Molecular characteristics and improved survival prediction in a cohort of 2023 ependymomas

The diagnosis of ependymoma has moved from a purely histopathological review with limited prognostic value to an integrated diagnosis, relying heavily on molecular information. However, as the integrated approach is still novel and some molecular ependymoma subtypes are quite rare, few studies have correlated integrated pathology and clinical outcome, often focusing on small series of single molecular types. We collected data from 2023 ependymomas as classified by DNA methylation profiling, consisting of 1736 previously published and 287 unpublished methylation profiles. Methylation data and clinical information were correlated, and an integrated model was developed to predict progression-free survival. Patients with EPN-PFA, EPN-ZFTA, and EPN-MYCN tumors showed the worst outcome with 10-year overall survival rates of 56%, 62%, and 32%, respectively. EPN-PFA harbored chromosome 1q gains and/or 6q losses as markers for worse survival. In supratentorial EPN-ZFTA, a combined loss of CDKN2A and B indicated worse survival, whereas a single loss did not. Twelve out of 200 EPN-ZFTA (6%) were located in the posterior fossa, and these tumors relapsed or progressed even earlier than supratentorial tumors with a combined loss of CDKN2A/B. Patients with MPE and PF-SE, generally regarded as non-aggressive tumors, only had a 10-year progression-free survival of 59% and 65%, respectively. For the prediction of the 5-year progression-free survival, Kaplan-Meier estimators based on the molecular subtype, a Support Vector Machine based on methylation, and an integrated model based on clinical factors, CNV data, and predicted methylation scores achieved balanced accuracies of 66%, 68%, and 73%, respectively. Excluding samples with low prediction scores resulted in balanced accuracies of over 80%. In sum, our large-scale analysis of ependymomas provides robust information about molecular features and their clinical meaning. Our data are particularly relevant for rare and hardly explored tumor subtypes and seemingly benign variants that display higher recurrence rates than previously believed.

Comprehensive profiling of myxopapillary ependymomas identifies a distinct molecular subtype with relapsing disease

BACKGROUND

Myxopapillary ependymoma (MPE) is a heterogeneous disease regarding histopathology and outcome. The underlying molecular biology is poorly understood, and markers that reliably predict the patients' clinical course are unknown.

METHODS

We assembled a cohort of 185 tumors classified as MPE based on DNA methylation. Methylation patterns, copy number profiles, and MGMT promoter methylation were analyzed for all tumors, 106 tumors were evaluated histomorphologically, and RNA sequencing was performed for 37 cases. Based on methylation profiling, we defined two subtypes MPE-A and MPEB, and explored associations with epidemiological, clinical, pathological, and molecular characteristics of these tumors.

RESULTS

MPE-A occurred at a median age of 27 years and were enriched with tumors demonstrating papillary morphology and MGMT promoter hypermethylation. Half of these tumors could not be totally resected, and 85% relapsed within 10 years. Copy number alterations were more common in MPE-A. RNA sequencing revealed an enrichment for extracellular matrix and immune system-related signatures in MPE-A. MPE-B occurred at a median age of 45 years and included many tumors with a histological diagnosis of WHO grade II and tanycytic morphology. Patients within this subtype had a significantly better outcome with a relapse rate of 33% in 10 years (p=3.4e-06).

CONCLUSIONS

We unraveled the morphological and clinical heterogeneity of MPE by identifying two molecularly distinct subtypes. These subtypes significantly differed in progression-free survival and will likely need different protocols for surveillance and treatment.