Predicting new-onset heart failure hospitalization of patients with atrial fibrillation: development and external validations of a risk score

Background

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a well-known risk factor for heart failure (HF), and HF development as a complication of AF is associated with a decline in the quality of life and poor prognosis. However, unlike thrombotic events, incidence of HF in patients with AF has not changed for decades, and a preventive strategy has yet to be developed.

Purpose

We sought to develop a risk model for new-onset HF admission in patients with AF and without a history of HF. Additionally, we attempted to externally validate the developed risk model.

Methods

We utilized two multicenter, prospective, observational registries of AF and analyzed the patients without a history of AF. One of which is defined as a derivation cohort, which included 2,857 patients, and the other is defined as a validation cohort, which included 2,516 patients. We developed a risk model by selecting variables with regularized regression and weighing coefficients by Cox regression analysis with the derivation cohort. The external validity was tested in the validation cohort.

Results

During the follow-up period, 148 patients (5.2%) in the derivation cohort and 104 patients (4.1%) in the validation cohort developed HF during the median follow-up period of 1,396 (interquartile range [IQR]: 1,078–1,820) days and 1,168 (IQR: 844–1,309) days, respectively. In the derivation cohort, four predictors (age, hemoglobin, serum creatinine, and log-transformed brain natriuretic peptide) were identified as potential risk factors for HF development. The developed risk model showed good discrimination and calibration in both the derivation (area under the curve [AUC], 0.77 [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.73–0.81]; Hosmer-Lemeshow test, P=0.257) and validation cohorts (AUC: 0.76 [95% CI 0.72–0.81]; Hosmer-Lemeshow test, P=0.475). Considering death not due to HF as a competing risk, the cumulative incidence curves for HF admission stratified by the risk score were generated, which showed higher HF hospitalization rate for the higher risk score categories.

Conclusion

The newly developed risk model with four readily available clinical characteristics and biomarkers performed well in the prediction of new-onset HF admission of patients with AF in both derivation and validation cohort.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: None.

Quantitative estimation of pulmonary artery wedge pressure from chest radiographs by a regression convolutional neural network

Introduction

Recent studies reported that a convolutional neural network (CNN; a deep learning model) can detect elevated pulmonary artery wedge pressure (PAWP) from chest radiographs, the diagnostic images most commonly used for assessing pulmonary congestion in heart failure. However, no method has been published for quantitatively estimating PAWP from such radiographs. We hypothesized that a regression CNN, an alternative type of deep learning, could be a useful tool for quantitatively estimating PAWP from chest radiographs in cardiovascular diseases.

Methods

We retrospectively enrolled 936 patients with cardiovascular diseases who had undergone right heart catheterization (RHC) and chest radiography and estimated PAWP by constructing a regression CNN based on the VGG16 model. We randomly categorized 80% of the data as training data (training group, n=748) and 20% as test data (test group, n=188). Moreover, we tuned the learning rate–one of the model parameters–by 5-hold cross-validation of the training group. Correlations between PAWP measured by RHC (ground truth [GT] PAWP) and PAWP derived from the regression CNN (estimated PAWP) were tested. To visualize how the regression CNN assessed the images, we created a regression activation map (RAM), a visualization technique for regression CNN.

Results

Estimated PAWP correlated significantly with GT PAWP in both the training (r=0.76, P<0.001) and test group (r=0.62, P<0.001). Bland-Altman plots found a mean (SEM) difference between GT and estimated PAWP of −0.23 (0.16) mm Hg in the training and −0.05 (0.41) mm Hg in the test group. The RAM showed that our regression CNN model estimated high PAWP by focusing on the cardiomegaly and pulmonary congestion. In the test group, the area under the curve (AUC) for detecting elevated PAWP (≥18 mm Hg) produced by the regression CNN model was similar to the AUC of an experienced cardiologist (0.86 vs 0.83, respectively; P=0.24).

Conclusion

This proof-of-concept study shows that regression CNN can quantitatively estimate PAWP from standard chest radiographs in cardiovascular diseases.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: Private company. Main funding source(s): The Bayer Academic Support

High-power laser experiment forming a supercritical collisionless shock in a magnetized uniform plasma at rest

We present an experimental method to generate quasiperpendicular supercritical magnetized collisionless shocks. In our experiment, ambient nitrogen (N) plasma is at rest and well magnetized, and it has uniform mass density. The plasma is pushed by laser-driven ablation aluminum (Al) plasma. Streaked optical pyrometry and spatially resolved laser collective Thomson scattering clarify structures of plasma density and temperatures, which are compared with one-dimensional particle-in-cell simulations. It is indicated that just after the laser irradiation, the Al plasma is magnetized by a self-generated Biermann battery field, and the plasma slaps the incident N plasma. The compressed external field in the N plasma reflects N ions, leading to counterstreaming magnetized N flows. Namely, we identify the edge of the reflected N ions. Such interacting plasmas form a magnetized collisionless shock.

