clinical and MRI-related outcomes.

Results

At baseline, NfL levels (pg/mL) were higher in patients than in healthy controls (30.5 and 27.0 vs 16.9, p = 0.0001) and correlated with T2 lesion load and number of gadolinium-enhancing T1 lesions (p < 0.0001, both). Baseline NfL levels, treatment, and number of new or enlarging T2 lesions during the studies predicted NfL levels at the end of study (all p < 0.01). High vs low baseline NfL levels were associated (estimate [95% confidence interval]) with an increased number of new or enlarging T2 lesions (ratio of mean: 2.64 [1.51–4.60]; p = 0.0006), relapses (rate ratio: 2.53 [1.67–3.83]; p < 0.0001), brain volume loss (difference in means: −0.78% [−1.02 to −0.54]; p < 0.0001), and risk of confirmed disability worsening (hazard ratio: 1.94 [0.97–3.87]; p = 0.0605). Fingolimod significantly reduced NfL levels already at 6 months (vs placebo 0.73 [0.656–0.813] and IFN 0.789 [0.704–0.884]), which was sustained until the end of the studies (vs placebo 0.628 [0.552–0.714] and IFN 0.794 [0.705–0.894]; p < 0.001, both studies at all assessments).

Conclusions

Blood NfL levels are associated with clinical and MRI-related measures of disease activity and neuroaxonal damage and have prognostic value. Our results support the utility of blood NfL as an easily accessible biomarker of disease evolution and treatment response.

Learning ability correlates with brain atrophy and disability progression in RRMS

OBJECTIVE

To assess the prognostic value of practice effect on Paced Auditory Serial Addition Test (PASAT) in multiple sclerosis.

METHODS

We compared screening (day -14) and baseline (day 0) PASAT scores of 1009 patients from the FTY720 Research Evaluating Effects of Daily Oral therapy in Multiple Sclerosis (FREEDOMS) trial. We grouped patients into high and low learners if their PASAT score change was above or below the median change in their screening PASAT quartile group. We used Wilcoxon test to compare baseline disease characteristics between high and low learners, and multiple regression models to assess the respective impact of learning ability, baseline normalised brain volume and treatment on brain volume loss and 6-month confirmed disability progression over 2 years.

RESULTS

The mean PASAT score at screening was 45.38, increasing on average by 3.18 from day -14 to day 0. High learners were younger (p=0.003), had lower Expanded Disability Status Scale score (p=0.031), higher brain volume (p<0.001) and lower T2 lesion volume (p=0.009) at baseline. Learning status was not significantly associated with disability progression (HR=0.953, p=0.779), when adjusting for baseline normalised brain volume, screening PASAT score and treatment arm. However, the effect of fingolimod on disability progression was more pronounced in high learners (HR=0.396, p<0.001) than in low learners (HR=0.798, p=0.351; p for interaction=0.05). Brain volume loss at month 24 tended to be higher in low learners (0.17%, p=0.058), after adjusting for the same covariates.

CONCLUSIONS

Short-term practice effects on PASAT are related to brain volume, disease severity and age and have clinically meaningful prognostic implications. High learners benefited more from fingolimod treatment.

Neurofilament light chain serum levels correlate with 10-year MRI outcomes in multiple sclerosis

Objective

To assess the value of annual serum neurofilament light (NfL) measures in predicting 10‐year clinical and MRI outcomes in multiple sclerosis (MS).

Methods

We identified patients in our center's Comprehensive Longitudinal Investigations in MS at Brigham and Women's Hospital (CLIMB) study enrolled within 5 years of disease onset, and with annual blood samples up to 10 years (n = 122). Serum NfL was measured using a single molecule array (SIMOA) assay. An automated pipeline quantified brain T2 hyperintense lesion volume (T2LV) and brain parenchymal fraction (BPF) from year 10 high‐resolution 3T MRI scans. Correlations between averaged annual NfL and 10‐year clinical/MRI outcomes were assessed using Spearman's correlation, univariate, and multivariate linear regression models.

