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Cappellari M, Mangiafico S, Saia V, Pracucci G, Nappini S, Nencini P, Konda D, Sallustio F, Vallone S, Zini A, Bracco S, Tassi R, Bergui M, Cerrato P, Pitrone A, Grillo F, Saletti A, De Vito A, Gasparotti R, Magoni M, Puglielli E, Casalena A, Causin F, Baracchini C, Castellan L, Malfatto L, Menozzi R, Scoditti U, Comelli C, Duc E, Comai A, Franchini E, Cosottini M, Mancuso M, Peschillo S, De Michele M, Giorgianni A, Delodovici ML, Lafe E, Denaro MF, Burdi N, Internò S, Cavasin N, Critelli A, Chiumarulo L, Petruzzellis M, Doddi M, Carolei A, Auteri W, Petrone A, Padolecchia R, Tassinari T, Pavia M, Invernizzi P, Turcato G, Forlivesi S, Ciceri EFM, Bonetti B, Inzitari D, Toni D, Limbucci N, Consoli A, Renieri L, Fainardi E, Gandini R, Pampana E, Diomedi M, Koch G, Verganti L, Sacchetti F, Zelent G, Bigliardi G, Picchetto L, Vandelli L, Romano DG, Cioni S, Gennari P, Cerase A, Martini G, Stura G, Daniele D, Naldi A, Papa R, Vinci SL, Bernava G, Velo M, Caragliano A, Tessitore A, Buonomo O, Musolino R, La Spina P, Casella C, Carolina Fazio M, Cotroneo M, Onofrio M, Azzini C, Casetta I, Mardighian D, Frigerio M, Costa A, Di Egidio V, Lattanzi R, Assetta M, Cester G, Mavilio N, Serrati C, Piazza P, Epifani E, Andreone A, Castellini P, Latte L, Grisendi I, Vaudano G, Comelli S, Cavallo R, Chianale G, Simonetti L, Taglialatela F, Isceri S, Procaccianti G, Zaniboni A, Borghi A, Bonatti G, Ferro F, Bonatti M, Dall’Ora E, Currò Dossi R, Turri E, Turri M, Puglioli M, Lazzarotti G, Lauretti D, Giannini N, Maccarone M, Orlandi G, Chiti A, Guidetti G, Biraschi F, Falcou A, Anzini A, Mancini A, Fausti S, Di Mascio MT, Durastanti L, Sbardella E, Mellina V, Baruzzi F, Pellegrino C, Terrana A, Carimati F, Ruggiero M, Sanna A, Passarin MG, Colosimo C, Pedicelli A, D’Argento F, Alexandre A, Frisullo G, Zappoli F, Martignoni A, Cavallini A, Persico A, Valvassori L, Piano M, Agostoni E, Motto C, Gatti A, Longoni M, Guccione A, Tortorella R, Zampieri P, Zimatore DS, Grazioli A, Ricciardi GK, Augelli R, Bovi P, Tomelleri G, Micheletti N, Semeraro V, Lucarelli N, Ganimede M, Tinelli A, Pia Prontera M, Pesare A, Cagliari E, Quatrale R, Federico F, Passalacqua G, Filauri P, Orlandi B, De Santis F, Gabriele A, Tiseo C, Armentano A, Di Benedetto O, Silvagni U, Perrotta P, Crispino E, Stancati F, Rizzuto S, Pugliese P, Pisani E, Siniscalchi A, Gaudiano C, Pirritano D, Del Giudice F, Calia S, Ganci G, Sugo A, Scomazzoni F, Simionato F, Roveri L, De Nicola M, Giannoni M, Bruni S, Gambelli E, Provinciali L, Carriero A, Coppo L, Baldan J, Paolo Nuzzi N, Marcheselli S, Corato M, Cotroneo E, Ricciardi F, Gigli R, Pozzessere C, Pezzella FR, Corsi F, Squassina G, Cobelli M, Morassi M, Magni E, Pepe F, Bigni B, Costa P, Crabbio M, Griffini S, Palmerini F, Piras MP, Natrella M, Fanelli G, Cristoferi M, Bottacchi E, Corso G, Tosi P, Amistà P, Russo M, Tettoni S, Gallesio I, Mascolo MC, Meloni GB, Fabio C, Maiore M, Pintus F, Pischedda A, Manca A, Mongili C, Zanda B, Sanna A, Baule A, Pappalardo MP, Craparo G, Gallo C, Monaco S, Mannino M, Terruso V, Muto M, Guarnieri G, Andreone V, Dui G, Ticca A, Salmaggi A, Iannucci G, Pinna V, Di Clemente L, Perini F, De Boni A, De Luca C, De Giorgi F, Corraine S, Enne P, Ganau C, Piras V. IER-SICH Nomogram to Predict Symptomatic Intracerebral Hemorrhage After Thrombectomy for Stroke. Stroke 2019; 50:909-916. [DOI: 10.1161/strokeaha.118.023316] [Citation(s) in RCA: 35] [Impact Index Per Article: 7.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/16/2022]
Abstract
Background and Purpose—
As a reliable scoring system to detect the risk of symptomatic intracerebral hemorrhage after thrombectomy for ischemic stroke is not yet available, we developed a nomogram for predicting symptomatic intracerebral hemorrhage in patients with large vessel occlusion in the anterior circulation who received bridging of thrombectomy with intravenous thrombolysis (training set), and to validate the model by using a cohort of patients treated with direct thrombectomy (test set).