Probing Gluon Spin-Momentum Correlations in Transversely Polarized Protons through Midrapidity Isolated Direct Photons in p^{↑}+p Collisions at sqrt[s]=200 GeV

Studying spin-momentum correlations in hadronic collisions offers a glimpse into a three-dimensional picture of proton structure. The transverse single-spin asymmetry for midrapidity isolated direct photons in p^{↑}+p collisions at sqrt[s]=200  GeV is measured with the PHENIX detector at the Relativistic Heavy Ion Collider (RHIC). Because direct photons in particular are produced from the hard scattering and do not interact via the strong force, this measurement is a clean probe of initial-state spin-momentum correlations inside the proton and is in particular sensitive to gluon interference effects within the proton. This is the first time direct photons have been used as a probe of spin-momentum correlations at RHIC. The uncertainties on the results are a 50-fold improvement with respect to those of the one prior measurement for the same observable, from the Fermilab E704 experiment. These results constrain gluon spin-momentum correlations in transversely polarized protons.

Fast-slow atrioventricular nodal reentrant tachycardia phenotype mimicking the slow-slow type

Background

Fast-slow (F/S-) atrioventricular (AV) nodal reentrant tachycardia (AVNRT) is characterized by a short atrio-His (AH) interval and the earliest site of atrial activation (EAA) in the proximal coronary sinus (EAA-CS), while slow-slow (S/S-) AVNRT presents a long AH interval and EAA-CS. Those intracardiac appearances are initial indicators for making a diagnosis.

Purpose

To identify an unknown phenotype of F/S-AVNRT.

Methods

Among 46 consecutive patients with F/S-AVNRT, 6 patients (1 man, age 59±9) had an apparent but not typical (pseudo-) S/S-AVNRT during an electrophysiologic study. In 2 patients, pseudo-S/S-AVNRT was clinically documented.

Results

In all 6 patients, the diagnosis of F/S-AVNRT was made by an exclusion of atrial tachycardia with findings of 1) a V-A-V response following ventricular entrainment or 2) termination without atrial capture by ventricular pacing, and an exclusion of AV reentrant tachycardia with a ventriculoatrial dissociation during an initial (so-called QRS transition) zone of ventricular entrainment. An initial A-A-V activation sequence on atrial induction of F/S-AVNRT observed in 1 patient and Wenckebach-type AV block during ongoing F/S-AVNRT developing in 3 patients suggested the presence of the lower common pathway (LCP). Like the typical S/S-AVNRT, pseudo-S/S-AVNRT was induced with atrial stimulation after a jump in the AH interval or double ventricular response. However, in all patients, the pseudo-S/S-AVNRT transited to F/S-AVNRT following AV block in a single cycle and/or pseudo-S/S-AVNRT transited from spontaneously or triggered by atrial contractions. Importantly, on these transitions, the atrial cycle length (CL) and EAA-CS remained unchanged, that is, the atrial CL of S/S-AVNRT was almost identical to that of F/S-AVNRT, suggesting that the essential circuit of both tachycardias was identical. Actually, both tachycardias were cured by ablation at a single site in the traditional slow pathway (SP). Collectively, the pseudo-S/S-AVNRT was diagnosed as another phenotype of F/S-AVNRT accompanied by sustained antegrade conduction via another bystander (likely the left-sided or superior) SP breaking through the His bundle owing to the repetitive antegrade block at the LCP occurring by linking phenomenon, thus representing a long AH interval during the ongoing F/S-AVNRT. When the antegrade conduction is blocked at the bystander SP during the pseudo-S/S-AVNRT, releasing the linking phenomenon, the subsequent antegrade conduction reach the His-bundle via the fast pathway, thus returning to F/S-AVNRT.

Conclusions

An unknown, but not rare F/S-AVNRT phenotype exists that apparently mimics the typical S/S-AVNRT and is also an unknown subtype of apparent S/S-AVNRT. The presence of this pseudo-S/S-AVNRT suggests the limitation of classifying types of AVNRT based on AH and HA intervals during tachycardia. Understandings of this phenotype can advance a diagnosis of atypical AVNRT with multiple phenotypes.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: None.

Recurrence of atrial fibrillation after catheter ablation is associated with major adverse cardiac and cerebrovascular events: insights from AF frontier ablation registry

Background

Recent observational studies have suggested that catheter ablation for atrial fibrillation (AF) is significantly associated with reduced risk for stroke, cardiovascular events and all-cause death. However, little is known whether late recurrence of AF after catheter ablation is associated with worse clinical outcomes.

Purpose

We aimed to clarify whether late recurrence of AF after catheter ablation is associated with major adverse cardiac and cerebrovascular events (MACCE).