Results

Averaged annual NfL values were negatively associated with year 10 BPF, which included averaged year 1–5 NfL values (unadjusted P < 0.01; adjusted analysis P < 0.01), and averaged values through year 10. Linear regression analyses of averaged annual NfL values showed multiple associations with T2LV, specifically averaged year 1–5 NfL (unadjusted P < 0.01; adjusted analysis P < 0.01). Approximately 15–20% of the BPF variance and T2LV could be predicted from early averaged annual NfL levels. Also, averaged annual NfL levels with fatigue score worsening between years 1 and 10 showed statistically significant associations. However, averaged NfL measurements were not associated with year 10 EDSS, SDMT or T25FW in this cohort.

Interpretation

Serum NfL measured during the first few years after the clinical onset of MS contributed to the prediction of 10‐year MRI brain lesion load and atrophy.

Fingolimod effect on gray matter, thalamus, and white matter in patients with multiple sclerosis

Objective

To study the effect of fingolimod on deep gray matter (dGM), thalamus, cortical GM (cGM), white matter (WM), and ventricular volume (VV) in patients with relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS).

Methods

Data were pooled from 2 phase III studies. A total of 2,064 of 2,355 (88%) contributed to the analysis: fingolimod 0.5 mg n = 783, fingolimod 1.25 mg n = 799, or placebo n = 773. Percentage change from baseline in dGM and thalamic volumes was evaluated with FMRIB’s Integrated Registration & Segmentation Tool; WM, cGM, and VV were evaluated with structural image evaluation using normalization of atrophy cross-sectional version (SIENAX) at months 12 and 24.

Results

At baseline, compound brain volume (brain volume in the z block [BVz] = cGM + dGM + WM) correlated with SIENAX-normalized brain volume (r = 0.938, p < 0.001); percentage change from baseline in BVz over 2 years correlated with structural image evaluation using normalization of atrophy percentage brain volume change (r = 0.713, p < 0.001). For placebo, volume reductions were most pronounced in cGM, and relative changes from baseline were strongest in dGM. Over 24 months, there were significant reductions with fingolimod vs placebo for dGM (0.5 mg −14.5%, p = 0.017; 1.25 mg −26.6%, p < 0.01) and thalamus (0.5 mg −26.1%, p = 0.006; 1.25 mg −49.7%, p < 0.001). Reduction of cGM volume loss was not significant. Significantly less WM loss and VV enlargement were seen with fingolimod vs placebo (all p < 0.001). A high T2 lesion volume at baseline predicted on-study cGM, dGM, and thalamic volume loss (p < 0.0001) but not WM loss. Patients taking placebo with high dGM (hazard ratio [HR] 0.54, p = 0.0323) or thalamic (HR 0.58, p = 0.0663) volume at baseline were less likely to show future disability worsening.

Conclusions

Fingolimod significantly reduced dGM volume loss (including thalamus) vs placebo in patients with RRMS. Reducing dGM and thalamic volume loss might improve long-term outcome.

α4-integrin receptor desaturation and disease activity return after natalizumab cessation

OBJECTIVE

To describe the time course of α4-integrin receptor desaturation and disease activity return in patients with relapsing-remitting MS who discontinued natalizumab and to investigate baseline and on-study predictors for the recurrence of disease activity.

METHODS

In the course of TOFINGO, a 32-week, patient- and rater-blinded multicenter, parallel-group study, we performed MRI, counted relapses, and measured α4-integrin receptor occupancy (RO) at baseline and 8, 12, 16, 20, and 24 weeks. The relationship between RO and total number of new T1 gadolinium-enhancing (Gd+) lesions was modeled using Poisson linear regression.