Methods—
We conducted a cohort study on prospectively collected data from 3714 patients enrolled in the IER (Italian Registry of Endovascular Stroke Treatment in Acute Stroke). Symptomatic intracerebral hemorrhage was defined as any type of intracerebral hemorrhage with increase of ≥4 National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale score points from baseline ≤24 hours or death. Based on multivariate logistic models, the nomogram was generated. We assessed the discriminative performance by using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve.
Results—
National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale score, onset-to-end procedure time, age, unsuccessful recanalization, and Careggi collateral score composed the IER-SICH nomogram. After removing Careggi collateral score from the first model, a second model including Alberta Stroke Program Early CT Score was developed. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of the IER-SICH nomogram was 0.778 in the training set (n=492) and 0.709 in the test set (n=399). The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of the second model was 0.733 in the training set (n=988) and 0.685 in the test set (n=779).
Conclusions—
The IER-SICH nomogram is the first model developed and validated for predicting symptomatic intracerebral hemorrhage after thrombectomy. It may provide indications on early identification of patients for more or less postprocedural intensive management.
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Affiliation(s)
- Manuel Cappellari
- Stroke Unit (M. Cappellari, S.F., B.B.), Azienda Ospedaliera Universitaria Integrata, Verona, Italy
| | - Salvatore Mangiafico
- Interventional Neuroradiology Unit (S.M., S.N.), Ospedale Careggi-University Hospital, Firenze, Italy
| | - Valentina Saia
- Neurology and Stroke Unit (T.T., V.S.), Santa Corona Hospital, Pietra Ligure, Italy
| | - Giovanni Pracucci
- Stroke Unit (D.I., P.N., G.P.), Ospedale Careggi-University Hospital, Firenze, Italy
- University of Florence, Firenze, Italy (G.P., P.N., D.I.)
| | - Sergio Nappini
- Interventional Neuroradiology Unit (S.M., S.N.), Ospedale Careggi-University Hospital, Firenze, Italy
| | - Patrizia Nencini
- Stroke Unit (D.I., P.N., G.P.), Ospedale Careggi-University Hospital, Firenze, Italy
- University of Florence, Firenze, Italy (G.P., P.N., D.I.)
| | - Daniel Konda
- Interventional Neuroradiology Unit (D.K.), Policlinico Tor Vergata, Roma, Italy
| | | | - Stefano Vallone
- Neuroradiology Unit, Ospedale Civile S. Agostino-Estense University Hospital, Modena, Italy (S.V.)
| | - Andrea Zini
- Stroke Unit, IRCCS Istituto delle Scienze Neurologiche, Maggiore Hospital, Bologna, Italy (A.Z.)