Methods

We retrospectively investigated 2,737 participants (74.4% men, mean age 63.4±10.3 years, 62.7% paroxysmal AF) who received first catheter ablation for AF and completed follow-up more than 3 months after the procedure from AF Frontier Ablation Registry, a multicenter cohort study in Japan. We evaluated an association between late recurrence of AF after catheter ablation and first MACCE in cox-regression hazard models adjusted for known risk factors. MACCE were defined as stroke/transient ischemic attack (TIA), cardiovascular events or all-cause death. Late recurrence was defined as AF relapse more than 3 months after the procedure.

Results

During a mean follow-up period of 25.2 months, 2,070 patients (75.6%) were free from AF after catheter ablation and 122 patients (4.5%) had MACCE (ischemic stroke 18 [14.8%], hemorrhagic stroke 16 [13.1%], TIA 7 [5.7%], hospitalization for heart failure 19 [15.6%], acute coronary syndrome 19 [15.6%], hospitalization for other cardiovascular events 24 [20%] and all-cause death 19 [15.6%]). The MACCE occurred significantly more frequently in the recurrence group than in non-recurrence group (7.5% vs. 3.5%; hazard ratio [HR] 1.85; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.28–2.65; P=0.001) (Figure). Multivariate analysis revealed that baseline age (HR 1.05; 95% CI 1.03–1.08; P<0.001), heart failure (HR 1.76; 95% CI 1.17–2.66; P=0.007), old myocardial infarction (HR 4.49; 95% CI 2.59–7.81; P<0.001), non-ischemic cardiomyopathy (HR 2.56; 95% CI 1.47–4.46; P=0.001), left atrial diameter (HR 1.22 per 5-mm increase; 95% CI, 1.06–1.41; P=0.006) and recurrence of AF (HR 1.69; 95% CI 1.17–2.44; P=0.005) were independently associated with the incidence of MACCE after catheter ablation.

Conclusion

In the Japanese multicenter cohort of AF ablation, late recurrence of AF was independently associated with increased MACCE, suggesting the significance of sinus rhythm maintenance by catheter ablation.

Kaplan-Meier curves for MACCE

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding source: None

Influence of obesity and epicardial fat on the progression of electrical and structural remodeling in a canine obese rapid atrial pacing model

Background

Metabolic syndrome is a cluster of conditions including obesity, insulin resistance, hypertension, and abnormal cholesterol, which increases the cardiovascular risk. Metabolic syndrome or obesity has been reported to provide systemic inflammation and oxidative stress. Increased epicardial fat volume is a manifestation of obesity or metabolic syndrome. Those systemic and local conditions related to obesity or metabolic syndrome have been linking to the risk of atrial fibrillation (AF). The underlying mechanisms of obesity linking epicardial fat to AF progression have not been fully examined.

Purpose

To investigate the impact of obesity linked to epicardial fat on electrophysiologic and anatomical AF substrates.

Methods

Twenty dogs aged 3 years were divided into four groups (n=5 per each): normal diet for over 20 weeks (control group [median body weight: 12.0 kg]), rapid atrial pacing (RAP) for last 4–15 (median 8) weeks during a normal diet for the same period (RAP group [10.5 kg]), high-fat diet (HFD) maintained for over 20 weeks without RAP (MetS group [16.0 kg]), and RAP for last 4–12 (median 6) weeks during HFD maintained for 24 weeks (MetS-RAP group [17.0 kg]), respectively. Activation/voltage maps of the atria during sinus rhythm were created with Ensite NavX mapping system. The effective refractory period (ERP) at 5 left atrial (LA) and pulmonary vein (PV) sites (LA appendage [LAA], LA body, right and left superior PVs, and inferior PV), and AF inducibility by burst LAA pacing were determined. At study completion, hearts were excised for histopathological and gene expression analyses.

Results

The LA pressure was more significantly increased in MetS than the MetS-RAP, RAP, and control groups (22.5 [17–28.8] mmHg vs. 14.0 [10.5–16.3] mmHg, 10.5 [7.4–17.2] mmHg and 10.7 [9.6–13.5] mmHg, respectively, P<0.05). The LA/PV ERP at a basic cycle length of 400 ms was shorter in the MetS-RAP and RAP than MetS and control groups (118±39 ms and 122±44 ms vs. 136±18 ms and 155±39 ms, respectively, P<0.05). Short duration AF was more induced in the MetS and MetS-RAP than RAP and control groups (3 [0–5.5] sec and 2 [0.5–3.5] sec vs. 0 [0–4.5] sec and 0 [0–0] sec, P<0.05). Histological examinations showed the fatty infiltration extending from epicardial fat increased more in the Mets and Mets-RAP than RAP and control groups (Figure). The Fibronectin 1 and collagen I/III mRNA levels increased more in the MetS-RAP and AF than MetS and control groups.

