Multidimensional penalized splines for survival models: illustration for net survival trend analyses

BACKGROUND

In descriptive epidemiology, there are strong similarities between incidence and survival analyses. Because of the success of multidimensional penalized splines (MPSs) in incidence analysis, we propose in this pedagogical paper to show that MPSs are also very suitable for survival or net survival studies.

METHODS

The use of MPSs is illustrated in cancer epidemiology in the context of survival trends studies that require specific statistical modelling. We focus on two examples (cervical and colon cancers) using survival data from the French cancer registries (cases 1990-2015). The dynamic of the excess mortality hazard according to time since diagnosis was modelled using an MPS of time since diagnosis, age at diagnosis and year of diagnosis. Multidimensional splines bring the flexibility necessary to capture any trend patterns while penalization ensures selecting only the complexities necessary to describe the data.

RESULTS

For cervical cancer, the dynamic of the excess mortality hazard changed with the year of diagnosis in opposite ways according to age: this led to a net survival that improved in young women and worsened in older women. For colon cancer, regardless of age, excess mortality decreases with the year of diagnosis but this only concerns mortality at the start of follow-up.

CONCLUSIONS

MPSs make it possible to describe the dynamic of the mortality hazard and how this dynamic changes with the year of diagnosis, or more generally with any covariates of interest: this gives essential epidemiological insights for interpreting results. We use the R package survPen to do this type of analysis.

Factors Affecting Health-Related Quality of Life among Survivors of Non-Hodgkin Lymphoma: A Population-Based Study

PURPOSE

To describe Health-Related Quality of Life (HRQoL) and to identify the association between sociodemographic, clinical and psychosocial factors, and self-reported HRQoL among NHL survivors.

METHODS

The data of the cancer registry specialized in hematological malignancies in Côte d'Or (France) were used to identify all patients diagnosed with follicular lymphoma (FL) and diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL) from 2010 to 2017. Patients were invited to complete SF-12 and other questionnaires.

RESULTS

The HRQoL of NHL survivors was poorer than that of the French general population (p < 0.05) in vitality (48 vs. 56), general health (56 vs. 63), role physical scores (60 vs. 70), role emotional scores (64 vs. 72) and the Mental Component Scale (45 vs. 49). The mean difference in physical functioning decreased per unit increase in age (β = -1.1 (0.3); p < 0.001). Men had better vitality than women (β = 12.4 (6.1); p = 0.04) and the high education level was associated with greater role emotional scores (β = 14.1 (5.4); p = 0.01). Symptoms of anxiety and depression were associated with poorer HRQoL. The satisfaction of social support was associated with significantly greater scores on mental health (β = 17.3 (5.1); p = 0.001) and social functioning (β = 15.7 (7.8); p = 0.04). Socioeconomic deprivation was associated with poorer general health (β = -12.8 (5.2); p = 0.01).

CONCLUSIONS

From 3 to 11 years post-diagnosis, the main factors found to be associated with poor HRQoL of NHL survivors were age, sex, presence of anxiety, depression and economic problems. These findings suggest the need for supportive care to improve HRQOL and the consideration of these problems when developing care plans for NHL survivors.

Factors influencing access to specialised haematology units during acute myeloblastic leukaemia patient care: A population-based study in France

BACKGROUND

The excess mortality observed in Acute Myeloblastic Leukaemia (AML) patients, partly attributed to unequal access to curative treatments, could be linked to care pathways.

METHODS

We included 1039 AML incident cases diagnosed between 2012-2016 from the 3 French blood cancer registries (3,625,400 inhabitants). We describe patients according to age, the medical entry unit and access to the specialised haematology unit (SHU) during follow-up. Multivariate logistic regression model was done to determine the association between covariables and access to SHU. A total of 713 patients (69%) had access to SHU during care.

RESULTS

The most common care pathway concerned referral from the general practitioner to SHU, n = 459(44%). The univariate analysis observed a downward trend for the most deprived patients. Patients who consulted in SHU were younger (66 years vs. 83, p < 0.001), and 92% had access to cytogenetic analysis (vs. 54%, p < 0.001). They also had less poor prognosis AML-subtypes (AML-MRC, t-AML/MDS and AML-NOS) (38% vs. 69%); 77% with de novo AML (vs. 67%, p < 0.003)], more favourable cytogenetic prognostic status (23% vs. 6%, p < 0.001), less comorbidities (no comorbidity = 55% vs. 34%, p < 0.001) and treatments proposed were curative 68% (vs. 5.3%, p < 0.001). Factors limiting access to SHU were age over 80 years (OR, 0.14; 95% CI, 0.04-0.38), severe comorbidities (OR, 0.39; 95% CI, 0.21-0.69), emergency unit referral (OR, 0.28; 95% CI, 0.18-0.44) and non-SHU referral (OR, 0.12; 95% CI, 0.07-0.18). Consultation in an academic hospital increased access to SHU by 8.87 times (95% CI, 5.64-14.2).

CONCLUSION

The high proportion of access to cytogenetic testing and curative treatment among patients admitted to SHU, and the importance of early treatment in AML underlines the importance of access to SHU for both diagnosis and treatment.

Global survival trends for brain tumors, by histology: analysis of individual records for 556,237 adults diagnosed in 59 countries during 2000-2014 (CONCORD-3)

BACKGROUND

Survival is a key metric of the effectiveness of a health system in managing cancer. We set out to provide a comprehensive examination of worldwide variation and trends in survival from brain tumors in adults, by histology.

METHODS

We analyzed individual data for adults (15-99 years) diagnosed with a brain tumor (ICD-O-3 topography code C71) during 2000-2014, regardless of tumor behavior. Data underwent a 3-phase quality control as part of CONCORD-3. We estimated net survival for 11 histology groups, using the unbiased nonparametric Pohar Perme estimator.

RESULTS

The study included 556,237 adults. In 2010-2014, the global range in age-standardized 5-year net survival for the most common sub-types was broad: in the range 20%-38% for diffuse and anaplastic astrocytoma, from 4% to 17% for glioblastoma, and between 32% and 69% for oligodendroglioma. For patients with glioblastoma, the largest gains in survival occurred between 2000-2004 and 2005-2009. These improvements were more noticeable among adults diagnosed aged 40-70 years than among younger adults.