| | - Sandra Bracco
- Interventional Neuroradiology Unit (S.B.), Ospedale S. Maria delle Scotte-University Hospital, Siena, Italy
| | - Rossana Tassi
- Stroke Unit (R.T.), Ospedale S. Maria delle Scotte-University Hospital, Siena, Italy
| | - Mauro Bergui
- Interventional Neuroradiology Unit (M.B.), Città della Salute e della Scienza-Molinette, Torino, Italy
| | - Paolo Cerrato
- Stroke Unit (P.C.), Città della Salute e della Scienza-Molinette, Torino, Italy
| | - Antonio Pitrone
- Interventional Neuroradiology Unit (A. Pitrone), Policlinico G. Martino, Messina, Italy
| | | | - Andrea Saletti
- Interventional Neuroradiology Unit (A.S.), Arcispedale S. Anna-University Hospital, Ferrara, Italy
| | - Alessandro De Vito
- Stroke Unit (A.D.V.), Arcispedale S. Anna-University Hospital, Ferrara, Italy
| | | | - Mauro Magoni
- Stroke Unit (M. Magoni), Spedali Civili, Brescia, Italy
| | - Edoardo Puglielli
- Vascular and Interventional Radiology Unit (E.P.), Ospedale Civile Mazzini, Teramo, Italy
| | | | - Francesco Causin
- Neuroradiology Unit (F.C.), Azienda Ospedaliero-Univeristaria, Padova, Italy
| | | | - Lucio Castellan
- Interventional Neuroradiology Unit (L. Castellan), IRCCS San Martino-IST, Genova, Italy
| | - Laura Malfatto
- Stroke Unit (L.M.), IRCCS San Martino-IST, Genova, Italy
| | - Roberto Menozzi
- Interventional Neuroradiology Unit (R.M.), Ospedale Universitario, Parma, Italy
| | | | - Chiara Comelli
- Interventional Neuroradiology Unit (C.C.), Ospedale San Giovanni Bosco, Torino, Italy
| | - Enrica Duc
- Neurology Unit (E.D.), Ospedale San Giovanni Bosco, Torino, Italy
| | - Alessio Comai
- Radiology Unit (A. Comai), Ospedale Centrale, Bolzano, Italy
| | | | - Mirco Cosottini
- Neuroradiology Unit (M. Cosottini), Ospedale Cisanello, Pisa, Italy
| | | | - Simone Peschillo
- Interventional Neuroradiology Unit (S.P.), Sapienza University Hospital, Roma, Italy
| | | | - Andrea Giorgianni
- Neuroradiology Unit (A.G.), Ospedale Universitario Circolo, ASST Sette Laghi, Varese, Italy
| | | | - Elvis Lafe
- Diagnostic and Interventional Neuroradiology Unit (E.L.), San Matteo Hospital and C. Mondino Foundation, Pavia, Italy
| | | | - Nicola Burdi
- Interventional Radiology Unit (N.B.), Ospedale SS. Annunziata, Taranto, Italy
| | | | - Nicola Cavasin
- Neuroradiology Unit (N.C.), Ospedale dell’Angelo, USSL3 Serenissima, Mestre, Italy
| | - Adriana Critelli
- Neurology Unit (A. Critelli), Ospedale dell’Angelo, USSL3 Serenissima, Mestre, Italy
| | | | - Marco Petruzzellis
- Interventional Neuroradiology Unit (M. Petruzzellis), Policlinico, Bari, Italy
| | - Marco Doddi
- Interventional Neuroradiology Unit (M.D.), Presidio Ospedaliero SS. Filippo e Nicola, Avezzano, Italy
| | - Antonio Carolei
- Stroke Unit (A. Carolei), Presidio Ospedaliero SS. Filippo e Nicola, Avezzano, Italy
| | - William Auteri
- Interventional Neuroradiology Unit (W.A.), Azienda Ospedaliera Annunziata, Cosenza, Italy
| | - Alfredo Petrone
- Neurology Unit (A. Petrone), Azienda Ospedaliera Annunziata, Cosenza, Italy
| | | | - Tiziana Tassinari
- Neurology and Stroke Unit (T.T., V.S.), Santa Corona Hospital, Pietra Ligure, Italy
| | - Marco Pavia
- Interventional Neuroradiology Unit (M. Pavia), Istituto Ospedaliero Fondazione Poliambulanza, Brescia, Italy
| | - Paolo Invernizzi
- Stroke Unit (P.I.), Istituto Ospedaliero Fondazione Poliambulanza, Brescia, Italy
| | - Gianni Turcato
- Emergency Department, Girolamo Fracastoro Hospital, San Bonifacio (Verona), Italy (G.T.)
| | - Stefano Forlivesi
- Stroke Unit (M. Cappellari, S.F., B.B.), Azienda Ospedaliera Universitaria Integrata, Verona, Italy
| | | | - Bruno Bonetti
- Stroke Unit (M. Cappellari, S.F., B.B.), Azienda Ospedaliera Universitaria Integrata, Verona, Italy
| | - Domenico Inzitari
- Stroke Unit (D.I., P.N., G.P.), Ospedale Careggi-University Hospital, Firenze, Italy
- University of Florence, Firenze, Italy (G.P., P.N., D.I.)