Conclusions

AF vulnerability was associated with increased LA pressures and fibrofatty infiltration from epicardial fat in the MetS group, and with fibrofatty infiltration from epicardial fat with subtle fibrosis in the MetS-RAP group. This suggested that fibrofatty infiltration and epicardial fat plays an important role in AF pathogenesis in obese patients.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding source: Public grant(s) – National budget only. Main funding source(s): Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (KAKENHI)

B-Type natriuretic peptide predicts major adverse cardiac and cerebrovascular events after catheter ablation of atrial fibrillation: insights from AF frontier ablation registry

Background

High plasma B-Type natriuretic peptide (BNP) level is associated with cardiac events or stroke in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). However, it is still unknown whether BNP predicts worse clinical outcomes after catheter ablation ofAF.

Purpose

We aimed to see if plasma BNP level is associated with major adverse cardiac and cerebrovascular events (MACCE) after catheter ablation of AF.

Methods

We retrospectively analyzed 1,853 participants (73.1% men, mean age 63.3±10.3 years, 60.7% paroxysmal AF) who received first catheter ablation of AF with pre-ablation plasma BNP level measurement and completed follow-up more than 3 months after the procedure from AF Frontier Ablation Registry, a multicenter cohort study in Japan. We evaluated an association between plasma BNP level before catheter ablation and first MACCE in cox-regression hazard models adjusted for known risk factors. MACCE were defined as stroke/transient ischemic attack (TIA), cardiovascular events or all-cause death.

Results

The mean plasma BNP level was 120.2±3.7 pg/mL. During a mean follow-up period of 21.9 months, 57 patients (3.1%) suffered MACCE (ischemic stroke 8 [14.0%], hemorrhagic stroke 5 [8.8%], TIA 5 [8.8%], hospitalization for heart failure 11 [19.2%], acute coronary syndrome 9 [15.8%], hospitalization for other cardiovascular events 8 [14.0%] and all-cause death 11 [19.2%]). Plasma BNP level of patients with MACCE were significantly higher than those without MACCE (291.7±47.0 vs 114.7±3.42 pg/mL, P<0.001). Multivariate analysis revealed that plasma BNP level (hazard ratio [HR] per 10 pg/mL increase 1.014; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.005–1.023; P=0.001), baseline age (HR 1.052; 95% CI 1.022–1.084; P=0.001), heart failure (HR 2.698; 95% CI 1.512–4.815; P=0.001), old myocardial infarction (HR 3.593; 95% CI 1.675–7.708; P=0.001) and non-ischemic cardiomyopathy (HR 2.676; 95% CI 1.337 - 5.355; P=0.005) were independently associated with MACCE. At receiver-operating characteristic curve analysis, plasma BNP level before catheter ablation ≥162.7 pg/mL was the best threshold to predict MACCE (area under the curve: 0.71). Kaplan-Meier curve analysis (Figure) showed that the cumulative incidence of MACCE was significantly higher in patients with a BNP ≥162.7 pg/mL than in those with a BNP below 162.7 pg/mL (HR 4.85; 95% CI 2.86–8.21; P<0.001).

Conclusions

Elevation of plasma BNP level was independently related to the increased risk of MACCE after catheter ablation ofAF.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding source: Private company. Main funding source(s): Bristol-Meiers Squibb

Non-invasive and wearable thermometer for continuous monitoring of core body temperature under various convective conditions

We describe the design of a thermometer that can be worn during everyday activities for monitoring core body temperature (CBT) at the skin surface. This sensor estimates the CBT by measuring the heat flux from the body core based on a thermal conductive model. The heat flux is usually affected by the ambient convective conditions (e.g. air conditioner or posture), which in turn affects the model's accuracy. Thus, we analytically investigated heat conduction and designed a sensor interface that would be robust to convection changes. We performed an in vitro experiment and a preliminary in vivo experiment. The accuracy of CBT in an in vitro experiments was 0.1°C for convective values ranging from 0 to 1.2 m/s. The wearable thermometer has high potential as non-invasive CBT monitor.

Nuclear Dependence of the Transverse Single-Spin Asymmetry in the Production of Charged Hadrons at Forward Rapidity in Polarized p+p, p+Al, and p+Au Collisions at sqrt[s_{NN}]=200 GeV

We report on the nuclear dependence of transverse single-spin asymmetries (TSSAs) in the production of positively charged hadrons in polarized p^{↑}+p, p^{↑}+Al, and p^{↑}+Au collisions at sqrt[s_{NN}]=200  GeV. The measurements have been performed at forward rapidity (1.4<η<2.4) over the range of transverse momentum (1.8<p_{T}<7.0  GeV/c) and Feynman x (0.1<x_{F}<0.2). We observed positive asymmetries for positively charged hadrons in p^{↑}+p collisions, and significantly reduced asymmetries in p^{↑}+A collisions. These results reveal a nuclear dependence of TSSAs for charged-hadron production in a regime where perturbative techniques are applicable. These results provide new opportunities to use p^{↑}+A collisions as a tool to investigate the rich phenomena behind TSSAs in hadronic collisions and to use TSSAs as a new handle in studying small-system collisions.

