One-Year Outcome Trajectories and Factors Associated with Functional Recovery Among Survivors of Intracerebral and Intraventricular Hemorrhage With Initial Severe Disability

Importance

Patients who survive severe intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) and intraventricular hemorrhage (IVH) typically have poor functional outcome in the short term and understanding of future recovery is limited.

Objective

To describe 1-year recovery trajectories among ICH and IVH survivors with initial severe disability and assess the association of hospital events with long-term recovery.

Design, Setting, and Participants

This post hoc analysis pooled all individual patient data from the Clot Lysis: Evaluating Accelerated Resolution of Intraventricular Hemorrhage phase 3 trial (CLEAR-III) and the Minimally Invasive Surgery Plus Alteplase for Intracerebral Hemorrhage Evacuation (MISTIE-III) phase 3 trial in multiple centers across the US, Canada, Europe, and Asia. Patients were enrolled from August 1, 2010, to September 30, 2018, with a follow-up duration of 1 year. Of 999 enrolled patients, 724 survived with a day 30 modified Rankin Scale score (mRS) of 4 to 5 after excluding 13 participants with missing day 30 mRS. An additional 9 patients were excluded because of missing 1-year mRS. The final pooled cohort included 715 patients (71.6%) with day 30 mRS 4 to 5. Data were analyzed from July 2019 to January 2022.

Exposures

CLEAR-III participants randomized to intraventricular alteplase vs placebo. MISTIE-III participants randomized to stereotactic thrombolysis of hematoma vs standard medical care.

Main Outcomes and Measures

Primary outcome was 1-year mRS. Patients were dichotomized into good outcome at 1 year (mRS 0 to 3) vs poor outcome at 1 year (mRS 4 to 6). Multivariable logistic regression models assessed associations between prospectively adjudicated hospital events and 1-year good outcome after adjusting for demographic characteristics, ICH and IVH severity, and trial cohort.

Results

Of 715 survivors, 417 (58%) were male, and the overall mean (SD) age was 60.3 (11.7) years. Overall, 174 participants (24.3%) were Black, 491 (68.6%) were White, and 49 (6.9%) were of other races (including Asian, Native American, and Pacific Islander, consolidated owing to small numbers); 98 (13.7%) were of Hispanic ethnicity. By 1 year, 129 participants (18%) had died and 308 (43%) had achieved mRS 0 to 3. In adjusted models for the combined cohort, diabetes (adjusted odds ratio [aOR], 0.50; 95% CI, 0.26-0.96), National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (aOR, 0.93; 95% CI, 0.90-0.96), severe leukoaraiosis (aOR, 0.30; 95% CI, 0.16-0.54), pineal gland shift (aOR, 0.87; 95% CI, 0.76-0.99]), acute ischemic stroke (aOR, 0.44; 95% CI, 0.21-0.94), gastrostomy (aOR, 0.30; 95% CI, 0.17-0.50), and persistent hydrocephalus by day 30 (aOR, 0.37; 95% CI, 0.14-0.98) were associated with lack of recovery. Resolution of ICH (aOR, 1.82; 95% CI, 1.08-3.04) and IVH (aOR, 2.19; 95% CI, 1.02-4.68) by day 30 were associated with recovery to good outcome. In the CLEAR-III model, cerebral perfusion pressure less than 60 mm Hg (aOR, 0.30; 95% CI, 0.13-0.71), sepsis (aOR, 0.05; 95% CI, 0.00-0.80), and prolonged mechanical ventilation (aOR, 0.96; 95% CI, 0.92-1.00 per day), and in MISTIE-III, need for intracranial pressure monitoring (aOR, 0.35; 95% CI, 0.12-0.98), were additional factors associated with poor outcome. Thirty-day event-based models strongly predicted 1-year outcome (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve [AUC], 0.87; 95% CI, 0.83-0.90), with significantly improved discrimination over models using baseline severity factors alone (AUC, 0.76; 95% CI, 0.71-0.80; P < .001).

Conclusions and Relevance

Among survivors of severe ICH and IVH with initial poor functional outcome, more than 40% recovered to good outcome by 1 year. Hospital events were strongly associated with long-term functional recovery and may be potential targets for intervention. Avoiding early pessimistic prognostication and delaying prognostication until after treatment may improve ability to predict future recovery.

Relationship of White Matter Lesions with Intracerebral Hemorrhage Expansion and Functional Outcome: MISTIE II and CLEAR III

BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVE

Intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) patients commonly have concomitant white matter lesions (WML) which may be associated with poor outcome. We studied if WML affects hematoma expansion (HE) and post-stroke functional outcome in a post hoc analysis of patients from randomized controlled trials.