RESULTS

Patients (N = 142) were randomized (1:1:1) to 8-, 12-, or 16-week washout (WO) groups. At randomization, the median RO in the 8-, 12-, and 16-week WO groups was 94.5%, 92.4%, and 90.9%, which declined to 79.8%, 30.7%, and 8.7% after 8, 12, and 16 weeks of WO, respectively. The percentage of patients with new T1 Gd+ lesions increased with longer WO period before commencing fingolimod: 2.1% (8 weeks), 9.1% (12 weeks), and 50.0% (16 weeks). Overall, 71% of patients with first relapse between weeks 6 and 18 had RO values below the time-matched population median. Higher T2 lesion volume (LV) at baseline predicted a higher number of new T1 Gd+ lesions.

CONCLUSIONS

A faster decline in natalizumab RO, longer WO period, and higher T2 LV at baseline were associated with an increased risk for return of inflammatory disease activity. These results provide a mechanistic rationale and, together with the main outcomes of the TOFINGO study, support initiation of fingolimod within 8 weeks of natalizumab discontinuation.

CLINICALTRIALSGOV IDENTIFIER

NCT01499667.

"No evident disease activity": The use of combined assessments in the management of patients with multiple sclerosis

Using combined endpoints to define no evident disease activity (NEDA) is becoming increasingly common when setting targets for treatment outcomes in multiple sclerosis (MS). Historically, NEDA has taken account of the occurrence of relapses, brain magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) lesions and disability worsening, but this approach places emphasis on inflammatory activity in the brain and mostly overlooks ongoing neurodegenerative damage. Combined assessments of NEDA which take account of changes in brain volume or neuropsychological outcomes such as cognitive function may begin to address this imbalance, and such assessments may also consider blood or spinal-fluid neurofilament levels or patient-reported outcomes and quality of life measures. If a combined NEDA assessment can be validated in prospective studies as indicative of long-term disease remission at the individual patient level, treating to achieve NEDA could become the goal of clinical practice and achieving NEDA may become the “new normal” state of disease control for patients with MS.

Is multiple sclerosis a length-dependent central axonopathy? The case for therapeutic lag and the asynchronous progressive MS hypotheses

Trials of anti-inflammatory therapies in non-relapsing progressive multiple sclerosis (MS) have been stubbornly negative except recently for an anti-CD20 therapy in primary progressive MS and a S1P modulator siponimod in secondary progressive MS. We argue that this might be because trials have been too short and have focused on assessing neuronal pathways, with insufficient reserve capacity, as the core component of the primary outcome. Delayed neuroaxonal degeneration primed by prior inflammation is not expected to respond to disease-modifying therapies targeting MS-specific mechanisms. However, anti-inflammatory therapies may modify these damaged pathways, but with a therapeutic lag that may take years to manifest. Based on these observations we propose that clinically apparent neurodegenerative components of progressive MS may occur in a length-dependent manner and asynchronously. If this hypothesis is confirmed it may have major implications for the future design of progressive MS trials.

Defining brain volume cutoffs to identify clinically relevant atrophy in RRMS

Objective:

To define values of normalized brain volume (NBV) that can be categorized as low, medium, or high, according to baseline characteristics of relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS) patients.

Methods:

Expected NBV (eNBV) was calculated for each patient based on age, disease duration, sex, baseline Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS), and T2-lesion volume, entering these variables into a multiple regression model run on 2342 RRMS patients (pooled FREEDOMS/FREEDOMS-II population). According to the difference between their observed NBV and their eNBV, patients were classified as having low NBV, medium NBV, or high NBV. We evaluated whether these NBV categories were clinically meaningful by assessing correlation with disability worsening.

Results:

The distribution of differences between observed NBV and eNBV was used to categorize patients as having low NBV, medium NBV or high NBV. Taking the high-NBV group as reference, the hazard ratios (HRs) for 2-year disability worsening, adjusted for treatment effect, were 1.23 (95% confidence interval (CI): 0.92–1.63, p = 0.16) for the medium NBV and 1.75 (95% CI: 1.26–2.44, p = 0.001) for the low NBV. The predictive value of NBV groups was preserved over 4 years. Treatment effect appeared more evident in low-NBV patients (HR = 0.58) than in medium-NBV (HR = 0.72) and in high-NBV (HR = 0.80) patients; however, the difference was not significant ( p = 0.57).