Beam Energy and Centrality Dependence of Direct-Photon Emission from Ultrarelativistic Heavy-Ion Collisions

The PHENIX collaboration presents first measurements of low-momentum (0.4<p_{T}<3  GeV/c) direct-photon yields from Au+Au collisions at sqrt[s_{NN}]=39 and 62.4 GeV. For both beam energies the direct-photon yields are substantially enhanced with respect to expectations from prompt processes, similar to the yields observed in Au+Au collisions at sqrt[s_{NN}]=200. Analyzing the photon yield as a function of the experimental observable dN_{ch}/dη reveals that the low-momentum (>1  GeV/c) direct-photon yield dN_{γ}^{dir}/dη is a smooth function of dN_{ch}/dη and can be well described as proportional to (dN_{ch}/dη)^{α} with α≈1.25. This scaling behavior holds for a wide range of beam energies at the Relativistic Heavy Ion Collider and the Large Hadron Collider, for centrality selected samples, as well as for different A+A collision systems. At a given beam energy, the scaling also holds for high p_{T} (>5  GeV/c), but when results from different collision energies are compared, an additional sqrt[s_{NN}]-dependent multiplicative factor is needed to describe the integrated-direct-photon yield.

Condensate refractory inclusions from the CO3.00 chondrite Dominion Range 08006: Petrography, mineral chemistry, and isotopic compositions

We have found two refractory inclusions in the CO3.00 carbonaceous chondrite Dominion Range (DOM) 08006 that appear to be primary condensates from the early solar nebula. One, inclusion 56-1, contains the first four phases predicted to form by equilibrium gas-solid condensation: corundum; hibonite; grossite; and perovskite. The other, 31-2, contains nine predicted condensate phases: hibonite; grossite; perovskite; melilite; spinel; FeNi metal; diopside; forsterite; and enstatite. Except for melilite/spinel, the phases occur in the predicted sequence from core to rim of the inclusion, which has an irregular shape inconsistent with a molten stage. This inclusion preserves the most complete record of condensation in the early solar nebula that has yet been found. The physical evidence reported here supports equilibrium condensation calculations that predict the observed sequence as well as the assumptions upon which they are based, such as total pressure (~10-3 atm), bulk system composition (solar), and C-O-H proportions. All phases in both inclusions and the associated ferromagnesian silicates are 16O-rich, with ∆17O between -25 and -20‰, implying that this is the original composition of the vast majority of primary condensates and that 16O-poor compositions observed in many isotopically heterogeneous inclusions are largely due to subsequent isotopic exchange. While the nebula was well-mixed with respect to oxygen isotopic composition, clearly resolved anomalies in Ca and Ti isotopic compositions indicate that some isotopic heterogeneity existed early and was preserved during condensation. Inclusion 31-2 did not incorporate live 26Al and has nucleosynthetic anomalies in the heavy Ca and Ti isotopes (i.e., δ48Ca = 4.3 ± 1.9‰; δ50Ti = 8.8 ± 2.0‰). In contrast, inclusion 56-1 has radiogenic 26Mg excesses yielding a (26Al/27Al)0 ratio of (1.0 ± 0.1) × 10-5 and negative nucleosynthetic isotopic anomalies in Ca (δ48Ca = -10.3 ± 4.2‰) and Ti (δ50Ti = -4.3 ± 2.9‰). Thus, it represents a deviation from the mutual exclusivity relationship between 26Al incorporation and large nucleosynthetic anomalies. The reservoirs in which these inclusions formed had similar O-isotopic and different Al-, Ca- and Ti-isotopic compositions, suggesting that while the CAI-forming region was well-mixed with respect to oxygen isotopic composition, clearly resolved anomalies in Ca and Ti isotopic compositions indicate that some isotopic heterogeneity existed and was preserved during condensation.

Pseudorapidity Dependence of Particle Production and Elliptic Flow in Asymmetric Nuclear Collisions of p+Al, p+Au, d+Au, and ^{3}He+Au at sqrt[s_{NN}]=200 GeV

Asymmetric nuclear collisions of p+Al, p+Au, d+Au, and ^{3}He+Au at sqrt[s_{NN}]=200  GeV provide an excellent laboratory for understanding particle production, as well as exploring interactions among these particles after their initial creation in the collision. We present measurements of charged hadron production dN_{ch}/dη in all such collision systems over a broad pseudorapidity range and as a function of collision multiplicity. A simple wounded quark model is remarkably successful at describing the full data set. We also measure the elliptic flow v_{2} over a similarly broad pseudorapidity range. These measurements provide key constraints on models of particle emission and their translation into flow.

