Development and Validation of a Multivariable Nomogram Predictive of Post-Nephroureterectomy Renal Function

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE

The timing of perioperative nephrotoxic chemotherapy for upper tract urothelial carcinoma (UTUC) remains controversial and strongly depends on predicted platinum eligibility after radical nephroureterectomy (RNU). The study objective was to develop and validate a multivariable nomogram to predict estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) following RNU.

METHODS

This was a multi-institutional retrospective study of patients with UTUC treated with RNU from 2000 to 2020 at seven high-volume referral centers. Use of adjuvant chemotherapy was risk-stratified. Patients were retrospectively randomly allocated 2:1 to discovery and validation cohorts. Discovery data were used to identify independent factors associated with GFR at 1-3 mo after RNU on linear regression, and backward selection was applied for model construction. Accuracy was defined as the percentage of predicted eGFR results within 30% of the corresponding observed eGFR.

KEY FINDINGS AND LIMITATIONS

We included 1100 patients, of whom 733 were in the discovery and 367 were in the validation cohort. Multivariable predictors of postoperative eGFR decline included advanced age (odds ratio [OR] -0.18, 95% confidence interval [CI] -0.28 to -0.08), diabetes (OR -2.38, 95% CI -4.64 to -0.11), and hypertension (OR -2.24, 95% CI -4.16 to -0.32). Factors associated with favorable postoperative eGFR included larger tumor size (OR 10.57, 95% CI 7.4-13.74 for tumors >5 cm vs ≤2 cm) and preoperative eGFR (OR 0.44, 95% CI 0.39-0.49). A composite nomogram predicted postoperative eGFR with good accuracy in both the discovery (80.5%) and validation (78.6%) cohorts. Limitations include exclusion of patients who received neoadjuvant chemotherapy.

CONCLUSIONS

A nomogram that incorporates ubiquitous preoperative clinical variables can predict post-RNU eGFR and was validated with an independent cohort.

PATIENT SUMMARY

We developed a tool that uses patient data to predict eligibility for chemotherapy after surgery to remove the kidney and ureter in patients with cancer in the upper urinary tract.

Effectiveness of perioperative chemotherapy and radical cystectomy in treating bladder cancer

BACKGROUND

Despite abundant evidence supporting the use of perioperative chemotherapy from clinical trials, no study to date has comprehensively evaluated its use in the treatment of muscle-invasive bladder cancer (MIBC) in the real-world setting. Little is known regarding the impact of pretreatment disease stage and real-world factors such as patient comorbidities preventing timely completion of therapy on its effectiveness. This study aims to assess the usage of perioperative chemotherapy and examines its impact on pathologic downstaging rates and recurrence free survival in patients undergoing radical cystectomy.

METHODS

A retrospective review was conducted in 805 patients with muscle invasive bladder cancer undergoing radical cystectomy with no perioperative chemotherapy, 761 with presurgical chemotherapy followed by radical cystectomy, and 134 radical cystectomy followed by adjuvant chemotherapy. Relevant clinicopathologic features were reviewed. Recurrence-free survival and Overall Survival probability estimates were calculated using the Kaplan-Meier method and compared using the Log-rank or Gehan-Breslow tests. The prognostic effects of presurgical chemotherapy and adjuvant chemotherapy regimens were evaluated by estimating hazard ratio and 95% confidence interval from an adjusted Cox proportional hazards model. Statistical tests were 2-sided, and significance was defined as P-value < 0.05.

RESULTS

In this contemporary, real-world cohort, 5-yr RFS was found to be 65.6% in pT0, 59.1%in pT2, and 10.8% in pN+ patients. Presurgical chemotherapy increased pathologic downstaging rates from 27.5% to 41.1% in patients with ≥cT2 BCa. Stratified by clinical T-stage, only cT2 patients derived recurrence-free survival (Median 45.3 months vs. 29.0 months, P < 0.01) and overall survival (Median 62.3 months vs. 41.9 months, P < 0.001) benefits.  In patients with adverse pathologic features (≥pT3 or pN+), adjuvant chemotherapy improved recurrence-free survival (Median 22.8 months vs. 10.0 months, P < 0.0001) and overall survival (Median OS 32.4 months vs. 16.3 months, P < 0.0001).

CONCLUSIONS

We report real-world outcomes from a large cohort of muscle-invasive bladder cancer patients undergoing surgical treatment with/out perioperative chemotherapy. Pathologic response rates to pre-surgical chemotherapy were modest and led to clinical benefit only in cT2 patients. Adjuvant chemotherapy provided survival benefit for pathologically advanced MIBC patients irrespective of pT/N staging.

Impact of surgical margin and extent of lymphadenectomy on oncologic outcomes in plasmacytoid urothelial carcinoma

OBJECTIVE

Guideline recommendations disagree on template boundaries for pelvic lymph node dissection (PLND) in conventional urothelial carcinoma. Less is known about PLND in variant histology. We aimed to analyze the role of LND in plasmacytoid urothelial carcinoma (PUC).

METHODS

A retrospective review of patients with cTanyNanyM0 PUC who underwent radical cystectomy (RC) with PLND was performed from 2012 to 2022. Lymph node count (LNC) was a surrogate for extent of lymph node dissection and dichotomized based on maximally selected rank statistics. Multivariable cox hazard regression analysis (MVA) for overall survival (OS) corrected for age, perioperative chemotherapy, soft tissue margin status, and stage ≥pT3 and/or pN+ was performed. Disease free survival (DFS) and OS were estimated using Kaplan-Meier (KM) analysis.

RESULTS

Sixty-seven patients with median age of 71, who were 79.1% male were included. Neoadjuvant and adjuvant chemotherapy were administered in 61.2% and 19.4% of patients, respectively. At RC, 70.1% were ≥pT3. Median LNC was 22 (IQR 14-27) with 43.3% of patients being pN+. Calculated optimal-LNC cut point for DFS and OS was 19. Grouping by optimal (≥20) vs. suboptimal-LNC (<20), no significant clinicodemographic differences were found. Optimal-LNC provided improved DFS (P = 0.05) and OS (P = 0.02). Optimal-LNC (HR 0.47, 0.24-0.93 CI 95%, P = 0.03) and negative soft tissue margin (HR 0.38, 0.19-0.76 CI 95%, P = 0.01) was associated with improved OS on MVA. Receipt of perioperative chemotherapy did not improve OS (P = 0.46).

CONCLUSION

In PUC, complete surgical extirpation achieving negative soft tissue margins and removing ≥20 lymph should be prioritized if operative intervention is pursued.