Assessment of clinical and hemodynamic congestion as predictors of mortality in elderly outpatients with heart failure

INTRODUCTION

This work aims to evaluate whether a clinical examination and measurement of N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide can predict poor prognosis in outpatients with heart failure.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

We carried out a retrospective study from 2010 to 2018 in 238 patients diagnosed with heart failure. At baseline, we evaluated the presence of pulmonary rales and bilateral leg edema (clinical congestion) together with N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide ≥ 1500 pg/mL (hemodynamic congestion). Patients were classified into 4 groups depending on their congestion pattern: no congestion (G1) (n = 50); clinical congestion (G2) (n = 43); hemodynamic congestion (G3) (n = 73); and clinical and hemodynamic congestion (G4) (n = 72). The primary outcome was all-cause mortality at one year of follow-up.

RESULTS

A total of 238 patients were included. The mean age was 82 years, 61.8% were women, and 20.7% had reduced left ventricular ejection fraction. Thirty patients died in the first year of follow-up (12.6%). After controlling for confounding variables (sex, recent discharge for heart failure, estimated glomerular filtration rate, and left ventricular ejection fraction), the independent risk of death in each group compared to G1 as the reference group was: G2: HR 4.121 (95%CI 1.131-15.019); G3: HR 2.511 (95%CI 1.007-6.263); and G4: HR 7.418 (95%CI 1.630-33.763).

CONCLUSION

Congestion in outpatients with heart failure correlates with prognosis. Patients with both clinical and hemodynamic congestion had the highest risk of all-cause death at one year.