METHODS

In ICH patients from the clinical trials MISTIE II and CLEAR III, WML grade on diagnostic computed tomography (dCT) scan (dCT, < 24 h after ictus) was assessed using the van Swieten scale (vSS, range 0-4). The primary outcome for HE was > 33% or > 6 mL ICH volume increase from dCT to the last pre-randomization CT (< 72 h of dCT). Secondary HE outcomes were: absolute ICH expansion, > 10.4 mL total clot volume increase, and a subgroup analysis including patients with dCT < 6 h after ictus using the primary HE definition of > 33% or > 6 mL ICH volume increase. Poor functional outcome was assessed at 180 days and defined as modified Rankin Scale (mRS) ≥ 4, with ordinal mRS as a secondary endpoint.

RESULTS

Of 635 patients, 55% had WML grade 1-4 at dCT (median 2.2 h from ictus) and 13% had subsequent HE. WML at dCT did not increase the odds for primary or secondary HE endpoints (P ≥ 0.05) after adjustment for ICH volume, intraventricular hemorrhage volume, warfarin/INR > 1.5, ictus to dCT time in hours, age, diabetes mellitus, and thalamic ICH location. WML increased the odds for having poor functional outcome (mRS ≥ 4) in univariate analyses (vSS 4; OR 4.16; 95% CI 2.54-6.83; P < 0.001) which persisted in multivariable analyses after adjustment for HE and other outcome risk factors.

CONCLUSIONS

Concomitant WML does not increase the odds for HE in patients with ICH but increases the odds for poor functional outcome.

CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION

http://www.clinicaltrials.gov trial-identifiers: NCT00224770 and NCT00784134.

Efficacy and safety of minimally invasive surgery with thrombolysis in intracerebral haemorrhage evacuation (MISTIE III): a randomised, controlled, open-label, blinded endpoint phase 3 trial

BACKGROUND

Acute stroke due to supratentorial intracerebral haemorrhage is associated with high morbidity and mortality. Open craniotomy haematoma evacuation has not been found to have any benefit in large randomised trials. We assessed whether minimally invasive catheter evacuation followed by thrombolysis (MISTIE), with the aim of decreasing clot size to 15 mL or less, would improve functional outcome in patients with intracerebral haemorrhage.

METHODS

MISTIE III was an open-label, blinded endpoint, phase 3 trial done at 78 hospitals in the USA, Canada, Europe, Australia, and Asia. We enrolled patients aged 18 years or older with spontaneous, non-traumatic, supratentorial intracerebral haemorrhage of 30 mL or more. We used a computer-generated number sequence with a block size of four or six to centrally randomise patients to image-guided MISTIE treatment (1·0 mg alteplase every 8 h for up to nine doses) or standard medical care. Primary outcome was good functional outcome, defined as the proportion of patients who achieved a modified Rankin Scale (mRS) score of 0-3 at 365 days, adjusted for group differences in prespecified baseline covariates (stability intracerebral haemorrhage size, age, Glasgow Coma Scale, stability intraventricular haemorrhage size, and clot location). Analysis of the primary efficacy outcome was done in the modified intention-to-treat (mITT) population, which included all eligible, randomly assigned patients who were exposed to treatment. All randomly assigned patients were included in the safety analysis. This study is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, number NCT01827046.

FINDINGS

Between Dec 30, 2013, and Aug 15, 2017, 506 patients were randomly allocated: 255 (50%) to the MISTIE group and 251 (50%) to standard medical care. 499 patients (n=250 in the MISTIE group; n=249 in the standard medical care group) received treatment and were included in the mITT analysis set. The mITT primary adjusted efficacy analysis estimated that 45% of patients in the MISTIE group and 41% patients in the standard medical care group had achieved an mRS score of 0-3 at 365 days (adjusted risk difference 4% [95% CI -4 to 12]; p=0·33). Sensitivity analyses of 365-day mRS using generalised ordered logistic regression models adjusted for baseline variables showed that the estimated odds ratios comparing MISTIE with standard medical care for mRS scores higher than 5 versus 5 or less, higher than 4 versus 4 or less, higher than 3 versus 3 or less, and higher than 2 versus 2 or less were 0·60 (p=0·03), 0·84 (p=0·42), 0·87 (p=0·49), and 0·82 (p=0·44), respectively. At 7 days, two (1%) of 255 patients in the MISTIE group and ten (4%) of 251 patients in the standard medical care group had died (p=0·02) and at 30 days, 24 (9%) patients in the MISTIE group and 37 (15%) patients in the standard medical care group had died (p=0·07). The number of patients with symptomatic bleeding and brain bacterial infections was similar between the MISTIE and standard medical care groups (six [2%] of 255 patients vs three [1%] of 251 patients; p=0·33 for symptomatic bleeding; two [1%] of 255 patients vs 0 [0%] of 251 patients; p=0·16 for brain bacterial infections). At 30 days, 76 (30%) of 255 patients in the MISTIE group and 84 (33%) of 251 patients in the standard medical care group had one or more serious adverse event, and the difference in number of serious adverse events between the groups was statistically significant (p=0·012).