Conclusion:

RRMS patients can be categorized into disability risk groups based on individual eNBV values according to baseline demographics and clinical characteristics.

Automated brain volumetrics in multiple sclerosis: a step closer to clinical application

BACKGROUND

Whole brain volume (WBV) estimates in patients with multiple sclerosis (MS) correlate more robustly with clinical disability than traditional, lesion-based metrics. Numerous algorithms to measure WBV have been developed over the past two decades. We compare Structural Image Evaluation using Normalisation of Atrophy-Cross-sectional (SIENAX) to NeuroQuant and MSmetrix, for assessment of cross-sectional WBV in patients with MS.

METHODS

MRIs from 61 patients with relapsing-remitting MS and 2 patients with clinically isolated syndrome were analysed. WBV measurements were calculated using SIENAX, NeuroQuant and MSmetrix. Statistical agreement between the methods was evaluated using linear regression and Bland-Altman plots. Precision and accuracy of WBV measurement was calculated for (1) NeuroQuant versus SIENAX and (2) MSmetrix versus SIENAX.

RESULTS

Precision (Pearson's r) of WBV estimation for NeuroQuant and MSmetrix versus SIENAX was 0.983 and 0.992, respectively. Accuracy (Cb) was 0.871 and 0.994, respectively. NeuroQuant and MSmetrix showed a 5.5% and 1.0% volume difference compared with SIENAX, respectively, that was consistent across low and high values.

CONCLUSIONS

In the analysed population, NeuroQuant and MSmetrix both quantified cross-sectional WBV with comparable statistical agreement to SIENAX, a well-validated cross-sectional tool that has been used extensively in MS clinical studies.

Long-term (up to 4.5 years) treatment with fingolimod in multiple sclerosis: results from the extension of the randomised TRANSFORMS study

OBJECTIVE

The 12-month (M), phase 3, double-blind, randomised TRANSFORMS study demonstrated significant benefits of fingolimod 0.5 or 1.25 mg over interferon β-1a (IFNβ-1a) in patients with relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis. We report the results of long-term (up to 4.5 years) extension of TRANSFORMS.

METHODS

Patients randomised to fingolimod (0.5/1.25 mg) in the core phase continued the same dose (continuous-fingolimod) in the extension, whereas those on IFNβ-1a were re-randomised (1:1) to fingolimod (IFN-switch; IFN: 0.5/1.25 mg). Outcomes included annualised relapse rate (ARR), confirmed disability progression and MRI measures. Results are presented here for the continuous-fingolimod 0.5 mg and pooled IFN-switch groups.

RESULTS

Of the 1027 patients who entered the extension, 772 (75.2%) completed the study. From baseline to the end of the study (EOS), ARR in patients on continuous-fingolimod 0.5 mg was significantly lower than in the IFN-switch group (M0-EOS: 0.17 vs 0.27). After switching to fingolimod (M0-12 vs M13-EOS), patients initially treated with IFN had a 50% reduction in ARR (0.40 vs 0.20), reduced MRI activity and a lower rate of brain volume loss. In a post hoc analysis, the proportion of IFN-switch patients with no evidence of disease activity increased by approximately 50% in the first year after switching to fingolimod treatment (44.3% to 66.0%). The safety profile was consistent with that observed in the core phase.

CONCLUSIONS

These results support a continued effect of long-term fingolimod therapy in maintaining a low rate of disease activity and sustained improved efficacy after switching from IFNβ-1a to fingolimod.

CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION NO

NCT00340834.

