Age in addition to RETTS triage priority substantially improves 3-day mortality prediction in emergency department patients: a multi-center cohort study

BACKGROUND

Previous studies have shown varying results on the validity of the rapid emergency triage and treatment system (RETTS), but have concluded that patient age is not adequately considered as a risk factor for short term mortality. Little is known about the RETTS system's performance between different chief complaints and on short term mortality. We therefore aimed to evaluate how well a model including both RETTS triage priority and patient age (TP and age model) predicts 3-day mortality compared to a univariate RETTS triage priority model (TP model). Secondarily, we aimed to evaluate the TP model compared to a univariate age model (age model) and whether these three models' predictive performance regarding 3-day mortality varies between patients with different chief complaints in an unsorted emergency department patient population.

METHODS

This study was a prospective historic observational cohort study, using logistic regression on a cohort of patients seeking emergency department care in Stockholm during 2012-2016. Patient visits were stratified into the 10 chief complaint categories (CCC) with the highest number of deceased patients within 3 days of arrival, and to "other chief complaints". Patients with priority 1 were excluded.

RESULTS

The studied cohort contained 1,690,981 visits by 788,046 different individuals. The TP and age model predicted 3-day mortality significantly and substantially better than both univariate models in the total population and in each studied CCC. The age model predicted 3-day mortality significantly and substantially better than the TP model in the total population and for all but three CCCs and was not inferior in any CCC. There were substantial differences between the studied CCCs in the predictive ability of each of the three models.

CONCLUSIONS

Adding patient age to the RETTS triage priority system significantly and substantially improves 3-day mortality prediction compared to RETTS priority alone. Age alone is a non-inferior predictor of 3-day mortality compared to RETTS priority. The impact on 3-day mortality prediction of adding patient age to RETTS priority varies between CCCs but is substantial for all CCCs and for the total population. Including age as a variable in future revisions of RETTS could substantially improve patient safety.

Age is associated with increased mortality in the RETTS-A triage scale

Background

Triage is widely used in the emergency department (ED) in order to identify the patient’s level of urgency and often based on the patient’s chief complaint and vital signs. Age has been shown to be independently associated with short term mortality following an ED visit. However, the most commonly used ED triage tools do not include age as an independent core variable. The aim of this study was to investigate the relationship between age and 7- and 30-day mortality across the triage priority level groups according to Rapid Emergency Triage and Treatment System – Adult (RETTS-A), the most widely used triage tool in Sweden.

Methods

In this cohort, we included all adult patients visiting the ED at the Karolinska University Hospital, Sweden, from 1/1/2010 to 1/1/2015, n = 639,387. All patients were triaged according to the RETTS-A and subsequently separated into three age strata: 18–59, 60–79 and ≥ 80 years. Descriptive analyses and logistic regression was used. The primary outcome measures were 7- and 30-day mortality.

Results

We observed that age was associated with both 7 and 30-day mortality in each triage priority level group. Mortality was higher in older patients across all triage priority levels but the association with age was stronger in the lowest triage group (p-value for interaction = < 0.001). Comparing patients ≥80 years with patients 18–59 years, older patients had a 16 and 7 fold higher risk for 7 day mortality in the lowest and highest triage priority groups, respectively. The corresponding numbers for 30-d mortality were a 21- and 8-foldincreased risk, respectively.

Conclusion

Compared to younger patients, patients above 60 years have an increased short term mortality across the RETTS-A triage priority level groups and this was most pronounced in the lowest triage level. The reason for our findings are unclear and data suggest a validation of RETTS-A in aged patients.

Mathematics and dyslexia--an overlooked connection

This paper describes various kinds of learning disability. It is suggested that the connection between mathematical difficulties and dyslexia has been largely overlooked by educators. Students' failure to understand how the number system works and the resultant failure to appreciate place values account for many of the mathematical difficulties experienced by dyslexic learners.

Comparison of real-time cholecystosonography and oral cholecystography

To evaluate the efficacy of real-time ultrasonography in detecting cholelithiasis, a series of outpatients and inpatients was examined by oral cholecystography and real-time cholecystosonography. In 163 patients, real-time cholecystosonography achieved a sensitivity of 0.91 and a specificity of 0.99. These values are equal to or better than those usually obtained in current B-mode cholecystosonography or some reported series of oral cholecystography. However, technically excellent and meticulously performed oral cholecystography achieves slightly better sensitivity and specificity than real-time cholecystosonography. The latter is suggested as the initial examination for hospitalized patients, those with abnormal liver function studies or gastric outlet obstruction, and pregnant women. Real-time ultrasonography should also be used when the gallbladder is not adequately opacified on initial oral cholecystography if a sequential dose examination cannot be readily accomplished.