INTERPRETATION

For moderate to large intracerebral haemorrhage, MISTIE did not improve the proportion of patients who achieved a good response 365 days after intracerebral haemorrhage. The procedure was safely adopted by our sample of surgeons.

FUNDING

National Institute of Neurological Disorders and Stroke and Genentech.

Maxillary shape after primary cleft closure and before alveolar bone graft in two different management protocols: A comparative morphometric study

AIM AND SCOPE

Result assessment in cleft surgery is a technical challenge and requires the development of dedicated morphometric tools. Two cohorts of patients managed according to two different protocols were assessed at similar ages and their palatal shape was compared using geometric morphometrics.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

Ten patients (protocol No. 1) benefited from early lip closure (1-3 months) and secondary combined soft and hard palate closure (6-9 months); 11 patients (protocol No. 2) benefited from later combined lip and soft palate closure (6 months) followed by hard palate closure (18 months). Cone-Beam Computed Tomography (CBCT) images were acquired at 5 years of age and palatal shapes were compared between protocols No. 1 and No. 2 using geometric morphometrics.

RESULTS

Protocols No. 1 and No. 2 had a significantly different timing in their surgical steps but were assessed at a similar age (5 years). The inter-canine distance was significantly narrower in protocol No. 1. Geometric morphometrics showed that the premaxillary region was located more inferiorly in protocol No. 1.

CONCLUSION

Functional approaches to cleft surgery (protocol No. 2) allow obtaining larger inter-canine distances and more anatomical premaxillary positions at 5 years of age when compared to protocols involving early lip closure (protocol No. 1). This is the first study comparing the intermediate results of two cleft management protocols using 3D CBCT data and geometric morphometrics. Similar assessments at the end of puberty are required in order to compare the long-term benefits of functional protocols.

Thrombolytic removal of intraventricular haemorrhage in treatment of severe stroke: results of the randomised, multicentre, multiregion, placebo-controlled CLEAR III trial

BACKGROUND

Intraventricular haemorrhage is a subtype of intracerebral haemorrhage, with 50% mortality and serious disability for survivors. We aimed to test whether attempting to remove intraventricular haemorrhage with alteplase versus saline irrigation improved functional outcome.

METHODS

In this randomised, double-blinded, placebo-controlled, multiregional trial (CLEAR III), participants with a routinely placed extraventricular drain, in the intensive care unit with stable, non-traumatic intracerebral haemorrhage volume less than 30 mL, intraventricular haemorrhage obstructing the 3rd or 4th ventricles, and no underlying pathology were adaptively randomly assigned (1:1), via a web-based system to receive up to 12 doses, 8 h apart of 1 mg of alteplase or 0·9% saline via the extraventricular drain. The treating physician, clinical research staff, and participants were masked to treatment assignment. CT scans were obtained every 24 h throughout dosing. The primary efficacy outcome was good functional outcome, defined as a modified Rankin Scale score (mRS) of 3 or less at 180 days per central adjudication by blinded evaluators. This study is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT00784134.