| | - Danilo Toni
- Stroke Unit (M.D.M., D.T.), Sapienza University Hospital, Roma, Italy
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Cappellari M, Mangiafico S, Saia V, Pracucci G, Nappini S, Nencini P, Konda D, Sallustio F, Vallone S, Zini A, Bracco S, Tassi R, Bergui M, Cerrato P, Pitrone A, Grillo F, Saletti A, De Vito A, Gasparotti R, Magoni M, Puglielli E, Casalena A, Causin F, Baracchini C, Castellan L, Malfatto L, Menozzi R, Scoditti U, Comelli C, Duc E, Comai A, Franchini E, Cosottini M, Mancuso M, Peschillo S, De Michele M, Giorgianni A, Luisa Delodovici M, Lafe E, Denaro MF, Burdi N, Internò S, Cavasin N, Critelli A, Chiumarulo L, Petruzzellis M, Doddi M, Carolei A, Auteri W, Petrone A, Padolecchia R, Tassinari T, Pavia M, Invernizzi P, Turcato G, Forlivesi S, Francesca Maria Ciceri E, Bonetti B, Inzitari D, Toni D. IER-START nomogram for prediction of three-month unfavorable outcome after thrombectomy for stroke. Int J Stroke 2019; 15:412-420. [PMID: 30907302 DOI: 10.1177/1747493019837756] [Citation(s) in RCA: 14] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/16/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND The applicability of the current models for predicting functional outcome after thrombectomy in strokes with large vessel occlusion (LVO) is affected by a moderate predictive performance. AIMS We aimed to develop and validate a nomogram with pre- and post-treatment factors for prediction of the probability of unfavorable outcome in patients with anterior and posterior LVO who received bridging therapy or direct thrombectomy <6 h of stroke onset. METHODS We conducted a cohort study on patients data collected prospectively in the Italian Endovascular Registry (IER). Unfavorable outcome was defined as three-month modified Rankin Scale (mRS) score 3-6. Six predictors, including NIH Stroke Scale (NIHSS) score, age, pre-stroke mRS score, bridging therapy or direct thrombectomy, grade of recanalization according to the thrombolysis in cerebral ischemia (TICI) grading system, and onset-to-end procedure time were identified a priori by three stroke experts. To generate the IER-START, the pre-established predictors were entered into a logistic regression model. The discriminative performance of the model was assessed by using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC-ROC). RESULTS A total of 1802 patients with complete data for generating the IER-START was randomly dichotomized into training (n = 1219) and test (n = 583) sets. The AUC-ROC of IER-START was 0.838 (95% confidence interval [CI]): 0.816-0.869) in the training set, and 0.820 (95% CI: 0.786-0.854) in the test set. CONCLUSIONS The IER-START nomogram is the first prognostic model developed and validated in the largest population of stroke patients currently candidates to thrombectomy which reliably calculates the probability of three-month unfavorable outcome.
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Affiliation(s)
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | - Stefano Vallone
- Ospedale Civile S. Agostino-Estense - University Hospital, Modena, Italy
| | - Andrea Zini
- IRCCS Istituto delle Scienze Neurologiche, Maggiore Hospital, Bologna, Italy
| | - Sandra Bracco
- Ospedale S. Maria delle Scotte-University Hospital, Siena, Italy
| | - Rossana Tassi
- Ospedale S. Maria delle Scotte-University Hospital, Siena, Italy
| | - Mauro Bergui
- Città della Salute e della Scienza-Molinette, Torino, Italy
| | - Paolo Cerrato
- Città della Salute e della Scienza-Molinette, Torino, Italy
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | - Enrica Duc
- Ospedale San Giovanni Bosco, Torino, Italy
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | - Elvis Lafe
- San Matteo Hospital & C. Mondino Foundation, Pavia, Italy
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | - Marco Doddi
- Presidio Ospedaliero SS. Filippo e Nicola, Avezzano, Italy
| | | | | | | | | | | | - Marco Pavia
- Istituto Ospedaliero Fondazione Poliambulanza, Brescia, Italy
| | | | - Gianni Turcato
- Girolamo Fracastoro Hospital, San Bonifacio (Verona), Italy
| | | | | | - Bruno Bonetti
- Azienda Ospedaliera Universitaria Integrata, Verona, Italy
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