CONCLUSIONS

To the best of our knowledge, this study provides the largest account to date of global trends in population-based survival for brain tumors by histology in adults. We have highlighted remarkable gains in 5-year survival from glioblastoma since 2005, providing large-scale empirical evidence on the uptake of chemoradiation at population level. Worldwide, survival improvements have been extensive, but some countries still lag behind. Our findings may help clinicians involved in national and international tumor pathway boards to promote initiatives aimed at more extensive implementation of clinical guidelines.

Clinical and Economic Impact of a Multidisciplinary Follow-Up Program in Lymphoma Patients

Objectives: The UMACOACH Lymphoma is a multidisciplinary monitoring program for patients initiating a first highly haematotoxic treatment for Hodgkin or non-Hodgkin lymphoma. Patient follow-up is based on consultation with a pharmacist and planed phone calls by nurses supervised by a clinical haematologist. Our objective was to assess effectiveness and cost of the UMACOACH Lymphoma Program (ULP) and to investigate patient satisfaction and quality of life (QoL). Methods: This French monocentric case-control study included all patients enrolled in the ULP over a one-year period (cases) matched with retrospective patients receiving usual care (controls). Numbers of adverse events (AEs), re-hospitalisations, average relative dose intensity (ARDI), treatment response and survival were compared between the two groups. Among cases, patient satisfaction and QoL using the EORTC-QLQC30 questionnaire before and after treatment were evaluated. Results: Seventy-eight cases were matched to 78 controls. Twenty-six percent grade 3−4 AEs were observed in cases versus 38% in controls (p = 0.001). There were 76 and 88 re-hospitalisations in the case and control groups, respectively (p = 0.217). ARDI > 85% was observed in 92% and 82% of cases and controls, respectively (p = 0.138). No differences were observed in terms of treatment responses and survival. Estimated cost savings were of EUR 81,782 in favour of the case group. An improvement of 5.1 points was observed in the total QoL score before and after treatment in cases. Conclusions: A nurse−pharmacist−haematologist collaboration seems to be promising to reduce grade 3−4 AEs in HL and NHL patients receiving highly haematotoxic chemotherapy regimens. Cost savings from hospitalisation being avoided were also shown.

Short course of immune-suppressive doses of prednisolone, evaluated through a prospective double-masked placebo-controlled clinical trial in healthy Beagles, is associated with sustained modifications in renal, hydration, and electrolytic status

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the effects and duration of orally administered prednisolone on renal function evaluated by glomerular filtration rate (GFR) determination and creatinine (Cr) and symmetric dimethylarginine (SDMA) concentrations as well as on urinalysis, electrolytes, and hydric status in healthy dogs.

ANIMALS

14 healthy Beagles.

PROCEDURES

In this prospective double-masked placebo-controlled study, dogs were randomized after baseline evaluation to receive a 7-day course of either prednisolone (1.5 to 2.0 mg/kg, PO, q 12 h) or a placebo. A repeated-measure design was performed, each dog participating in 4 successive sampling sessions. Clinical data, systolic blood pressure, CBC, and biochemical analyses including serum SDMA concentration, GFR determination, urine output quantification, and complete urinalysis were performed for all dogs the day before (D0) and at the end of steroid administration (D7) as well as 2 weeks (D21) and 4 weeks (D35) after the end of treatment.

RESULTS

At D7, when compared with baseline, GFR increased significantly in treated dogs, whereas creatinine and SDMA concentrations decreased significantly. GFR and Cr but not SDMA modifications persisted significantly at D21. None of the variables differed significantly from baseline at D35. The OR of presenting an albumin band on urine electrophoresis was 2.4 times as high in treated versus control dogs (OR, 36; 95% CI, 1.8 to 719.4; P = 0.02).

CLINICAL RELEVANCE

A short-term course of immune-suppressive prednisolone treatment in healthy dogs leads to a sustained but reversible renal hyperfiltration state. Modification in electrolytic variables can affect the clinical interpretation of blood work in such patients.

Mortality and major cardiovascular events among patients with multiple myeloma: analysis from a nationwide French medical information database

Background

Cardiovascular disease (CVD) in patients with multiple myeloma (MM) may derive from multiple factors unrelated to the disease (age, diabetes, dyslipidemia, obesity, prior CV diseases), related to the disease and/or related to antimyeloma treatment. Based on a nationwide hospitalization database, we aimed to assess the risk of all-cause death, and CV outcomes in MM patients.

Methods

From 1st January 2013 to 31st December 2013, 3,381,472 adults (age ≥18 years) were hospitalized for any reason in French hospitals and then had at least 5 years of complete follow-up (or suffered death earlier). We identified 15,774 patients diagnosed with known MM at baseline. The outcome analysis (all-cause death, cardiovascular [CV] death, myocardial infarction (MI), ischemic stroke or hospitalization for major bleeding) was performed with follow-up starting at the time of last event. For each patient with MM, a propensity score-matched patient with no MM was selected (1:1) using the one-to-one nearest neighbor method.

Findings

The mean follow-up in the propensity-score-matched population was 3.7±2.3 years, median 5.0, IQR 1.3–5.7 years. During follow-up, matched patients with MM (15 774 patients) had a higher risk of all-death (yearly rate 20.02 vs 11.39%/year) than patients without MM. No difference was observed between MM group and no myeloma group for CV death (2.00 vs 2.02%/year). The rate of MI and stroke was markedly lower in the MM group, respectively for incidence rate, 0.86 vs 0.97%/year and 0.85 vs 1.10%/year. In contrast, MM group had a higher rate of rehospitalization for major bleeding with an incidence rate of 3.61 vs 2.24%/yr and a higher risk of intracranial bleeding (1.03 vs 0.84%/yr). Results were similar in sensitivity analysis limited to patients with recent MM (i.e. diagnosed within the 3 previous months).

Interpretation

From a large nationwide database, we show that although patients with MM are not at higher risk of CV death, they had a higher risk of mortality due to major bleeding and intracranial bleeding. Our findings highlight the key issue of anticoagulation treatment management in patients with MM.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: None.