Hepatitis B virus reactivation in patients with rheumatoid arthritis: Analysis of the National Database of Japan

This study aimed to determine the incidence and risk factors for hepatitis B virus (HBV) reactivation in patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA) undergoing immunosuppressive therapy. The National Database of Japan, in which insurance claim data have been comprehensively accumulated, was utilized. The subjects were 76 641 RA patients who were plausibly initiated on immunosuppressive therapy from April 2013 to March 2014. Laboratory tests of the hepatitis B surface antigen, anti-hepatitis B virus surface antibody, and anti-hepatitis B virus core antibody were performed in 28.23%, 12.52% and 14.63% of patients, respectively, when the therapy was initiated. We found that HBV reactivation and fulminant hepatitis occurred in both the patients with and without HBV DNA monitoring, indicating insufficient monitoring in Japan during the study. The cumulative incidence of HBV reactivation over 24 months was 1.57% (95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.28%-1.92%) in the monitoring group, which consisted of those with resolved HBV infection. Glucocorticoid administration was a potent risk factor for HBV reactivation (hazard ratio [HR]  = 1.70, 95% CI = 1.26-2.29, P = .001 in all subjects, and HR = 1.82, 95% CI = 1.18-2.81, P = .007 in the nonmonitoring group), although it was not statistically significant in the monitoring group (HR = 1.49, 95% CI = 0.99-2.26 and P = .057). No significant risk difference was observed between single administration of methotrexate and biological drugs.

Abstract P1-07-23: The quality and quantity of visceral fat tissue are associated with insulin resistance and survival outcome after chemotherapy for patients with early-stage breast cancer

Background: Obesity and insulin resistance are associated with inferior levels of chemosensitivity and overall prognosis for breast cancer (BC) treatment. Recent studies suggest that the quality and quantity of visceral adipose tissue (VAT) play a significant role in adipocyte function, and are related to insulin resistance. We therefore tested the hypothesis that high amount and low quality of VAT worsen treatment outcomes via insulin resistance mechanisms.

Patients and Methods: We examined two independent studies: a cross-sectional study (cohort 1) and a retrospective study (cohort 2). Cohort 1 included 106 women with early-stage BC who were undergoing surgery. Patients with normal weight (17.5&lt; body mass index [BMI, kg/m2] ≤25, n = 53) and overweight/obese patients (BMI &gt;25, n = 53) were selected by a pair-matching method. Insulin resistance was evaluated by HOMA-R: fasting insulin (microU/L) × fasting glucose (nmol/L)/22.5. And insulin-like growth factor (IGF) family including IGF-1 and IGF-binding protein 3 (IGFBP3) were measured before beginning treatment. The amounts of visceral fat (aVAT) was measured by 3-dimensional volumetric software using the stocked computed tomography (CT) imaging data. The quality of VAT was assessed based on the mode value of CT Hounsfield Unit of VAT (VAT-HU) at navel level of CT axial view. The association between the former variables and the quality and quantity of VAT was analyzed. Cohort 2 included 271 patients who received chemotherapy in the neo-adjuvant (NAC) or adjuvant setting. Imaging analysis was performed in the same way, and the association between those values and survival outcome after chemotherapy was analyzed by retrospective chart review.

Results: In cohort 1, aVAT was significantly correlated with serum insulin and HOMA-R levels (Pearson's R 0.44 and 0.42, respectively; P&lt;0.05). On comparing the two groups divided by BMI, the levels of IGF-1 and IGFBP3 were not significantly different between the normal weight and the overweight/obese groups (P = 0.31 and 0.77, respectively). However, the overweight/obese group demonstrated significantly higher HOMA-R (P&lt;0.05). In cohort 2, aVAT was significantly correlated with BMI (P&lt;0.05). In a multivariate analysis, pathological complete responses were not associated with aVAT (P = 0.60). After a median follow-up of 112 months, tertile stratification revealed that the third tertile of aVAT had a significantly shorter distant disease free survival (DDFS) in the NAC setting (p&lt;0.05). When adjusted by covariates in the Cox proportional regression model, aVAT and VAT-HU demonstrated significant contribution to a worsened DDFS ([p&lt;0.05, hazard ratio {HR} 1.39; 95% confidence interval {CI} 1.11 to 1.75] and [p&lt;0.05, HR 1.20, 95% CI 1.01 to 1.43], respectively).

Conclusions: Our study found that high amounts and low quality of VAT worsen treatment outcomes. Furthermore, we found that insulin resistance was related to those two factors. Although further validation is needed, our present work suggests the importance of evaluating the quality and quantity of visceral fat for estimating insulin resistance and treatment outcomes after chemotherapy for patients with early-stage BC.

Citation Format: Iwase T, Sangai T, Nagashima T, Sakakibara M, Fujimoto H, Sawabe Y, Nagashima K, Otsuka M. The quality and quantity of visceral fat tissue are associated with insulin resistance and survival outcome after chemotherapy for patients with early-stage breast cancer [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 2017 San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium; 2017 Dec 5-9; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2018;78(4 Suppl):Abstract nr P1-07-23.