FINDINGS

Between Sept 18, 2009, and Jan 13, 2015, 500 patients were randomised: 249 to the alteplase group and 251 to the saline group. 180-day follow-up data were available for analysis from 246 of 249 participants in the alteplase group and 245 of 251 participants in the placebo group. The primary efficacy outcome was similar in each group (good outcome in alteplase group 48% vs saline 45%; risk ratio [RR] 1·06 [95% CI 0·88-1·28; p=0·554]). A difference of 3·5% (RR 1·08 [95% CI 0·90-1·29], p=0·420) was found after adjustment for intraventricular haemorrhage size and thalamic intracerebral haemorrhage. At 180 days, the treatment group had lower case fatality (46 [18%] vs saline 73 [29%], hazard ratio 0·60 [95% CI 0·41-0·86], p=0·006), but a greater proportion with mRS 5 (42 [17%] vs 21 [9%]; RR 1·99 [95% CI 1·22-3·26], p=0·007). Ventriculitis (17 [7%] alteplase vs 31 [12%] saline; RR 0·55 [95% CI 0·31-0·97], p=0·048) and serious adverse events (114 [46%] alteplase vs 151 [60%] saline; RR 0·76 [95% CI 0·64-0·90], p=0·002) were less frequent with alteplase treatment. Symptomatic bleeding (six [2%] in the alteplase group vs five [2%] in the saline group; RR 1·21 [95% CI 0·37-3·91], p=0·771) was similar.

INTERPRETATION

In patients with intraventricular haemorrhage and a routine extraventricular drain, irrigation with alteplase did not substantially improve functional outcomes at the mRS 3 cutoff compared with irrigation with saline. Protocol-based use of alteplase with extraventricular drain seems safe. Future investigation is needed to determine whether a greater frequency of complete intraventricular haemorrhage removal via alteplase produces gains in functional status.

FUNDING

National Institute of Neurological Disorders and Stroke.

Applicability of Clinical Trials in an Unselected Cohort of Patients With Intracerebral Hemorrhage

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Patient selection in clinical trials on intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) affects overall applicability of results. We estimated eligibility for completed, ongoing, and planned clinical trials in an unselected cohort of patients with ICH.

METHODS

Large clinical ICH trials were identified using trial registration databases. Each trial's inclusion criteria were applied to a consecutive group of patients with ICH from the prospective hospital-based Lund Stroke Register. Survival status was obtained from the National Census Office and 90-day poor functional outcome (modified Rankin Scale ≥4) from the Swedish Stroke Register or medical files.

RESULTS

Among 253 patients with ICH, estimated eligibility proportions ranged between 2% and 36% for the 11 identified clinical trials. Patients not eligible for any trial (n=96) had more intraventricular hemorrhage, lower baseline level of consciousness, higher rates of cerebellar ICH, and lower rates of lobar ICH (P≤0.001). Thirty-day case fatality for noneligible patients was 54% versus 18% among patients eligible in ≥1 trial (95% confidence interval, 44%-64% versus 13%-25%; P<0.001). Noneligible ICH patients more frequently had poor functional outcome (75% versus 48%; 95% confidence interval, 65%-83% versus 40%-56%; P<0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

There is large variation in proportions of patients with ICH eligible for inclusion in clinical trials and over a third of patients with ICH are not eligible for any trial.

Early Therapy Intensity Level (TIL) Predicts Mortality in Spontaneous Intracerebral Hemorrhage

BACKGROUND

Outcome from spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage (sICH) may depend on patient-care variability. We developed as ICH-specific therapy intensity level (TIL) metric using evidence-based elements in a high severity sICH cohort.

METHODS

This is a cohort study of 170 patients with sICH and any intraventricular hemorrhage treated in 2 academic neuroICUs. Pre-defined quality indicators were identified based on current guidelines, scientific evidence, and likelihood of care documentation in first 72 h of hospital admission. We assessed performance on each indicator and association with discharge mortality. Significant indicators were aggregated to develop a TIL score. The predictive validity of the best fit TIL score was tested with threefold cross-validation of multivariate logistic regression models of in-hospital survival and good outcome (modified Rankin score 0-3).

RESULTS

Median ICH score was 3; discharge mortality was 51.2%. Five/19 tested variables were significantly associated with lower discharge mortality: no DNR/withdrawal of treatment within 24 h of admission, target glucose within 4 h of high glucose, no recurrent hyperpyrexia, clinical reversal of herniation/intracranial pressure >20 mmHg within 60 min of detection, and reversal of INR (<1.4) within 2 h of first elevation. One point was given for each or if not applicable. Median TIL score was significantly higher in survivors versus non-survivors (5[1] vs. 3[1]; P < 0.001). A 4-point aggregated TIL score was most predictive of discharge survival (area under receiving operating characteristic curve 0.85, 95% CI 0.80-0.90) and good outcome (AUC 0.84) and was an independent predictor of both (survival: OR 7.10; 95% CI 3.57-14.11; P < 0.001; good outcome: OR 3.10; 95% CI 1.06-8.79; P < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

A simplified TIL score using evidenced-based patient-care parameters within first 3 days of admission after sICH was significantly associated with early mortality and good outcome. The next step is prospective validation of the simplified TIL score in a large clinical trial.