New onset atrial fibrillation and heart failure among patients with multiple myeloma: analysis from a nationwide french medical information database

Background

Over the last decade, new therapies, screening optimization, and cardiovascular management have changed the cardiovascular prognosis of patients with multiple myeloma (MM). Older studies suggested that MM could be associated with increased risk of heart failure (HF). Based on a nationwide hospitalization database, we aimed to assess the risk of hospitalization for Heart failure (HF) and/or Atrial fibrillation (AF).

Methods

From 1st January 2013 to 31st December 2013, 3,381,472 adults (age ≥18 years) were hospitalized for any reason in French hospitals and then had at least 5 years of complete follow-up (or suffered death earlier). We identified 15,774 patients diagnosed with known MM at baseline. The outcome analysis on hospitalization for new onset HF or AF was performed with follow-up (FU) starting at the time of last event. For each patient with MM, a propensity score-matched patient with no MM was selected (1:1) using the one-to-one nearest neighbor method (n=15774 in each group).

Findings

In the propensity-score-matched population, mean±SD FU was 3.7±2.3 years, median (IQR)5.0 (1.3–5.7) years, mean age was 71±12y, and most were female (55%). When compared with patients without MM, MM patients were more likely to have history of HF (16.8% vs. 10.5%, p&lt;0.0001), pulmonary edema (1.5 vs. 0.8%, p&lt;0.0001), or AF (13.4% vs. 9.6%, p&lt;0.0001). At FU, MM patients had a higher risk of all-death (yearly rate 20.02 vs 11.39%/year). Moreover, yearly rates of new onset HF or AF, which were the common CV causes of re-hospitalisation, were higher in the MM group, i.e. respectively for incidence rate, 7.47 vs 5.42%/year (p&lt;0.0001) and 4.57 vs 3.72%/year (p&lt;0.0001). Multivariate analysis showed that MM remained significantly associated with a higher rate of HF and AF (HR (95% CI): 1.343 (1.276–1.413) and 1.196 (1.128–1.269), respectively). Results were similar in sensitivity analysis limited to patients with recent MM (i.e. diagnosed within the 3 previous months).

Interpretation

From a large nationwide hospitalization database, we show that patients with MM had a higher risk of new onset HF and AF. Our findings highlight the key issue of cardiovascular management in patients with MM.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: None.

P04.15 Radiomics features in prediction of pseudo-progression and response to hypofractionated stereotactic radiotherapy and anti-PDL1 Durvalumab combination in recurrent glioblastoma from STERIMGLI phase I trial

BACKGROUND

Due to the risk of pseudo-progression, evaluating the response of such combined treatment with anti-PDL1 immunotherapy and hypofractionated stereotactic radiotherapy (hFSRT) in patients with recurrent glioblastoma (GBM) is difficult even with iRANO criteria. We aim to analyze multi-modal MRI radiomic features in recurrent GBM patients included in the phase I STERIMGLI (NCT02866747) clinical trial.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

In phase I trial STERIMGLI, six patients received hFSRT 24 Gy in 3 fractions of 8 Gy prescribed to the 80% covering isodose in combination with Durvalumab IV 1500mg the same day following the third fraction of radiation then every 4 weeks for a maximum of 12 months. All patients underwent multi-modal MRI acquisitions. Contrast-enhancement on post-gadolinium T1 MRI (Gd-T1) and hyper-T2 signal on FLAIR MRI were manually segmented as volume-of-interest (VOIs) from baseline at week 0 (W0) and every eight weeks until weeks sixteen (W16). For patient 05, segmentation was performed until progression (W40). First order radiomics were extracted and normalized from these longitudinal VOIs in a total of 42 MRI: volume (in cm3), mean and median intensity, entropy, skewness and kurtosis were computed for each VOI. In total 504 (2 x 42 x 6) features were extracted.

RESULTS

Two patients underwent pseudoprogression (patients 04 and 05).

All patients but one (patient 05) presented an early relapse with an increase of FLAIR and Gd-T1 volumes and respective entropies from the first evaluation without decrease during follow up (until W16).

Patient 05 presented a Dose Limiting Toxicities and had the longest time to progression after Durvalumab and hFSRT. Contrary to the other patients, his FLAIR radiomics features presented a decrease of volume, intensity and entropy between W0 and W16 then, interestingly an increase between W24 and W40, date of progression. Moreover, patient 05 presented the lowest tumor volume and the lowest Gd-T1entropy. The intensity of the Gd-T1 followed the same trend as the hyper intense signal on the FLAIR in all patients, in particular for patient 05.

CONCLUSION

In our study, entropy and tumor volume for both FLAIR and Gd-T1, and FLAIR intensity seems to be the most interesting parameters to access the response of combined treatment. FLAIR signal may be more specific to the tumor microenvironment.

First order radiomics allowed us to follow tumor heterogeneity and identify the patient with the longest time to progression.

Flexible Modeling of Net Survival and Cure by AML Subtype and Age: A French Population-Based Study from FRANCIM

With improvements in acute myeloid leukemia (AML) diagnosis and treatment, more patients are surviving for longer periods. A French population of 9453 AML patients aged ≥15 years diagnosed from 1995 to 2015 was studied to quantify the proportion cured (P), time to cure (TTC) and median survival of patients who are not cured (MedS). Net survival (NS) was estimated using a flexible model adjusted for age and sex in sixteen AML subtypes. When cure assumption was acceptable, the flexible cure model was used to estimate P, TTC and MedS for the uncured patients. The 5-year NS varied from 68% to 9% in men and from 77% to 11% in women in acute promyelocytic leukemia (AML-APL) and in therapy-related AML (t-AML), respectively. Major age-differenced survival was observed for patients with a diagnosis of AML with recurrent cytogenetic abnormalities. A poorer survival in younger patients was found in t-AML and AML with minimal differentiation. An atypical survival profile was found for acute myelomonocytic leukemia and AML without maturation in both sexes and for AML not otherwise specified (only for men) according to age, with a better prognosis for middle-aged compared to younger patients. Sex disparity regarding survival was observed in younger patients with t-AML diagnosed at 25 years of age (+28% at 5 years in men compared to women) and in AML with minimal differentiation (+23% at 5 years in women compared to men). All AML subtypes included an age group for which the assumption of cure was acceptable, although P varied from 90% in younger women with AML-APL to 3% in older men with acute monoblastic and monocytic leukemia. Increased P was associated with shorter TTC. A sizeable proportion of AML patients do not achieve cure, and MedS for these did not exceed 23 months. We identify AML subsets where cure assumption is negative, thus pointing to priority areas for future research efforts.