Onset of clinical and MRI efficacy occurs early after fingolimod treatment initiation in relapsing multiple sclerosis

To minimize the clinical burden associated with multiple sclerosis (MS), early control of focal and diffuse CNS disease activity is a treatment priority. A post hoc analysis was conducted to evaluate the onset of efficacy of fingolimod treatment in patients with relapsing MS. Data from patients who received fingolimod 0.5 mg or placebo during either of two 24-month, double-blind, randomized, parallel-group clinical trials (FREEDOMS and FREEDOMS II) were pooled for analysis. Efficacy outcomes were: time to first confirmed relapse; annualized relapse rate (ARR); proportions of patients free from T1 gadolinium-enhancing lesions or new/newly enlarged T2 lesions; percentage brain volume loss (BVL); and change in Multiple Sclerosis Functional Composite (MSFC) z-score from baseline to 6 months. An early benefit was seen with fingolimod (N = 783) vs. placebo (N = 773) for ARR at both 3 and 6 months (3 months, 0.32 vs. 0.52, p = 0.0015; 6 months, 0.21 vs. 0.45, p < 0.0001). Time to first relapse was also delayed with fingolimod vs. placebo from day 48 onwards. At 6 months, more patients in the fingolimod group than in the placebo group were free from new MRI activity (65.3 vs. 40.5%, p < 0.0001) and had less BVL (37.1% reduction vs. placebo, p < 0.001). MSFC z-score favored fingolimod over placebo at 6 months, with improvements noted in 9-Hole Peg Test and Paced Auditory Serial Addition Test scores. Improvements in outcomes related to relapses, MRI, disability, cognition, and BVL occurred within 6 months of treatment initiation with fingolimod.

Optimizing treatment success in multiple sclerosis

Despite important advances in the treatment of multiple sclerosis (MS) over recent years, the introduction of several disease-modifying therapies (DMTs), the burden of progressive disability and premature mortality associated with the condition remains substantial. This burden, together with the high healthcare and societal costs associated with MS, creates a compelling case for early treatment optimization with highly efficacious therapies. Often, patients receive several first-line therapies, while more recent and in part more effective treatments are still being introduced only after these have failed. However, with the availability of highly efficacious therapies, a novel treatment strategy has emerged, where the aim is to achieve no evidence of disease activity (NEDA). Achieving NEDA necessitates regular monitoring of relapses, disability and functionality. However, there is only a poor correlation between conventional magnetic resonance imaging measures like T2 hyperintense lesion burden and the level of clinical disability. Hence, MRI-based measures of brain atrophy have emerged in recent years potentially reflecting the magnitude of MS-related neuroaxonal damage. Currently available DMTs differ markedly in their effects on brain atrophy: some, such as fingolimod, have been shown to significantly slow brain volume loss, compared to placebo, whereas others have shown either no, inconsistent, or delayed effects. In addition to regular monitoring, treatment optimization also requires early intervention with efficacious therapies, because accumulating evidence shows that effective intervention during a limited period early in the course of MS is critical for maintaining neurological function and preventing subsequent disability. Together, the advent of new MS therapies and evolving management strategies offer exciting new opportunities to optimize treatment outcomes.

Inclusion of brain volume loss in a revised measure of 'no evidence of disease activity' (NEDA-4) in relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis

Background:

‘No evidence of disease activity’ (NEDA), defined as absence of magnetic resonance imaging activity (T2 and/or gadolinium-enhanced T1 lesions), relapses and disability progression (‘NEDA-3’), is used as a comprehensive measure of treatment response in relapsing multiple sclerosis (RMS), but is weighted towards inflammatory activity. Accelerated brain volume loss (BVL) occurs in RMS and is an objective measure of disease worsening and progression.

Objective:

To assess the contribution of individual components of NEDA-3 and the impact of adding BVL to NEDA-3 (‘NEDA-4’)

Methods:

We analysed data pooled from two placebo-controlled phase 3 fingolimod trials in RMS and assessed NEDA-4 using different annual BVL mean rate thresholds (0.2%–1.2%).