Abstract WP356: Eligibility Criteria in Clinical Trials on Intracerebral Hemorrhage Applied to an Unselected Cohort: The Lund Stroke Register

Introduction: Strict patient selection in medical or surgical trials on intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) is needed to optimize therapeutic benefit but limits trial enrolment as well as overall applicability of results. We studied the applicability of previous, current, and planned large interventional ICH trials by applying each trial’s defined inclusion criteria to an unselected cohort of ICH patients.

Methods: Large interventional ICH trials were identified via trial registration databases. To estimate eligibility rates, each trial’s inclusion criteria were applied on an unselected consecutive group of first-ever ICH patients from the prospective hospital-based Lund Stroke Register. Subsequently, 30 day survival status was obtained from the National Census Office and 90 day poor functional outcome (modified Rankin Scale ≥4 or death) from the Swedish Stroke Register or medical files.

Results: Among 253 included ICH patients, estimated eligibility rates ranged from 2-38% for the identified 11 large interventional ICH trials (Figure 1). Patients not eligible for any of the trials (N=91, 36%) had: more extensive intraventricular hemorrhage (p<0.001); lower baseline level of consciousness (p<0.001); higher rate of cerebellar ICH and lower rates of lobar ICH (p<0.001). No significant age, sex, or ICH volume differences were observed. The 30 day mortality rates among eligible patients were 0-33% depending on selected trial. The mortality rate for patients not eligible for any trial was 55% vs 19% for patients eligible in ≥1 trial (95% CI: 45-65% vs 13-25%; p<0.001). Non-eligible ICH patients more frequently had poor functional outcome (75% vs 49%; 95% CI: 65-85% vs 41-57%; p<0.001).

Conclusions: There is great variation in proportions of unselected ICH patients eligible for inclusion in treatment trials. Even in trials with broad entry criteria only a minority is eligible, which need to be considered when translating ICH-trial results into clinical practice.

Early Quantification of Hematoma Hounsfield Units on Noncontrast CT in Acute Intraventricular Hemorrhage Predicts Ventricular Clearance after Intraventricular Thrombolysis

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Thrombolytic efficacy of intraventricular rtPA for acute intraventricular hemorrhage may depend on hematoma composition. We assessed whether hematoma Hounsfield unit quantification informs intraventricular hemorrhage clearance after intraventricular rtPA.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Serial NCCT was performed on 52 patients who received intraventricular rtPA as part of the Clot Lysis Evaluation of Accelerated Resolution of Intraventricular Hemorrhage trial and 12 controls with intraventricular hemorrhage, but no rtPA treatment. A blinded investigator calculated Hounsfield unit values for intraventricular hemorrhage volumes on admission (t0), days 3-4 (t1), and days 6-9 (t2). Controls were matched uniquely to 12 rtPA-treated patients for comparison.

RESULTS

Median intraventricular hemorrhage volume on admission for patients treated with intraventricular rtPA was 31.9 mL (interquartile range, 34.1 mL), and it decreased to 4.9 mL (interquartile range, 14.5 mL) (t2). Mean (±standard error of the mean) Hounsfield unit for intraventricular hemorrhage was 52.1 (0.59) at t0 and decreased significantly to 50.1 (0.63) (t1), and to 45.1 (0.71) (t2). Total intraventricular hemorrhage Hounsfield unit count was significantly correlated with intraventricular hemorrhage volume at all time points (t0: P = .002; t1: P < .001; t2: P < .001). On serologic and CSF analysis at t0, only higher CSF protein was positively correlated with intraventricular hemorrhage Hounsfield units (P = .03). In 24 matched patients treated with rtPA and controls, total intraventricular hemorrhage Hounsfield units were significantly lower in patients treated with rtPA at t2 (P = .02). Higher Hounsfield unit quantification of fourth ventricle hematomas independently predicted slower clearance of this ventricle (95% CI, 0.02-0.14; P = .02), along with higher intraventricular hemorrhage volume (95% CI, 0.02-0.41; P = .03) and lower CSF protein levels (95% CI, -0.003 to -0.002; P < .001).

CONCLUSIONS

Intraventricular hemorrhage Hounsfield unit counts decrease significantly in the acute phase and to a greater extent with intraventricular rtPA treatment. Intraventricular hemorrhage Hounsfield units are correlated significantly with CSF protein and not with serum erythrocyte or platelet concentrations. Hounsfield unit counts may reflect intraventricular hemorrhage clot composition and rtPA sensitivity.