Hematological Malignancies in Giant Cell Arteritis: a French population-based study

OBJECTIVES

An increased risk of hematological malignancies (HM) has been reported in giant cell arteritis (GCA) patients. Our study aimed to investigate the incidence and the type of HM occurring in GCA.

METHODS

All patients with GCA and HM living in Côte D'Or (France) were identified by crossing data from the RHEMCO (Registre des Hémopathies Malignes de Côte d'Or) and those having a positive temporal artery biopsy between 1st January 2001 and 31 December 2018.

RESULTS

Among 276 biopsy-proven GCA patients, 14 HM were identified in 12 patients (4.3%). In comparison with the general population aged over 50 years, the incidence of myeloid HM and myeloproliferative syndromes were increased in GCA patients (standardized incidence ratios = 2.71 and 5.16, respectively), with a specific increase in men with GCA (SIR = 4.82 and 9.04, respectively) but not in women. In addition, the study of standardized incidence ratios depending on the chronology between GCA and HM diagnoses suggests that there was an increased risk of developing GCA in men but not in women, after a diagnosis of myeloid HM (SIR = 9.56), especially if it was a MPS (SIR = 17.56).

CONCLUSIONS

Our study shows a particular epidemiology of HM in GCA patients, which is characterized by an increased incidence of myeloid HM, especially MPS, in male GCA patients. The chronology of the diagnoses of GCA and HM raises the hypothesis that clonal hematopoiesis may be implicated in some cases of GCA.

OS4.4 Hypofractionated stereotactic radiotherapy and anti-PDL1 Durvalumab combination in recurrent glioblastoma: Results of the phase I part of the phase I/II STERIMGLI trial

BACKGROUND

Glioblastoma (GBM) remains a lethal disease with inevitable local relapse and no standard treatment. Re-irradiation by hypofractionated stereotactic radiotherapy (hFSRT) is an option of treatment with tolerable safety, but needs improvement in term of efficacy. Radiotherapy (RT) causes immunogenic tumor cell death but also induces PDL1 and PD1 expression on tumors and immune cells, potentially evoking resistance to RT. Pre-clinical studies combining hFSRT with an anti-PD-1 antibody in GBM have shown increased efficacy of the combination. Clinical studies also show encouraging results when checkpoint inhibitors have been combined with high dose RT. We hypothesized that combining the anti PD-L1 Durvalumab (Durva) with hFSRT will be an effective regimen for patients with recurrent GBM. We designed a phase I/II clinical trial studying the combination of hFSRT with Durva for recurrent GBM≤35 mm diameter. Results of the phase I are presented.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

Patients were included from February 2017 to October 2017.

A standard 3 + 3 de-escalation design was used. Patients were treated by hFSRT 24 Gy, 8 Gy/fraction at 80% isodose, every other day, combined with Durva infusion 1500mg first dose (Level 1) or 750 mg (Level -1) delivered on the last hFSRT day followed by 1500 mg Durva infusion every four weeks until relapse. The schema was defined as safe if one patient or less among 6 presents a dose limiting toxicity (DLT). Brain MRI was performed before RT and then every 8 weeks until relapse. Tumor assessment was performed according to RANO criteria.

RESULTS

Among the 6 patients (3 methylated MGMT, 3 unmethylated MGMT; all wild type IDH) included at the level 1, all completed the hFSRT course, only one had a DLT which was an immune related grade 3 vestibular neuritis. At the time of analysis (24/01/19), all the patients had a local tumor progression, 4 were still alive. Local progression free interval (LPFI) ranges from 2.1 to 8.1 months. Interestingly the 2 patients who presented a pseudo-progression had a prolonged LPFI (5.7 and 8.1 months) compared to the other patients. All the patients except these 2 patients had a lymphopenia at inclusion. PDL-1 expression varied from 0 to 70% in the primary tumor.

CONCLUSION

Combining three 8 Gy fractions of hFSRT with 1500 mg Durvalumab on the 3rd fraction hFSRT and every 4 weeks for recurrent GBM is well tolerated justifying exploration of its efficacy in the phase II which is currently in interim analysis

Time-to-cure and cure proportion in solid cancers in France. A population based study

BACKGROUND

In cancer care, the cure proportion (P) and time-to-cure (TTC) are important indicators for practitioners, patients, and healthcare policy makers. The recent definition of TTC as the time at which the probability of belonging to the cured group reaches 95% was used for the first time.

METHODS

The data stem from the common database of French cancer registries including 335,358 solid tumours diagnosed between 1995 and 2009 at 27 sites. P and TTC were estimated through a flexible parametric net survival cure model for each cancer site, sex, and age at diagnosis with acceptable assumption of cure (excess mortality rate ≤0.05).

RESULTS

TTC was ≤5 years and P was >80% for skin melanoma and thyroid and testis cancers. It was 0 for testis cancer in men <55 and for thyroid cancer in men <45 and women <65. TTC was between 5 and 10 years for all digestive cancers except small intestine and all gynaecologic cancers except breast. It was ≥10 years in prostate, breast, and urinary tract. The range of P according to age and sex was 37-79% for urinary tract 72-88% for prostate and breast, 4-16% for pancreatic and 47-62% for colorectal cancer.

CONCLUSION

Time-to-cure was estimated for the first time from a large national database and individual probabilities of cure. It was 0 in the younger patients with testis or thyroid cancer and <12 years in most cancer sites. These results should help improve access to credit and insurance for patients still alive past the estimated TTCs.