Measurements of Multiparticle Correlations in d+Au Collisions at 200, 62.4, 39, and 19.6 GeV and p+Au Collisions at 200 GeV and Implications for Collective Behavior

Recently, multiparticle-correlation measurements of relativistic p/d/^{3}He+Au, p+Pb, and even p+p collisions show surprising collective signatures. Here, we present beam-energy-scan measurements of two-, four-, and six-particle angular correlations in d+Au collisions at sqrt[s_{NN}]=200, 62.4, 39, and 19.6 GeV. We also present measurements of two- and four-particle angular correlations in p+Au collisions at sqrt[s_{NN}]=200  GeV. We find the four-particle cumulant to be real valued for d+Au collisions at all four energies. We also find that the four-particle cumulant in p+Au has the opposite sign as that in d+Au. Further, we find that the six-particle cumulant agrees with the four-particle cumulant in d+Au collisions at 200 GeV, indicating that nonflow effects are subdominant. These observations provide strong evidence that the correlations originate from the initial geometric configuration, which is then translated into the momentum distribution for all particles, commonly referred to as collectivity.

Changes regarding Age and Correlations between Serum Lipids and Body Mass Index in Humankind

Objectives: To improve insight into age and gender related distributions of serum lipids and their correlation with body mass index (BMI).

Methods: Serum lipids embracing atherogenic index (AI) and BMI were analyzed from the results obtained in 19,823 men and 14,788 women undergoing a health examination between 1986 and 1996.

Results: The changes in total cholesterol (TC), triglyceride (TG), AI and BMI differed regarding gender. Although high-density lipoprotein-cholesterol (HDL-C) showed a flat pattern for all ages in both genders, its level in women was higher than in men. The ratio of the number in the unsuitable range to those in the suitable range increased with age as to TC in both sexes, then more than half of the population have an unsuitable level in the sixth decade. As for the correlation between serum lipids and BMI: TC, TG and AI correlated positively, but HDL-C correlated negatively. There were significant gaps between both age and gender.

Conclusions: We suggest that the normal range of values of serum lipids needs to be revised according to gender and age to evaluate the risk status for a cardio-cerebrovascular disease more precisely in the field of preventive medicine. Simpler guidelines are preferable in specialized care as well as in general practice, particularly since computer technology is not yet universally adapted. In the near future, when computed information technology will be as common as the electricity and the telephone are current on the whole earth, all guidelines will have to be computed on the spot and personally.

Nuclear Dependence of the Transverse-Single-Spin Asymmetry for Forward Neutron Production in Polarized p+A Collisions at sqrt[s_{NN}]=200 GeV

During 2015, the Relativistic Heavy Ion Collider (RHIC) provided collisions of transversely polarized protons with Au and Al nuclei for the first time, enabling the exploration of transverse-single-spin asymmetries with heavy nuclei. Large single-spin asymmetries in very forward neutron production have been previously observed in transversely polarized p+p collisions at RHIC, and the existing theoretical framework that was successful in describing the single-spin asymmetry in p+p collisions predicts only a moderate atomic-mass-number (A) dependence. In contrast, the asymmetries observed at RHIC in p+A collisions showed a surprisingly strong A dependence in inclusive forward neutron production. The observed asymmetry in p+Al collisions is much smaller, while the asymmetry in p+Au collisions is a factor of 3 larger in absolute value and of opposite sign. The interplay of different neutron production mechanisms is discussed as a possible explanation of the observed A dependence.

Development of a High-Throughput Gene Expression Screen for Modulators of RAS-MAPK Signaling in a Mutant RAS Cellular Context

The RAS-MAPK pathway controls many cellular programs, including cell proliferation, differentiation, and apoptosis. In colorectal cancers, recurrent mutations in this pathway often lead to increased cell signaling that may contribute to the development of neoplasms, thereby making this pathway attractive for therapeutic intervention. To this end, we developed a 26-member gene signature of RAS-MAPK pathway activity utilizing the Affymetrix QuantiGene Plex 2.0 reagent system and performed both primary and confirmatory gene expression-based high-throughput screens (GE-HTSs) using KRAS mutant colon cancer cells (SW837) and leveraging a highly annotated chemical library. The screen achieved a hit rate of 1.4% and was able to enrich for hit compounds that target RAS-MAPK pathway members such as MEK and EGFR. Sensitivity and selectivity performance measurements were 0.84 and 1.00, respectively, indicating high true-positive and true-negative rates. Active compounds from the primary screen were confirmed in a dose-response GE-HTS assay, a GE-HTS assay using 14 additional cancer cell lines, and an in vitro colony formation assay. Altogether, our data suggest that this GE-HTS assay will be useful for larger unbiased chemical screens to identify novel compounds and mechanisms that may modulate the RAS-MAPK pathway.