Results:

At 2 years, 31.0% (217/700) of patients receiving fingolimod 0.5 mg achieved NEDA-3 versus 9.9% (71/715) on placebo (odds ratio (OR) 4.07; p < 0.0001). Adding BVL (threshold of 0.4%), the respective proportions of patients achieving NEDA-4 were 19.7% (139/706) and 5.3% (38/721; OR 4.41; p < 0.0001). NEDA-4 status favoured fingolimod across all BVL thresholds tested (OR 4.01–4.41; p < 0.0001).

Conclusion:

NEDA-4 has the potential to capture the impact of therapies on both inflammation and neurodegeneration, and deserves further evaluation across different compounds and in long-term studies.

PARTIAL INDEPENDENCE OF FINGOLIMOD EFFECT ON DIFFUSE VS. FOCAL DAMAGE

Objective

To investigate if the effects of fingolimod 0.5mg on brain volume loss are mediated through effects on focal disease activity (FD) or independent-reduction of diffuse damage (DD).

Methods

FREEDOMS and FREEDOMS-II data was pooled and analyzed post-hoc. Assessment of the percent brain volume change (PBVC) at M12 and 24, in patients with no evidence of FD, (absence of new Gd+ T1-lesions and/or new/enlarging T2-lesions) and clinical relapses. Regression analysis of the intent-to-treat (ITT) population to quantified whether the extent of the treatment effect was maintained for patients with new/active lesions and relapses

Results

Of the 1383 patients included, 808 patients (placebo=142; fingolimod=666) showed no FD at M12 and 573 patients (placebo=79; fingolimod=494) at M24 showed no FD. Fingolimod significantly reduced PBVC by 52% and 42% vs. placebo, over 12M and 24M respectively. In the pooled ITT population, fingolimod reduced 49% of PBVC (p<0.001)vs placebo over 24M. This effect was still evident when adjusting for new-active lesions and relapse activity (28% reduction vs placebo, p<0.001). The regression model suggests 57% of fingolimod effect on PBVC is FD-independent. Fingolimod effect on DD is partly independent of its treatment effect on FD, suggesting fingolimod impacts both inflammatory and neurodegenerative components.

EFFECT OF FINGOLIMOD VS. IFN-BETA1A ON NO EVIDENCE OF DISEASE ACTIVITY

Introduction

To compare effects of fingolimod vs. interferon beta-1a (IFN) in achieving no evidence of disease activity (NEDA-4) in patients with relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS) in the TRANSFORMS study. Adding Brain Volume Loss (BVL) to NEDA results in a more comprehensive and balanced measure of focal and diffuse damage.

Methods

In this post-hoc analysis, we used data from the fingolimod 0.5 mg daily (n=431) and IFN 30 µg weekly (n=435) groups. NEDA-4 was defined as absence of confirmed relapses, new/enlarging T2 lesions, 6-month confirmed disability progression (CDP) and BVL (annual percent brain volume change [PBVC] of >−0.4%). 3-month CDP and additional PBVC cut-offs representing mean BVL rates in healthy adults (0.2%), MS patients (0.6%), or accelerated BVL (1.2%) were also tested. Odds ratios (OR) were calculated for differences between fingolimod- and IFN-treated groups.

Results

Significantly more fingolimod (n=425) than IFN-treated patients (n=418) achieved NEDA-4 status: 27.9% vs. 16.7% (OR:1.93; 95% CI: 1.36–2.73; p=0.0002). Results were similar for other PBVC cut-offs: (>–0.2%): 20.2% vs 11.5%; 1.94; 1.30–2.90, p=0.0011; (>–0.6%): 34.6% vs 20.4%; 2.06; 1.49–2.86, p<0.0001; (>–1.2%): 40.8% vs 26.4%; 1.92; 1.42–2.60; p<0.0001.

Conclusion

Fingolimod-treated patients had twice the odds of achieving NEDA-4 status over 1 year as patients treated with IFN.