Abstract 1205: Long-term survival of children with acute lymphoblastic leukemia, according to treatment regimen, in a regional French population

Acute Lymphoblastic Leukemia (ALL) is the main neoplastic disease in children. Treatment is based on chemotherapy associated or not to bone marrow transplantation. The 5-year survival rate in European children is reported as 86% but long term survival data are not available. We investigated the 20 year Overall Survival (OS) and Net survival (NS) of the patients diagnosed in the population of the Côte d'Or area in France. 162 cases were diagnosed in the population of the Côte d'Or area between 1970 and 2015. Cases diagnosed between 1970 and 1979 (n=29) were not formally registered in the registry database but data were available through the unique regional, reference hematology laboratory. All cases were followed until 01 01 2017. The treatment regimens that were used were as follows in chronological order (from the earliest to the most recent); LAL 76 and 80; the FRALLE 83, 87 and 89 until 1993; the FRALLE 93 from 1993 to 2001 and then the FRALLE 2000. The 20-y OS and NS of ALL was respectively 66% and 67%. It was 59% in boys but 75% in girls (p=0.04). No statistical difference was found according to age. According to lineage subtype, the 20-y NS was 82% in B-ALL, 65% in T-ALL and 34% in ALL, not otherwise specified (p&lt;0.001). According to treatment regimen, the 20-y-NS was 51% before the use of the FRALLE 93, compared to 71% for cases treated by the FRALLE 93 regimen and 95% for those treated with the FRALLE 2000 regimen (p&lt;0.001). The survival was 95% irrespective of the time of diagnosis following introduction of the FRALLE 2000 regimen. Data on long term survival of ALL in children are scarce. Our results show 1) a very high 20 year survival rate indicating the efficacy and safety of the treatment regimens used, 2) the utility of randomized clinical trials to define new standards of care.

Citation Format: Sophie Gauthier, Morgane Mounier, Stéphanie Girard, Claire Briandet, Paule Marie Carli, Marc Maynadie. Long-term survival of children with acute lymphoblastic leukemia, according to treatment regimen, in a regional French population [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the American Association for Cancer Research Annual Meeting 2018; 2018 Apr 14-18; Chicago, IL. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2018;78(13 Suppl):Abstract nr 1205.

Human Vitreous Penetration of Imipenem

The purpose of this study was to determine imipenem concentrations in vitreous humor of non-infected human eyes. Ten patients undergoing vitrectomy were infused with a single dose of either 0.5g (5 patients) or 1g (5 patients) of imipenem. Vitreous humor was withdrawn 2 or 4 hours after the end of the infusion. Results differed in relation to the dose. After 0.5g, vitreous levels were stable (approximately 0.20 mg/l), but after 1g they were significantly higher (approximately 2 mg/l). These levels were above the minimum inhibitory concentration of imipenem for 90% (MIC 90) of the main species responsible for endophthalmitis.

A new approach to estimate time-to-cure from cancer registries data

BACKGROUND

Cure models have been adapted to net survival context to provide important indicators from population-based cancer data, such as the cure fraction and the time-to-cure. However existing methods for computing time-to-cure suffer from some limitations.

METHODS

Cure models in net survival framework were briefly overviewed and a new definition of time-to-cure was introduced as the time TTC at which P(t), the estimated covariate-specific probability of being cured at a given time t after diagnosis, reaches 0.95. We applied flexible parametric cure models to data of four cancer sites provided by the French network of cancer registries (FRANCIM). Then estimates of the time-to-cure by TTC and by two existing methods were derived and compared. Cure fractions and probabilities P(t) were also computed.

RESULTS

Depending on the age group, TTC ranged from to 8 to 10 years for colorectal and pancreatic cancer and was nearly 12 years for breast cancer. In thyroid cancer patients under 55 years at diagnosis, TTC was strikingly 0: the probability of being cured was >0.95 just after diagnosis. This is an interesting result regarding the health insurance premiums of these patients. The estimated values of time-to-cure from the three approaches were close for colorectal cancer only.

CONCLUSIONS

We propose a new approach, based on estimated covariate-specific probability of being cured, to estimate time-to-cure. Compared to two existing methods, the new approach seems to be more intuitive and natural and less sensitive to the survival time distribution.

Changes in dynamics of excess mortality rates and net survival after diagnosis of follicular lymphoma or diffuse large B-cell lymphoma: comparison between European population-based data (EUROCARE-5)

BACKGROUND

Since 2001, the World Health Organization classification of tumours of haematopoietic and lymphoid tissues and the International Classification of Diseases for Oncology (third edition) have improved data collection for lymphoma subtypes in most European cancer registries and allowed reporting on the major non-Hodgkin lymphoma subtypes. Treatment of non-Hodgkin lymphoma has changed profoundly, benefiting patients with follicular lymphoma or diffuse large B-cell lymphoma. We aimed to compare dynamics of cancer mortality in patients with follicular lymphoma or diffuse large B-cell lymphoma in five large European areas using data for survival from the largest number of collaborative European population-based cancer registries (EUROCARE).

METHODS

We considered follicular lymphoma and diffuse large B-cell lymphoma cases in patients aged older than 15 years diagnosed between Jan 1, 1996, and Dec 31, 2004, and recorded in 43 cancer registries in five areas: Scotland and Wales, and northern, central, eastern, and southern Europe. We excluded cases incidentally diagnosed at autopsy or known from death certificates only. The vital status could be updated on Dec 31, 2008, in all registries but the French ones (Dec 31, 2007). We obtained changes in net survival with the Pohar-Perme estimator and excess mortality rate with a flexible parametric model according to age and year of diagnosis.

FINDINGS

We identified 13,988 follicular lymphoma and 25,320 diffuse large B-cell lymphoma cases. We noted improvements in 5-year net survival for all ages between the 1999-2001 and 2002-04 periods for both cancers (except for follicular lymphoma in Scotland and Wales and diffuse large B-cell lymphoma in eastern Europe). For follicular lymphoma, 5-year net survival in northern Europe was 64% (95% CI 58-71) in 1999-2001 versus 75% (69-80) for 2002-04, for Scotland and Wales, it was 71% (66-76) versus 68% (64-72), for central Europe, it was 64% (61-67) versus 72% (70-75), for southern Europe, it was 67% (63-70) versus 73% (70-76), and for eastern Europe, it was 50% (43-57) versus 61% (54-69). For diffuse large B-cell lymphoma, 5-year net survival in northern Europe was 41% (35-49) versus 58% (54-62), in Scotland and Wales, it was 44% (41-48) versus 52% (49-54), in central Europe, it was 46% (44-47) versus 50% (48-51), in southern Europe, it was 44% (42-47) versus 50% (48-52), and in eastern Europe, it was 47% (41-54) versus 46% (43-50). We noted the largest area disparity during the 2002-04 period between eastern and northern Europe. We noted a significant effect of the year of diagnosis on the excess mortality rate for all ages in all areas, except for diffuse large B-cell lymphoma in eastern Europe. The excess mortality rate was not constant during the follow-up period: we noted a high rate early for both lymphomas, except for follicular lymphoma in northern Europe.