Centrality-Dependent Modification of Jet-Production Rates in Deuteron-Gold Collisions at √[s(NN)]=200 GeV

Jet production rates are measured in p+p and d+Au collisions at sqrt[s_{NN}]=200  GeV recorded in 2008 with the PHENIX detector at the Relativistic Heavy Ion Collider. Jets are reconstructed using the R=0.3 anti-k_{t} algorithm from energy deposits in the electromagnetic calorimeter and charged tracks in multiwire proportional chambers, and the jet transverse momentum (p_{T}) spectra are corrected for the detector response. Spectra are reported for jets with 12<p_{T}<50  GeV/c, within a pseudorapidity acceptance of |η|<0.3. The nuclear-modification factor (R_{dAu}) values for 0%-100% d+Au events are found to be consistent with unity, constraining the role of initial state effects on jet production. However, the centrality-selected R_{dAu} values and central-to-peripheral ratios (R_{CP}) show large, p_{T}-dependent deviations from unity, challenging the conventional models that relate hard-process rates and soft-particle production in collisions involving nuclei.

Measurement and comparison of individual external doses of high-school students living in Japan, France, Poland and Belarus-the 'D-shuttle' project

Twelve high schools in Japan (of which six are in Fukushima Prefecture), four in France, eight in Poland and two in Belarus cooperated in the measurement and comparison of individual external doses in 2014. In total 216 high-school students and teachers participated in the study. Each participant wore an electronic personal dosimeter 'D-shuttle' for two weeks, and kept a journal of his/her whereabouts and activities. The distributions of annual external doses estimated for each region overlap with each other, demonstrating that the personal external individual doses in locations where residence is currently allowed in Fukushima Prefecture and in Belarus are well within the range of estimated annual doses due to the terrestrial background radiation level of other regions/countries.

Abstract P2-11-07: Mutually exclusive expression pattern of the immune co-inhibitory molecules B7-H4 and PD-L1 in triple negative breast cancer

B7-H4 (VTCN1, B7x, B7S1) is a transmembrane protein belonging to the B7 family of costimulatory proteins and has been shown to inhibit T cell proliferation, cytokine secretion, and cytotoxic lymphocyte (CTL) induction. B7-H4 expressed on tumor cells or macrophages has been associated with poor prognosis and impaired T cell function in renal cell and ovarian cancers. Here we show B7-H4 is abundantly expressed in human breast cancer with triple negative breast cancer (TNBC) having the highest overall B7-H4 mRNA expression. We developed a specific and sensitive immunohistochemistry (IHC) assay for evaluation of B7-H4 protein and quantified B7-H4 expression in 156 breast tumor samples. Approximately 70% of the breast tumor samples had detectable B7-H4 expression whereas none of the normal or benign breast tissues stained positive for B7-H4. Multiplex IHC and flow cytometry studies showed that the majority of B7-H4 expression was restricted to the tumor epithelial cells, the CD45+ immune cells were negative for B7-H4 expression. Interestingly none of the TNBC samples that were positive for B7-H4 showed detectable expression of PD-L1 suggesting that B7-H4 and PD-L1 checkpoint proteins may act in a mutually exclusive manner.

To evaluate the role of B7-H4 on tumor immune evasion, we overexpressed murine or human B7-H4 on the mouse colon-26 (CT26) tumor cell line and injected these cells intravenously into Balb/c mice. By day 14 we observed significantly more tumors as well as larger percent tumor area in the lungs of mice given CT26 cells transduced with human or mouse B7-H4 as compared to vector control transduced cells. These data suggest B7-H4 expression in tumors can accelerate tumor growth in immune competent mice and that targeting B7-H4 may provide therapeutic benefit. Given the mutually exclusive expression patterns of B7-H4 and PD-L1 a B7-H4 targeting agent may provide particular benefit in those patients where current anti-PD-1/PD-L1 therapies are not effective.

Citation Format: Shaffer DR, Nagashima K, Cortez-Retamozo V, Feldman I, Smith J, Zafari M, Larson R, Mabry R, Novorantseva T, Briskin M, Sathyanaryananan S. Mutually exclusive expression pattern of the immune co-inhibitory molecules B7-H4 and PD-L1 in triple negative breast cancer. [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the Thirty-Eighth Annual CTRC-AACR San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium: 2015 Dec 8-12; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2016;76(4 Suppl):Abstract nr P2-11-07.

Measurements of Elliptic and Triangular Flow in High-Multiplicity 3He+Au Collisions at √(s(NN))=200 GeV

We present the first measurement of elliptic (v(2)) and triangular (v(3)) flow in high-multiplicity (3)He+Au collisions at √(s(NN))=200  GeV. Two-particle correlations, where the particles have a large separation in pseudorapidity, are compared in (3)He+Au and in p+p collisions and indicate that collective effects dominate the second and third Fourier components for the correlations observed in the (3)He+Au system. The collective behavior is quantified in terms of elliptic v(2) and triangular v(3) anisotropy coefficients measured with respect to their corresponding event planes. The v(2) values are comparable to those previously measured in d+Au collisions at the same nucleon-nucleon center-of-mass energy. Comparisons with various theoretical predictions are made, including to models where the hot spots created by the impact of the three (3)He nucleons on the Au nucleus expand hydrodynamically to generate the triangular flow. The agreement of these models with data may indicate the formation of low-viscosity quark-gluon plasma even in these small collision systems.