INTERPRETATION

Although survival for follicular lymphoma and diffuse large B-cell lymphoma is improving, the results from this study should foster the search for more and better means of improvement of access to adequate care than that at present, as there remains variation in survival between European regions. Study of the dynamics of the excess mortality rate seems to be a useful clinical indicator to help the practitioner's choice of optimum management of patients.

FUNDING

Compagnia di San Paolo, Fondazione Cariplo Italy, Italian Ministry of Health, European Commission, Registre des Hémopathies Malignes de Côte d'Or, and French Agence Nationale de la Recherche.

A retrospective study of the prescribing and outcomes of tyrosine kinase inhibitors in chronic myeloid leukaemia over a period of more than 10 years

WHAT IS KNOWN AND OBJECTIVE

Since their introduction, tyrosine kinase inhibitors (TKIs) have been increasingly used in clinical practice. We describe the prescribing and the clinical and biological consequences of two such inhibitors, imatinib and erlotinib, in patients with chronic myeloid leukaemia (CML) in a practice setting over a period of more than 10 years.

METHODS

All patients who received at least one TKI for chronic phase CML between 2001 and 2012 in our university hospital were included in the study.

RESULTS AND DISCUSSION

Of the 139 patients, with a median age of 57 years, who were surveyed, imatinib and nilotinib were prescribed as the first TKI in 131 (94%) and 8 (6%) patients, respectively. With a median follow-up of 6 years, 342 treatment modifications were observed: 113 (33%) increased doses, 109 (32%) decreased doses, 89 (26%) TKI changes, 14 (4%) definitive discontinuations, 13 (4%) temporary discontinuations and 4 (1%) additions of IFN-α. The main reasons for the 342 treatment modifications were adverse events (n = 112, 33%), long-term optimal response (n = 58, 17%) and failure (n = 57, 17%). Eighty-five (61%), 31 (22%), 18 (13%) and 5 (4%) patients had no, 1, 2 and 3 TKI changes, respectively. Imatinib was the most prescribed TKI (75%). Adverse events resulting in treatment modifications occurred in 18% of patients for imatinib, 49% for nilotinib and 41% for dasatinib (P < 0·001). Median time to TKI change whatever the reason was >50 months (not achieved) for imatinib, 22 months for nilotinib and 27 months for dasatinib (log-rank test, P < 0·001).

WHAT IS NEW AND CONCLUSION

Imatinib was the most prescribed TKI both in the first and in subsequent therapeutic lines for chronic phase CML. Our study showed a very good efficacy-safety profile for imatinib at a median follow-up of 6 years in an unselected French population.

Stage IV breast cancer: a population-based study about prognostic factors according to HER2 and HR status

We aim to describe trends in net survival (NS) and to assess the prognostic factors among women with de novo metastatic breast cancer (MBC) according to human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2) and hormone receptor (HR) status. Data on women suffering from de novo MBC and diagnosed from 1998 to 2009 were provided by the Côte-d'Or breast cancer registry. NS was described using the Pohar Perme estimator and prognostic factors were investigated in a generalised linear model. We identified 232 patients (mean age = 64.7). Median NS was 29.2 months, 1- and 5-year NS were 76% and 26% respectively. The survival trend in patients with HER2-positive tumours who did not receive trastuzumab was similar to that in women with triple-negative tumours. A higher relative excess risk of death by cancer was observed for high-grade tumours [RER, relative excess rates = 1.76 (95% CI, confidence intervals: 1.17-2.62) for Scarff Bloom Richardson grade 3 vs. 1 + 2], while a lower risk was observed for luminal tumours [RER = 0.49 (95% CI: 0.27-0.89)] and HER2-positive tumours treated with trastuzumab [RER = 0.28 (95% CI: 0.14-0.59)], both compared with triple-negative tumours. Surgery of the primary tumour was associated with better survival [RER = 0.43 (95% CI: 0.28-0.68)]. With half of the women dead before 29 months, stage IV breast cancer still has a bleak outlook. Progress should continue with new target therapies for both HR and HER2 receptors.

Trends in excess mortality in follicular lymphoma at a population level

BACKGROUND

Since the 1990s and since the development of humanised monoclonal antibodies in 1998, the treatment of non-Hodgkin lymphoma has undergone profound changes. Follicular lymphoma (FL) was the first to benefit from this treatment, and several clinical trials have shown a significant improvement in overall survival, but little information is available at a population level.

OBJECTIVE

Our objective was to estimate changes in FL-specific mortality at a population level, with an appropriate methodology.

METHODS

Two French retrospective population-based studies on FL were conducted, one from 1995 to 2004, in 1477 patients, and one from 1995 to 2010, in 451 patients. Trends in excess mortality rates (EMRs) according to age, sex, Ann Arbor stage and year of diagnosis were evaluated using the flexible model of Remontet et al.

RESULTS

Trends in the EMR differed according to age at diagnosis and was higher in advanced stage (III, IV) in patients older than 65 yr. The EMR decreased linearly from 1995 to 2010. This decrease was more marked for advanced stages.

CONCLUSION

FL-specific mortality decreased over the years of diagnosis, and the difference according to the lymphoma stage diminished in more recent years. However, progress in the management of FL was not able to erase age-related differences.

Increased risk of acute myeloid leukemias and myelodysplastic syndromes in patients who received thiopurine treatment for inflammatory bowel disease

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Treatment with immunosuppressive thiopurines such as azathioprine is associated with an increased risk of leukemogenesis. We assessed the risk of myeloid disorders, such as acute myeloid leukemia and myelodysplastic syndromes, in a large cohort of patients with inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) in France.

METHODS

We performed a prospective observational study of 19,486 patients with IBD enrolled in the Cancers Et Surrisque Associé aux Maladies inflammatoires intestinales En France (CESAME) study from May 2004 through June 2005; patients were followed through December 31, 2007. The incidence of myeloid disorders in the general population, which was used for reference, was determined from the French Network of Cancer Registries.

RESULTS

During 49,736 patient-years of follow-up, 5 patients were diagnosed with incident myeloid disorders (2 with acute myeloid leukemia and 3 with myelodysplastic syndromes). Four of these patients had been exposed to thiopurines (1 with ongoing treatment and 3 with past exposure). The risk of myeloid disorders was not increased among the overall IBD population, compared with the general population; the standardized incidence ratio (SIR) was 1.80 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.58-4.20). The risk of myeloid disorders was not increased among patients with IBD and ongoing thiopurine treatment (SIR, 1.54; 95% CI, 0.05-8.54), but patients with past exposures to thiopurines had an increased risk of myeloid disorders (SIR, 6.98; 95% CI, 1.44-20.36).

CONCLUSIONS

Past exposure to thiopurines increases the risk of myeloid disorders 7-fold among patients with IBD. This finding should be considered when initiating thiopurine therapy, so risks and benefits can be calculated.

Clinical features and course of refractory anemia with ring sideroblasts associated with marked thrombocytosis

BACKGROUND

Refractory anemia with ring sideroblasts associated with marked thrombocytosis was proposed as a provisional entity in the 2001 World Health Organization classification of myeloid neoplasms and also in the 2008 version, but its existence as a single entity is contested. We wish to define the clinical features of this rare myelodysplastic/myeloproliferative neoplasm and to compare its clinical outcome with that of refractory anemia with ring sideroblasts and essential thrombocythemia.

DESIGN AND METHODS

We conducted a collaborative retrospective study across Europe. Our database included 200 patients diagnosed with refractory anemia with ring sideroblasts and marked thrombocytosis. For each of these patients, each patient diagnosed with refractory anemia with ring sideroblasts was matched for age and sex. At the same time, a cohort of 454 patients with essential thrombocythemia was used to compare outcomes of the two diseases.

RESULTS

In patients with refractory anemia with ring sideroblasts and marked thrombocytosis, depending on the Janus Kinase 2 V617F mutational status (positive or negative) or platelet threshold (over or below 600 × 10(9)/L), no difference in survival was noted. However, these patients had shorter overall survival and leukemia-free survival with a lower risk of thrombotic complications than did patients with essential thrombocythemia (P<0.001) but better survival (P<0.001) and a higher risk of thrombosis (P=0.039) than patients with refractory anemia with ring sideroblasts.

CONCLUSIONS

The clinical course of refractory anemia with ring sideroblasts and marked thrombocytosis is better than that of refractory anemia with ring sideroblasts and worse than that of essential thrombocythemia. The higher risk of thrombotic events in this disorder suggests that anti-platelet therapy might be considered in this subset of patients. From a clinical point of view, it appears to be important to consider refractory anemia with ring sideroblasts and marked thrombocytosis as a distinct entity.

Twenty-five years of epidemiological recording on myeloid malignancies: data from the specialized registry of hematologic malignancies of Cote d'Or (Burgundy, France)

BACKGROUND

Epidemiological data on myeloid malignancies are very rare in the literature due to a lack of registration by cancer registries until 2000. The Registry of Hematologic Malignancies of the Côte d'Or Department in France has, however, steadfastly registered data on cases occurring in the Department since 1980, resulting, to date, in a database of over 5,000 cases classified according to the ICD-O-3 classification, following the most recent World Health Organization classification criteria.

DESIGN AND METHODS

Twenty-five years of data on myeloid malignancies, including acute myeloid leukemia, myeloproliferative neoplasms, myelodysplastic syndromes and myelodysplastic/myeloproliferative syndromes were analyzed. World population standardized incidence rates were calculated as were as observed and relative survival.

RESULTS

Incidence rates per 100,000 inhabitants/year were 2.5 for acute myeloid leukemia, 1.3 for myelodysplastic syndromes, 3.2 for myeloproliferative neoplasms and 0.6 for myelodysplastic/myeloproliferative syndromes. It was found that the incidence rate of myelodysplastic syndromes increased significantly over the period. The median overall survival is 8.9 months for patients with acute myeloid leukemia, 33.8 months for patients with myelodysplastic syndromes, 91.7 months for those with myeloproliferative neoplasms and 26.6 months for patients with myelodysplastic/myeloproliferative syndromes. Observed and relative 20-year survival rates are, respectively, 12% and 13% in acute myeloid leukemia, 2% and 6% in myelodysplastic syndromes and 20% and 34% in myeloproliferative neoplasms.

CONCLUSIONS

These population-based data on myeloid malignancies are the first data collected over such a long period and provide interesting information for clinicians and public health authorities, particularly given the paucity of other long-term, population-based data from cancer registries.

Significant increase in the apparent incidence of essential thrombocythemia related to new WHO diagnostic criteria: a population-based study

To observe the effect of the new World Health Organization (WHO) criteria on the incidence of myeloproliferative neoplasms, we performed a retrospective study of a population-based registry in the Côte d'Or area, France, from 1980 to 2007. A total of 524 myeloproliferative neoplasms were registered for the 1980-2007 period, including 135 polycythemia vera, 308 essential thrombocythemia and 81 idiopathic myelofibroses. No change in the incidence of either polycythemia vera or idiopathic myelofibrosis was observed for the 2005-2007 period, compared to 1980-2004. On the contrary, a pronounced increase in the incidence of essential thrombocythemia was noted after 2005, mainly due to the use of JAK2 mutation screening and a lower threshold of platelet count. Our study confirms the relevance of the new WHO diagnostic criteria in allowing earlier diagnosis of essential thrombocythemia.

Concordance of assays designed for the quantification of JAK2V617F: a multicenter study

BACKGROUND

Many different techniques have been designed for the quantification of JAK2V617F allelic burden, sometimes producing discrepant results.

DESIGN AND METHODS

JAK2V617F quantification techniques were compared among 16 centers using 11 assays based on quantitative polymerase chain reaction (with mutation-specific primers or probes, or fluorescent resonance energy transfer/melting curve analysis), allele-specific polymerase chain reaction, conventional sequencing or pyrosequencing.

RESULTS

A first series of blinded samples (granulocyte DNA, n=29) was analyzed. Seven assays (12 centers) reported values inside the mean +/- 2SD; the mean coefficient of variation was 31%. Sequencing techniques lacked sensitivity, and strong discrepancies were observed with four techniques, which could be attributed to inadequate standards or to different modes of expression of results. Indeed, quantification of JAK2V617F in relation to another control gene produced higher than expected values, suggesting the possibility of more than two JAK2 copies/cell. After calibration of assays with common 1% to 100% JAK2V617F standards (dilutions of UKE-1 cells in normal leukocytes), 14 centers tested ten new samples. JAK2V617F allelic burdens greater or equal than 1% were then reliably quantified by five techniques -- one allele specific-polymerase chain reaction and four TaqMan allele-specific quantitative polymerase chain reaction assays, including one previously giving results outside the mean +/- 2SD -- with a lower mean coefficient of variation (21%). Of these, only the two TaqMan allele-specific quantitative polymerase chain reaction assays with primer-based specificity could detect 0.2% JAK2V617F.

CONCLUSIONS

Techniques expressing the allelic burden as JAK2V617F/total JAK2 and using a common set of standards produced similar quantification results but with variable sensitivity. Calibration to a reference standard improved reproducibility.

Frequent reduction or absence of detection of the JAK2-mutated clone in JAK2V617F-positive patients within the first years of hydroxyurea therapy

We analyzed the effect of hydroxyurea on the JAK2V617F allelic ratio (%JAK2V617F), measured in purified blood granulocytes, of patients with polycythemia vera and essential thrombocythemia. Thirty-six patients were examined sequentially prior to and after start of hydroxy-urea therapy (8 polycythemia vera, 17 essential thrombocythemia), or while remaining untreated (2 polycythemia vera, 9 essential thrombocythemia). Hydroxyurea therapy (median duration: 15 months) reduced the %JAK2V617F by >30% in 13/25 patients (4 polycythemia vera, 9 essential thrombocythemia). For 3 patients, JAK2V617F remained undetectable for 3-27 months. In addition, a single time point study of two large cohorts of patients, examined either at the time of diagnosis (99 polycythemia vera, 178 essential thrombocythemia) or while receiving hydroxyurea (36 polycythemia vera, 98 essential thrombocythemia; median length of therapy: 32 months), confirmed reduction of %JAK2V617F in the hydroxyurea-treated group (24% vs. 33% JAK2V617F at diagnosis, p<0.01). Prospective studies are needed to determine the prognostic value of reduced JAK2V617F allele burden under cytoreductive therapy.

Evaluation of the microbial safety of a new 1.5 l enteral feeding diet reservoir system

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Microbial safety is essential during enteral nutrition (EN) as it can be the origin of gastrointestinal symptoms, but can also lead to systemic infections. The use of large-volume diet reservoirs could limit the risk of contamination and reduce nursing time, due to fewer repeated manipulations. The aim of the study was to evaluate in vivo the microbial safety of a new 1.5l enteral feeding diet reservoir system.

METHODS

After validation of the study settings under standard laboratory conditions, 86 EN lines with sealed fittings were connected to 1.5l diet reservoirs under hospital/patient conditions. Microbial identification and quantification at different sampling times and points were performed.

RESULTS AND CONCLUSIONS

No microbial contamination was observed in the diet reservoirs and in the nutrition lines above the drip chamber, demonstrating the microbial safety of this system. Retrograde contamination of the distal nutrition line end at completion of EN was observed and may be affected by the cumulative time of use of the tube. The contaminating microbial species were essentially bacteria of normal oral and digestive flora.

[Methicilline-sensitive and methicilline-resistant Staphylococcus aureus related morbidity in chronic wounds: a prospective study]

OBJECTIVE

Staphylococcus aureus is the most common bacteria responsible for cutaneous infections. Its capacity to adapt has led to the selection of methicilline-resistant strains (MRSA). These strains create specific problems in their management in dermatology (mode of contamination, treatment, added costs, increased nosocomial risks). The objective of our study was to search for morbidity of MRSA in chronic cutaneous wounds in hospital settings and assess the need of systemic antibiotic therapy.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

We have conducted a one-year prospective study. All the patients hospitalized in the department with leg ulcers or foot wounds were included. Following local sampling for bacteriological examination, three groups were constituted: methicilline-sensitive patients with staphylococcus aureus (MSSA), methicilline-resistant staphylococcus aureus patients and patients in whom these bacteria were absent. Only the first two groups were compared after studying the past history, clinical description of the wound at the start of the study, results of the infectious bacteriology and of the clinical and bacteriological evolution of the wounds.

RESULTS

The two groups studied were similar in number, past history, clinical aspect and therapeutic management. Only malnutrition was more frequent in patients exhibiting MRSA. There was no difference with the evolution of the wounds.

CONCLUSION

Our study did not reveal any difference in the morbidity of staphylococcus aureus in the cutaneous wounds whether methicilline sensitive or resistant. Systematic antibiotherapy is not justified in the absence of signs of infection.

[Methi-resistant Staphylococcus aureus in dermatological practice: origin, risk factors and outcome]

BACKGROUND

Increased frequency of methiresistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA) in inpatients is a day to day problem.

OBJECTIVE

To determine the origin of MRSA, the causes for contamination, and potential complications in a department of Dermatology.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

A retrospective study of patients hospitalized in a dermatology department with cutaneous MRSA during 1997-1998. We considered age, type and duration of dermatitis, geographic origin of patients on admission, previous hospitalizations, time between arrival in the ward and positive MRSA, and complications requiring systemic antibiotics.

RESULTS

Out of 4579 of our patients, 53 (0.011 p. 100) had positive MRSA. They were on average 70.86 years-old (26 to 97). The most common underlying dermatitis was leg ulcers (30) and foot sores (4). Dermatitis had lasted for more than 1 month in 48 patients. Most of the patients (40) had their MRSA on admission to our ward. Twenty six patients admitted from home had MRSA; only 9 had never been in an hospital. Six patients had diabetes mellitus. Thirty two patients healed with local treatment for their dermatitis. Thirteen patients have had some complications (erysipela 1, osteoarthritis 3, septicemia 2, febrile syndrome 9).

DISCUSSION

Most patients with MRSA had leg ulcers or foot sores, confirming liability of chronic wounds to MRSA colonizing. Thirty one out of 40 patients with MRSA at arrival had been previously hospitalized. Hospitalization increases the risk of MRSA contamination. Treatment of MRSA is essentially that of the underlying dermatitis. However, it is still necessary to monitor the lesion for complications.